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← Back to GamesSep 3, 2021Week 1
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Ohio State by 10.7

Home Win Probability

Minnesota 25%

Market (consensus)

Minnesota +14

Edge: Minnesota +14 (3.3 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 3, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Ohio StateOhio State
73211445
MinnesotaMinnesota
01471031

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-70-107-1014-1021-1724-3131-3831-45
MinnesotaOhio State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MINOSMINOSMINOSMINOSMINOSMINOSMINOSMINMINOSMINOSMINOSPUNT1134ydTD592ydPUNT521ydFG1474ydTD680ydTO416ydTD837ydPUNT43ydEND54ydTD781ydTD575ydPUNT34ydPUNT6-3ydTD156ydTD57ydFG1247ydTD375ydTD975ydTD275ydTO434ydEND624yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Ohio State and Minnesota
StatisticOhio StateMinnesota
Passing13-2214-25
Pass Yards294205
Rush Yards201203
Total Yards495408
Turnovers12
3rd Down4-88-14
Penalties5-485-50
Possession21:1938:41

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Ohio State
passing
C.J. Stroud
13/22, 294 YDS, 4 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Miyan Williams
9 CAR, 125 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Chris Olave
4 REC, 117 YDS, 2 TD
defense
Minnesota
passing
Tanner Morgan
14/25, 205 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Mohamed Ibrahim
30 CAR, 163 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Daniel Jackson
3 REC, 58 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the Minn 28

2nd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.32

Tanner Morgan run for 9 yds to the Minn 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 5 yds to the Minn 42

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the Minn 45

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.37

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the Minn 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 1 yd to the Minn 49

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Tanner Morgan run for 5 yds to the OhSt 46

3rd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.73

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 8 yds to the OhSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.39

Treyson Potts run for a loss of 3 yards to the OhSt 41

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Brevyn Spann-Ford

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Mark Crawford punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Garrett Wilson at the OhSt 8

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.36

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Garrett Wilson for 7 yds to the OhSt 15

2nd & 3Penalty-5 yds

OHIO ST Penalty, False Start (Chris Olave) to the OhSt 10

2nd & 8Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.73

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 11 yds to the OhSt 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Garrett Wilson

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.41

Miyan Williams run for 8 yds to the OhSt 29

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+71 ydsPPA +6.51

Miyan Williams 71 Yd Run (Noah Ruggles Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Brady Boyd

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.83

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Dylan Wright for 13 yds to the Minn 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 1 yd to the Minn 39

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.56

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Dylan Wright for 7 yds to the Minn 46

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.00

Mohamed Ibrahim run for no gain to the Minn 46

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Mark Crawford punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OhSt 9

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.37

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Garrett Wilson for 7 yds to the OhSt 16

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.07

Master Teague III run for 4 yds to the OhSt 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Garrett Wilson

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Master Teague III run for 6 yds to the OhSt 26

3rd & 4Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.66

Master Teague III run for 10 yds to the OhSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Master Teague III run for 3 yds to the OhSt 39

2nd & 7Penalty+15 yds

Stroud, C.J. pass incomplete to Olave, Chris, PENALTY MINNESOTA pass interference (Smith, Terell) 15 yards to the MINNESOTA46, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OHIOST.

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Master Teague III run for 3 yds to the Minn 43

2nd & 7Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.87

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Chris Olave for 7 yds to the Minn 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Master Teague III run for 3 yds to the Minn 33

2nd & 7Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.65

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jeremy Ruckert for 15 yds to the Minn 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

C.J. Stroud pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Garrett Wilson

3rd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.50

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 1 yd to the Minn 17

4th & 9Field Goal Good+35 yds

Noah Ruggles 35 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 6 yds to the Minn 26

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.46

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the Minn 28

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.40

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 1 yd to the Minn 29

4th & 1Rush+56 ydsPPA +4.40

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 56 yds to the OhSt 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Treyson Potts run for 2 yds to the OhSt 13

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.74

Dylan Wright 13 Yd pass from Tanner Morgan (Matthew Trickett Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Garrett Wilson for 6 yds to the OhSt 31

2nd & 4Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.09

TreVeyon Henderson run for 10 yds to the OhSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

C.J. Stroud pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Interception Return+23 ydsPPA -1.20

C.J. Stroud pass intercepted Terell Smith return for 23 yds to the OhSt 37

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.59

Treyson Potts run for 8 yds to the OhSt 29

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.20

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 6 yds to the OhSt 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.47

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Brevyn Spann-Ford for 16 yds to the OhSt 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the OhSt 5

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Daniel Jackson

3rd & 5Penalty+3 yds

Morgan, Tanner pass incomplete to Wright, Dylan, PENALTY OHIOST pass interference (Burke, Denzel) 3 yards to the OHIOST2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MINNESOTA.

1st & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.00

Mohamed Ibrahim run for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 3

2nd & 11Rush+2 yds

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the OhSt 1

3rd & 9Rushing Touchdown+1 yds

Mohamed Ibrahim 1 Yd Run (Matthew Trickett Kick)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Miyan Williams run for 5 yds to the OhSt 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception-6 ydsPPA -1.19

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Garrett Wilson for 4 yds to the OhSt 34 OHIO ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jeremy Ruckert) to the OhSt 24

2nd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Miyan Williams run for 2 yds to the OhSt 26

3rd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.13

C.J. Stroud run for 2 yds to the OhSt 28

4th & 7Punt+9 yds

Jesse Mirco punt for 37 yds , Treyson Potts returns for 9 yds to the Minn 44

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Dylan Wright

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.05

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 11 yds to the OhSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 4 yds to the OhSt 41

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Daniel Jackson

3rd & 6Sack-11 ydsPPA -2.44

Tanner Morgan sacked by Cody Simon for a loss of 11 yards to the Minn 48

0th & 6End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

C.J. Stroud run for 5 yds to the OhSt 24

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.66

Miyan Williams run for 6 yds to the OhSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.03

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Chris Olave for 11 yds to the OhSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Garrett Wilson

2nd & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.38

Miyan Williams run for 15 yds to the Minn 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Miyan Williams run for 6 yds to the Minn 38

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+38 ydsPPA +3.12

Chris Olave 38 Yd pass from C.J. Stroud (Noah Ruggles Kick)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 5 yds to the Minn 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.42

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Dylan Wright for 12 yds to the Minn 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 1 yd to the Minn 43

2nd & 9Penalty+15 yds

Morgan, Tanner pass incomplete to Jackson, Daniel, PENALTY OHIOST pass interference (Watts, Ryan) 15 yards to the OHIOST42, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MINNESOTA.

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Morgan, Tanner pass pass intended for Spann-Ford, Brevyn intercepted by Proctor, Josh at the OHIOST20, Proctor, Josh return 60 yards to the MINNESOTA20, PENALTY OHIOST roughing passer (Gant, Dallas) 15 yards to the OHIOST27, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MINNESOTA.

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.49

Treyson Potts run for 8 yds to the OhSt 19

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +2.25

Mohamed Ibrahim 19 Yd Run (Matthew Trickett Kick)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Miyan Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the OhSt 23

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Garrett Wilson

3rd & 12Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.05

C.J. Stroud run for 6 yds to the OhSt 29

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Jesse Mirco punt for 49 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Minn 22

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.51

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 1 yd to the Minn 23

2nd & 9Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.74

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Brevyn Spann-Ford for 14 yds to the Minn 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-12 ydsPPA -2.17

Cam Wiley run for 3 yds to the Minn 40 MINNESOTA Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Conner Olson) to the Minn 25

2nd & 22Rush-8 ydsPPA -0.17

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the Minn 27 MINNESOTA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Curtis Dunlap Jr.) to the Minn 17

2nd & 30Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.03

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Dylan Wright

3rd & 30Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.01

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the Minn 19

4th & 28Punt+1 yds

Mark Crawford punt for 38 yds , Garrett Wilson returns for 1 yd to the OhSt 44

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+56 ydsPPA +4.37

Garrett Wilson 56 Yd pass from C.J. Stroud (Noah Ruggles Kick)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Tanner Morgan run for no gain to the Minn 25

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.48

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 8 yds to the Minn 33

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.15

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the Minn 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the Minn 39

2nd & 7Fumble Return Touchdown+32 ydsPPA -8.44

Haskell Garrett 32 Yd Fumble Return (Noah Ruggles Kick)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 4 yds to the Minn 29

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Mike Brown-Stephens

3rd & 6Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.18

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Treyson Potts for 12 yds to the Minn 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 1 yd to the Minn 42

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Treyson Potts run for 2 yds to the Minn 44

3rd & 7Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.72

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Dylan Wright for 12 yds to the OhSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.97

Cam Wiley run for no gain to the OhSt 44

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.59

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 15 yds to the OhSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

MINNESOTA Penalty, Substitution Infraction (-5 Yards) to the OhSt 34

1st & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.39

Treyson Potts run for 2 yds to the OhSt 32

2nd & 13Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Treyson Potts run for 3 yds to the OhSt 29

3rd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.76

Cam Wiley run for 1 yd to the OhSt 28

4th & 9Field Goal Good+46 yds

Matthew Trickett 46 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

TreVeyon Henderson run for 5 yds to the OhSt 30

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Garrett Wilson

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+70 ydsPPA +6.74

TreVeyon Henderson 70 Yd pass from C.J. Stroud (Noah Ruggles Kick)

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Treyson Potts run for 10 yds to the Minn 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.83

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 21 yds to the OhSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.97

Treyson Potts run for no gain to the OhSt 44

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Tanner Morgan run for 4 yds to the OhSt 40

3rd & 6Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.82

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Brevyn Spann-Ford for 14 yds to the OhSt 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Treyson Potts run for 2 yds to the OhSt 24

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Daniel Jackson

3rd & 8Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.31

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 22 yds to the OhSt 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Bryce Williams 2 Yd Run (Matthew Trickett Kick)

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.22

Miyan Williams run for 14 yds to the OhSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+61 ydsPPA +4.86

Chris Olave 61 Yd pass from C.J. Stroud (Noah Ruggles Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Daniel Jackson

2nd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.93

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Mike Brown-Stephens for 14 yds to the Minn 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Dylan Wright

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+20 ydsPPA -1.04

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Mike Brown-Stephens for 20 yds Mike Brown-Stephens fumbled, forced by Lathan Ransom, recovered by OhSt Tommy Eichenberg

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Marcus Crowley run for 1 yd to the OhSt 42

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Marcus Crowley run for 2 yds to the OhSt 44

3rd & 7Penalty+5 yds

MINNESOTA Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the OhSt 49

3rd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.58

Marcus Crowley run for 7 yds to the Minn 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Marcus Crowley run for 2 yds to the Minn 42

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Marcus Crowley run for 2 yds to the Minn 40

3rd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Marcus Crowley run for 5 yds to the Minn 35

Situational Analysis

Ohio State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
22 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
60%
5 plays
60%
10 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
100%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
100%
1 play
4th

Minnesota

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
28%
29 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
17%
6 plays
67%
15 plays
0%
4 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
75%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play