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← Back to GamesOct 9, 2021Week 6
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Michigan by 1.3

Home Win Probability

Nebraska 42%

Market (consensus)

Nebraska +2.5

Edge: Nebraska +2.5 (1.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 9, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
MichiganMichigan
01361332
NebraskaNebraska
0022729

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-30-67-137-1922-2629-2629-2929-32
NebraskaMichigan

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MICNEBMICNEBMICNEBMICNEBMICNEBMICNEBNEBMICNEBMICNEBMICNEBMICNEBMICNEBMICNEBMICPUNT35ydDOWNS978ydPUNT622ydPUNT515ydPUNT723ydTO510ydFG618ydPUNT37ydFG1187ydPUNT519ydTD1176ydEND14ydTD675ydPUNT39ydTO423ydTD1091ydTD575ydTO30ydTD113ydTD1075ydTD875ydFG969ydTO39ydFG4-3ydDOWNS525ydEND2-21yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Michigan and Nebraska
StatisticMichiganNebraska
Passing22-3918-28
Pass Yards255291
Rush Yards204140
Total Yards459431
Turnovers12
3rd Down6-153-11
Penalties6-556-47
Possession34:2425:36

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Michigan
passing
Cade McNamara
22/38, 255 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Hassan Haskins
21 CAR, 123 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Daylen Baldwin
6 REC, 64 YDS
defense
Josh Ross
0.5 TFL
Nebraska
passing
Adrian Martinez
18/28, 291 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Rahmir Johnson
17 CAR, 67 YDS
receiving
Rahmir Johnson
6 REC, 105 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Cade McNamara pass complete to Daylen Baldwin for 4 yds to the Mich 24

2nd & 6Penalty-5 yds

MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Mich 19

2nd & 11Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Hassan Haskins run for 6 yds to the Mich 25

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Cade McNamara pass incomplete to Mike Sainristil

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Brad Robbins punt for 57 yds, fair catch by Oliver Martin at the Neb 18

1st & 10Pass Reception+43 ydsPPA +3.35

Adrian Martinez pass complete to Rahmir Johnson for 43 yds to the Mich 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Rahmir Johnson run for 4 yds to the Mich 35

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.87

Rahmir Johnson run for no gain to the Mich 35

3rd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Rahmir Johnson run for no gain to the Mich 35

4th & 6Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.61

Adrian Martinez pass complete to Omar Manning for 24 yds to the Mich 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Rahmir Johnson run for 2 yds to the Mich 9

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.13

Adrian Martinez run for 6 yds to the Mich 3

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.31

Adrian Martinez run for no gain to the Mich 3

4th & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -4.13

Adrian Martinez run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mich 4

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Hassan Haskins run for 4 yds to the Mich 8

2nd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.35

Cade McNamara pass complete to Daylen Baldwin for 7 yds to the Mich 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.61

J.J. McCarthy run for 11 yds to the Mich 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Cade McNamara pass incomplete to Cornelius Johnson

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Cade McNamara pass incomplete to Erick All

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Cade McNamara pass incomplete to Cornelius Johnson

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Brad Robbins punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Oliver Martin at the Neb 35

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Jaquez Yant run for 3 yds to the Neb 38

2nd & 7Penalty+10 yds

Martinez, Adrian pass incomplete to Toure, Samori, PENALTY MICHIGAN holding (Gray, Vincent) 10 yards to the NEBRASKA48, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NEBRASKA.

1st & 10Rush-9 ydsPPA -2.72

Levi Falck run for 6 yds to the NEBRASKA 46 NEBRASKA Penalty, Personal Foul (Cameron Jurgens) to the Neb 39

1st & 19Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Rahmir Johnson run for 4 yds to the Neb 43

2nd & 15Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Adrian Martinez pass complete to Rahmir Johnson for 7 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Levi Falck

4th & 8Punt0 yds

William Przystup punt for 50 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Blake Corum run for 5 yds to the Mich 25

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.61

Blake Corum run for no gain to the Mich 25

3rd & 5Penalty-5 yds

MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start (Trevor Keegan) to the Mich 20

3rd & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.84

Cade McNamara pass complete to Luke Schoonmaker for 24 yds to the Mich 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.83

Cade McNamara pass complete to Joel Honigford for 10 yds to the Neb 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Hassan Haskins run for 2 yds to the Neb 44

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Cade McNamara pass incomplete to Daylen Baldwin

3rd & 8Sack-13 ydsPPA -2.05

Cade McNamara sacked by Ty Robinson for a loss of 13 yards to the Mich 43

4th & 21Punt0 yds

Brad Robbins punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Oliver Martin at the Neb 6

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Rahmir Johnson run for 3 yds to the Neb 9

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.19

Rahmir Johnson run for 1 yd to the Neb 10

3rd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.77

Adrian Martinez pass complete to Oliver Martin for 9 yds to the Neb 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Jaquez Yant run for 2 yds to the Neb 21

2nd & 8Penalty-5 yds

Martinez, Adrian pass complete to Yant, Jaquez for 12 yards to the NEBRASKA33, PENALTY NEBRASKA illegal formation 5 yards to the NEBRASKA16, NO PLAY.

2nd & 13Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA +0.15

Adrian Martinez pass intercepted Daxton Hill return for no gain to the Neb 35

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Hassan Haskins run for 5 yds to the Neb 30

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Hassan Haskins run for 6 yds to the Neb 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Hassan Haskins run for 3 yds to the Neb 21

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Blake Corum run for 3 yds to the Neb 18

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Hassan Haskins run for 1 yd to the Neb 17

4th & 3Field Goal Good+35 yds

Jake Moody 35 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Rahmir Johnson run for 3 yds to the Neb 28

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Rahmir Johnson run for 4 yds to the Neb 32

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Rahmir Johnson

4th & 3Punt-5 yds

William Przystup punt for 53 yds , A.J. Henning returns for a loss of 5 yards to the Mich 10

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.83

Cade McNamara pass complete to Blake Corum for 9 yds to the Mich 19

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.18

Blake Corum run for 5 yds to the Mich 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Cade McNamara pass complete to Cornelius Johnson for 5 yds to the Mich 29

2nd & 5Penalty+5 yds

NEBRASKA Penalty, Delay of Game (5 Yards) to the Mich 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Hassan Haskins run for 3 yds to the Mich 37

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Cade McNamara pass complete to Cornelius Johnson for 6 yds to the Mich 43

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.20

Hassan Haskins run for 3 yds to the Mich 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+48 ydsPPA +2.13

Cade McNamara pass complete to Mike Sainristil for 48 yds to the Neb 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Cade McNamara pass incomplete to Daylen Baldwin

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Hassan Haskins run for 5 yds to the Neb 1

3rd & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.46

Cade McNamara run for a loss of 2 yards to the Neb 3

4th & 3Field Goal Good+21 yds

Jake Moody 21 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Adrian Martinez pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

Martinez, Adrian pass incomplete to Martin, Oliver, PENALTY MICHIGAN pass interference (Turner, DJ) 15 yards to the NEBRASKA40, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NEBRASKA.

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.99

Adrian Martinez pass complete to Levi Falck for 11 yds to the Mich 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Oliver Martin

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Oliver Martin

3rd & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.94

Adrian Martinez sacked by David Ojabo for a loss of 2 yards to the Neb 49

4th & 12Penalty-5 yds

NEBRASKA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Neb 44

4th & 17Punt0 yds

William Przystup punt for 32 yds, fair catch by A.J. Henning at the Mich 24

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Cade McNamara pass incomplete to Daylen Baldwin

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.77

Cade McNamara pass complete to Blake Corum for 13 yds to the Mich 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Cade McNamara pass complete to Cornelius Johnson for 4 yds to the Mich 41

2nd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.12

Cade McNamara pass complete to Blake Corum for 6 yds to the Mich 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.63

Cade McNamara pass complete to Blake Corum for 7 yds to the Neb 46

2nd & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.22

Cade McNamara pass complete to Daylen Baldwin for 5 yds to the Neb 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Cade McNamara pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Cade McNamara pass incomplete to Cornelius Johnson

3rd & 10Rush+26 ydsPPA +2.60

Blake Corum run for 26 yds to the Neb 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Cade McNamara pass incomplete to Daylen Baldwin

2nd & 10Penalty+12 yds

McNamara, Cade pass incomplete to Henning, A.J., PENALTY NEBRASKA pass interference (Domann, JoJo) 12 yards to the NEBRASKA3, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MICHIGAN.

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Hassan Haskins 3 Yd Run (Jake Moody Kick)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Rahmir Johnson run for 4 yds to the Neb 29

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Austin Allen

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.54

Adrian Martinez pass complete to Rahmir Johnson for 10 yds to the Neb 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Rahmir Johnson run for 3 yds to the Neb 38

2nd & 7Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -1.29

Adrian Martinez pass complete to Omar Manning for a loss of 4 yards to the Neb 34

3rd & 11Rush+20 ydsPPA +3.40

Adrian Martinez run for 20 yds to the Mich 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+46 ydsPPA +3.54

Austin Allen 46 Yd pass from Adrian Martinez (Connor Culp Kick)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Hassan Haskins run for 2 yds to the Mich 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Cade McNamara pass complete to Luke Schoonmaker for 5 yds to the Mich 32

3rd & 3Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Cade McNamara pass complete to Blake Corum for 2 yds to the Mich 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Brad Robbins punt for 56 yds, downed at the Neb 10

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.65

Adrian Martinez pass complete to Samori Toure for 14 yds to the Neb 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.89

Jaquez Yant run for 8 yds to the Neb 32

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Jaquez Yant run for 1 yd to the Neb 33

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.67

Rahmir Johnson run for no gain to the Neb 33

4th & 1Punt-3 yds

William Przystup punt for 55 yds , A.J. Henning returns for a loss of 3 yards to the Mich 9 A.J. Henning fumbled, recovered by Mich A.J. Henning

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Cade McNamara pass incomplete to Hassan Haskins

2nd & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.55

Cade McNamara pass complete to Cornelius Johnson for 22 yds to the Mich 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Blake Corum run for 5 yds to the Mich 36

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Donovan Edwards run for 3 yds to the Mich 39

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.33

Hassan Haskins run for 3 yds to the Mich 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Cade McNamara pass complete to Daylen Baldwin for 3 yds to the Mich 45

2nd & 7Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.31

Hassan Haskins run for 7 yds to the Neb 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.59

Cade McNamara pass complete to Daylen Baldwin for 10 yds to the Neb 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +1.63

Cade McNamara pass complete to Daylen Baldwin for 35 yds to the Neb 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Hassan Haskins 3 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Adrian Martinez pass complete to Rahmir Johnson for 4 yds to the Neb 29

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.04

Adrian Martinez run for 7 yds to the Neb 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.46

Samori Toure run for 16 yds to the Mich 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.56

Rahmir Johnson run for 7 yds to the Mich 41

2nd & 3Passing Touchdown+41 ydsPPA +3.13

Rahmir Johnson 41 Yd pass from Adrian Martinez (Connor Culp Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete to Daylen Baldwin

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Cade McNamara pass incomplete to Daylen Baldwin

3rd & 10Pass Interception Return+20 ydsPPA +0.21

Cade McNamara pass intercepted Deontai Williams return for 20 yds to the Mich 13

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.54

Levi Falck 13 Yd pass from Adrian Martinez (Adrian Martinez Run for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Blake Corum run for 7 yds to the Mich 32

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.23

Blake Corum run for 3 yds to the Mich 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Blake Corum run for 2 yds to the Mich 37

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Cade McNamara pass incomplete to Daylen Baldwin

3rd & 8Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.88

Cade McNamara pass complete to Erick All for 14 yds to the Neb 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

NEBRASKA Penalty, Defensive Offside (Damion Daniels) to the Neb 44

1st & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Hassan Haskins run for 3 yds to the Neb 41

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Hassan Haskins run for 2 yds to the Neb 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Cade McNamara pass complete to Mike Sainristil for 4 yds to the Neb 35

2nd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.44

J.J. McCarthy run for 6 yds to the Neb 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+29 ydsPPA +2.79

Blake Corum 29 Yd Run (Jake Moody Kick)

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Zavier Betts run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 24 Zavier Betts fumbled, recovered by Neb Zavier Betts

2nd & 11Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +3.34

Adrian Martinez pass complete to Oliver Martin for 30 yds to the Mich 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.49

Adrian Martinez pass complete to Samori Toure for a loss of 2 yards to the Mich 48

2nd & 12Rush+24 ydsPPA +2.35

Rahmir Johnson run for 24 yds to the Mich 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.16

Adrian Martinez pass complete to Austin Allen for 13 yds to the Mich 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Rahmir Johnson run for 4 yds to the Mich 7

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Rahmir Johnson run for 2 yds to the Mich 5

3rd & 4Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.71

Adrian Martinez 5 Yd Run (Connor Culp Kick)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Hassan Haskins run for 7 yds to the Mich 25

2nd & 3Rush+50 ydsPPA +3.29

Hassan Haskins run for 50 yds to the Neb 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Blake Corum run for 1 yd to the Neb 24

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Cade McNamara pass incomplete to Cornelius Johnson

3rd & 9Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.08

Cade McNamara pass complete to Erick All for 12 yds to the Neb 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Blake Corum run for 3 yds to the Neb 9

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Hassan Haskins run for 1 yd to the Neb 8

3rd & 6Penalty-5 yds

MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Neb 13

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Cade McNamara pass incomplete to Daylen Baldwin

4th & 11Field Goal Good+31 yds

Jake Moody 31 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Adrian Martinez pass complete to Levi Falck for 7 yds to the Neb 32

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Rahmir Johnson run for 2 yds to the Neb 34

3rd & 1Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+3 ydsPPA -0.90

Adrian Martinez run for 3 yds to the Neb 18 Adrian Martinez fumbled, forced by Brad Hawkins, recovered by Mich Brad Hawkins , return for 19 yds to the Neb 18

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Hassan Haskins run for 4 yds to the Neb 14

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.37

Blake Corum run for no gain to the Neb 14

3rd & 6Rush-7 ydsPPA -1.62

J.J. McCarthy run for a loss of 7 yards to the Neb 21

4th & 13Field Goal Good+39 yds

Jake Moody 39 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.24

Adrian Martinez pass complete to Samori Toure for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Adrian Martinez pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Levi Falck

3rd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.71

Adrian Martinez pass complete to Rahmir Johnson for no gain to the 50 yard line

4th & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Samori Toure

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

MICHIGAN Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Daxton Hill) to the Mich 35

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.32

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mich 33

2nd & 12Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.65

TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the Mich 29

Situational Analysis

Michigan

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
41%
34 plays
2nd
60%
5 plays
63%
8 plays
38%
13 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
0%
3 plays
71%
7 plays
0%
1 play
4th

Nebraska

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
39%
28 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
33%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
29%
7 plays
100%
4 plays
3rd
0%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
0%
3 plays
100%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play
100%
1 play
0%
1 play