Skip to main content
← Back to GamesOct 23, 2021Week 8
USCUSC
16
-Final
31
Notre DameNotre Dame

House Prediction

Model Margin

Notre Dame by 16

Home Win Probability

Notre Dame 79%

Market (consensus)

Notre Dame -7.5

Edge: Notre Dame -7.5 (8.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 23, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
USCUSC
0301316
Notre DameNotre Dame
7107731

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-010-317-324-324-1031-16
Notre DameUSC

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NDUSCNDUSCNDUSCNDUSCUSCNDUSCNDUSCNDUSCNDUSCNDMISS1374ydPUNT33ydTD1170ydTO863ydFG41ydFG1360ydTD975ydEND1052ydMISS1056ydPUNT3-2ydPUNT523ydTD1380ydTD977ydTO733ydTD886ydTD875ydTO6-2ydEND52yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing USC and Notre Dame
StatisticUSCNotre Dame
Passing27-3722-30
Pass Yards299213
Rush Yards129170
Total Yards428383
Turnovers21
3rd Down6-138-12
Penalties9-654-39
Possession28:3731:23

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

USC
passing
Kedon Slovis
27/37, 299 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Keaontay Ingram
24 CAR, 138 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Drake London
15 REC, 171 YDS
defense
Notre Dame
passing
Jack Coan
20/28, 189 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Kyren Williams
25 CAR, 138 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Lorenzo Styles Jr.
3 REC, 57 YDS
defense
Bo Bauer
1 TFL, 1 PD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Jack Coan pass complete to Michael Mayer for 4 yds to the NDame 13

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Jack Coan pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.97

Jack Coan pass complete to Michael Mayer for 10 yds to the NDame 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.87

Jack Coan pass complete to Kevin Austin Jr. for 11 yds to the NDame 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.33

Braden Lenzy run for 14 yds to the NDame 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.15

Kyren Williams run for 9 yds to the USC 43

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.20

Jack Coan pass incomplete to Lorenzo Styles Jr.

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.81

Kyren Williams run for 2 yds to the USC 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.58

Jack Coan pass complete to Lorenzo Styles Jr. for 18 yds to the USC 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Jack Coan pass complete to Kyren Williams for 4 yds to the USC 19

2nd & 6Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Jack Coan pass complete to Kyren Williams for 2 yds to the USC 17

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Jack Coan pass incomplete to Kevin Austin Jr.

4th & 4Field Goal Missed+36 yds

Jonathan Doerer 36 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.91

Kedon Slovis sacked by Jayson Ademilola for a loss of 8 yards to the USC 12

2nd & 18Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.24

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Tahj Washington for 11 yds to the USC 23

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Kedon Slovis pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Ben Griffiths punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Kyren Williams at the NDame 30

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Kyren Williams run for 6 yds to the NDame 36

2nd & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.04

Jack Coan pass complete to Michael Mayer for 9 yds to the NDame 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.94

Jack Coan pass complete to Kevin Austin Jr. for 8 yds to the USC 47

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.99

Kyren Williams run for 1 yd to the USC 46

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.92

Jack Coan run for 2 yds to the USC 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.93

Tyler Buchner pass complete to Kyren Williams for 9 yds to the USC 35

2nd & 1Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA -0.14

Tyler Buchner pass complete to Michael Mayer for 15 yds to the USC 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.62

Jack Coan pass complete to Kyren Williams for 9 yds to the USC 11

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.06

Kyren Williams run for 5 yds to the USC 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.28

Kyren Williams run for 2 yds to the USC 4

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Jack Coan pass complete to Avery Davis for 4 yds for a TD (Jonathan Doerer KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Drake London for 8 yds to the USC 33

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Keaontay Ingram run for 6 yds to the USC 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Keaontay Ingram run for 4 yds to the USC 43

2nd & 6Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.67

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Drake London for 14 yds to the NDame 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +0.80

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Drake London for 29 yds to the NDame 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-9 ydsPPA -1.13

Kedon Slovis sacked by Isaiah Foskey for a loss of 9 yards to the NDame 23 Kedon Slovis fumbled, recovered by USC Kedon Slovis , return for 0 yards

2nd & 19Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.64

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Drake London for 11 yds to the NDame 12

3rd & 8Pass Interception Return+79 ydsPPA -3.96

Kedon Slovis pass intercepted Bo Bauer return for 79 yds to the USC 4

1st & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.65

Logan Diggs run for no gain to the USC 4

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Avery Davis run for 1 yd to the USC 3

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Jack Coan pass incomplete

4th & 3Field Goal Good+21 yds

Jonathan Doerer 21 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.42

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Drake London for 16 yds to the USC 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Keaontay Ingram run for 3 yds to the USC 44

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Darwin Barlow run for 5 yds to the USC 49

3rd & 2Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.70

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Drake London for 9 yds to the NDame 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Drake London for 5 yds to the NDame 37

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Darwin Barlow run for 3 yds to the NDame 34

3rd & 2Penalty-5 yds

USC Penalty, False Start (Jalen McKenzie) to the NDame 39

3rd & 7Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.82

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Drake London for 11 yds to the NDame 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Gary Bryant Jr. for 6 yds to the NDame 22

2nd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.01

Keaontay Ingram run for 8 yds to the NDame 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

USC Penalty, False Start (Jalen McKenzie) to the NDame 19

1st & 15Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Erik Krommenhoek for 4 yds to the NDame 15

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Drake London

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Malcolm Epps

4th & 11Field Goal Good+33 yds

Parker Lewis 33 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +2.53

Jack Coan pass complete to Lorenzo Styles Jr. for 29 yds to the USC 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Logan Diggs run for 1 yd to the USC 45

2nd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.36

Jack Coan pass complete to Lorenzo Styles Jr. for 10 yds to the USC 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.31

Kyren Williams run for 12 yds to the USC 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.32

Jack Coan pass complete to Kyren Williams for 1 yd to the USC 22

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Jack Coan pass incomplete to Michael Mayer

3rd & 9Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.44

Jack Coan pass complete to Michael Mayer for 16 yds to the USC 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Kyren Williams run for 1 yd to the USC 5

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Kyren Williams run for 5 yds for a TD (Jonathan Doerer KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Keaontay Ingram run for 5 yds to the USC 28

2nd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.78

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Drake London for 6 yds to the USC 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Malcolm Epps for 8 yds to the USC 42

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.03

Keaontay Ingram run for 3 yds to the USC 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Drake London

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Keaontay Ingram run for 6 yds to the NDame 49

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Keaontay Ingram run for 2 yds to the NDame 47

4th & 2Rush+10 ydsPPA +2.70

Keaontay Ingram run for 10 yds to the NDame 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Keaontay Ingram run for 6 yds to the NDame 31

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Kedon Slovis run for 6 yds to the NDame 25 for a 1ST down

0th & 4End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.78

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Gary Bryant Jr. for 8 yds to the USC 27

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.03

Keaontay Ingram run for 3 yds to the USC 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Keaontay Ingram run for 4 yds to the USC 34

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Keaontay Ingram run for 4 yds to the USC 38

3rd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.69

Keaontay Ingram run for 7 yds to the USC 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +1.58

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Malcolm Epps for 30 yds to the NDame 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Darwin Barlow

2nd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.61

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Drake London for no gain to the NDame 25

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Malcolm Epps

4th & 10Field Goal Missed+42 yds

Parker Lewis 42 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Jack Coan pass complete to Braden Lenzy for a loss of 2 yards to the NDame 23

2nd & 12Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.12

C'Bo Flemister run for 6 yds to the NDame 29

3rd & 6Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.48

Jack Coan sacked by Drake Jackson for a loss of 6 yards to the NDame 23

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Jay Bramblett punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Gary Bryant Jr. at the USC 25

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.70

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Keaontay Ingram for no gain to the USC 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.60

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Tahj Washington for 21 yds to the USC 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Gary Bryant Jr.

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Keaontay Ingram run for 2 yds to the USC 48

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Tahj Washington

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Ben Griffiths punt for 52 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Kyren Williams run for 2 yds to the NDame 22

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Jack Coan pass incomplete to George Takacs

3rd & 8Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.87

Jack Coan pass complete to Deion Colzie for 13 yds to the NDame 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Kyren Williams run for 1 yd to the NDame 36

2nd & 9Rush+38 ydsPPA +3.36

Kyren Williams run for 38 yds to the USC 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Jack Coan pass incomplete to Deion Colzie

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Kyren Williams run for 2 yds to the USC 24

3rd & 8Penalty+5 yds

Coan, Jack pass incomplete to Mayer, Michael, PENALTY USC pass interference (Alford, Xavion) 5 yards to the USC19, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NOTREDAME.

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

C'Bo Flemister run for 3 yds to the USC 16

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

C'Bo Flemister run for 1 yd to the USC 15

3rd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Kyren Williams run for 5 yds to the USC 10

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.55

Jack Coan run for 1 yd to the USC 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Penalty+5 yds

USC Penalty, 12 Men on the Field (5 Yards) to the USC 4

1st & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Tyler Buchner run for 3 yds to the USC 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Kyren Williams run for 1 yd for a TD (Jonathan Doerer KICK)

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.93

Keaontay Ingram run for 22 yds to the USC 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Keaontay Ingram run for 2 yds to the USC 47

2nd & 8Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.98

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Erik Krommenhoek for 18 yds to the NDame 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.39

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Drake London for 7 yds to the NDame 28

2nd & 3Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Drake London for 2 yds to the NDame 26

3rd & 1Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.42

Keaontay Ingram run for 13 yds to the NDame 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Keaontay Ingram run for 9 yds to the NDame 4

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Kedon Slovis pass incomplete to Drake London

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.48

Keaontay Ingram run for 4 yds for a TD (Parker Lewis KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jack Coan pass complete to Kevin Austin Jr. for 5 yds to the NDame 30

2nd & 5Penalty-10 yds

Diggs, Logan rush for 12 yards to the NOTREDAME42, PENALTY NOTREDAME holding (Takacs, George) 10 yards to the NOTREDAME20, NO PLAY.

2nd & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.10

Logan Diggs run for 2 yds to the NDame 22

3rd & 13Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.39

Jack Coan pass complete to Kyren Williams for 17 yds to the NDame 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.30

Kyren Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the NDame 38

2nd & 11Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Kyren Williams run for 5 yds to the NDame 43

3rd & 6Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.80

Jack Coan pass complete to Kevin Austin Jr. for 15 yds to the USC 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.71

Jack Coan pass intercepted Chris Steele return for no gain to the USC 14

1st & 10Pass Reception+44 ydsPPA +3.37

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Drake London for 44 yds to the NDame 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Keaontay Ingram run for 5 yds to the NDame 37

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Keaontay Ingram run for 3 yds to the NDame 34

3rd & 2Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +0.66

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Joseph Manjack IV for 3 yds to the NDame 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Slovis, Kedon pass incomplete to Manjack IV, Joseph, PENALTY NOTREDAME pass interference 15 yards to the NOTREDAME16, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN USC.

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Drake London for 8 yds to the NDame 8

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.43

Darwin Barlow run for 4 yds to the NDame 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.52

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Drake London for 1 yd to the NDame 3

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Darwin Barlow run for 3 yds for a TD (Parker Lewis KICK) (Parker Lewis PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Kyren Williams run for 9 yds to the NDame 34

2nd & 1Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.07

Jack Coan pass complete to Avery Davis for 6 yds to the NDame 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Kyren Williams run for 2 yds to the NDame 42

2nd & 8Penalty+15 yds

Coan, Jack pass incomplete to Austin Jr., Kevin, PENALTY USC pass interference (Steele, Chris) 15 yards to the USC43, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NOTREDAME.

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.48

Kyren Williams run for 11 yds to the USC 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.31

Kyren Williams run for 2 yds to the USC 30 for a 1ST down USC Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Xavion Alford) to the USC 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Kyren Williams run for 2 yds to the USC 13

2nd & 8Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.27

Kyren Williams run for 10 yds to the USC 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Tyler Buchner run for 3 yds for a TD (Jonathan Doerer KICK)

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.66

Keaontay Ingram run for 10 yds to the USC 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.21

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Kyle Ford for 13 yds to the USC 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Erik Krommenhoek for 6 yds to the USC 48

2nd & 4Penalty-10 yds

Ingram, Keaontay rush for 13 yards to the NOTREDAME39, PENALTY USC holding (Neilon, Brett) 10 yards to the USC38, NO PLAY.

2nd & 14Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.69

Keaontay Ingram run for a loss of 3 yards to the USC 35

3rd & 17Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.18

Kedon Slovis run for 4 yds to the USC 39 USC Penalty, Illegal Forward Pass (Kedon Slovis) to the USC 34

4th & 18Sack+3 ydsPPA +0.30

Kedon Slovis sacked by Isaiah Foskey for a loss of 17 yards to the USC 14 Kedon Slovis fumbled, recovered by NDame TaRiq Bracy , return for 0 yards , return for 3 yds to the USC 14

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Kyren Williams run for 3 yds to the USC 11

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Kyren Williams run for 3 yds to the USC 8

3rd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.28

Tyler Buchner run for 5 yds to the USC 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Penalty-5 yds

NOTRE DAME Penalty, False Start (Josh Lugg) to the USC 8

1st & 8Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.48

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the USC 10

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.44

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the USC 12

Situational Analysis

USC

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
66%
29 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
57%
7 plays
57%
7 plays
67%
6 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
100%
5 plays
0%
1 play
20%
5 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play

Notre Dame

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
4 plays
48%
29 plays
2nd
33%
6 plays
50%
6 plays
33%
9 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
67%
6 plays
100%
2 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play