Skip to main content
← Back to GamesNov 27, 2021Week 13
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Ohio State by 5.2

Home Win Probability

Michigan 35%

Market (consensus)

Michigan +6.5

Edge: Michigan +6.5 (1.3 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 27, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Ohio StateOhio State
31001427
MichiganMichigan
77141442

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-07-314-1014-1321-1328-2035-2035-2742-27
MichiganOhio State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MICOSMICOSMICOSMICOSMICOSMICOSMICOSMICOSMICOSMICOSMICTD1075ydPUNT31ydTO224ydFG1264ydPUNT830ydTO632ydPUNT33ydTD456ydTD1382ydFG1262ydEND13ydPUNT36ydTD381ydPUNT515ydTD578ydTD1782ydTD966ydTD1375ydTD563ydDOWNS620ydEND2-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Ohio State and Michigan
StatisticOhio StateMichigan
Passing34-4914-20
Pass Yards394190
Rush Yards64297
Total Yards458487
Turnovers01
3rd Down8-185-8
Penalties10-662-20
Possession31:4828:12

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Ohio State
passing
C.J. Stroud
34/49, 394 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
TreVeyon Henderson
17 CAR, 74 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
11 REC, 127 YDS
defense
Michigan
passing
Cade McNamara
13/19, 159 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Hassan Haskins
28 CAR, 169 YDS, 5 TD
receiving
Roman Wilson
2 REC, 55 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Hassan Haskins run for 3 yds to the Mich 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Cade McNamara pass complete to Hassan Haskins for 5 yds to the Mich 33

3rd & 2Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.37

Hassan Haskins run for 16 yds to the Mich 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start (Erick All) to the Mich 44

1st & 15Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.80

Donovan Edwards run for 8 yds to the OhSt 48

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Cade McNamara pass complete to Luke Schoonmaker for 6 yds to the OhSt 42

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.78

Hassan Haskins run for 2 yds to the OhSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Cade McNamara pass incomplete to Luke Schoonmaker

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.84

Cade McNamara pass complete to A.J. Henning for 9 yds to the OhSt 31

3rd & 1Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.64

Hassan Haskins run for 17 yds to the OhSt 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.55

A.J. Henning run for 14 yds for a TD (Jake Moody KICK)

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+1 ydsPPA -0.23

C.J. Stroud run for 1 yd to the OhSt 5 C.J. Stroud fumbled, recovered by OhSt C.J. Stroud

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.14

C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Garrett Wilson

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.06

C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Garrett Wilson

4th & 9Punt+17 yds

Jesse Mirco punt for 51 yds , A.J. Henning returns for 17 yds to the OhSt 39

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +0.58

Cade McNamara pass complete to Roman Wilson for 24 yds to the OhSt 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return+20 ydsPPA -4.44

Cade McNamara pass intercepted Bryson Shaw return for 20 yds to the OhSt 22

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

TreVeyon Henderson run for 2 yds to the OhSt 24

2nd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.33

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 10 yds to the OhSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.38

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Chris Olave for 9 yds to the OhSt 43

2nd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

TreVeyon Henderson run for 1 yd to the OhSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.67

TreVeyon Henderson run for 7 yds to the Mich 49

2nd & 3Rush+28 ydsPPA +1.07

TreVeyon Henderson run for 28 yds to the Mich 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.63

Miyan Williams run for 9 yds to the Mich 12

2nd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.12

Miyan Williams run for 7 yds to the Mich 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Miyan Williams run for 2 yds to the Mich 3

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Chris Olave

3rd & 3Penalty-5 yds

OHIO ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Mich 8

3rd & 8Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.15

C.J. Stroud sacked by Aidan Hutchinson for a loss of 6 yards to the Mich 14

4th & 14Field Goal Good+31 yds

Noah Ruggles 31 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Hassan Haskins run for 3 yds to the Mich 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Cade McNamara pass complete to Andrel Anthony for 5 yds to the Mich 33

3rd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.64

Hassan Haskins run for 8 yds to the Mich 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Blake Corum run for 5 yds to the Mich 46

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.86

J.J. McCarthy run for 6 yds to the OhSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Blake Corum run for 3 yds to the OhSt 45

2nd & 7Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.11

Cade McNamara pass complete to Hassan Haskins for no gain to the OhSt 45

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Cade McNamara pass incomplete to Cornelius Johnson

4th & 7Punt+27 yds

Brad Robbins punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Jaxon Smith-Njigba at the OhSt 3 MICHIGAN Penalty, Kick Catching Interference (-15 Yards) to the OhSt 18

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

TreVeyon Henderson run for 3 yds to the OhSt 21

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

OHIO ST Penalty, False Start (Dawand Jones) to the OhSt 16

2nd & 12Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.25

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 8 yds to the OhSt 24

2nd & 7Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.66

C.J. Stroud pass complete to TreVeyon Henderson for 25 yds to the OhSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Miyan Williams run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Chris Olave, broken up by David Ojabo

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Jesse Mirco punt for 40 yds , A.J. Henning returns for no gain to the Mich 10 A.J. Henning fumbled, recovered by Mich A.J. Henning

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Hassan Haskins run for 2 yds to the Mich 12

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.19

Hassan Haskins run for 1 yd to the Mich 13

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Cade McNamara pass incomplete to Donovan Edwards

4th & 7Punt+5 yds

Brad Robbins punt for 48 yds , Jaxon Smith-Njigba returns for 5 yds to the OhSt 44

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.83

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Garrett Wilson for 10 yds to the Mich 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.49

TreVeyon Henderson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mich 48

2nd & 12Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.33

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 23 yds to the Mich 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +2.70

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Garrett Wilson for 25 yds for a TD (Noah Ruggles KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Cade McNamara pass incomplete to Hassan Haskins, broken up by Zach Harrison

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.23

Cade McNamara pass complete to Erick All for 7 yds to the Mich 25

3rd & 3Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.62

Cade McNamara pass complete to Cornelius Johnson for 11 yds to the Mich 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Hassan Haskins run for 6 yds to the Mich 42

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.74

Hassan Haskins run for 6 yds to the Mich 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Cade McNamara pass incomplete to Erick All

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.10

Cade McNamara pass complete to Luke Schoonmaker for 9 yds to the OhSt 43

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.19

Hassan Haskins run for no gain to the OhSt 43

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +2.00

Hassan Haskins run for 2 yds to the OhSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Blake Corum run for 2 yds to the OhSt 39

2nd & 8Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +2.50

Cade McNamara pass complete to Cornelius Johnson for 37 yds to the OhSt 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Hassan Haskins run for 1 yd to the OhSt 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Hassan Haskins run for 1 yd for a TD (Jake Moody KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.22

C.J. Stroud pass complete to TreVeyon Henderson for 14 yds to the OhSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

TreVeyon Henderson run for 3 yds to the OhSt 42

2nd & 7Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.61

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Chris Olave for 2 yds to the OhSt 44

3rd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.21

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 8 yds to the Mich 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.04

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Garrett Wilson for 9 yds to the Mich 39

2nd & 1Penalty-5 yds

OHIO ST Penalty, False Start (Thayer Munford) to the Mich 44

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Garrett Wilson, broken up by DJ Turner

3rd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.95

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Chris Olave for 9 yds to the Mich 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.35

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 15 yds to the Mich 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Garrett Wilson

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

TreVeyon Henderson run for 3 yds to the Mich 17

3rd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 4 yds to the Mich 13

4th & 3Field Goal Good+30 yds

Noah Ruggles 30 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Hassan Haskins run for 3 yds to the Mich 25

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

TreVeyon Henderson run for 5 yds to the OhSt 30

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

TreVeyon Henderson run for 3 yds to the OhSt 33

3rd & 2Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.75

TreVeyon Henderson run for a loss of 2 yards to the OhSt 31

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Jesse Mirco punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Mich 19

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.92

Blake Corum run for 13 yds to the Mich 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+55 ydsPPA +2.98

Blake Corum run for 55 yds to the OhSt 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.54

Hassan Haskins run for 13 yds for a TD (Jake Moody KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Stroud, C.J. pass complete to Ruckert, Jeremy for 6 yards to the OHIOST31, PENALTY OHIOST holding (Petit-Frere, Nicholas) 10 yards to the OHIOST15, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.49

TreVeyon Henderson run for 11 yds to the OhSt 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.10

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Garrett Wilson for 16 yds to the OhSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Garrett Wilson for 5 yds to the OhSt 47

2nd & 5Penalty-5 yds

OHIO ST Penalty, False Start (Nicholas Petit-Frere) to the OhSt 42

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.68

TreVeyon Henderson run for 1 yd to the OhSt 43

3rd & 9Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.72

C.J. Stroud sacked by Aidan Hutchinson for a loss of 3 yards to the OhSt 40

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Jesse Mirco punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Mich 22

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Cade McNamara pass complete to Donovan Edwards for 6 yds to the Mich 28

2nd & 4Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +2.72

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Roman Wilson for 31 yds to the OhSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +1.04

Cade McNamara pass complete to Mike Sainristil for 34 yds to the OhSt 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

J.J. McCarthy run for 6 yds to the OhSt 1

2nd & 1Penalty0 yds

OHIO ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Cameron Brown) to the OhSt 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Hassan Haskins run for 1 yd for a TD (Jake Moody KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.80

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Chris Olave for 12 yds to the OhSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Chris Olave

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.39

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 7 yds to the OhSt 37

3rd & 3Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.16

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 11 yds to the OhSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.36

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Miyan Williams for 6 yds to the Mich 46

2nd & 4Penalty-5 yds

OHIO ST Penalty, False Start (Dawand Jones) to the OhSt 49

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Miyan Williams run for 4 yds to the Mich 47

3rd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.98

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Garrett Wilson for 9 yds to the Mich 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.83

C.J. Stroud sacked by Aidan Hutchinson for a loss of 5 yards to the Mich 43

2nd & 15Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.62

Miyan Williams run for a loss of 4 yards to the Mich 47

3rd & 19Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +3.91

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 26 yds to the Mich 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Chris Olave for 5 yds to the Mich 16

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Miyan Williams

3rd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.38

Miyan Williams run for 1 yd to the Mich 15

4th & 4Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.47

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 10 yds to the Mich 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Jeremy Ruckert

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

TreVeyon Henderson run for 4 yds to the Mich 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

TreVeyon Henderson run for 1 yd for a TD (Noah Ruggles KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.99

Hassan Haskins run for no gain to the Mich 34

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.94

Cade McNamara run for 9 yds to the Mich 43

3rd & 1Penalty+6 yds

OHIO ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (Steele Chambers) to the Mich 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.86

Hassan Haskins run for 8 yds to the OhSt 43

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.01

Hassan Haskins run for 6 yds to the OhSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Cade McNamara pass complete to Donovan Edwards for 6 yds to the OhSt 31

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.41

Hassan Haskins run for 2 yds to the OhSt 29

3rd & 2Penalty+15 yds

McNamara, Cade pass incomplete to Wilson, Roman, PENALTY OHIOST pass interference (Burke, Denzel) 15 yards to the OHIOST14, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MICHIGAN.

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Blake Corum run for 9 yds to the OhSt 5

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.72

Hassan Haskins run for 3 yds to the OhSt 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Hassan Haskins run for 2 yds for a TD (Jake Moody KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.89

C.J. Stroud pass complete to TreVeyon Henderson for a loss of 2 yards to the OhSt 23

2nd & 12Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +3.87

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Chris Olave for 39 yds to the Mich 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

TreVeyon Henderson run for 4 yds to the Mich 34

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 5 yds to the Mich 29

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.35

TreVeyon Henderson run for 2 yds to the Mich 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Chris Olave

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-4 ydsPPA -1.44

C.J. Stroud run for a loss of 4 yards to the Mich 31 C.J. Stroud fumbled, recovered by OhSt C.J. Stroud

3rd & 14Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.45

C.J. Stroud pass complete to TreVeyon Henderson for 7 yds to the Mich 24

4th & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.66

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Garrett Wilson for 9 yds to the Mich 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Garrett Wilson

2nd & 10Penalty-10 yds

OHIO ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Nicholas Petit-Frere) to the Mich 25

2nd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Garrett Wilson

3rd & 20Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.57

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Garrett Wilson for 15 yds to the Mich 10

4th & 5Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +3.21

C.J. Stroud pass complete to TreVeyon Henderson for 10 yds for a TD (Noah Ruggles KICK)

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.36

Hassan Haskins run for 15 yds to the OhSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Hassan Haskins run for 6 yds to the OhSt 42

2nd & 4Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.52

Hassan Haskins run for 11 yds to the OhSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+27 ydsPPA +1.15

Hassan Haskins run for 27 yds to the OhSt 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Hassan Haskins run for 4 yds for a TD (Jake Moody KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Chris Olave

2nd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.12

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Garrett Wilson for 16 yds to the OhSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Garrett Wilson for 5 yds to the OhSt 46

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.18

C.J. Stroud pass incomplete

3rd & 5Sack-13 ydsPPA -1.58

C.J. Stroud sacked by David Ojabo for a loss of 13 yards to the OhSt 33

4th & 18Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.31

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Chris Olave for 12 yds to the OhSt 45

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.23

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 46

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.24

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 47

Situational Analysis

Ohio State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
50%
28 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
50%
4 plays
17%
6 plays
42%
12 plays
60%
5 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
60%
5 plays
0%
5 plays
100%
3 plays
4th
100%
2 plays
100%
1 play
100%
1 play

Michigan

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
67%
3 plays
100%
1 play
57%
28 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
100%
3 plays
80%
5 plays
80%
10 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
83%
6 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play