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← Back to GamesNov 28, 2021Week 13

House Prediction

Model Margin

Notre Dame by 27.5

Home Win Probability

Stanford 6%

Market (consensus)

Stanford +21

Edge: Notre Dame -21 (6.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 28, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Notre DameNotre Dame
71771445
StanfordStanford
007714

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-70-140-170-247-3114-3814-45
StanfordNotre Dame

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20STANDSTANDSTASTANDSTANDSTANDSTANDSTANDSTANDSTANDSTANDSTANDSTANDSTANDSTAPUNT32ydTD574ydPUNT413ydPUNT512ydDOWNS32ydPUNT0-5ydTD969ydTO2-2ydFG45ydPUNT33ydTD1275ydPUNT724ydPUNT38ydDOWNS10ydTO38ydTD213ydTD475ydPUNT416ydPUNT44ydPUNT3-4ydPUNT623ydPUNT32ydTD372ydTD675ydPUNT417ydTO553ydTD977ydEND210yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Notre Dame and Stanford
StatisticNotre DameStanford
Passing27-3620-25
Pass Yards341172
Rush Yards16855
Total Yards509227
Turnovers12
3rd Down2-113-11
Penalties4-359-64
Possession34:1025:50

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Notre Dame
passing
Jack Coan
26/35, 345 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Kyren Williams
19 CAR, 74 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Kevin Austin
6 REC, 125 YDS
defense
Stanford
passing
Tanner McKee
20/25, 172 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Austin Jones
9 CAR, 35 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Ben Yurosek
5 REC, 87 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.05

Tanner McKee pass complete to Benjamin Yurosek for a loss of 3 yards to the Stanf 24

2nd & 13Rush0 ydsPPA -0.24

Austin Jones run for no gain to the Stanf 24

3rd & 13Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Tanner McKee pass complete to Michael Wilson for 5 yds to the Stanf 29

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Ryan Sanborn punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Kyren Williams at the NDame 26

1st & 10Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +2.77

Jack Coan pass complete to Kevin Austin Jr. for 33 yds to the Stanf 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

STANFORD Penalty, Offside Defense (Jordan Fox) to the Stanf 36

1st & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Jack Coan pass complete to Michael Mayer for 3 yds to the Stanf 33

2nd & 2Penalty+5 yds

STANFORD Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Stanf 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Chris Tyree run for 6 yds to the Stanf 22

2nd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA -0.01

Jack Coan pass complete to Kevin Austin Jr. for 6 yds to the Stanf 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.57

Jack Coan pass complete to Braden Lenzy for 16 yds for a TD (Jonathan Doerer KICK)

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.84

E.J. Smith run for 10 yds to the Stanf 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

E.J. Smith run for 3 yds to the Stanf 38

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.87

Nathaniel Peat run for no gain to the Stanf 38

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Tanner McKee pass incomplete to Elijah Higgins

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Ryan Sanborn punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Kyren Williams at the NDame 13

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Kyren Williams run for 3 yds to the NDame 16

2nd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.86

Jack Coan pass complete to Kevin Austin Jr. for 10 yds to the NDame 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Jack Coan pass complete to Lorenzo Styles Jr. for 2 yds to the NDame 28

2nd & 8Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.68

Chris Tyree run for a loss of 3 yards to the NDame 25

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.14

Jack Coan pass incomplete

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Jay Bramblett punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Bryce Farrell at the Stanf 26

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

E.J. Smith run for 4 yds to the Stanf 30

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

E.J. Smith run for 3 yds to the Stanf 33

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Tanner McKee pass incomplete

4th & 3Penalty-5 yds

STANFORD Penalty, Illegal Motion (-5 Yards) to the Stanf 28

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Ryan Sanborn punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Kyren Williams at the NDame 31

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.68

Jack Coan pass complete to Lorenzo Styles Jr. for 7 yds to the NDame 38

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.17

Jack Coan pass incomplete

3rd & 3Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.41

Kyren Williams run for 14 yds to the Stanf 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.83

Jack Coan sacked by Kendall Williamson for a loss of 9 yards to the NDame 43

2nd & 19Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.07

Jack Coan pass complete to Kyren Williams for 15 yds to the Stanf 42

3rd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.51

Jack Coan pass complete to Kevin Austin Jr. for 8 yds to the Stanf 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.33

Jack Coan pass complete to Michael Mayer for 15 yds to the Stanf 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.39

Jack Coan pass complete to Braden Lenzy for 15 yds to the Stanf 4 for a 1ST down STANFORD Penalty, Illegal Use of Hands (2 Yards) to the Stanf 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Jack Coan pass complete to George Takacs for 2 yds for a TD (Jonathan Doerer KICK)

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Austin Jones run for 11 yds to the Stanf 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-13 ydsPPA -2.12

Tanner McKee sacked by Rylie Mills for a loss of 13 yards to the Stanf 23 Tanner McKee fumbled, forced by Rylie Mills, recovered by NDame Justin Ademilola , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Penalty-9 yds

NOTRE DAME Penalty, Offensive Holding (-9 Yards) to the Stanf 32

1st & 19Penalty-5 yds

NOTRE DAME Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Stanf 37

1st & 24Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Jack Coan pass incomplete

2nd & 24Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Jack Coan pass complete to Michael Mayer for 5 yds to the Stanf 32

3rd & 19Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.75

Jack Coan pass complete to Michael Mayer for 14 yds to the Stanf 18

4th & 5Field Goal Good+36 yds

Jonathan Doerer 36 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Austin Jones run for 2 yds to the Stanf 30

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Austin Jones run for 1 yd to the Stanf 31

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Tanner McKee pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Ryan Sanborn punt for 44 yds , Kyren Williams returns for no gain to the NDame 25

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Jack Coan pass complete to Lorenzo Styles Jr. for 6 yds to the NDame 31

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.69

Chris Tyree run for 6 yds to the NDame 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.91

Jack Coan pass complete to Michael Mayer for 24 yds to the Stanf 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Jack Coan pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.21

Jack Coan pass complete to Lorenzo Styles Jr. for 12 yds to the Stanf 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.61

Kyren Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the Stanf 28

2nd & 11Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.83

Jack Coan pass complete to Kyren Williams for 5 yds to the Stanf 23 for a 1ST down STANFORD Penalty, Face Mask (12 yards) (12 Yards) to the Stanf 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Kyren Williams run for 7 yds to the Stanf 4

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.42

Kyren Williams run for no gain to the Stanf 4

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.70

Kyren Williams run for 3 yds to the Stanf 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Jack Coan pass incomplete

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Kyren Williams run for 1 yd for a TD (Jonathan Doerer KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Tanner McKee pass complete to Elijah Higgins for a loss of 2 yards to the Stanf 23 for a 1ST down NOTRE DAME Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Stanf 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Tanner McKee pass complete to Michael Wilson for 3 yds to the Stanf 41

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

E.J. Smith run for 5 yds to the Stanf 46

3rd & 2Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.87

Isaiah Sanders run for 10 yds to the NDame 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

STANFORD Penalty, Illegal Block (Austin Jones) to the Stanf 41

1st & 25Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Tanner McKee pass complete to E.J. Smith for 6 yds to the Stanf 47

2nd & 19Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.59

Tanner McKee pass complete to Nathaniel Peat for no gain to the Stanf 47

3rd & 19Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Tanner McKee run for 2 yds to the Stanf 49

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Ryan Sanborn punt for 48 yds, downed at the NDame 3

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.68

Kyren Williams run for 9 yds to the NDame 12

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.65

Logan Diggs run for no gain to the NDame 12

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.32

Logan Diggs run for a loss of 1 yard to the NDame 11

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Jay Bramblett punt for 30 yds, downed at the NDame 41

1st & 10Field Goal Missed+59 yds

Joshua Karty 59 yd FG MISSED

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Kyren Williams run for 2 yds to the NDame 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Jack Coan pass complete to Braden Lenzy for 6 yds to the NDame 33

3rd & 2Pass Interception Return+23 ydsPPA -0.70

Jack Coan pass intercepted Jonathan McGill return for 23 yds to the NDame 13

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Tanner McKee pass complete to Benjamin Yurosek for 8 yds to the NDame 5

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.09

Austin Jones run for 5 yds for a TD (Joshua Karty KICK)

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Braden Lenzy run for 12 yds to the NDame 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+61 ydsPPA +3.84

Jack Coan pass complete to Kevin Austin Jr. for 61 yds to the Stanf 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Kyren Williams run for 1 yd to the Stanf 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Jack Coan run for 1 yd for a TD (Jonathan Doerer KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Tanner McKee pass complete to Michael Wilson for 11 yds to the Stanf 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.36

Austin Jones run for a loss of 2 yards to the Stanf 34

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Tanner McKee pass incomplete

3rd & 12Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.20

Tanner McKee pass complete to Bryce Farrell for 7 yds to the Stanf 41

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Ryan Sanborn punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NDame 17

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.76

Kyren Williams run for 12 yds to the NDame 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.83

Kyren Williams run for no gain to the NDame 29

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.49

Kyren Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the NDame 28

3rd & 11Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.27

Jack Coan sacked by Aaron Armitage for a loss of 7 yards to the NDame 21

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Jay Bramblett punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Bryce Farrell at the Stanf 39

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Nathaniel Peat run for 1 yd to the Stanf 40

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.52

Nathaniel Peat run for 2 yds to the Stanf 42

3rd & 7Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.97

Tanner McKee sacked by Jayson Ademilola for a loss of 7 yards to the Stanf 35

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Ryan Sanborn punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Kyren Williams at the NDame 13

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.91

Jack Coan pass complete to Michael Mayer for 9 yds to the NDame 22

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Chris Tyree run for 2 yds to the NDame 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.00

Jack Coan pass complete to Braden Lenzy for 12 yds to the NDame 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Jack Coan pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Jack Coan pass complete to Michael Mayer for 5 yds to the NDame 41

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Jack Coan pass incomplete

4th & 5Penalty-5 yds

NOTRE DAME Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the NDame 36

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Jay Bramblett punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Bryce Farrell at the Stanf 19

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Tanner McKee pass complete to Michael Wilson for 2 yds to the Stanf 21

2nd & 8Pass Reception-7 ydsPPA -0.55

Tanner McKee pass complete to Bryce Farrell for a loss of 7 yards to the Stanf 14

3rd & 15Penalty-5 yds

STANFORD Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Stanf 9

3rd & 20Fumble Recovery (Own)+12 ydsPPA +0.09

Tanner McKee pass complete to Michael Wilson for 12 yds Michael Wilson fumbled, recovered by Stanf Walter Rouse

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Ryan Sanborn punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Kyren Williams at the NDame 28

1st & 10Rush+33 ydsPPA +2.72

Chris Tyree run for 33 yds to the Stanf 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Kyren Williams run for 6 yds to the Stanf 33

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+33 ydsPPA +2.88

Tyler Buchner run for 33 yds for a TD (Jonathan Doerer KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Tanner McKee run for no gain to the Stanf 25

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.48

Austin Jones run for 8 yds to the Stanf 33

3rd & 2Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.34

Tanner McKee pass complete to Bryce Farrell for 5 yds to the Stanf 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Tanner McKee pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.28

Tanner McKee pass complete to Elijah Higgins for 13 yds to the NDame 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+49 ydsPPA +3.76

Tanner McKee pass complete to Benjamin Yurosek for 49 yds for a TD (Joshua Karty KICK)

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.49

Tyler Buchner run for 11 yds to the NDame 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.77

Logan Diggs run for a loss of 2 yards to the NDame 20

2nd & 12Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -0.29

Tyler Buchner pass complete to Michael Mayer for a loss of 4 yards to the NDame 16

3rd & 16Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.22

Tyler Buchner run for 12 yds to the NDame 28

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Jay Bramblett punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Stanf 24

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.89

Tanner McKee pass complete to Austin Jones for 8 yds to the Stanf 32

2nd & 2Penalty-10 yds

STANFORD Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Stanf 22

2nd & 12Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.22

Tanner McKee pass complete to Benjamin Yurosek for 7 yds to the Stanf 29

3rd & 5Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +3.30

Tanner McKee pass complete to Benjamin Yurosek for 26 yds to the NDame 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Tanner McKee pass complete to Austin Jones for 3 yds to the NDame 42

2nd & 7Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+19 ydsPPA -3.19

Tanner McKee pass complete to Michael Wilson for 19 yds Michael Wilson fumbled, forced by Clarence Lewis, recovered by NDame Justin Ademilola

1st & 10Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +2.86

Jack Coan pass complete to Michael Mayer for 34 yds to the Stanf 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.16

Kyren Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the Stanf 44

2nd & 11Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Jack Coan pass complete to Kevin Austin Jr. for 7 yds to the Stanf 37

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Jack Coan pass incomplete

4th & 4Penalty+5 yds

STANFORD Penalty, Defensive Offside (Gabe Reid) to the Stanf 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Kyren Williams run for 3 yds to the Stanf 29

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Kyren Williams run for 3 yds to the Stanf 26

3rd & 4Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.74

Jack Coan pass complete to Mitchell Evans for 13 yds to the Stanf 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Kyren Williams run for 1 yd to the Stanf 12

2nd & 9Rushing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.78

Kyren Williams run for 12 yds for a TD (Jonathan Doerer KICK)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Austin Jones run for 9 yds to the Stanf 34

2nd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Austin Jones run for 1 yd to the Stanf 35 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Notre Dame

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
33%
3 plays
0%
1 play
61%
31 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
33%
6 plays
67%
3 plays
63%
8 plays
80%
5 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
4th

Stanford

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
40%
20 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
38%
8 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
100%
1 play
0%
3 plays
75%
4 plays
4th