Skip to main content
← Back to GamesSep 11, 2021Week 2

House Prediction

Model Margin

Michigan State by 10.4

Home Win Probability

Michigan State 76%

Market (consensus)

Michigan State -28.5

Edge: Youngstown State +28.5 (18.1 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 11, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Youngstown State
077014
Michigan StateMichigan State
14217042

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-014-028-735-735-1442-14
Michigan StateYoungstown State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MSYSMSYSMSYSMSYSMSYSMSYSMSYSYSMSYSMSYSMSYSMSYSTD175ydPUNT3-5ydPUNT32ydPUNT37ydTD658ydPUNT820ydPUNT527ydTO417ydTD398ydPUNT30ydTD452ydTD1275ydTD1168ydEND11ydTD1075ydMISS843ydPUNT33ydTD650ydPUNT611ydPUNT520ydPUNT1029ydTO1584ydEND1472yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Youngstown State and Michigan State
StatisticYoungstown StateMichigan State
Passing16-3220-28
Pass Yards137323
Rush Yards167272
Total Yards304595
Turnovers11
3rd Down9-204-10
Penalties4-347-56
Possession33:2026:40

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Youngstown State
passing
Demeatric Crenshaw
10/23, 81 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Demeatric Crenshaw
18 CAR, 69 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Luke Hensley
4 REC, 35 YDS
defense
Michigan State
passing
Payton Thorne
15/21, 280 YDS, 4 TD
rushing
Jordan Simmons
16 CAR, 121 YDS
receiving
Jayden Reed
4 REC, 181 YDS, 2 TD
defense
Xavier Henderson
1 TFL, 1 PD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+75 ydsPPA +6.08

Payton Thorne pass complete to Jayden Reed for 75 yds for a TD (Matt Coghlin KICK)

1st & 10Sack0 ydsPPA -0.70

Demeatric Crenshaw sacked by Xavier Henderson for 0 yards to the YngSt 21

2nd & 14Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 5 yds to the YngSt 26

3rd & 9Penalty-5 yds

YOUNGSTOWN ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the YngSt 21

3rd & 14Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.09

Jaleel McLaughlin run for a loss of 1 yard to the YngSt 20

4th & 15Blocked Punt0 yds

punt blocked by blocked by

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Kenneth Walker III run for 2 yds to the MchSt 43

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Payton Thorne pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Payton Thorne pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Bryce Baringer punt for 53 yds, downed at the YngSt 4

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 4 yds to the YngSt 8

2nd & 6Penalty0 yds

YOUNGSTOWN ST Penalty, False Start ( Yards) to the YngSt 4

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.14

Demeatric Crenshaw run for 7 yds to the YngSt 11

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Demeatric Crenshaw pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt+18 yds

Paddy Lynch punt for 42 yds for a 1ST down , Jayden Reed returns for 18 yds to the MchSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+24 ydsPPA +1.62

Kenneth Walker III run for 24 yds to the YngSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.55

Payton Thorne pass complete to Tyler Hunt for 8 yds to the YngSt 26

2nd & 2Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA -0.17

Payton Thorne pass complete to Jalen Nailor for 11 yds to the YngSt 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Kenneth Walker III run for 5 yds to the YngSt 10

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Payton Thorne pass incomplete

3rd & 5Rushing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.84

Payton Thorne run for 10 yds for a TD (Matt Coghlin KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Demeatric Crenshaw pass complete to Andrew Ogletree for 5 yds to the YngSt 30

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Demeatric Crenshaw run for 4 yds to the YngSt 34

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.95

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 2 yds to the YngSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Demeatric Crenshaw pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty+5 yds

MCLAUGHLIN, Jaleel rush to the left for no gain to the YSU36 (HALADAY, Cal). PENALTY MSU Offsides enforced 5 yards from the YSU36 to the YSU41 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.94

Demeatric Crenshaw pass complete to C.J. Charleston for 6 yds to the YngSt 47 for a 1ST down

3rd & 7Sack0 ydsPPA -0.84

Demeatric Crenshaw sacked by Jeff Pietrowski for 0 yards to the YngSt 45

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Paddy Lynch punt for 55 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.90

Demeatric Crenshaw run for 8 yds to the MchSt 45

2nd & 2Rush-5 ydsPPA -2.44

Jaleel McLaughlin run for a loss of 5 yards to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Rush+24 ydsPPA +2.02

Jordon Simmons run for 24 yds to the MchSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

SIMMONS, Jordon rush to the left for a gain of 11 yards to the YSU45 (DIXON, Grant). PENALTY MSU Holding on HORST, Jarrett enforced 10 yards from the MSU44 to the MSU34 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.96

Jordon Simmons run for 10 yds to the MchSt 44

2nd & 10Penalty-11 yds

MICHIGAN ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-11 Yards) to the MchSt 32

2nd & 21Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.16

Payton Thorne pass complete to Jalen Nailor for 7 yds to the MchSt 40

3rd & 14Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.23

Payton Thorne pass complete to Tre Mosley for 7 yds to the MchSt 47

4th & 7Blocked Punt0 yds

punt blocked by blocked by

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.03

Christian Turner run for no gain to the MchSt 46

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Samuel St. Surin run for 1 yd to the MchSt 45

3rd & 9Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.63

Christian Turner run for 16 yds to the MchSt 29 for a 1ST down MICHIGAN ST Penalty, Targeting on BRANTLEY, Charles ( Yards) declined for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -4.21

Demeatric Crenshaw pass intercepted return for no gain to the MchSt 2

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Jordon Simmons run for 5 yds to the MchSt 7

2nd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.29

Jordon Simmons run for 8 yds to the MchSt 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+85 ydsPPA +6.62

Payton Thorne pass complete to Jayden Reed for 85 yds for a TD (Matt Coghlin KICK)

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Demeatric Crenshaw pass incomplete

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Demeatric Crenshaw pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Paddy Lynch punt for 34 yds

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Demeatric Crenshaw run for 5 yds to the YngSt 18

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.15

Elijah Collins run for 9 yds to the YngSt 43

2nd & 1Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.12

Elijah Collins run for 16 yds to the YngSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.34

Elijah Collins run for 7 yds to the YngSt 20

2nd & 3Passing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +2.40

Payton Thorne pass complete to Elijah Collins for 20 yds for a TD (Matt Coghlin KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 1 yd to the YngSt 26

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 6 yds to the YngSt 32

3rd & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.32

Demeatric Crenshaw pass complete to C.J. Charleston for 4 yds to the YngSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Demeatric Crenshaw run for 1 yd to the YngSt 37

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Demeatric Crenshaw run for 6 yds to the YngSt 43

3rd & 3Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +2.97

Demeatric Crenshaw pass complete to Jaleel McLaughlin for 30 yds to the MchSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.49

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 8 yds to the MchSt 19

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.31

Demeatric Crenshaw run for 4 yds to the MchSt 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Christian Turner run for 6 yds to the MchSt 9

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.39

Demeatric Crenshaw run for no gain to the MchSt 9

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 3 yds to the MchSt 6

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.87

Demeatric Crenshaw run for 6 yds for a TD (Colten McFadden KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Jordon Simmons run for 8 yds to the MchSt 40

2nd & 2Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.22

Payton Thorne pass complete to Jalen Nailor for 5 yds to the MchSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.92

Jordon Simmons run for 12 yds to the YngSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jordon Simmons run for 5 yds to the YngSt 38

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Payton Thorne pass incomplete

3rd & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.43

Kenneth Walker III run for 9 yds to the YngSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.50

Payton Thorne pass complete to Maliq Carr for 8 yds to the YngSt 21

2nd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.73

Kenneth Walker III run for a loss of 1 yard to the YngSt 22

3rd & 3Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.50

Kenneth Walker III run for 12 yds to the YngSt 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Payton Thorne run for 4 yds to the YngSt 6

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.53

Kenneth Walker III run for 6 yds for a TD (Matt Coghlin KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 1 yd to the YngSt 26

0th & 9End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Demeatric Crenshaw run for 9 yds to the YngSt 34

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 2 yds to the YngSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Demeatric Crenshaw pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 5 yds to the YngSt 41

3rd & 5Penalty-10 yds

YOUNGSTOWN ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the YngSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Demeatric Crenshaw pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Demeatric Crenshaw pass complete to Samuel St. Surin for 6 yds to the MchSt 37

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.61

Demeatric Crenshaw run for 2 yds to the MchSt 35

4th & 2Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.89

Demeatric Crenshaw run for 9 yds to the MchSt 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+26 ydsPPA +2.72

Christian Turner run for 26 yds for a TD (Colten McFadden KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Jordon Simmons run for 8 yds to the MchSt 33

2nd & 2Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.07

Payton Thorne pass complete to Jayden Reed for 14 yds to the MchSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.90

Jordon Simmons run for 8 yds to the YngSt 45

2nd & 2Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.14

Payton Thorne pass complete to Tyler Hunt for 8 yds to the YngSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Payton Thorne pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.41

Jordon Simmons run for a loss of 2 yards to the YngSt 39

3rd & 12Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.50

Payton Thorne pass complete to Jayden Reed for 7 yds to the YngSt 32

4th & 5Field Goal Missed+50 yds

Matt Coghlin 50 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 3 yds to the YngSt 35

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Demeatric Crenshaw pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Demeatric Crenshaw pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt+30 yds

Nick DeSalvo punt for 40 yds , Jayden Reed returns for 30 yds to the YngSt 45

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

MICHIGAN ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the 50 yard line

1st & 15Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jordon Simmons run for 5 yds to the YngSt 45

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Payton Thorne pass incomplete

3rd & 10Penalty+15 yds

YOUNGSTOWN ST Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Zaire Jones) to the YngSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Payton Thorne run for 5 yds to the YngSt 23

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.12

Jordon Simmons run for 7 yds to the YngSt 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.57

Payton Thorne pass complete to Jalen Nailor for 16 yds for a TD (Matt Coghlin KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

London Pearson run for 2 yds to the YngSt 27

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Demeatric Crenshaw pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.77

Demeatric Crenshaw pass complete to Andrew Ogletree for 8 yds to the YngSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Demeatric Crenshaw pass complete to Christian Turner for 2 yds to the YngSt 37

2nd & 8Rush-7 ydsPPA -1.30

London Pearson run for a loss of 7 yards to the YngSt 30

3rd & 15Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.06

Demeatric Crenshaw pass complete to Jorge Portorreal for 6 yds to the YngSt 36

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Nick DeSalvo punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Jayden Reed at the MchSt 30

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Jordon Simmons run for 6 yds to the MchSt 36

2nd & 4Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.63

Anthony Russo pass complete to Montorie Foster for 16 yds to the YngSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Anthony Russo pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

MICHIGAN ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MchSt 47

2nd & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Jordon Simmons run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

Anthony Russo pass incomplete

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Bryce Baringer punt for 37 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Demeatric Crenshaw pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

London Pearson run for 4 yds to the YngSt 17

3rd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.05

Demeatric Crenshaw pass complete to C.J. Charleston for 8 yds to the YngSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Demeatric Crenshaw run for 5 yds to the YngSt 30

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Demeatric Crenshaw pass incomplete

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Demeatric Crenshaw run for 4 yds to the YngSt 34

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.65

Demeatric Crenshaw run for 2 yds to the YngSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Demeatric Crenshaw pass complete to Randy Smith for 6 yds to the YngSt 42

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -1.18

Christian Turner run for no gain to the YngSt 42

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Demeatric Crenshaw pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt+42 yds

Nick DeSalvo punt for 42 yds , Cade McDonald returns for a loss of 1 yard to the MchSt 15

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.96

Jordon Simmons run for 9 yds to the MchSt 24

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.12

Jordon Simmons run for 5 yds to the MchSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Anthony Russo pass complete to Terry Lockett Jr. for 6 yds to the MchSt 35

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Donovan Eaglin run for 2 yds to the MchSt 37

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Anthony Russo run for 1 yd to the MchSt 38

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.88

Anthony Russo run for 2 yds to the MchSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Anthony Russo pass complete to Ian Stewart for 8 yds to the MchSt 48

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.02

Donovan Eaglin run for 3 yds to the YngSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.79

Donovan Eaglin run for 14 yds to the YngSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Anthony Russo pass complete to Trenton Gillison for 5 yds to the YngSt 30

2nd & 5Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.29

Donovan Eaglin run for 11 yds to the YngSt 19 for a 1ST down

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Donovan Eaglin run for 1 yd to the YngSt 10

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.24

Donovan Eaglin run for 2 yds to the YngSt 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Anthony Russo pass complete to Terry Lockett Jr. for 8 yds to the YngSt 11

1st & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Anthony Russo run for 7 yds to the YngSt 1

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

London Pearson run for 5 yds to the YngSt 6

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

London Pearson run for 1 yd to the YngSt 7

3rd & 4Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.72

Joe Craycraft pass complete to Tre Radford for 12 yds to the YngSt 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Joe Craycraft pass complete to Luke Hensley for 7 yds to the YngSt 26

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.32

London Pearson run for 5 yds to the YngSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

London Pearson run for 2 yds to the YngSt 33

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Joe Craycraft pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.15

Joe Craycraft pass complete to Luke Hensley for 6 yds to the YngSt 39

4th & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +2.11

Joe Craycraft run for 3 yds to the YngSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Joe Craycraft pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.09

Joe Craycraft pass complete to Josh Burgett for 9 yds to the MchSt 49

3rd & 1Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.32

Joe Craycraft pass complete to Luke Hensley for 7 yds to the MchSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.55

Joe Craycraft pass complete to Luke Hensley for 15 yds to the MchSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Joe Craycraft pass incomplete

Situational Analysis

Youngstown State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
41%
29 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
14%
7 plays
50%
12 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
80%
5 plays
29%
7 plays
60%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
4 plays

Michigan State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
86%
29 plays
100%
2 plays
2nd
50%
10 plays
63%
8 plays
0%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play
67%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play