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← Back to GamesSep 25, 2021Week 4

House Prediction

Model Margin

Iowa by 25.7

Home Win Probability

Iowa 93%

Market (consensus)

Iowa -23.5

Edge: Iowa -23.5 (2.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 25, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Colorado StateColorado State
0140014
IowaIowa
0714324

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-07-77-1421-1424-14
IowaColorado State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20CSIOWCSCSIOWCSIOWCSIOWCSIOWCSIOWIOWCSIOWCSIOWCSIOWCSIOWCSIOWCSIOWCSIOWCSIOWPUNT39ydPUNT617ydPUNT70ydDOWNS38ydPUNT412ydPUNT931ydTD587ydPUNT621ydPUNT36ydTD935ydTO559ydTD423ydEND1-2ydPUNT429ydPUNT36ydPUNT3-5ydTO3-13ydTD16ydPUNT32ydTD341ydDOWNS48ydPUNT37ydPUNT619ydFG721ydPUNT613ydPUNT611ydDOWNS834ydPUNT3-3ydDOWNS4-10ydEND22yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Colorado State and Iowa
StatisticColorado StateIowa
Passing16-3015-23
Pass Yards155224
Rush Yards9554
Total Yards250278
Turnovers11
3rd Down11-234-13
Penalties7-542-20
Possession31:1828:42

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Colorado State
passing
Todd Centeio
16/30, 155 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
A'Jon Vivens
17 CAR, 45 YDS
receiving
Trey McBride
6 REC, 59 YDS
defense
Iowa
passing
Spencer Petras
15/23, 224 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Tyler Goodson
18 CAR, 57 YDS
receiving
Keagan Johnson
2 REC, 92 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Todd Centeio pass incomplete to Cameron Butler

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

David Bailey run for 2 yds to the ColSt 34

3rd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.29

Todd Centeio pass complete to Trey McBride for 7 yds to the ColSt 41

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Ryan Stonehouse punt for 59 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.11

Spencer Petras pass complete to Charlie Jones for 9 yds to the Iowa 29

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.12

Tyler Goodson run for no gain to the Iowa 29

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.96

Spencer Petras run for 4 yds to the Iowa 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Tyler Goodson run for 2 yds to the Iowa 35

2nd & 8Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.97

Spencer Petras sacked by Scott Patchan for a loss of 3 yards to the Iowa 32

3rd & 11Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Tyler Goodson run for 5 yds to the Iowa 37

4th & 6Punt+4 yds

Tory Taylor punt for 41 yds , Thomas Pannunzio returns for 4 yds to the ColSt 26

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.61

A'Jon Vivens run for 1 yd to the ColSt 27

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

A'Jon Vivens run for 5 yds to the ColSt 32

3rd & 4Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.91

Todd Centeio run for 9 yds to the ColSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Todd Centeio pass incomplete to Ty McCullouch

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

A'Jon Vivens run for 3 yds to the ColSt 44

3rd & 7Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.99

Todd Centeio pass complete to E.J. Scott for 17 yds to the Iowa 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Todd Centeio pass incomplete to Trey McBride

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.45

Marcus McElroy Jr. run for 7 yds to the Iowa 32

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.74

Marcus McElroy Jr. run for 1 yd to the Iowa 31

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.76

Todd Centeio pass incomplete to Justice McCoy

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.14

Tyler Goodson run for 12 yds to the Iowa 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Tyler Goodson run for no gain to the Iowa 43

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Arland Bruce IV

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Sam LaPorta

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Tory Taylor punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Thomas Pannunzio at the ColSt 10

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

A'Jon Vivens run for no gain to the ColSt 10

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Marcus McElroy Jr. run for 4 yds to the ColSt 14

3rd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.95

Todd Centeio pass complete to Trey McBride for 9 yds to the ColSt 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

A'Jon Vivens run for 4 yds to the ColSt 27

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Todd Centeio run for 5 yds to the ColSt 32

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.89

Todd Centeio run for 2 yds to the ColSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Todd Centeio pass complete to A'Jon Vivens for 3 yds to the ColSt 37

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Jaylen Thomas run for 4 yds to the ColSt 41

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Todd Centeio pass incomplete to Jordan Kress

4th & 3Punt+7 yds

Ryan Stonehouse punt for 53 yds , Charlie Jones returns for 7 yds to the Iowa 13

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Spencer Petras pass complete to Nico Ragaini for 4 yds to the Iowa 17

2nd & 6Rush+27 ydsPPA +2.38

Tyler Goodson run for 27 yds to the Iowa 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.02

Arland Bruce IV run for 13 yds to the ColSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.94

Tyler Goodson run for no gain to the ColSt 43

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+43 ydsPPA +4.29

Spencer Petras pass complete to Keagan Johnson for 43 yds for a TD, (Caleb Shudak KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

A'Jon Vivens run for 4 yds to the ColSt 29

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.54

A'Jon Vivens run for 1 yd to the ColSt 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.81

Todd Centeio pass complete to Ty McCullouch for 19 yds to the ColSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.50

Todd Centeio sacked by Logan Lee for a loss of 7 yards to the ColSt 42

2nd & 17Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Todd Centeio run for 3 yds to the ColSt 45

3rd & 14Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.16

Todd Centeio pass complete to Jaylen Thomas for 6 yds to the Iowa 49

4th & 8Penalty-5 yds

COLORADO ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ColSt 46

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Ryan Stonehouse punt for 47 yds, downed at the Iowa 7

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.31

Ivory Kelly-Martin run for no gain to the Iowa 7

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.09

Spencer Petras pass complete to Tyrone Tracy Jr. for 2 yds to the Iowa 9

3rd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Monte Pottebaum run for 4 yds to the Iowa 13

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Tory Taylor punt for 22 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Iowa 35

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.25

Thomas Pannunzio run for a loss of 3 yards to the Iowa 38

2nd & 13Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Todd Centeio run for 2 yds to the Iowa 36

3rd & 11Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.16

Todd Centeio run for 15 yds to the Iowa 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.68

Thomas Pannunzio run for a loss of 3 yards to the Iowa 24

2nd & 13Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

A'Jon Vivens run for 2 yds to the Iowa 22

3rd & 11Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.13

Todd Centeio pass complete to Trey McBride for 11 yds to the Iowa 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

A'Jon Vivens run for 2 yds to the Iowa 9

2nd & 8Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.35

Todd Centeio pass complete to Gary Williams for a loss of 1 yard to the Iowa 10

3rd & 9Rushing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +3.03

Todd Centeio run for 10 yds for a TD, (Cayden Camper KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+49 ydsPPA +3.25

Spencer Petras pass complete to Keagan Johnson for 49 yds to the ColSt 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.05

Tyler Goodson run for a loss of 5 yards to the ColSt 29

2nd & 15Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 4 yds to the ColSt 25

3rd & 11Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.30

Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 11 yds to the ColSt 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return+62 ydsPPA -4.45

Spencer Petras pass intercepted Robert Floyd return for 62 yds to the Iowa 23

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

A'Jon Vivens run for 5 yds to the Iowa 18

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

A'Jon Vivens run for 4 yds to the Iowa 14

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

COLORADO ST Penalty, False Start (Barry Wesley) to the Iowa 19

3rd & 6Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.68

Todd Centeio pass complete to Trey McBride for 16 yds to the Iowa 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Todd Centeio pass complete to Gary Williams for 3 yds for a TD, (Cayden Camper KICK)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Iowa 23

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.98

Spencer Petras pass complete to Tyler Goodson for 22 yds to the Iowa 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.38

Tyler Goodson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Iowa 46

2nd & 11Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Spencer Petras pass complete to Tyler Goodson for 5 yds to the ColSt 49

3rd & 6Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 3 yds to the ColSt 46

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Tory Taylor punt for 31 yds, downed at the ColSt 15

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

A'Jon Vivens run for 4 yds to the ColSt 19

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Todd Centeio run for 2 yds to the ColSt 21

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Todd Centeio pass incomplete to Trey McBride

4th & 4Punt+4 yds

Ryan Stonehouse punt for 43 yds , Charlie Jones returns for 4 yds to the Iowa 40

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Tyler Goodson run for 3 yds to the Iowa 43

2nd & 7Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.88

Spencer Petras sacked by Dequan Jackson for a loss of 8 yards to the Iowa 35

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Luke Lachey

4th & 15Punt+2 yds

Tory Taylor punt for 48 yds , Thomas Pannunzio returns for 2 yds to the ColSt 19

1st & 10Rush-9 ydsPPA -0.88

Todd Centeio run for 1 yd to the ColSt 20 COLORADO ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the ColSt 10

1st & 19Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.16

Todd Centeio run for a loss of 4 yards to the ColSt 6

2nd & 23Fumble Recovery (Opponent)0 ydsPPA +0.37

A'Jon Vivens run for no gain to the ColSt 6 A'Jon Vivens fumbled, recovered by Iowa Jack Campbell

1st & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 6 yds for a TD, (Caleb Shudak KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

A'Jon Vivens run for 2 yds to the ColSt 23

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Todd Centeio pass incomplete to Ty McCullouch

3rd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.18

Todd Centeio run for no gain to the ColSt 23

4th & 8Punt+38 yds

Ryan Stonehouse punt for 56 yds , Charlie Jones returns for 38 yds to the ColSt 41

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Sam LaPorta

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.26

Tyler Goodson run for a loss of 1 yard to the ColSt 42

3rd & 11Penalty+15 yds

COLORADO ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the ColSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+27 ydsPPA +2.74

Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 27 yds for a TD, (Caleb Shudak KICK)

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

COLORADO ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct ( Yards) to the ColSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.59

E.J. Scott run for 7 yds to the Iowa 43

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

A'Jon Vivens run for 2 yds to the Iowa 41

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.17

Todd Centeio run for no gain to the Iowa 41

4th & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.95

Jaylen Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the Iowa 42

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 4 yds to the Iowa 46

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Tyler Goodson run for 3 yds to the Iowa 49

3rd & 3Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.02

Spencer Petras pass complete to Tyler Goodson for no gain to the Iowa 49

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Tory Taylor punt for 50 yds, downed at the ColSt 1

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.24

Marcus McElroy Jr. run for no gain to the ColSt 1

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.07

Jaylen Thomas run for 6 yds to the ColSt 7

3rd & 4Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.89

Todd Centeio pass complete to Trey McBride for 15 yds to the ColSt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.92

Todd Centeio sacked by Lukas Van Ness for a loss of 5 yards to the ColSt 17

2nd & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.08

Jaylen Thomas run for 2 yds to the ColSt 19

3rd & 13Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.07

Todd Centeio pass complete to Trey McBride for 1 yd to the ColSt 20

4th & 12Punt+17 yds

Ryan Stonehouse punt for 45 yds , Charlie Jones returns for 17 yds to the ColSt 48

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Spencer Petras pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.05

Ivory Kelly-Martin run for no gain to the ColSt 48

3rd & 10Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +3.26

Spencer Petras pass complete to Nico Ragaini for 34 yds to the ColSt 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-13 ydsPPA -1.78

Charlie Jones run for a loss of 13 yards to the ColSt 27 Charlie Jones fumbled, recovered by Iowa

2nd & 23Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Spencer Petras pass incomplete

3rd & 23Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Spencer Petras pass incomplete

4th & 23Field Goal Good+45 yds

Caleb Shudak 45 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

A'Jon Vivens run for 2 yds to the ColSt 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.54

Todd Centeio pass complete to Ty McCullouch for a loss of 1 yard to the ColSt 26

3rd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.93

Todd Centeio pass complete to Scott Patchan for 10 yds to the ColSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Todd Centeio run for 1 yd to the ColSt 37

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Jaylen Thomas run for 1 yd to the ColSt 38

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Todd Centeio pass incomplete to Trey McBride

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Ryan Stonehouse punt for 55 yds, downed at the Iowa 7

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Tyler Goodson run for 2 yds to the Iowa 9

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.13

Tyler Goodson run for 2 yds to the Iowa 11

3rd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Spencer Petras pass complete to Tyler Goodson for 7 yds to the Iowa 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.85

Spencer Petras sacked by Devin Phillips for a loss of 10 yards to the Iowa 8

2nd & 20Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.02

Tyler Goodson run for 6 yds to the Iowa 14

3rd & 14Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Spencer Petras pass complete to Monte Pottebaum for 4 yds to the Iowa 18

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Tory Taylor punt for 48 yds , Thomas Pannunzio returns for no gain to the ColSt 18 COLORADO ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the ColSt 24

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Todd Centeio pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

A'Jon Vivens run for 4 yds to the ColSt 28

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Todd Centeio pass incomplete

4th & 6Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +4.08

Todd Centeio pass complete to E.J. Scott for 34 yds to the Iowa 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Todd Centeio pass incomplete to Scott Patchan

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Jaylen Thomas run for 4 yds to the Iowa 34

3rd & 6Penalty-5 yds

COLORADO ST Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (-5 Yards) to the Iowa 39

3rd & 11Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.43

Todd Centeio sacked by John Waggoner for a loss of 3 yards to the Iowa 42

4th & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Todd Centeio pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.15

Tyler Goodson run for no gain to the Iowa 42

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Tyler Goodson run for 4 yds to the Iowa 46

3rd & 6Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.98

Tyler Goodson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Iowa 44

4th & 8Penalty-5 yds

IOWA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Iowa 39

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Tory Taylor punt for 61 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Todd Centeio pass incomplete to Trey McBride

2nd & 10Rush-12 ydsPPA -0.44

Todd Centeio run for a loss of 12 yards to the ColSt 8 Todd Centeio fumbled, recovered by ColSt

3rd & 22Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.01

Todd Centeio pass incomplete to Trey McBride

4th & 22Penalty-4 yds

COLORADO ST Penalty, False Start (-4 Yards) to the ColSt 4

4th & 26Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.41

Todd Centeio pass complete to Scott Patchan for 6 yds to the ColSt 10

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Gavin Williams run for 4 yds to the ColSt 6

2nd & 6Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.42

Gavin Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the ColSt 8

Situational Analysis

Colorado State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
8%
24 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
1 play
25%
4 plays
21%
14 plays
20%
5 plays
3rd
25%
4 plays
71%
7 plays
67%
6 plays
50%
6 plays
4th
0%
2 plays
100%
1 play
50%
2 plays

Iowa

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
25%
24 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
33%
3 plays
11%
9 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
4th