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← Back to GamesNov 20, 2021Week 12
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Minnesota by 8.3

Home Win Probability

Indiana 30%

Market (consensus)

Indiana +7.5

Edge: Minnesota -7.5 (0.8 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 20, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
MinnesotaMinnesota
0217735
IndianaIndiana
700714

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-07-77-217-287-3514-35
IndianaMinnesota

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MININDMININDMININDMININDMININDINDMININDMININDMININDMININDMININDMINDOWNS1667ydTD1492ydPUNT39ydPUNT36ydTD1268ydPUNT30ydTD666ydTO20ydTD331ydEND1-2ydPUNT68ydPUNT429ydPUNT36ydTD856ydTO10ydPUNT518ydPUNT35ydPUNT38ydDOWNS929ydTD746ydTD769ydEND1-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Minnesota and Indiana
StatisticMinnesotaIndiana
Passing14-208-19
Pass Yards19677
Rush Yards195141
Total Yards391218
Turnovers02
3rd Down7-137-13
Penalties4-304-50
Possession36:4323:17

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Minnesota
passing
Tanner Morgan
14/20, 196 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Ky Thomas
26 CAR, 105 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Brevyn Spann-Ford
3 REC, 67 YDS
defense
Indiana
passing
Grant Gremel
5/12, 60 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Donaven McCulley
15 CAR, 68 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
A.J. Barner
3 REC, 31 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Ky Thomas run for 3 yds to the Minn 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Mike Brown-Stephens

3rd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.98

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 10 yds to the Minn 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Mar'Keise Irving run for 7 yds to the Minn 45

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.29

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Chris Autman-Bell

3rd & 3Rush+18 ydsPPA +2.48

Ky Thomas run for 18 yds to the Ind 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Ky Thomas run for 3 yds to the Ind 34

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Mike Brown-Stephens

3rd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.41

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 8 yds to the Ind 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.47

Mar'Keise Irving run for no gain to the Ind 26

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.39

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Brevyn Spann-Ford for 8 yds to the Ind 18

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.23

Ky Thomas run for 2 yds to the Ind 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Cole Kramer run for 1 yd to the Ind 15

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Mar'Keise Irving run for 5 yds to the Ind 10

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Tanner Morgan run for 3 yds to the Ind 7

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.84

Ky Thomas run for 1 yd to the Ind 8

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.41

Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 11 yds to the Ind 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Donaven McCulley run for 2 yds to the Ind 21

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Peyton Hendershot run for 4 yds to the Ind 25

3rd & 4Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.79

Ty Fryfogle run for 12 yds to the Ind 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Donaven McCulley run for no gain to the Ind 37

2nd & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.50

Donaven McCulley run for 16 yds to the Minn 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 3 yds to the Minn 44

2nd & 7Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.27

Donaven McCulley run for 19 yds to the Minn 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.33

Donaven McCulley pass complete to Javon Swinton for 7 yds to the Minn 18

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 2 yds to the Minn 16

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.10

Donaven McCulley run for 1 yd to the Minn 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Donaven McCulley run for 4 yds to the Minn 11

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Donaven McCulley pass incomplete

3rd & 6Rushing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.91

Donaven McCulley run for 11 yds for a TD, (Charles Campbell KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Ky Thomas run for 6 yds to the Minn 31

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Daniel Jackson

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Ky Thomas run for 3 yds to the Minn 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Mark Crawford punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Reese Taylor at the Ind 22

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Donaven McCulley run for 6 yds to the Ind 28

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.64

Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 1 yd to the Ind 27

3rd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 1 yd to the Ind 28

4th & 4Punt+5 yds

James Evans punt for 45 yds , Brock Annexstad returns for 5 yds to the Minn 32

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Chris Autman-Bell

2nd & 10Penalty-10 yds

Morgan,Tanner pass complete to Jackson,Daniel for 10 yards to the MIN42 (Jones,Cam) PENALTY MIN Holding (Schmitz,John Michael) 10 yards from MIN32 to MIN22. NO PLAY.

2nd & 20Penalty+15 yds

INDIANA Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the Ind 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.71

Ky Thomas run for 8 yds to the Ind 36

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Ky Thomas run for 4 yds to the Ind 40

3rd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Tanner Morgan run for 5 yds to the Ind 35

4th & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.65

Ky Thomas run for 5 yds to the Ind 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.22

Mar'Keise Irving run for 12 yds to the Ind 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Mar'Keise Irving run for no gain to the Ind 18

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Cole Kramer run for 4 yds to the Ind 14

3rd & 6Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.52

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Brevyn Spann-Ford for 11 yds to the Ind 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Cole Kramer run for 1 yd to the Ind 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Ky Thomas run for 2 yds for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Donaven McCulley run for 3 yds to the Ind 28

2nd & 7Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.75

Donaven McCulley sacked by Nyles Pinckney for a loss of 3 yards to the Ind 25

3rd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.16

Donaven McCulley run for no gain to the Ind 25

4th & 10Punt0 yds

James Evans punt for 41 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Mar'Keise Irving run for 4 yds to the Minn 38

2nd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.31

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Ky Thomas for 8 yds to the Minn 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Ky Thomas run for 2 yds to the Minn 48

2nd & 8Pass Reception+48 ydsPPA +3.17

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Brevyn Spann-Ford for 48 yds to the Ind 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Ky Thomas run for 3 yds to the Ind 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Ky Thomas run for 1 yd for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Donaven McCulley run for no gain to the Ind 25

2nd & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -0.22

Donaven McCulley pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.22

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 11 yds to the Ind 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Ky Thomas for 6 yds to the Ind 14

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.43

Chris Autman-Bell 14 Yd pass from Tanner Morgan (Matthew Trickett Kick)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ind 23

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Donaven McCulley run for 6 yds to the Ind 31

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Donaven McCulley run for 2 yds to the Ind 33

3rd & 2Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.44

Donaven McCulley pass complete to Matt Bjorson for 6 yds to the Ind 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Donaven McCulley pass incomplete to Javon Swinton

2nd & 10Penalty-15 yds

McCulley,Donaven pass complete to Fryfogle,Ty for 9 yards to the IND48 (Sori-Marin,Mariano) PENALTY IND Personal Foul (Bedford,Matthew) 15 yards from IND39 to IND24. NO PLAY.

2nd & 25Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Donaven McCulley pass complete to A.J. Barner for 4 yds to the Ind 28

3rd & 21Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Grant Gremel run for 5 yds to the Ind 33

4th & 16Punt+12 yds

James Evans punt for 48 yds , Brock Annexstad returns for 12 yds to the Minn 31

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.99

Ky Thomas run for 22 yds to the Ind 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Ky Thomas run for 2 yds to the Ind 45

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Mike Brown-Stephens for 5 yds to the Ind 40

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -1.12

Ky Thomas run for no gain to the Ind 40

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Mark Crawford punt for 38 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.21

Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 1 yd to the Ind 3

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Peyton Hendershot run for 4 yds to the Ind 7

3rd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.10

Donaven McCulley run for 1 yd to the Ind 8

4th & 4Punt0 yds

James Evans punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Brock Annexstad at the Minn 44

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Mike Brown-Stephens for 5 yds to the Minn 49

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.44

Mar'Keise Irving run for 3 yds to the Minn 46

3rd & 8Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +3.47

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Dylan Wright for 34 yds to the Ind 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.37

Mar'Keise Irving run for no gain to the Ind 20

2nd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.48

Ky Thomas run for 10 yds to the Ind 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Ky Thomas run for 1 yd to the Ind 9

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Chris Autman-Bell

3rd & 9Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +3.01

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 9 yds for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

PENALTY IND Roughing The Passer (McFadden,Micah) 15 yards from MIN35 to MIN50. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

MINNESOTA Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the Minn 48

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.15

Ky Thomas run for 9 yds to the Ind 43

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Ky Thomas run for 2 yds to the Ind 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.67

Ky Thomas run for 1 yd to the Ind 42

2nd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Ky Thomas run for 2 yds to the Ind 40

3rd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Ky Thomas run for 6 yds to the Ind 34

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Mark Crawford punt for 25 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Grant Gremel pass incomplete to Javon Swinton

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Grant Gremel pass incomplete to Davion Ervin-Poindexter

3rd & 10Penalty+5 yds

PENALTY MIN Offside (Pinckney,Nyles) 5 yards from IND09 to IND14. NO PLAY.

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Grant Gremel pass incomplete to A.J. Barner

4th & 5Punt0 yds

James Evans punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Brock Annexstad at the Minn 35

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Mar'Keise Irving run for 4 yds to the Minn 39

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Cole Kramer run for 4 yds to the Minn 43

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.91

Ky Thomas run for no gain to the Minn 43

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Mark Crawford punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Reese Taylor at the Ind 17

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Grant Gremel pass complete to A.J. Barner for 3 yds to the Ind 20

2nd & 7Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.81

Grant Gremel pass complete to Davion Ervin-Poindexter for 7 yds to the Ind 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Grant Gremel pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Grant Gremel pass complete to Ty Fryfogle for 3 yds to the Ind 24

3rd & 13Rush+18 ydsPPA +2.66

Grant Gremel run for 18 yds to the Ind 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Grant Gremel pass incomplete to Ty Fryfogle

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Grant Gremel pass incomplete to Javon Swinton

3rd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Donaven McCulley run for 4 yds to the Ind 46

4th & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Grant Gremel pass incomplete to Ty Fryfogle

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Ky Thomas run for 1 yd to the Ind 45

2nd & 9Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.33

Mar'Keise Irving run for 9 yds to the Ind 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.31

Mar'Keise Irving run for 11 yds to the Ind 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Cole Kramer run for 4 yds to the Ind 21

2nd & 6Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.85

Mar'Keise Irving run for 16 yds to the Ind 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Mar'Keise Irving run for 2 yds to the Ind 3

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Mar'Keise Irving run for 3 yds for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+27 yds

Dragan Kesich kickoff for 61 yds , Marcelino McCrary-Ball return for 27 yds to the Ind 31

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Charlie Spegal run for 3 yds to the Ind 34

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.62

Charlie Spegal run for 1 yd to the Ind 35

3rd & 6Interception0 ydsPPA -0.41

Grant Gremel pass intercepted

3rd & 6Penalty+5 yds

Gremel,Grant pass intercepted by Swenson,Calvin at MIN42, End Of Play PENALTY MIN Offside (Carter,Trill) 5 yards from IND35 to IND40. NO PLAY.

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.09

Charlie Spegal run for 2 yds to the Ind 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Trenten Howland run for 3 yds to the Ind 45

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.65

Charlie Spegal run for 2 yds to the Ind 47

3rd & 5Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.85

Grant Gremel pass complete to A.J. Barner for 24 yds to the INDIANA 29 for a 1ST down MINNESOTA Penalty, Defensive Offside (Justin Walley) declined for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+29 ydsPPA +2.79

Grant Gremel pass complete to Malachi Holt-Bennett for 29 yds for a TD, (Charles Campbell KICK)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.56

run for a loss of 2 yards to the Minn 41

Situational Analysis

Minnesota

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
2 plays
38%
26 plays
2nd
50%
6 plays
50%
6 plays
60%
10 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
50%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
100%
5 plays
4th
100%
2 plays

Indiana

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
25%
20 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
0%
3 plays
25%
12 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
100%
3 plays
43%
7 plays
0%
2 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play