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← Back to GamesOct 2, 2021Week 5
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Penn State by 13.3

Home Win Probability

Penn State 78%

Market (consensus)

Penn State -12.5

Edge: Penn State -12.5 (0.8 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 2, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
IndianaIndiana
00000
Penn StatePenn State
777324

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-014-021-024-0
Penn StateIndiana

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20INDPSINDPSINDPSINDPSINDPSINDPSINDPSINDPSPSINDPSINDPSINDPSINDPSINDPUNT34ydPUNT512ydPUNT635ydTD1380ydPUNT37ydTO20ydDOWNS49ydTD996ydPUNT36ydPUNT37ydPUNT613ydPUNT413ydTO456ydPUNT39ydPUNT37ydEND24ydPUNT620ydPUNT51ydTD961ydMISS762ydDOWNS1277ydPUNT31ydFG40ydTO843ydPUNT516ydEND430yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Indiana and Penn State
StatisticIndianaPenn State
Passing16-3418-34
Pass Yards195199
Rush Yards69209
Total Yards264408
Turnovers21
3rd Down3-146-16
Penalties3-205-37
Possession25:0734:53

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Indiana
passing
Michael Penix Jr.
10/22, 118 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Stephen Carr
15 CAR, 50 YDS
receiving
Peyton Hendershot
5 REC, 88 YDS
defense
Penn State
passing
Sean Clifford
17/33, 178 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Keyvone Lee
8 CAR, 74 YDS
receiving
Jahan Dotson
8 REC, 84 YDS, 2 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Stephen Carr run for 4 yds to the Ind 29

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Peyton Hendershot

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Ty Fryfogle

4th & 6Punt0 yds

James Evans punt for 47 yds, downed at the PnSt 24

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.23

Noah Cain run for 9 yds to the PnSt 33

2nd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Sean Clifford run for 1 yd to the PnSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Sean Clifford pass incomplete to Parker Washington

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Noah Cain run for 2 yds to the PnSt 36

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Sean Clifford pass incomplete to Jahan Dotson

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Jordan Stout punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ind 14

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.42

Stephen Carr run for no gain to the Ind 14

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Peyton Hendershot

3rd & 10Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +3.34

Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Peyton Hendershot for 35 yds to the Ind 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Miles Marshall

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Ty Fryfogle

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Javon Swinton

4th & 10Punt0 yds

James Evans punt for 51 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.63

John Lovett run for a loss of 1 yard to the PnSt 19

2nd & 11Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Sean Clifford pass complete to John Lovett for 4 yds to the PnSt 23

3rd & 7Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.91

Sean Clifford run for 13 yds to the PnSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.05

Sean Clifford pass complete to Jahan Dotson for 11 yds to the PnSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.90

Sean Clifford pass complete to KeAndre Lambert-Smith for 8 yds to the Ind 45

2nd & 2Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.18

John Lovett run for 9 yds to the Ind 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Sean Clifford pass incomplete to Parker Washington

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Sean Clifford run for 5 yds to the Ind 31

3rd & 5Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.39

John Lovett run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ind 33

4th & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.38

Sean Clifford pass complete to Parker Washington for 9 yds to the Ind 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Sean Clifford pass incomplete to Cam Sullivan-Brown

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

Clifford, Sean pass incomplete to Johnson, Theo, PENALTY INDIANA pass interference (Williams, Jaylin) 15 yards to the INDIANA9, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN PENNST.

1st & 9Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.37

Noah Cain run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 10

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.80

Sean Clifford pass complete to Brenton Strange for 10 yds for a TD, (Jordan Stout KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Stephen Carr run for 7 yds to the Ind 32

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.99

Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for no gain to the Ind 32

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Ty Fryfogle

4th & 3Punt0 yds

James Evans punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Jahan Dotson at the PnSt 20

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Sean Clifford pass incomplete to Parker Washington

2nd & 10Pass Interception Return+23 ydsPPA -0.06

Sean Clifford pass intercepted Raheem Layne II return for 23 yds to the PnSt 13

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.30

Stephen Carr run for no gain to the PnSt 13

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Peyton Hendershot

3rd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.33

Michael Penix Jr. run for 9 yds to the PnSt 4

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -4.17

Stephen Carr run for no gain to the PnSt 4

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.49

Sean Clifford pass complete to Jahan Dotson for 8 yds to the PnSt 12

2nd & 2Rush+44 ydsPPA +3.04

Keyvone Lee run for 44 yds to the Ind 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Keyvone Lee run for 2 yds to the Ind 42

2nd & 8Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.01

Sean Clifford pass complete to Keyvone Lee for 8 yds to the Ind 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Sean Clifford pass incomplete to Keyvone Lee

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.68

Sean Clifford pass complete to Devyn Ford for 9 yds to the Ind 25

3rd & 1Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.23

Keyvone Lee run for 21 yds to the Ind 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.52

Jahan Dotson run for 1 yd to the Ind 3

2nd & 0Penalty-5 yds

Clifford, Sean pass complete to Strange, Brenton for 3 yards to the INDIANA0, PENALTY PENNST illegal touching (Strange, Brenton) 5 yards to the INDIANA8, NO PLAY.

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.68

Sean Clifford pass complete to Jahan Dotson for 8 yds for a TD, (Jordan Stout KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Stephen Carr run for 5 yds to the Ind 30

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Jacolby Hewitt

3rd & 5Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Stephen Carr for 1 yd to the Ind 31

4th & 4Punt0 yds

James Evans punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Jahan Dotson at the PnSt 33

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Sean Clifford pass incomplete to John Lovett

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.91

Sean Clifford pass complete to John Lovett for 9 yds to the PnSt 42

3rd & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.22

Sean Clifford run for a loss of 2 yards to the PnSt 40

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Jordan Stout punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Reese Taylor at the Ind 9

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.28

Stephen Carr run for 1 yd to the Ind 10

2nd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Ty Fryfogle for 5 yds to the Ind 15

3rd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.74

Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Ty Fryfogle for 6 yds to the Ind 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.88

Stephen Carr run for a loss of 5 yards to the Ind 16

2nd & 15Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.06

Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Ty Fryfogle for 6 yds to the Ind 22

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Miles Marshall

4th & 9Punt0 yds

James Evans punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the PnSt 34

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.15

Sean Clifford pass complete to Jahan Dotson for 12 yds to the PnSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Sean Clifford pass incomplete to Jahan Dotson

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Noah Cain run for 1 yd to the PnSt 47

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Sean Clifford pass incomplete to Jahan Dotson

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Jordan Stout punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Reese Taylor at the Ind 11

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Stephen Carr run for 4 yds to the Ind 15

2nd & 6Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.39

Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Peyton Hendershot for 18 yds to the Ind 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +2.53

Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Miles Marshall for 34 yds to the PnSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return+1 ydsPPA -4.10

Michael Penix Jr. pass intercepted Joey Porter Jr. return for 1 yd to the PnSt 13

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Sean Clifford run for 4 yds to the PnSt 17

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

John Lovett run for 5 yds to the PnSt 22

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Sean Clifford pass incomplete to Jahan Dotson

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Jordan Stout punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Ty Fryfogle at the Ind 32

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Peyton Hendershot for 4 yds to the Ind 36

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 2 yds to the Ind 38

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.52

Tim Baldwin Jr. run for 1 yd to the Ind 39

4th & 3Punt0 yds

James Evans punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Jahan Dotson at the PnSt 16

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Sean Clifford pass incomplete to KeAndre Lambert-Smith

2nd & 10Penalty-8 yds

Ford, Devyn rush for 6 yards to the PENNST22, PENALTY PENNST holding (Hansard, Fred) 8 yards to the PENNST8, NO PLAY.

2nd & 18Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.25

Devyn Ford run for 12 yds to the PnSt 20

0th & 18End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Keyvone Lee run for 5 yds to the PnSt 30

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

Keyvone Lee run for no gain to the PnSt 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.59

Sean Clifford pass complete to Jahan Dotson for 6 yds to the PnSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Keyvone Lee run for 1 yd to the PnSt 37

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Sean Clifford pass complete to Jahan Dotson for 7 yds to the PnSt 44

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.78

Keyvone Lee run for 1 yd to the PnSt 45

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Jordan Stout punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Ty Fryfogle at the Ind 12

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Ty Fryfogle

2nd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.11

Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Javon Swinton for 14 yds to the Ind 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -1.12

Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jacolby Hewitt for a loss of 5 yards to the Ind 21

2nd & 15Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.18

Michael Penix Jr. sacked by Brandon Smith for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 20

3rd & 16Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.09

Jack Tuttle sacked by Arnold Ebiketie for a loss of 7 yards to the Ind 13

4th & 23Punt+2 yds

James Evans punt for 50 yds , Jahan Dotson returns for 2 yds to the PnSt 39

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Noah Cain run for 2 yds to the PnSt 41

2nd & 8Penalty+5 yds

Clifford, Sean pass complete to Cain, Noah for loss of 9 yards to the PENNST32, PENALTY INDIANA offside (Handy, Jaren) 5 yards to the PENNST46, NO PLAY.

2nd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Noah Cain run for 7 yds to the Ind 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Noah Cain run for 3 yds to the Ind 44

2nd & 7Rush-5 ydsPPA -2.14

Noah Cain run for a loss of 5 yards to the Ind 49

3rd & 12Rush+13 ydsPPA +3.09

Sean Clifford run for 13 yds to the Ind 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.72

Sean Clifford run for no gain to the Ind 36

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

John Lovett run for 4 yds to the Ind 32

3rd & 6Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Sean Clifford pass complete to Jahan Dotson for 2 yds to the Ind 30

4th & 4Passing Touchdown+30 ydsPPA +4.40

Sean Clifford pass complete to Jahan Dotson for 30 yds for a TD, (Jordan Stout KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Jack Tuttle pass complete to Matt Bjorson for 7 yds to the Ind 32

2nd & 3Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.06

Jack Tuttle pass complete to Peyton Hendershot for 24 yds to the PnSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +0.83

Jack Tuttle pass complete to Ty Fryfogle for 27 yds to the PnSt 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Jack Tuttle pass incomplete to Stephen Carr

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Stephen Carr run for 4 yds to the PnSt 13

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Jack Tuttle pass incomplete to Javon Swinton

4th & 6Blocked Field Goal+5 yds

Charles Campbell 30 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Brandon Smith Derrick Tangelo return for 5 yds to the PnSt 22

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.61

Sean Clifford run for no gain to the PnSt 22

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Sean Clifford pass incomplete to KeAndre Lambert-Smith

3rd & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.62

Sean Clifford pass complete to Theo Johnson for 20 yds to the PnSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.32

Sean Clifford pass complete to KeAndre Lambert-Smith for 17 yds to the Ind 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +0.62

Jahan Dotson pass complete to Parker Washington for 21 yds to the Ind 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Clifford, Sean pass complete to Lambert-Smith, KeAndre for 7 yards to the INDIANA13, PENALTY PENNST holding (Wallace, Caedan) 10 yards to the INDIANA30, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Sean Clifford pass incomplete to John Lovett

2nd & 20Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Sean Clifford run for 6 yds to the Ind 24

3rd & 14Rush+18 ydsPPA +2.01

Sean Clifford run for 18 yds to the Ind 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.28

Noah Cain run for 2 yds to the Ind 4

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Noah Cain run for 3 yds to the Ind 1

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Tyler Warren run for no gain to the Ind 1

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -4.21

Keyvone Lee run for no gain to the Ind 1

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

INDIANA Penalty, False Start (Stephen Carr) to the Ind 1

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.20

Jack Tuttle run for 1 yd to the Ind 2

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Jack Tuttle pass incomplete to Ty Fryfogle

3rd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.05

Stephen Carr run for no gain to the Ind 2

4th & 9Punt+16 yds

James Evans punt for 46 yds , Jahan Dotson returns for 16 yds to the Ind 32

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.61

Noah Cain run for no gain to the Ind 32

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Sean Clifford pass incomplete to KeAndre Lambert-Smith

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Sean Clifford pass incomplete to Brenton Strange

4th & 10Field Goal Good+50 yds

Jordan Stout 50 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Jack Tuttle run for 10 yds to the Ind 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Jack Tuttle pass complete to Ty Fryfogle for 4 yds to the Ind 39

2nd & 6Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.79

Jack Tuttle run for no gain to the PnSt 39 for a 1ST down PENN ST Penalty, Defensive Holding (Tariq Castro-Fields) to the PnSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Jack Tuttle pass incomplete to Ty Fryfogle

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.79

Jack Tuttle pass complete to Chris Childers for 8 yds to the PnSt 39

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Jack Tuttle pass incomplete to Peyton Hendershot

4th & 2Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.12

Jack Tuttle pass complete to Peyton Hendershot for 7 yds to the PnSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return+8 ydsPPA -4.13

Jack Tuttle pass intercepted for a 1ST down Ji'Ayir Brown return for 4 yds to the PnSt 28 for a 1ST down PENN ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Jonathan Sutherland) to the PnSt 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+10 yds

John Lovett run for 10 yds to the PnSt 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.77

John Lovett run for 13 yds to the PnSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

John Lovett run for 2 yds to the PnSt 30

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

John Lovett run for no gain to the PnSt 30

3rd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

John Lovett run for 1 yd to the PnSt 31

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Jordan Stout punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Ty Fryfogle at the Ind 23

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Stephen Carr run for 6 yds to the Ind 29

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Stephen Carr run for 3 yds to the Ind 32

3rd & 1Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.66

Stephen Carr run for 10 yds to the Ind 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.95

Stephen Carr run for 11 yds to the PnSt 47 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Indiana

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
33%
24 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
33%
6 plays
38%
8 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
20%
5 plays
40%
5 plays
0%
1 play
4th
50%
2 plays

Penn State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
32%
28 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
75%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
47%
15 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
20%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
33%
6 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play
100%
1 play
100%
1 play