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← Back to GamesAug 28, 2021Week 1
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Illinois by 2.6

Home Win Probability

Illinois 56%

Market (consensus)

Illinois +6.5

Edge: Illinois +6.5 (9.1 pts)

fitted_v1 · Aug 28, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
NebraskaNebraska
097622
IllinoisIllinois
21414030

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014282-02-69-923-930-1630-22
IllinoisNebraska

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NEBILLNEBILLILLNEBILLNEBILLNEBILLNEBNEBILLNEBILLNEBILLNEBILLNEBILLNEBILLPUNT523ydPUNT423ydPUNT518ydSAF63ydMISS539ydTD763ydPUNT38ydFG860ydTD1175ydPUNT57ydTO432ydTD32ydEND2-7ydTD1475ydPUNT3-10ydTD347ydTD175ydPUNT517ydPUNT836ydPUNT725ydTD1991ydPUNT516ydDOWNS614ydEND1-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Nebraska and Illinois
StatisticNebraskaIllinois
Passing16-3215-19
Pass Yards232159
Rush Yards160167
Total Yards392326
Turnovers11
3rd Down5-146-13
Penalties5-673-40
Possession25:0534:55

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Nebraska
passing
Adrian Martinez
16/32, 232 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Adrian Martinez
17 CAR, 111 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Oliver Martin
6 REC, 103 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Illinois
passing
Artur Sitkowski
12/15, 124 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Mike Epstein
16 CAR, 75 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Deuce Spann
1 REC, 45 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Gabe Ervin run for 1 yd to the Neb 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.10

Adrian Martinez pass complete to Samori Toure for 16 yds to the Neb 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.15

Gabe Ervin run for no gain to the Neb 42

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Adrian Martinez pass complete to Wyatt Liewer for 6 yds to the Neb 48

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Samori Toure

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Daniel Cerni punt for 26 yds, downed at the Illin 26

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.73

Brandon Peters pass complete to Luke Ford for 19 yds to the Illin 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.59

Mike Epstein run for a loss of 2 yards to the Illin 43

2nd & 12Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.05

Mike Epstein run for a loss of 3 yards to the Illin 40

3rd & 15Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.46

Brandon Peters pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 9 yds to the Illin 49

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Blake Hayes punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Neb 1

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Oliver Martin

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.50

Gabe Ervin run for 11 yds to the Neb 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.32

Gabe Ervin run for 1 yd to the Neb 13

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Adrian Martinez pass incomplete

3rd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.05

Adrian Martinez run for 6 yds to the Neb 19

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Daniel Cerni punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Donny Navarro III at the Illin 37

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Mike Epstein run for 3 yds to the Illin 40

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Donny Navarro III

3rd & 7Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.30

Brandon Peters pass complete to Casey Washington for 7 yds to the Illin 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Isaiah Williams run for 1 yd to the Illin 48

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Reggie Love III run for 1 yd to the Illin 49

3rd & 8Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.38

Brandon Peters sacked by Pheldarius Payne for a loss of 9 yards to the Illin 40

4th & 17Safety-1 ydsPPA -1.77

Team Safety

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+9 yds

Brendan Franke kickoff for 55 yds , Donny Navarro III return for 9 yds to the Illin 34 ILLINOIS Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Illin 24

1st & 10Rush+45 ydsPPA +3.30

Mike Epstein run for 45 yds to the Neb 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Mike Epstein run for 2 yds to the Neb 29

2nd & 8Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.90

Brandon Peters sacked by Deontre Thomas and Garrett Nelson for a loss of 6 yards to the Neb 35

3rd & 14Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.29

Artur Sitkowski sacked by Pheldarius Payne for a loss of 2 yards to the Neb 37

4th & 16Field Goal Missed+55 yds

James McCourt 55 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Adrian Martinez run for 3 yds to the Neb 40

2nd & 7Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.06

Adrian Martinez run for 1 yd to the Neb 41 for a 1ST down ILLINOIS Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Owen Carney Jr.) to the Illin 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +0.86

Adrian Martinez pass complete to Markese Stepp for 30 yds to the Illin 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Markese Stepp run for 1 yd to the Illin 13

2nd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.21

Markese Stepp run for 7 yds to the Illin 6

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.37

Samori Toure run for 4 yds to the Illin 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Markese Stepp run for 2 yds for a TD, (Connor Culp PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Mike Epstein run for 6 yds to the Illin 31

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Mike Epstein run for 3 yds to the Illin 34

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Mike Epstein run for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 33

4th & 2Punt+2 yds

Blake Hayes punt for 38 yds , Cam Taylor-Britt returns for 2 yds to the Neb 31

1st & 10Pass Reception+43 ydsPPA +2.89

Adrian Martinez pass complete to Oliver Martin for 43 yds to the Illin 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.36

Gabe Ervin run for 1 yd to the Illin 25

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Gabe Ervin run for 6 yds to the Illin 19

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.37

Adrian Martinez run for 5 yds to the Illin 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Wyatt Liewer

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Samori Toure run for 5 yds to the Illin 9

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Austin Allen

4th & 5Field Goal Good+27 yds

Connor Culp 27 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Chase Brown run for 4 yds to the Illin 29

2nd & 6Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.53

Jakari Norwood run for 12 yds to the Illin 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Jakari Norwood run for 3 yds to the Illin 44

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Chase Brown run for no gain to the Illin 44

3rd & 7Penalty+15 yds

Sitkowski, Artur pass pass intercepted by Taylor-Britt, Cam at the ILLINOIS46, Taylor-Britt, Cam return 0 yards to the ILLINOIS46, PENALTY NEBRASKA roughing passer (Tannor, Caleb) 15 yards to the NEBRASKA41, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ILLINOIS.

1st & 10Penalty+17 yds

NEBRASKA Penalty, Personal Foul (Caleb Tannor) to the Neb 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Mike Epstein run for 5 yds to the Neb 19

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Mike Epstein run for 3 yds to the Neb 16

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.22

Mike Epstein run for 4 yds to the Neb 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Mike Epstein for 2 yds to the Neb 10

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Reggie Love III run for 2 yds to the Neb 8

3rd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.92

Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Jakari Norwood for 7 yds to the Neb 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Mike Epstein run for 1 yd for a TD, (James McCourt KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Adrian Martinez run for 5 yds to the Neb 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.13

Adrian Martinez pass complete to Oliver Martin for 9 yds to the Neb 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Austin Allen

2nd & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.22

Adrian Martinez sacked by Calvin Hart Jr. for a loss of 7 yards to the Neb 32

3rd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Chris Hickman

4th & 17Punt+7 yds

Daniel Cerni punt for 46 yds , Donny Navarro III returns for 7 yds to the Illin 29

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Mike Epstein run for 5 yds to the Illin 34

2nd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.92

Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Casey Washington for 6 yds to the Illin 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Artur Sitkowski pass incomplete to Isaiah Williams

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+21 ydsPPA -1.12

Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Donny Navarro III for 21 yds Donny Navarro III fumbled, forced by Luke Reimer, recovered by Neb Myles Farmer

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Chris Hickman

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.78

Adrian Martinez pass complete to Omar Manning for 8 yds to the Neb 47

3rd & 2Sack+41 ydsPPA +2.66

Adrian Martinez sacked by Keith Randolph Jr. for a loss of 6 yards Adrian Martinez fumbled, recovered by Illin Calvin Hart Jr. , return for 41 yds for a TD, (James McCourt KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Gabe Ervin run for 4 yds to the Neb 23

2nd & 6Sack-11 ydsPPA -0.83

Adrian Martinez sacked by Jer'Zhan Newton for a loss of 11 yards to the Neb 12

0th & 6End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Chase Brown run for 3 yds to the Illin 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.62

Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 12 yds to the Illin 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.28

Chase Brown run for 15 yds to the Neb 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Isaiah Williams run for 7 yds to the Neb 38

2nd & 3Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.67

Artur Sitkowski run for a loss of 3 yards to the Neb 41

3rd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.76

Artur Sitkowski run for 9 yds to the Neb 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.37

Reggie Love III run for 7 yds to the Neb 25

2nd & 3Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 2 yds to the Neb 23

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.21

Mike Epstein run for 2 yds to the Neb 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Chase Brown run for 2 yds to the Neb 19

2nd & 8Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.96

Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 14 yds to the Neb 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Reggie Love III run for 3 yds to the Neb 2

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Reggie Love III run for no gain to the Neb 2

3rd & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Luke Ford for 2 yds for a TD, (James McCourt KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Chris Hickman

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.25

Adrian Martinez run for 7 yds to the Neb 27

3rd & 3Penalty-10 yds

Martinez, Adrian rush for 2 yards to the NEBRASKA29, PENALTY NEBRASKA holding (Banks, Brant) 10 yards to the NEBRASKA17, NO PLAY.

3rd & 13Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.10

Adrian Martinez sacked by Seth Coleman for a loss of 7 yards to the Neb 10

4th & 20Punt0 yds

Daniel Cerni punt for 37 yds, downed at the Neb 47

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Jakari Norwood run for 1 yd to the Neb 46

2nd & 9Pass Reception+45 ydsPPA +3.49

Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Deuce Spann for 45 yds to the Neb 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Passing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 1 yd for a TD, (James McCourt KICK)

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+75 ydsPPA +6.08

Adrian Martinez run for 75 yds for a TD, (Connor Culp KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Chase Hayden run for 2 yds to the Illin 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Luke Ford for 9 yds to the Illin 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Chase Hayden run for 1 yd to the Illin 37

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Chase Hayden run for 5 yds to the Illin 42

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Artur Sitkowski pass incomplete to Isaiah Williams

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Blake Hayes punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Oliver Martin at the Neb 21

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.48

Adrian Martinez pass complete to Omar Manning for 18 yds to the Neb 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Adrian Martinez run for 7 yds to the Neb 46

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.39

Gabe Ervin run for 5 yds to the Illin 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

Martinez, Adrian pass complete to Toure, Samori for 24 yards to the ILLINOIS25, PENALTY NEBRASKA pass interference (Martin, Oliver) 15 yards to the NEBRASKA36, NO PLAY.

1st & 25Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.42

Gabe Ervin run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 35

2nd & 26Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +4.08

Adrian Martinez pass complete to Oliver Martin for 28 yds to the Illin 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Martinez, Adrian rush for no gain to the ILLINOIS37, PENALTY NEBRASKA holding (Jurgens, Cameron) 10 yards to the ILLINOIS47, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.87

Adrian Martinez sacked by Roderick Perry II for a loss of 6 yards to the Neb 47

2nd & 26Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.73

Adrian Martinez pass complete to Oliver Martin for 10 yds to the Illin 43

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Oliver Martin

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Daniel Cerni punt for 19 yds, fair catch by Donny Navarro III at the Illin 24

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Reggie Love III run for 5 yds to the Illin 29

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.91

Reggie Love III run for 7 yds to the Illin 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Reggie Love III run for 7 yds to the Illin 43

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.34

Reggie Love III run for 4 yds to the Illin 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.38

Mike Epstein run for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 46 ILLINOIS Penalty, Illegal Formation ( Yards) declined

2nd & 11Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 3 yds to the Illin 49

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Artur Sitkowski pass incomplete to Isaiah Williams

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Blake Hayes punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Oliver Martin at the Neb 9

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.80

Adrian Martinez pass complete to Austin Allen for 9 yds to the Neb 18

2nd & 1Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA -0.06

Adrian Martinez pass complete to Wyatt Liewer for 7 yds to the Neb 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Adrian Martinez run for 2 yds to the Neb 27

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Rahmir Johnson run for 2 yds to the Neb 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.57

Adrian Martinez pass complete to Samori Toure for 16 yds to the Neb 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Rahmir Johnson run for 2 yds to the Neb 47

2nd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.54

Adrian Martinez pass complete to Oliver Martin for 9 yds to the Illin 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.50

Rahmir Johnson run for 7 yds to the Illin 37

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.95

Rahmir Johnson run for no gain to the Illin 37

3rd & 3Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.12

Adrian Martinez run for 10 yds to the Illin 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-14 ydsPPA -3.02

TEAM run for a loss of 14 yards to the Illin 41 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Neb Gabe Ervin

1st & 24Rush+26 ydsPPA +2.21

Adrian Martinez run for 26 yds to the Illin 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Adrian Martinez pass complete to Samori Toure for 5 yds to the Illin 10

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Wyatt Liewer

3rd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.96

Gabe Ervin run for 5 yds to the Illin 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Adrian Martinez run for 1 yd to the Illin 4

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.36

Gabe Ervin run for no gain to the Illin 4

3rd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

Gabe Ervin run for no gain to the Illin 4

4th & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.98

Adrian Martinez pass complete to Oliver Martin for 4 yds for a TD, (Connor Culp PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Reggie Love III run for 9 yds to the Illin 34

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Chase Hayden run for 4 yds to the Illin 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.27

Reggie Love III run for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 37

2nd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Mike Epstein run for 3 yds to the Illin 40

3rd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Reggie Love III run for 1 yd to the Illin 41

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Blake Hayes punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Oliver Martin at the Neb 13

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Adrian Martinez pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.16

Adrian Martinez pass complete to Austin Allen for 14 yds to the Neb 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Adrian Martinez pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Wyatt Liewer

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Wyatt Liewer

4th & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA +0.27

Adrian Martinez pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.74

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Neb 29

Situational Analysis

Nebraska

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
35%
26 plays
33%
3 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
73%
15 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
100%
4 plays
40%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
0%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play

Illinois

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play
41%
27 plays
2nd
20%
5 plays
60%
5 plays
45%
11 plays
0%
3 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play