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← Back to GamesNov 6, 2021Week 10
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Minnesota by 25.5

Home Win Probability

Minnesota 93%

Market (consensus)

Minnesota -14.5

Edge: Minnesota -14.5 (11.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 6, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
IllinoisIllinois
770014
MinnesotaMinnesota
00066

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40140-70-146-14
MinnesotaIllinois

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MINILLMINILLMINILLMINILLMINILLMINILLILLMINILLMINILLMINILLMINILLTO524ydTD849ydPUNT36ydTD1186ydDOWNS753ydPUNT39ydPUNT830ydPUNT35ydPUNT31ydPUNT3-1ydMISS516ydEND1-1ydPUNT1027ydDOWNS1460ydPUNT731ydPUNT3-5ydPUNT3-1ydTD1386ydPUNT832ydTO425ydEND1-1yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Illinois and Minnesota
StatisticIllinoisMinnesota
Passing7-1016-29
Pass Yards80200
Rush Yards18589
Total Yards265289
Turnovers02
3rd Down5-123-13
Penalties7-724-35
Possession30:2029:40

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Illinois
passing
Brandon Peters
7/9, 80 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Chase Brown
32 CAR, 147 YDS
receiving
Casey Washington
1 REC, 23 YDS
defense
Minnesota
passing
Tanner Morgan
15/27, 180 YDS, 2 INT
rushing
Ky Thomas
16 CAR, 60 YDS
receiving
Brevyn Spann-Ford
4 REC, 49 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 11 yds to the Minn 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.05

Ky Thomas run for 11 yds to the Minn 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Ky Thomas run for 1 yd to the Minn 48

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Tanner Morgan run for 1 yd to the Minn 49

3rd & 8Pass Interception Return+6 ydsPPA -1.16

Tanner Morgan pass intercepted Tarique Barnes return for 6 yds to the Minn 49

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.07

Brandon Peters pass complete to Carlos Sandy for 9 yds to the Minn 40

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Brandon Peters run for 2 yds to the Minn 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.35

Chase Brown run for 11 yds to the Minn 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Chase Brown run for 4 yds to the Minn 23

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Chase Brown run for 3 yds to the Minn 20

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.37

Chase Brown run for 3 yds to the Minn 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.37

Brandon Peters pass complete to Michael Marchese for 15 yds to the Minn 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Isaiah Williams run for 2 yds for a TD, (James McCourt KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Ky Thomas run for 3 yds to the Minn 28

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

MINNESOTA Penalty, False Start (Axel Ruschmeyer) to the Minn 23

2nd & 12Fumble Recovery (Own)-5 ydsPPA -0.37

Tanner Morgan sacked by Sydney Brown for a loss of 5 yards to the Minn 18 Tanner Morgan fumbled, forced by Sydney Brown, recovered by Minn Tanner Morgan , return for 0 yards

3rd & 17Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.28

Mar'Keise Irving run for 13 yds to the Minn 31

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Mark Crawford punt for 55 yds, downed at the Illin 14

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

ILLINOIS Penalty, False Start (Josh Kreutz) to the Illin 9

1st & 15Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.52

Chase Brown run for 10 yds to the Illin 19

2nd & 5Fumble Recovery (Own)+11 ydsPPA +0.89

Brandon Peters run for 11 yds to the Illin 30 Brandon Peters fumbled, recovered by Illin Brandon Peters for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.77

Chase Brown run for 19 yds to the Illin 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Chase Brown run for 5 yds to the Minn 46

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.58

Isaiah Williams run for 5 yds to the Minn 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.46

Chase Brown run for 7 yds to the Minn 34

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.01

Chase Brown run for 5 yds to the Minn 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Joshua McCray run for 4 yds to the Minn 25

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Joshua McCray run for 2 yds to the Minn 23

3rd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.58

Brandon Peters pass complete to Daniel Barker for 8 yds to the Minn 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.56

Brandon Peters pass complete to Tip Reiman for 15 yds for a TD, (James McCourt KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Brevyn Spann-Ford for 11 yds to the Minn 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.22

Cole Kramer run for 13 yds to the Minn 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.08

Cole Kramer pass complete to Ko Kieft for 20 yds to the Illin 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Cole Kramer run for a loss of 2 yards to the Illin 33

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Daniel Jackson

3rd & 12Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.16

Tanner Morgan run for 11 yds to the Illin 22

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -3.54

Cole Kramer run for no gain to the Illin 22

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Chase Brown run for 5 yds to the Illin 27

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Chase Brown run for 2 yds to the Illin 29

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Brandon Peters run for 2 yds to the Illin 31

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Blake Hayes punt for 52 yds, downed at the Minn 17

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Ky Thomas run for 2 yds to the Minn 19

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.47

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Ky Thomas for 11 yds to the Minn 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.35

Cole Kramer run for 9 yds to the Minn 39

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.03

Mar'Keise Irving run for 5 yds to the Minn 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.58

Mar'Keise Irving run for a loss of 2 yards to the Minn 42

2nd & 12Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Ky Thomas for 5 yds to the Minn 47

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Ky Thomas

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Mark Crawford punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Donny Navarro III at the Illin 9

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Chase Brown run for no gain to the Illin 9

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Brandon Peters pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Chase Brown run for 5 yds to the Illin 14

4th & 5Punt+10 yds

Blake Hayes punt for 48 yds , Brock Annexstad returns for 10 yds to the Minn 48

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Mar'Keise Irving run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 8Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.29

Tanner Morgan sacked by Keith Randolph Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 49

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Daniel Jackson

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Mark Crawford punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Donny Navarro III at the Illin 10

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Chase Brown run for 1 yd to the Illin 11

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.12

Chase Brown run for 2 yds to the Illin 13

3rd & 7Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.16

Chase Brown run for a loss of 4 yards to the Illin 9

4th & 11Punt+13 yds

Blake Hayes punt for 47 yds , Brock Annexstad returns for 13 yds to the Illin 43

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +0.75

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 24 yds to the Illin 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.45

Tanner Morgan sacked by Roderick Perry II for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 20

2nd & 11Penalty-10 yds

Morgan, Tanner rush for 5 yards to the ILLINOIS15, PENALTY MINNESOTA holding 10 yards to the ILLINOIS30, NO PLAY.

2nd & 21Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete

3rd & 21Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Ky Thomas for 3 yds to the Illin 27

4th & 18Field Goal Missed+45 yds

Matthew Trickett 45 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.88

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 26

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Brandon Peters pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 4 yds to the Illin 29

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.04

Chase Brown run for 7 yds to the Illin 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Chase Brown run for 7 yds to the Illin 43

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.76

Chase Brown run for 2 yds to the Illin 45

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.11

Brandon Peters run for 2 yds to the Illin 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Brandon Peters pass complete to Chase Brown for 6 yds to the Minn 47

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.37

Chase Brown run for 4 yds to the Minn 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Jakari Norwood run for 2 yds to the Minn 41

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Caleb Griffin pass incomplete to Carlos Sandy

3rd & 8Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.96

Brandon Peters sacked by Thomas Rush for a loss of 7 yards to the Minn 48

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Blake Hayes punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Brock Annexstad at the Minn 11

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.60

Ky Thomas run for 8 yds to the Minn 19

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Ky Thomas run for 2 yds to the Minn 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Daniel Jackson

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Chris Autman-Bell

3rd & 10Penalty+15 yds

Morgan, Tanner pass incomplete to Autman-Bell, Chris, PENALTY ILLINOIS roughing passer (Gay, Isaiah) 15 yards to the MINNESOTA36, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MINNESOTA.

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Ky Thomas run for 9 yds to the Minn 45

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.00

Ky Thomas run for 6 yds to the Illin 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Thomas, Ky rush for 5 yards to the ILLINOIS44, PENALTY MINNESOTA holding (Ruschmeyer, Axel) 10 yards to the MINNESOTA41, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.67

Mar'Keise Irving run for 8 yds to the Minn 49

2nd & 12Penalty+12 yds

Morgan, Tanner pass incomplete to Brown-Stephens, Mike, PENALTY ILLINOIS pass interference (Witherspoon, Devon) 12 yards to the ILLINOIS39, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MINNESOTA.

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Ky Thomas run for 6 yds to the Illin 33

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Ky Thomas run for 3 yds to the Illin 30

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.42

Ky Thomas run for 4 yds to the Illin 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Irving, Mar'Keise rush for no gain to the ILLINOIS26, PENALTY MINNESOTA holding (Faalele, Daniel) 10 yards to the ILLINOIS36, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Ky Thomas run for 3 yds to the Illin 33

2nd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Brady Boyd

3rd & 17Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.26

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Mike Brown-Stephens for 11 yds to the Illin 22

4th & 6Sack-7 ydsPPA -3.05

Tanner Morgan sacked by Owen Carney Jr. for a loss of 7 yards to the Illin 29

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Joshua McCray run for 3 yds to the Illin 32

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.57

Isaiah Williams run for 1 yd to the Illin 33

3rd & 6Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +3.27

Brandon Peters pass complete to Casey Washington for 23 yds to the Minn 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.54

Chase Brown run for 12 yds to the Minn 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Brown, Chase rush for 3 yards to the MINNESOTA29, PENALTY ILLINOIS holding (Palczewski, Alex) 10 yards to the MINNESOTA42, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Daniel Barker

2nd & 20Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Chase Brown run for 3 yds to the Minn 39

3rd & 17Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.89

Chase Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 40

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Blake Hayes punt for 40 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Ky Thomas run for 1 yd to the Minn 21

2nd & 9Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.47

Tanner Morgan sacked by Isaiah Gay and Calvin Avery for a loss of 6 yards to the Minn 15

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.05

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Mark Crawford punt for 39 yds, downed at the Illin 46

1st & 10Rush-15 ydsPPA -3.00

Chase Brown run for no gain to the Illin 46 ILLINOIS Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Daniel Barker) to the Illin 31

2nd & 25Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.11

Chase Brown run for 1 yd to the Illin 32

3rd & 24Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.35

Chase Brown run for 13 yds to the Illin 45

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Blake Hayes punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Brock Annexstad at the Minn 14

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.65

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Brevyn Spann-Ford for 12 yds to the Minn 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Mike Brown-Stephens for 4 yds to the Minn 30

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Mike Brown-Stephens

3rd & 6Penalty+15 yds

Morgan, Tanner pass incomplete to Brown-Stephens, Mike, PENALTY ILLINOIS pass interference (Adams, Tony) 15 yards to the MINNESOTA45, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MINNESOTA.

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.23

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 9 yds to the Illin 46

2nd & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.82

Ky Thomas run for a loss of 2 yards to the Illin 48

3rd & 3Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.77

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Dylan Wright for 10 yds to the Illin 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.80

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Brevyn Spann-Ford for 9 yds to the Illin 29

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Ky Thomas run for 3 yds to the Illin 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.30

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Brevyn Spann-Ford for 17 yds to the Illin 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Tanner Morgan run for 1 yd to the Illin 8

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.22

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Mike Brown-Stephens for 7 yds to the Illin 1

3rd & 0Penalty0 yds

Thomas, Ky rush for no gain to the ILLINOIS1, PENALTY ILLINOIS offside 0 yards to the ILLINOIS1, NO PLAY.

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Ky Thomas run for no gain to the Illin 1

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.79

Tanner Morgan run for 1 yd for a TD, (Matthew Trickett PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Chase Brown run for 4 yds to the Illin 29

2nd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.14

Brandon Peters run for 8 yds to the Illin 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Chase Brown run for 2 yds to the Illin 39

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Chase Brown run for 4 yds to the Illin 43

3rd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +2.01

Chase Brown run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Chase Brown run for 2 yds to the Minn 48

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Brandon Peters run for 3 yds to the Minn 45

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Chase Brown run for 2 yds to the Minn 43

4th & 3Penalty0 yds

ILLINOIS Penalty, Delay of Game ( Yards) declined

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Blake Hayes punt for 41 yds, downed at the Minn 2

1st & 10Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +2.02

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Dylan Wright for 36 yds to the Minn 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

TEAM pass incomplete

2nd & 10Sack-11 ydsPPA -1.26

Tanner Morgan sacked by Isaiah Gay for a loss of 11 yards to the Minn 27

3rd & 21Pass Interception Return+12 ydsPPA +0.30

Tanner Morgan pass intercepted Kerby Joseph return for 12 yds to the Minn 43

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.16

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 44

Situational Analysis

Illinois

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
46%
24 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
0%
3 plays
63%
8 plays
0%
6 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
75%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
4th

Minnesota

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
56%
27 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
20%
5 plays
0%
2 plays
14%
7 plays
20%
5 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
67%
6 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play