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← Back to GamesNov 27, 2021Week 13
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Illinois by 13.1

Home Win Probability

Illinois 80%

Market (consensus)

Illinois -7

Edge: Illinois -7 (6.1 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 27, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
NorthwesternNorthwestern
070714
IllinoisIllinois
14233747

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428425614-021-028-731-737-740-747-747-14
IllinoisNorthwestern

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ILLNORILLNORILLNORILLNORILLNORILLNORILLNORILLNORILLNORILLNORILLNORILLNORILLNORILLPUNT431ydPUNT616ydPUNT34ydTO23ydTD18ydPUNT3-5ydTD251ydDOWNS1251ydTD776ydTO3-12ydTD121ydTD1175ydFG865ydPUNT31ydFG48ydPUNT30ydFG855ydPUNT34ydFG830ydPUNT66ydPUNT410ydPUNT3-9ydTO422ydPUNT35ydTD1150ydTD1581ydEND1-7yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Northwestern and Illinois
StatisticNorthwesternIllinois
Passing12-2514-23
Pass Yards123242
Rush Yards118217
Total Yards241459
Turnovers21
3rd Down6-195-13
Penalties3-254-50
Possession33:3126:29

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Northwestern
passing
Ryan Hilinski
12/23, 123 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Evan Hull
32 CAR, 101 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Malik Washington
6 REC, 74 YDS
defense
Illinois
passing
Brandon Peters
14/23, 242 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Chase Brown
14 CAR, 112 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Isaiah Williams
7 REC, 113 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Tony Adams
1 TFL, 1 PD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.24

Brandon Peters pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Brandon Peters run for 5 yds to the Nwest 45

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Chase Brown run for 1 yd to the Nwest 44

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Casey Washington

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Blake Hayes punt for 42 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Evan Hull run for 3 yds to the Nwest 5

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.13

Evan Hull run for 6 yds to the Nwest 11

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.28

Evan Hull run for 3 yds to the Nwest 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Evan Hull run for 4 yds to the Nwest 18

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Andrew Marty pass incomplete to Stephon Robinson Jr.

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Andrew Marty pass incomplete to Andrew Clair

4th & 6Punt+14 yds

Derek Adams punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Nwest 42 , Donny Navarro III returns for 14 yds to the Nwest 32 ILLINOIS Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Isaiah Gay) to the Nwest 42

4th & 6Punt+14 yds

Derek Adams punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Illin 43 , Donny Navarro III returns for 14 yds to the Illin 32 ILLINOIS Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Isaiah Gay) to the Illin 43

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Brandon Peters pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 3 yds to the Illin 46

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.88

Joshua McCray run for 1 yd to the Illin 47

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Daniel Barker

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Blake Hayes punt for 39 yds, fair catch by JJ Jefferson at the Nwest 14

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Evan Hull run for 3 yds to the Nwest 17

2nd & 7Fumble Recovery (Own)0 ydsPPA -0.32

Andrew Marty sacked for 0 yards to the Nwest 8 Andrew Marty fumbled, recovered by Illin Isaiah Gay , return for 0 yards

1st & 8Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.32

Daniel Barker run for 8 yds for a TD (James McCourt KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Evan Hull run for 4 yds to the Nwest 29

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Evan Hull run for 2 yds to the Nwest 31

3rd & 4Fumble Recovery (Own)-11 ydsPPA -0.75

Andrew Marty sacked by Tarique Barnes for a loss of 11 yards to the Nwest 20 Andrew Marty fumbled, recovered by Nwest Andrew Marty , return for 0 yards

4th & 15Punt+17 yds

Derek Adams punt for 46 yds , Donny Navarro III returns for 17 yds to the Nwest 49

1st & 12Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.08

Brandon Peters pass complete to Casey Washington for 12 yds to the Nwest 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+39 ydsPPA +3.14

Brandon Peters pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 39 yds for a TD (James McCourt KICK)

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Stephon Robinson Jr. run for 13 yds to the Nwest 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Evan Hull run for 4 yds to the Nwest 42

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Evan Hull run for 4 yds to the Nwest 46

3rd & 2Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY NWU False Start (Wrather,Ben) 5 yards from NWU46 to NWU41. NO PLAY.

3rd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Malik Washington for 6 yds to the Nwest 47

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +2.26

Evan Hull run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Evan Hull run for 2 yds to the Illin 48

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Evan Hull run for 4 yds to the Illin 44

3rd & 4Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.85

Andrew Clair run for 15 yds to the Illin 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Andrew Clair run for 4 yds to the Illin 25

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.57

Andrew Clair run for no gain to the Illin 25

3rd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Evan Hull run for 1 yd to the Illin 24

4th & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.99

Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Stephon Robinson Jr.

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.56

Joshua McCray run for 1 yd to the Illin 25

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Chase Brown

3rd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.85

Brandon Peters pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 10 yds to the Illin 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+56 ydsPPA +2.82

Brandon Peters pass complete to Casey Washington for 56 yds to the Nwest 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Brandon Peters run for 2 yds to the Nwest 7

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.15

Chase Brown run for 6 yds to the Nwest 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Chase Brown run for 1 yd for a TD (James McCourt KICK)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Ryan Hilinski run for 9 yds to the Nwest 16

2nd & 19Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.03

Evan Hull run for 3 yds to the Nwest 13

3rd & 22Interception0 ydsPPA +0.38

Ryan Hilinski pass intercepted

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +2.63

Isaiah Williams run for 21 yds for a TD (James McCourt KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.39

Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Malik Washington for 27 yds to the Illin 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.87

Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Charlie Mangieri for 18 yds to the Illin 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Malik Washington

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.59

Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Malik Washington for 9 yds to the Illin 21

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.62

Evan Hull run for no gain to the Illin 21

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.80

Ryan Hilinski run for 2 yds to the Illin 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Malik Washington

2nd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.08

Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Jacob Gill for 14 yds to the Illin 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Evan Hull run for 1 yd to the Illin 6

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Malik Washington for 5 yds to the Illin 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Ryan Hilinski run for 1 yd for a TD (Charlie Kuhbander KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Chase Brown run for 4 yds to the Illin 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.78

Brandon Peters pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 27 yds to the Nwest 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Casey Washington

2nd & 10Rush+31 ydsPPA +1.84

Chase Brown run for 31 yds to the Nwest 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Joshua McCray run for 8 yds to the Nwest 5

2nd & 2Penalty-15 yds

PENALTY ILL UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Reiman,Tip) 15 yards from NWU05 to NWU20. NO PLAY.

2nd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Daniel Barker

3rd & 17Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.70

Brandon Peters run for 10 yds to the Nwest 10

4th & 7Field Goal Good+28 yds

James McCourt 28 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Andrew Clair run for 1 yd to the Nwest 26

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Andrew Clair

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Malik Washington

4th & 9Punt+37 yds

Derek Adams punt for 38 yds , Donny Navarro III returns for 37 yds to the Nwest 27

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Joshua McCray run for 4 yds to the Nwest 23

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.40

Joshua McCray run for 1 yd to the Nwest 22

3rd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Brandon Peters pass complete to Daniel Barker for 3 yds to the Nwest 19

4th & 2Field Goal Good+37 yds

James McCourt 37 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Evan Hull

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Evan Hull

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to JJ Jefferson

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Derek Adams punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Donny Navarro III at the Illin 38

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Luke Ford

2nd & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +2.28

Brandon Peters run for 13 yds to the Nwest 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.36

Brandon Peters sacked by Sean McLaughlin for a loss of 6 yards to the Illin 45

2nd & 16Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.64

Chase Brown run for 8 yds to the Nwest 47

3rd & 8Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.47

Brandon Peters pass complete to Daniel Barker for 11 yds to the Nwest 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.58

Brandon Peters pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 8 yds to the Nwest 28

2nd & 2Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +0.24

Brandon Peters pass complete to Daniel Barker for 21 yds to the Nwest 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Field Goal Good+25 yds

James McCourt 25 yd FG GOOD

0th & 7End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Evan Hull run for 2 yds to the Nwest 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Evan Hull for 6 yds to the Nwest 33

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Evan Hull run for 1 yd to the Nwest 34

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY NWU False Start (Robinson, Jr.,Stephon) 5 yards from NWU34 to NWU29. NO PLAY.

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Derek Adams punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Donny Navarro III at the Illin 39

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Chase Brown run for 4 yds to the Illin 43

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Chase Brown run for 3 yds to the Illin 46

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.59

Chase Brown run for 2 yds to the Illin 48

4th & 1Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.94

Chase Brown run for 14 yds to the Nwest 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Brandon Peters pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 1 yd to the Nwest 37

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Chase Brown run for 4 yds to the Nwest 33

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Chase Brown run for 2 yds to the Nwest 31

4th & 3Field Goal Good+49 yds

James McCourt 49 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Stephon Robinson Jr. for 3 yds to the Nwest 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Stephon Robinson Jr.

3rd & 7Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.18

Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Malik Washington for 12 yds to the Nwest 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Evan Hull run for 2 yds to the Nwest 42

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Malik Washington

3rd & 8Penalty-15 yds

Hilinski,Ryan pass incomplete PENALTY NWU Pass Interference (Niro III,Raymond) 15 yards from NWU42 to NWU27. NO PLAY.

3rd & 23Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Andrew Clair run for 4 yds to the Nwest 31

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Derek Adams punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Donny Navarro III at the Illin 31

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.05

Brandon Peters pass complete to Patrick Bryant for 11 yds to the Illin 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Joshua McCray run for 1 yd to the Illin 41

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Patrick Bryant

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Casey Washington

4th & 11Punt+8 yds

Blake Hayes punt for 48 yds , JJ Jefferson returns for 8 yds to the Nwest 19

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.53

Evan Hull run for no gain to the Nwest 19

2nd & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.28

Ryan Hilinski sacked by Keith Randolph Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the Nwest 18

3rd & 11Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.14

Ryan Hilinski sacked by Tony Adams for a loss of 8 yards to the Nwest 10

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Derek Adams punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Donny Navarro III at the Nwest 45

1st & 10Rush+29 ydsPPA +0.91

Chase Brown run for 29 yds to the Nwest 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Chase Brown run for 3 yds to the Nwest 13

2nd & 7Penalty-10 yds

Brown,Chase rush for 6 yards gain to the NWU07 (Azema,Coco) PENALTY ILL Holding (Pearl,Julian) 10 yards from NWU13 to NWU23. NO PLAY.

2nd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Luke Ford

3rd & 17Interception0 ydsPPA -2.73

Brandon Peters pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Malik Washington for 4 yds to the Nwest 17

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Ryan Hilinski run for 2 yds to the Nwest 19

3rd & 4Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.20

Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Andrew Clair for 1 yd to the Nwest 18

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Jake Genyk punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Donny Navarro III at the 50 yard line

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Joshua McCray run for 1 yd to the Nwest 49

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Joshua McCray run for 5 yds to the Nwest 44

3rd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.45

Joshua McCray run for 4 yds to the Nwest 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Joshua McCray run for 2 yds to the Nwest 38

2nd & 8Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.88

Joshua McCray run for 10 yds to the Nwest 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Love III,Reggie rush for 23 yards gain to the NWU05 (Jackson,Bryce) PENALTY ILL Holding (Ford,Luke) 10 yards from NWU28 to NWU38. NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Reggie Love III run for 6 yds to the Nwest 32

2nd & 14Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.27

Brandon Peters pass complete to Michael Marchese for 15 yds to the Nwest 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Daniel Barker run for 7 yds to the Nwest 10

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Reggie Love III run for 2 yds to the Nwest 8

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.48

Brandon Peters run for 2 yds to the Nwest 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Joshua McCray run for 6 yds for a TD (James McCourt KICK)

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.29

Evan Hull run for 17 yds to the Nwest 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Evan Hull run for 2 yds to the Nwest 34

2nd & 12Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.96

Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Malik Washington for 20 yds to the Illin 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Evan Hull run for 5 yds to the Illin 41

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Evan Hull run for 4 yds to the Illin 37

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.72

Evan Hull run for 6 yds to the Illin 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Evan Hull run for 4 yds to the Illin 27

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Ryan Hilinski run for 2 yds to the Illin 25

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Ryan Hilinski run for 2 yds to the Illin 23

4th & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.01

Evan Hull run for 3 yds to the Illin 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.37

Evan Hull run for no gain to the Illin 20

2nd & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.11

Evan Hull run for 15 yds to the Illin 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Evan Hull run for 3 yds to the Illin 2

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Evan Hull run for 1 yd to the Illin 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Evan Hull run for 1 yd for a TD (Jack Olsen KICK)

1st & 10Rush-7 ydsPPA -1.15

run for a loss of 7 yards to the Illin 18

Situational Analysis

Northwestern

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
24%
25 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
13%
8 plays
42%
12 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
67%
6 plays
17%
6 plays
50%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
100%
3 plays
0%
1 play

Illinois

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
42%
26 plays
100%
2 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
63%
8 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
20%
5 plays
100%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play