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← Back to GamesSep 25, 2021Week 4
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Purdue by 14.7

Home Win Probability

Purdue 82%

Market (consensus)

Purdue -10.5

Edge: Purdue -10.5 (4.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 25, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
IllinoisIllinois
03339
PurduePurdue
600713

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40143-06-06-36-66-913-9
PurdueIllinois

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20PURILLPURILLPURILLPURILLPURILLPURILLPURILLPURILLPURILLPURILLPURILLPURFG1569ydPUNT3-13ydFG634ydPUNT526ydPUNT34ydPUNT3-6ydPUNT63ydPUNT512ydPUNT512ydFG729ydPUNT39ydPUNT510ydEND1-2ydFG1358ydPUNT37ydMISS845ydTO760ydFG653ydTO727ydPUNT520ydTD1094ydDOWNS1356ydEND2-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Illinois and Purdue
StatisticIllinoisPurdue
Passing14-2724-40
Pass Yards100277
Rush Yards17538
Total Yards275315
Turnovers02
3rd Down5-167-14
Penalties1-101-15
Possession33:4526:15

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Illinois
passing
Brandon Peters
14/26, 100 YDS
rushing
Joshua McCray
24 CAR, 156 YDS
receiving
Casey Washington
3 REC, 31 YDS
defense
Purdue
passing
Aidan O'Connell
12/19, 182 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Dylan Downing
10 CAR, 39 YDS
receiving
Milton Wright
7 REC, 88 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Jack Plummer pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for 8 yds to the Prdue 33

2nd & 2Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +0.02

Jack Plummer pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 3 yds to the Prdue 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Ja'Quez Cross run for 1 yd to the Prdue 37

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Jack Plummer pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.87

Jack Plummer pass complete to Broc Thompson for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Jack Plummer pass complete to Broc Thompson for 5 yds to the Illin 45

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Ja'Quez Cross run for 2 yds to the Illin 43

3rd & 3Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.48

Jack Plummer pass complete to Milton Wright for 10 yds to the Illin 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Jack Plummer pass complete to Milton Wright for 3 yds to the Illin 30

2nd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Jack Plummer pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 8 yds to the Illin 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.13

Jack Plummer pass complete to Milton Wright for 11 yds to the Illin 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.35

Dylan Downing run for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 12

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Jack Plummer pass incomplete

3rd & 11Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Jack Plummer pass complete to Payne Durham for 6 yds to the Illin 6

4th & 5Field Goal Good+23 yds

Mitchell Fineran 23 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Joshua McCray run for a loss of 2 yards to the Illin 23

2nd & 12Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Isaiah Williams run for 2 yds to the Illin 25

3rd & 10Sack0 ydsPPA -0.16

Brandon Peters sacked for 0 yards to the Illin 12

4th & 23Punt+7 yds

Blake Hayes punt for 42 yds , TJ Sheffield returns for 7 yds to the Illin 47

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.54

Dylan Downing run for 7 yds to the Illin 40

2nd & 3Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.44

Jack Plummer pass complete to Milton Wright for 19 yds to the Illin 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Dylan Downing run for 5 yds to the Illin 16

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Jack Plummer run for 1 yd to the Illin 15

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Dylan Downing run for 2 yds to the Illin 13

4th & 2Field Goal Good+30 yds

Mitchell Fineran 30 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Joshua McCray run for 9 yds to the Illin 34

2nd & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.36

Joshua McCray run for 9 yds to the Illin 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Brandon Peters pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.70

Joshua McCray run for 1 yd to the Illin 44

3rd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.41

Brandon Peters pass complete to Casey Washington for 7 yds to the Prdue 49

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Blake Hayes punt for 40 yds, fair catch by TJ Sheffield at the Prdue 9

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Ja'Quez Cross run for 3 yds to the Prdue 12

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Jack Plummer pass incomplete

3rd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.09

Jack Plummer run for 1 yd to the Prdue 13

4th & 6Punt+40 yds

Jack Ansell punt for 54 yds , Donny Navarro III returns for 40 yds to the Illin 26

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.84

Reggie Love III run for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 25

2nd & 11Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -0.46

Brandon Peters pass complete to Jakari Norwood for a loss of 5 yards to the Illin 20

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.06

Brandon Peters pass incomplete

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Blake Hayes punt for 80 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Sack0 ydsPPA -0.56

Jack Plummer sacked by Owen Carney Jr. for 0 yards to the Prdue 19

2nd & 11Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.47

Dylan Downing run for 9 yds to the Prdue 28

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.04

Dylan Downing run for 4 yds to the Prdue 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Jack Plummer pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Jack Plummer pass incomplete

3rd & 10Sack0 ydsPPA -0.25

Jack Plummer sacked by Isaiah Gay and Jer'Zhan Newton for 0 yards to the Prdue 23

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Jack Ansell punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Donny Navarro III at the Illin 36

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Joshua McCray run for no gain to the Illin 36

2nd & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.50

Joshua McCray run for 16 yds to the Prdue 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Joshua McCray run for 5 yds to the Prdue 43

2nd & 5Rush-9 ydsPPA -2.89

Joshua McCray run for a loss of 9 yards to the Illin 48

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Brandon Peters pass incomplete

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Blake Hayes punt for 46 yds, fair catch by TJ Sheffield at the Prdue 6

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.74

Jackson Anthrop run for 9 yds to the Prdue 15

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Ja'Quez Cross run for 2 yds to the Prdue 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Ja'Quez Cross run for 1 yd to the Prdue 18

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Jack Plummer pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Jack Plummer pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Jack Ansell punt for 44 yds

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.03

Joshua McCray run for 11 yds to the Illin 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.12

Joshua McCray run for 9 yds to the Prdue 42

2nd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA -0.17

Joshua McCray run for 7 yds to the Prdue 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Reggie Love III run for 3 yds to the Prdue 32

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.97

Reggie Love III run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 33

3rd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -1.02

Reggie Love III run for no gain to the Prdue 33

4th & 8Field Goal Good+51 yds

James McCourt 51 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Dylan Downing run for 6 yds to the Prdue 31

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Jack Plummer pass incomplete

3rd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Jack Plummer pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for 3 yds to the Prdue 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Jack Ansell punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Donny Navarro III at the Illin 29

2nd & 8Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.74

Brandon Peters pass complete to Casey Washington for 11 yds to the Illin 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Brandon Peters pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 4 yds to the Illin 46

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Brandon Peters pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Reggie Love III run for 2 yds to the Illin 31

3rd & 6Sack0 ydsPPA -0.77

Brandon Peters sacked by DaMarcus Mitchell and Branson Deen for 0 yards to the Illin 39

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Blake Hayes punt for 55 yds, downed at the Prdue 6

0th & 12End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Joshua McCray run for 4 yds to the Illin 29

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Joshua McCray run for 2 yds to the Illin 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.56

Brandon Peters pass complete to Donny Navarro III for 6 yds to the Illin 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Reggie Love III run for 3 yds to the Illin 40

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Joshua McCray run for 3 yds to the Illin 43

3rd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.93

Brandon Peters pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 6 yds to the Illin 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Joshua McCray run for 3 yds to the Prdue 33

2nd & 7Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.52

Brandon Peters pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 7 yds to the Prdue 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.47

Isaiah Williams run for no gain to the Prdue 26

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Joshua McCray run for 5 yds to the Prdue 21

3rd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Brandon Peters pass complete to Tip Reiman for 4 yds to the Prdue 17

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Isaiah Williams pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

PETERS, Brandon pass up the middle incomplete intended for SPANN, Deuce thrown to the PUR3. PENALTY PUR Pass Interference on MACKEY, Dedrick enforced 15 yards to the PUR36 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).

4th & 1Field Goal Good+35 yds

James McCourt 35 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Ja'Quez Cross run for 1 yd to the Prdue 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Jack Plummer pass complete to Garrett Miller for 6 yds to the Prdue 32

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Jack Plummer pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt+4 yds

Jack Ansell punt for 53 yds , Donny Navarro III returns for 4 yds to the Illin 19

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.29

Jakari Norwood run for 17 yds to the Illin 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Jakari Norwood run for 9 yds to the Illin 45

2nd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.70

Jakari Norwood run for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 44

3rd & 2Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.37

Brandon Peters pass complete to Luke Ford for 18 yds to the Prdue 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.18

Reggie Love III run for a loss of 2 yards to the Prdue 40

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Brandon Peters pass incomplete

3rd & 12Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Brandon Peters pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 4 yds to the Prdue 36

4th & 8Field Goal Missed+54 yds

James McCourt 54 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Milton Wright for 1 yd to the Prdue 37

2nd & 9Pass Reception+43 ydsPPA +3.38

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Abdur-Rahmaan Yaseen for 43 yds to the Illin 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack0 ydsPPA -0.37

Aidan O'Connell sacked by Tarique Barnes for 0 yards to the Illin 30

2nd & 20Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.39

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Garrett Miller for 7 yds to the Illin 23

3rd & 13Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.20

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 19 yds to the Illin 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete

2nd & 4Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -4.67

Aidan O'Connell pass intercepted, touchback. return for no gain

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.11

Joshua McCray run for 9 yds to the Illin 29

2nd & 1Rush+38 ydsPPA +2.37

Joshua McCray run for 38 yds to the Prdue 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Brandon Peters pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Joshua McCray run for 6 yds to the Prdue 27

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Brandon Peters pass incomplete

4th & 4Field Goal Good+45 yds

James McCourt 45 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Garrett Miller for 7 yds to the Prdue 32

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Dylan Downing run for 2 yds to the Prdue 34

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.95

Dylan Downing run for 2 yds to the Prdue 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.50

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Abdur-Rahmaan Yaseen for 16 yds to the Illin 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -2.24

Aidan O'Connell pass intercepted return for no gain to the Illin 46

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.21

Joshua McCray run for 9 yds to the Prdue 45

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Joshua McCray run for 3 yds to the Prdue 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Jakari Norwood run for 2 yds to the Prdue 40

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jakari Norwood run for 5 yds to the Prdue 35

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.80

Jakari Norwood run for 1 yd to the Prdue 34

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Blake Hayes punt for 28 yds, downed at the Prdue 6

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.32

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for 10 yds to the Prdue 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Ja'Quez Cross run for 2 yds to the Prdue 18

2nd & 8Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.73

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Abdur-Rahmaan Yaseen for 18 yds to the Prdue 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Dylan Downing run for 3 yds to the Prdue 39

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +3.05

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Milton Wright for 17 yds to the Illin 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +0.83

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Milton Wright for 27 yds to the Illin 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Dylan Downing for 3 yds to the Illin 14

3rd & 7Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +3.04

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 14 yds for a TD (Mitchell Fineran KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Brandon Peters pass complete to Patrick Bryant for 9 yds to the Illin 34

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.28

Reggie Love III run for no gain to the Illin 34

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.34

Joshua McCray run for 6 yds to the Illin 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Brandon Peters pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Brandon Peters pass complete to Patrick Bryant for 4 yds to the Illin 44

3rd & 6Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.67

Brandon Peters pass complete to Casey Washington for 13 yds to the Prdue 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Brandon Peters pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.45

Brandon Peters pass complete to Patrick Bryant for 12 yds to the Prdue 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.24

Joshua McCray run for 12 yds to the Prdue 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.36

Joshua McCray run for no gain to the Prdue 19

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Brandon Peters pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Brandon Peters pass incomplete

4th & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.89

Brandon Peters pass incomplete

No play data available

Situational Analysis

Illinois

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
36%
28 plays
2nd
33%
6 plays
0%
3 plays
58%
12 plays
0%
3 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
50%
6 plays
25%
4 plays
0%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Purdue

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
40%
25 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
0%
4 plays
42%
12 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
50%
6 plays
100%
2 plays
4th