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← Back to GamesOct 30, 2021Week 9
RutgersRutgers
20
-Final
14
IllinoisIllinois
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Illinois by 0.2

Home Win Probability

Illinois 50%

Market (consensus)

Illinois +1.5

Edge: Illinois +1.5 (1.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 30, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
RutgersRutgers
7301020
IllinoisIllinois
0140014

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-77-1014-1014-1714-20
IllinoisRutgers

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20RUTILLRUTILLRUTILLRUTILLRUTILLRUTILLRUTILLILLRUTILLRUTILLRUTILLRUTILLRUTPUNT837ydPUNT37ydTD1061ydPUNT37ydPUNT3-2ydPUNT838ydPUNT33ydTD466ydFG1062ydPUNT39ydPUNT36ydTD480ydPUNT514ydEND19ydPUNT614ydFG1253ydPUNT32ydTD1388ydPUNT3-8ydPUNT37ydPUNT31ydFG736ydDOWNS837ydEND48yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Rutgers and Illinois
StatisticRutgersIllinois
Passing13-2714-19
Pass Yards158190
Rush Yards230107
Total Yards388297
Turnovers00
3rd Down3-153-12
Penalties3-153-35
Possession35:0124:59

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Rutgers
passing
Noah Vedral
10/21, 138 YDS
rushing
Isaih Pacheco
21 CAR, 91 YDS
receiving
Bo Melton
5 REC, 58 YDS
defense
Illinois
passing
Brandon Peters
14/19, 190 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Chase Brown
18 CAR, 67 YDS
receiving
Isaiah Williams
3 REC, 67 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Tarique Barnes
0.5 TFL, 1 PD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.15

Noah Vedral pass complete to Shameen Jones for 24 yds to the Rutgr 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Noah Vedral pass incomplete to Bo Melton

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.83

Isaih Pacheco run for 8 yds to the Illin 43

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Isaih Pacheco run for 1 yd to the Illin 42

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.96

Isaih Pacheco run for 2 yds to the Illin 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Noah Vedral pass incomplete to Shameen Jones

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Kyle Monangai run for 2 yds to the Illin 38

3rd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Kyle Monangai run for no gain to the Illin 38

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Adam Korsak punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Illin 4

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.27

Chase Brown run for no gain to the Illin 4

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Chase Brown run for 4 yds to the Illin 8

3rd & 6Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.04

Brandon Peters pass complete to Casey Washington for 3 yds to the Illin 11

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Blake Hayes punt for 50 yds , Avery Young returns for no gain to the Rutgr 39

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.09

Noah Vedral run for 12 yds to the Illin 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.75

Isaih Pacheco run for 13 yds to the Illin 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.55

Cole Snyder run for 1 yd to the Illin 35

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Cole Snyder run for 6 yds to the Illin 29

3rd & 3Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Cole Snyder pass complete to Shameen Jones for 2 yds to the Illin 27

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.09

Johnny Langan run for 2 yds to the Illin 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Kyle Monangai run for 6 yds to the Illin 19

2nd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA -0.03

Kyle Monangai run for 7 yds to the Illin 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Kyle Monangai run for 5 yds to the Illin 7

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.46

Kyle Monangai run for 7 yds for a TD (Valentino Ambrosio KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Chase Brown run for no gain to the Illin 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Brandon Peters pass complete to Deuce Spann for 7 yds to the Illin 32

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Casey Washington

4th & 3Punt+12 yds

Blake Hayes punt for 48 yds , Avery Young returns for 12 yds to the Rutgr 32

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Cole Snyder run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 34

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Cole Snyder pass incomplete to Aaron Young

3rd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Cole Snyder run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 30

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Adam Korsak punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Donny Navarro III at the Illin 25

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Joshua McCray run for 1 yd to the Illin 26

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Joshua McCray run for 2 yds to the Illin 28

3rd & 7Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +3.01

Brandon Peters pass complete to Daniel Barker for 21 yds to the Illin 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Brandon Peters run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 45

2nd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.52

Chase Brown run for 8 yds to the Rutgr 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Donny Navarro III

2nd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.97

Brandon Peters pass complete to Carlos Sandy for no gain to the Rutgr 37

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Casey Washington

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Blake Hayes punt for 25 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Rutgr 12

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Cole Snyder run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 15

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Cole Snyder pass incomplete to Shameen Jones

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Cole Snyder pass incomplete to Shameen Jones

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Adam Korsak punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Donny Navarro III at the Illin 34

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+1 ydsPPA -0.81

Chase Brown run for 1 yd to the Illin 33 Chase Brown fumbled, forced by Ifeanyi Maijeh, recovered by Illin

2nd & 11Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.60

Chase Brown run for 8 yds to the Illin 41

3rd & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.87

Brandon Peters pass complete to Chase Brown for 7 yds to the Illin 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+52 ydsPPA +4.01

Brandon Peters pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 52 yds for a TD (James McCourt KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.54

Isaih Pacheco run for 7 yds to the Rutgr 28

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.27

Isaih Pacheco run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Isaih Pacheco run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 31

2nd & 11Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.82

Noah Vedral pass complete to Victor Konopka for 20 yds to the Illin 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Isaih Pacheco run for 2 yds to the Illin 47

2nd & 8Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +1.75

Noah Vedral pass complete to Bo Melton for 26 yds to the Illin 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Noah Vedral pass incomplete to Johnny Langan

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Kyle Monangai run for 4 yds to the Illin 17

3rd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.54

Kyle Monangai run for no gain to the Illin 17

4th & 6Field Goal Good+35 yds

Valentino Ambrosio 35 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Brandon Peters pass complete to Donny Navarro III for 6 yds to the Illin 31

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Joshua McCray run for 3 yds to the Illin 34

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Joshua McCray run for no gain to the Illin 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Blake Hayes punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Avery Young at the Rutgr 20

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Aaron Young run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 18

2nd & 12Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Cole Snyder pass complete to Brandon Sanders for 5 yds to the Rutgr 23

3rd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Cole Snyder run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 26

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Adam Korsak punt for 54 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +2.62

Brandon Peters pass complete to Casey Washington for 31 yds to the Rutgr 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.82

Brandon Peters run for 8 yds to the Rutgr 41

2nd & 2Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.23

Chase Brown run for 15 yds to the Rutgr 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+26 ydsPPA +2.72

Brandon Peters pass complete to Daniel Barker for 26 yds for a TD (James McCourt KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.20

Noah Vedral pass complete to Bo Melton for 9 yds to the Rutgr 32

2nd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.16

Isaih Pacheco run for 7 yds to the Rutgr 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Noah Vedral pass complete to Shameen Jones for 8 yds to the Rutgr 47

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.36

Noah Vedral pass incomplete to Bo Melton

3rd & 2Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY RUT False Start (Pierce,Hollin) 5 yards from RUT47 to RUT42. NO PLAY.

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Noah Vedral pass incomplete to Johnny Langan

4th & 7Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY RUT Delay Of Game 5 yards from RUT42 to RUT37. NO PLAY.

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Adam Korsak punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Donny Navarro III at the Illin 15

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.96

Chase Brown run for 9 yds to the Illin 24

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Chase Brown run for 1 yd to the Illin 24

2nd & 11Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.78

Brandon Peters pass complete to Donny Navarro III for 10 yds to the Illin 34

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.95

Brandon Peters run for 2 yds to the Illin 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

Williams,Isaiah rush for 7 yards gain to the ILL43 (Singleton,Drew) PENALTY ILL Chop Block (Barker,Daniel) 15 yards from ILL36 to ILL21. NO PLAY.

1st & 25Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.11

Brandon Peters run for 7 yds to the Illin 28

2nd & 18Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Chase Brown run for 3 yds to the Illin 31

3rd & 15Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.19

Brandon Peters pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 8 yds to the Illin 39

4th & 7Punt+5 yds

Blake Hayes punt for 47 yds , Avery Young returns for 5 yds to the Rutgr 19

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.75

Isaih Pacheco run for 11 yds to the Rutgr 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.00

Noah Vedral pass complete to Shameen Jones for 8 yds to the Rutgr 38

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.04

Isaih Pacheco run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Noah Vedral pass complete to Shameen Jones for 6 yds to the Rutgr 47

2nd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.78

Isaih Pacheco run for 8 yds to the Illin 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Kyle Monangai run for 6 yds to the Illin 39

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Noah Vedral pass incomplete to Bo Melton

3rd & 4Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.36

Kyle Monangai run for 9 yds to the Illin 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Kyle Monangai run for 2 yds to the Illin 28

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Noah Vedral pass incomplete to Jovani Haskins

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.92

Noah Vedral pass incomplete to Brandon Sanders

4th & 8Field Goal Missed+46 yds

Valentino Ambrosio 46 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY ILL False Start (Kramer,Doug) 5 yards from ILL28 to ILL23. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.39

Brandon Peters pass complete to Carlos Sandy for no gain to the Illin 23

2nd & 15Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.16

Brandon Peters pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 7 yds to the Illin 30

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Isaiah Williams

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Blake Hayes punt for 57 yds , Avery Young returns for no gain to the Rutgr 12

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.32

Isaih Pacheco run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 13

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Noah Vedral pass incomplete to Aaron Young

3rd & 9Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.50

Noah Vedral pass complete to Johnny Langan for 27 yds to the Rutgr 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Isaih Pacheco run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 45

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.96

Isaih Pacheco run for 7 yds to the Illin 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Kyle Monangai run for 3 yds to the Illin 45

2nd & 7Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.96

Noah Vedral pass complete to Bo Melton for 7 yds to the Illin 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Noah Vedral run for 3 yds to the Illin 35

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Kyle Monangai run for 2 yds to the Illin 33

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Noah Vedral pass incomplete to Bo Melton

4th & 5Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.19

Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Bo Melton for 13 yds to the Illin 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Isaih Pacheco run for 5 yds to the Illin 15

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.54

Noah Vedral run for 15 yds for a TD (Valentino Ambrosio KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Chase Brown run for 5 yds to the Illin 30

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Chase Brown run for 2 yds to the Illin 32

3rd & 3Penalty-15 yds

Peters,Brandon pass complete to Marchese,Michael for 5 yards to the ILL37 (Singleton,Drew) PENALTY ILL Face Mask (Pearl,Julian) 15 yards from ILL32 to ILL17. NO PLAY.

3rd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.04

Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Chase Brown

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Blake Hayes punt for 41 yds , Avery Young returns for no gain to the Rutgr 42

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Isaih Pacheco run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 44

2nd & 8Penalty-5 yds

Pacheco,Isaih rush for 5 yards gain to the RUT49 (Tolson,Khalan) PENALTY RUT Illegal Formation 5 yards from RUT44 to RUT39. NO PLAY.

2nd & 13Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Noah Vedral run for 7 yds to the Rutgr 46

3rd & 6Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Noah Vedral pass complete to Bo Melton for 3 yds to the Rutgr 49

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Adam Korsak punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Illin 1

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Brandon Peters run for 2 yds to the Illin 3

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.10

Chase Brown run for 2 yds to the Illin 1

3rd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.04

Chase Brown run for 1 yd to the Illin 2

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Blake Hayes punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Illin 43

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.45

Noah Vedral run for 10 yds to the Illin 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Kyle Monangai run for 4 yds to the Illin 29

2nd & 6Rush+20 ydsPPA +0.54

Kyle Monangai run for 20 yds to the Illin 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Isaih Pacheco run for 1 yd to the Illin 8

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.21

Isaih Pacheco run for 1 yd to the Illin 7

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Noah Vedral pass incomplete to Bo Melton

4th & 7Field Goal Good+25 yds

Valentino Ambrosio 25 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Chase Brown run for 7 yds to the Illin 32

2nd & 3Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.01

Chase Brown run for 11 yds to the Illin 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Chase Brown run for 2 yds to the Illin 45

2nd & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.80

Brandon Peters pass complete to Luke Ford for 12 yds to the Rutgr 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Jakari Norwood run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 37

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Jakari Norwood run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 35

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.80

Jakari Norwood run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 34

4th & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.56

Chase Brown run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 38

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Isaih Pacheco run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 41

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Isaih Pacheco run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 42

3rd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +2.40

Noah Vedral run for 9 yds to the Illin 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -2.18

run for a loss of 5 yards to the Rutgr 46

Situational Analysis

Rutgers

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
45%
33 plays
2nd
75%
4 plays
71%
7 plays
31%
13 plays
100%
3 plays
3rd
0%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
13%
8 plays
4th
100%
2 plays
100%
1 play

Illinois

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
56%
18 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
100%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
33%
6 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
40%
5 plays
0%
1 play
25%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play