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← Back to GamesOct 23, 2021Week 8
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Ohio State by 13.5

Home Win Probability

Indiana 17%

Market (consensus)

Indiana +21

Edge: Indiana +21 (7.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 23, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Ohio StateOhio State
14307354
IndianaIndiana
70007

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842560-77-77-217-307-447-517-54
IndianaOhio State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20OSINDOSINDOSINDOSINDOSINDOSINDINDOSINDOSINDOSINDOSINDTD1275ydTD1575ydTD575ydPUNT3-6ydTD651ydSAF4-22ydTD539ydPUNT3-9ydTD230ydPUNT38ydTD866ydEND1-1ydDOWNS847ydPUNT30ydPUNT616ydTD1078ydPUNT3-1ydFG1167ydPUNT35ydPUNT840ydEND517yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Ohio State and Indiana
StatisticOhio StateIndiana
Passing28-378-17
Pass Yards35280
Rush Yards18748
Total Yards539128
Turnovers00
3rd Down6-95-14
Penalties5-401-7
Possession32:0127:59

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Ohio State
passing
C.J. Stroud
21/28, 266 YDS, 4 TD
rushing
TreVeyon Henderson
9 CAR, 81 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
6 REC, 99 YDS
defense
Indiana
passing
Jack Tuttle
4/7, 41 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Trenten Howland
5 CAR, 17 YDS
receiving
Peyton Hendershot
5 REC, 35 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

TreVeyon Henderson run for 2 yds to the OhSt 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.29

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jeremy Ruckert for 8 yds to the OhSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.40

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jeremy Ruckert for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Garrett Wilson for 4 yds to the Ind 46

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Miyan Williams run for 5 yds to the Ind 41

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.78

C.J. Stroud run for 3 yds to the Ind 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Garrett Wilson

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Miyan Williams run for 6 yds to the Ind 32

3rd & 4Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.98

Miyan Williams run for 10 yds to the Ind 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Miyan Williams run for 6 yds to the Ind 16

2nd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA -0.06

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 5 yds to the Ind 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.52

Miyan Williams 11 Yd Run (Noah Ruggles Kick)

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Jack Tuttle sacked by Haskell Garrett for a loss of 2 yards to the Ind 23

2nd & 12Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Jack Tuttle run for 5 yds to the Ind 28

3rd & 7Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.69

Jack Tuttle pass complete to Peyton Hendershot for 7 yds to the Ind 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.40

Jack Tuttle pass complete to Peyton Hendershot for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Stephen Carr run for 6 yds to the OhSt 44

2nd & 4Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.86

Jack Tuttle sacked by Zach Harrison for a loss of 3 yards to the OhSt 47

3rd & 7Rush+7 ydsPPA +2.17

Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 7 yds to the OhSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Jack Tuttle pass incomplete to Miles Marshall

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Jack Tuttle pass incomplete to Javon Swinton

3rd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.30

Jack Tuttle pass complete to Miles Marshall for 12 yds to the OhSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Stephen Carr run for 6 yds to the OhSt 22

2nd & 4Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.36

Donaven McCulley run for 15 yds to the OhSt 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.41

Chris Childers run for no gain to the OhSt 7

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Jack Tuttle pass incomplete

3rd & 7Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.88

Peyton Hendershot 7 Yd pass from Jack Tuttle (Charles Campbell Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +2.73

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 32 yds to the Ind 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

TreVeyon Henderson run for 1 yd to the Ind 42

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Garrett Wilson

3rd & 9Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.50

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Garrett Wilson for 21 yds to the Ind 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +2.63

TreVeyon Henderson 21 Yd Run (Noah Ruggles Kick)

1st & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.11

Donaven McCulley run for a loss of 6 yards to the Ind 19

2nd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Donaven McCulley pass incomplete to Javon Swinton

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.06

Donaven McCulley pass incomplete

4th & 16Punt0 yds

James Evans punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OhSt 49

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

TreVeyon Henderson run for 3 yds to the Ind 48

2nd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.18

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 9 yds to the Ind 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.82

C.J. Stroud run for 9 yds to the Ind 30

2nd & 1Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA -0.26

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Garrett Wilson for 13 yds to the Ind 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

TreVeyon Henderson run for 3 yds to the Ind 14

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.69

TreVeyon Henderson 14 Yd pass from C.J. Stroud (Noah Ruggles Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Grant Gremel pass complete to Peyton Hendershot for 3 yds to the Ind 25

2nd & 7Fumble Recovery (Own)-5 ydsPPA -0.72

Stephen Carr run for a loss of 5 yards to the Ind 20 Stephen Carr fumbled, recovered by Ind Matthew Bedford

3rd & 12Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.14

Grant Gremel sacked by Ty Hamilton for a loss of 6 yards to the Ind 14

4th & 18Safety-14 ydsPPA -1.61

Team Safety

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Chris Olave

2nd & 10Rush+25 ydsPPA +1.41

TreVeyon Henderson run for 25 yds to the Ind 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Chris Olave

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

Stroud, C.J. pass complete to Ruckert, Jeremy for 14 yards to the INDIANA0, PENALTY OHIOST ineligible downfield on pass (Jones, Matthew) 5 yards to the INDIANA19, NO PLAY.

2nd & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

TreVeyon Henderson run for 3 yds to the Ind 16

3rd & 12Passing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +3.40

Chris Olave 16 Yd pass from C.J. Stroud (Noah Ruggles Kick)

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-7 ydsPPA -1.15

Jack Tuttle run for a loss of 7 yards to the Ind 18 Jack Tuttle fumbled, recovered by Ind Jack Tuttle

2nd & 17Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.05

Stephen Carr run for 3 yds to the Ind 21

3rd & 14Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.11

Donaven McCulley sacked by J.T. Tuimoloau and Taron Vincent for a loss of 5 yards to the Ind 16

4th & 19Punt+20 yds

James Evans punt for 34 yds , Garrett Wilson returns for 20 yds to the Ind 30

1st & 10Rush+24 ydsPPA +0.76

TreVeyon Henderson run for 17 yds to the Ind 13 for a 1ST down INDIANA Penalty, Personal Foul (Raheem Layne II) to the Ind 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

TreVeyon Henderson 6 Yd Run (Noah Ruggles Kick)

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.80

Donaven McCulley run for a loss of 4 yards to the Ind 16

2nd & 14Penalty+5 yds

McCulley, Donaven rush for 3 yards to the INDIANA19, PENALTY OHIOST offside 5 yards to the INDIANA21, NO PLAY.

2nd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Donaven McCulley run for 7 yds to the Ind 28

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.47

Stephen Carr run for no gain to the Ind 28

4th & 2Punt0 yds

James Evans punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jaxon Smith-Njigba at the OhSt 34

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.03

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Chris Olave for 8 yds to the OhSt 42

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.34

C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Garrett Wilson

3rd & 2Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.80

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jeremy Ruckert for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.87

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Garrett Wilson for 15 yds to the Ind 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.23

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Garrett Wilson for 6 yds to the Ind 29

2nd & 4Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.17

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 13 yds to the Ind 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Miyan Williams run for 2 yds to the Ind 14

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.75

Jeremy Ruckert 14 Yd pass from C.J. Stroud (Noah Ruggles Kick)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 24

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Jacolby Hewitt run for 6 yds to the Ind 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +2.60

Donaven McCulley pass complete to Ty Fryfogle for 30 yds to the OhSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.02

Stephen Carr run for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 40

2nd & 11Penalty+10 yds

McCulley, Donaven pass sacked for loss of 3 yards to the OHIOST43 (Harrison, Zach), PENALTY OHIOST holding (Brown, Cameron) 10 yards to the OHIOST30, NO PLAY.

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Donaven McCulley run for 2 yds to the OhSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Donaven McCulley run for 6 yds to the OhSt 22

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Donaven McCulley pass incomplete to Miles Marshall

3rd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.83

Donaven McCulley run for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 23

4th & 5Rush-5 ydsPPA -3.07

Donaven McCulley run for a loss of 5 yards to the OhSt 28

1st & 10Sack-11 ydsPPA -1.44

C.J. Stroud sacked by Micah McFadden for a loss of 11 yards to the OhSt 17

2nd & 21Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.06

C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Miyan Williams

3rd & 21Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.10

Miyan Williams run for 11 yds to the OhSt 28

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Jesse Mirco punt for 45 yds , Ty Fryfogle returns for no gain to the Ind 27

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.05

Donaven McCulley sacked by Tyreke Smith for a loss of 3 yards to the Ind 24

2nd & 13Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.62

Stephen Carr run for 10 yds to the Ind 34

3rd & 3Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +1.31

Grant Gremel pass complete to Peyton Hendershot for 3 yds to the Ind 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Donaven McCulley pass incomplete to Ty Fryfogle

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Donaven McCulley run for 3 yds to the Ind 40

3rd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Grant Gremel pass complete to Javon Swinton for 3 yds to the Ind 43

4th & 4Punt0 yds

James Evans punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Garrett Wilson at the OhSt 22

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.17

Miyan Williams run for 9 yds to the OhSt 31

2nd & 1Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA -0.05

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 5 yds to the OhSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Evan Pryor run for no gain to the OhSt 36

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.43

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 15 yds to the Ind 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Marvin Harrison Jr.

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Evan Pryor run for 6 yds to the Ind 43

3rd & 4Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.84

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Cade Stover for 18 yds to the Ind 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.68

Evan Pryor run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ind 27

2nd & 12Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.17

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 25 yds to the Ind 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Jeremy Ruckert 2 Yd pass from C.J. Stroud (Noah Ruggles Kick)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Stephen Carr run for 1 yd to the Ind 26

2nd & 9Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.51

Stephen Carr run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ind 24

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Grant Gremel pass incomplete

4th & 11Punt0 yds

James Evans punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Emeka Egbuka at the OhSt 25

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.70

Kyle McCord pass complete to Evan Pryor for 10 yds to the OhSt 35 OHIO ST Penalty, Illegal Block (-10 Yards) to the OhSt 25

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.22

Kyle McCord pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 14 yds to the OhSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.38

Evan Pryor run for 16 yds to the Ind 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.96

Kyle McCord pass complete to Joe Royer for 9 yds to the Ind 36

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.29

Evan Pryor run for 6 yds to the Ind 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.85

Kyle McCord pass complete to Evan Pryor for a loss of 2 yards to the Ind 32

2nd & 12Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.13

Kyle McCord pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 20 yds to the Ind 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Kyle McCord pass incomplete to Emeka Egbuka

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.39

Evan Pryor run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 13

3rd & 11Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Evan Pryor run for 5 yds to the Ind 8

4th & 6Field Goal Good+26 yds

Noah Ruggles 26 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.07

Stephen Carr run for a loss of 5 yards to the Ind 20

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Donaven McCulley pass incomplete to Jacolby Hewitt

3rd & 15Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.19

Chris Childers run for 10 yds to the Ind 30

4th & 5Punt0 yds

James Evans punt for 62 yds, downed at the OhSt 8

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Evan Pryor run for no gain to the OhSt 8

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.73

Evan Pryor run for 11 yds to the OhSt 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.75

Jack Miller III pass complete to Chris Booker for 11 yds to the OhSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-9 ydsPPA -1.53

Evan Pryor run for 1 yd to the OhSt 31 OHIO ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the OhSt 21

1st & 19Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.71

Jack Miller III pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 24 yds to the OhSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.38

Evan Pryor run for 6 yds to the Ind 49

2nd & 4Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.91

Jack Miller III run for a loss of 3 yards to the OhSt 48

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Jack Miller III pass incomplete to Joe Royer

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Jesse Mirco punt for 35 yds, downed at the Ind 17

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Trenten Howland run for 4 yds to the Ind 21

2nd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.83

Trenten Howland run for 8 yds to the Ind 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Trenten Howland run for 4 yds to the Ind 33

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.65

Trenten Howland run for 1 yd to the Ind 34

3rd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.46

Trenten Howland run for no gain to the Ind 34

Situational Analysis

Ohio State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
47%
34 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
0%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
82%
11 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
100%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
100%
3 plays
4th

Indiana

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
25%
20 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
50%
6 plays
17%
6 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
80%
5 plays
20%
5 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play