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← Back to GamesOct 31, 2021Week 9
VirginiaVirginia
49
-Final
66
BYUBYU

House Prediction

Model Margin

BYU by 8

Home Win Probability

BYU 71%

Market (consensus)

BYU -2.5

Edge: BYU -2.5 (5.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 31, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
VirginiaVirginia
7357049
BYUBYU
211772166

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567014-021-728-728-1431-2845-4245-4959-4966-49
BYUVirginia

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20VIRBYUVIRBYUVIRBYUVIRBYUVIRBYUVIRBYUVIRBYUVIRBYUVIRBYUBYUVIRBYUVIRBYUVIRBYUVIRBYUVIRBYUPUNT37ydTD483ydTO10ydTD411ydPUNT34ydTD574ydTD1275ydTD1075ydTD475ydPUNT38ydTD165ydFG860ydTD375ydPUNT615ydTD477ydTD375ydTD675ydEND18ydTD475ydPUNT34ydMISS1359ydTD980ydTD865ydTO16ydTD231ydTO724ydTD765ydDOWNS741ydEND750yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Virginia and BYU
StatisticVirginiaBYU
Passing24-3922-37
Pass Yards372349
Rush Yards216385
Total Yards588734
Turnovers30
3rd Down4-106-11
Penalties4-406-55
Possession25:5834:02

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Virginia
passing
Brennan Armstrong
22/34, 337 YDS, 4 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Brennan Armstrong
11 CAR, 94 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Dontayvion Wicks
4 REC, 125 YDS, 1 TD
defense
BYU
passing
Jaren Hall
22/37, 349 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Tyler Allgeier
29 CAR, 266 YDS, 5 TD
receiving
Samson Nacua
3 REC, 107 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Keytaon Thompson run for 2 yds to the Virg 27

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete

3rd & 8Penalty+5 yds

BYU Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Virg 32

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt+8 yds

Jacob Finn punt for 59 yds , Hobbs Nyberg returns for 8 yds to the BYU 17

1st & 10Pass Reception+52 ydsPPA +3.69

Jaren Hall pass complete to Samson Nacua for 52 yds to the Virg 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.26

Jaren Hall pass complete to Puka Nacua for 14 yds to the Virg 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.37

Jaren Hall pass complete to Samson Nacua for 15 yds to the Virg 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Jaren Hall run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jake Oldroyd KICK)

1st & 10Pass Interception Return+24 ydsPPA -0.92

Brennan Armstrong pass intercepted Payton Wilgar return for 24 yds to the Virg 11

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Jaren Hall pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Tyler Allgeier run for 2 yds to the Virg 9

3rd & 8Rush+8 ydsPPA +2.03

Jaren Hall run for 8 yds to the Virg 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Tyler Allgeier run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jake Oldroyd KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Brennan Armstrong run for 3 yds to the Virg 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete

3rd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.22

Brennan Armstrong run for 1 yd to the Virg 29

4th & 6Punt+10 yds

Jacob Finn punt for 55 yds , Hobbs Nyberg returns for 10 yds to the BYU 26

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.96

Jaren Hall pass complete to Tyler Allgeier for 11 yds to the BYU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Tyler Allgeier run for 8 yds to the BYU 45

2nd & 2Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.66

Tyler Allgeier run for 12 yds to the Virg 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.63

Jaren Hall pass complete to Keanu Hill for 17 yds to the Virg 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+26 ydsPPA +2.72

Jaren Hall pass complete to Puka Nacua for 26 yds for a TD, (Jake Oldroyd KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Ra'Shaun Henry for 9 yds to the Virg 34

2nd & 1Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.06

Wayne Taulapapa run for 17 yds to the BYU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.06

Brennan Armstrong run for 9 yds to the BYU 40

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.90

Wayne Taulapapa run for 3 yds to the BYU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.23

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Dontayvion Wicks for 21 yds to the BYU 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Brennan Armstrong run for 4 yds to the BYU 12

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Keytaon Thompson for 5 yds to the BYU 7

3rd & 1Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA +0.63

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Keytaon Thompson for 2 yds to the BYU 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Brennan Armstrong run for 5 yds for a TD, (Brendan Farrell KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.22

Jaren Hall pass complete to Neil Pau'u for 14 yds to the BYU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.01

Jaren Hall pass complete to Puka Nacua for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Tyler Allgeier run for 6 yds to the Virg 44

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.36

Tyler Allgeier run for 5 yds to the Virg 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

VIRGINIA Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Virg 34

1st & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Lopini Katoa run for 4 yds to the Virg 30

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Jaren Hall run for 3 yds to the Virg 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Jaren Hall pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.70

Jaren Hall pass complete to Neil Pau'u for 15 yds to the Virg 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Jaren Hall pass complete to Isaac Rex for 8 yds to the Virg 4

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.08

Tyler Allgeier run for 4 yds for a TD, (Jake Oldroyd KICK)

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.71

Brennan Armstrong run for 19 yds to the Virg 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.67

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Keytaon Thompson for 7 yds to the BYU 49

2nd & 3Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.51

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Wayne Taulapapa for 9 yds to the BYU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+40 ydsPPA +3.19

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Jelani Woods for 40 yds for a TD, (Brendan Farrell KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Tyler Allgeier run for 7 yds to the BYU 32

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Tyler Allgeier run for 1 yd to the BYU 33

3rd & 2Penalty-10 yds

BYU Penalty, Offensive Holding (Joe Tukuafu) to the BYU 23

3rd & 12Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.31

Jaren Hall run for 10 yds to the BYU 33

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Ryan Rehkow punt for 47 yds , Billy Kemp IV returns for no gain to the Virg 33 BYU Penalty, Personal Foul (Chris Jackson) to the Virg 35

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

VIRGINIA Penalty, Illegal Shift (-5 Yards) to the Virg 30

1st & 15Passing Touchdown+70 ydsPPA +6.31

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Dontayvion Wicks for 70 yds for a TD, (Brendan Farrell KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

VIRGINIA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Anthony Johnson) to the BYU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Jaren Hall pass complete to Isaac Rex for 7 yds to the BYU 47

2nd & 3Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.00

Jaren Hall pass complete to Puka Nacua for 16 yds to the Virg 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Jaren Hall pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Tyler Allgeier run for 3 yds to the Virg 34

3rd & 7Penalty+15 yds

VIRGINIA Penalty, Roughing Passer (D'Sean Perry) to the Virg 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Tyler Allgeier run for 4 yds to the Virg 15

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Jaren Hall pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Jaren Hall pass incomplete

4th & 6Field Goal Good+32 yds

Jake Oldroyd 32 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

BYU Penalty, Defensive Offside (Pepe Tanuvasa) to the Virg 30

1st & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA -0.19

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Keytaon Thompson for 9 yds to the Virg 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.09

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Ra'Shaun Henry for 12 yds to the BYU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+49 ydsPPA +3.76

Devin Darrington run for 49 yds for a TD, (Brendan Farrell KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Jaren Hall pass complete to Puka Nacua for 1 yd to the BYU 26

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Jaren Hall pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.02

Jaren Hall pass complete to Tyler Allgeier for 11 yds to the BYU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Jaren Hall pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Jaren Hall pass complete to Tyler Allgeier for 3 yds to the BYU 40

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Jaren Hall pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Ryan Rehkow punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Virg 23

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.84

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Dontayvion Wicks for 21 yds to the Virg 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for 6 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 4Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.17

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for 20 yds to the BYU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+30 ydsPPA +2.81

Brennan Armstrong run for 30 yds for a TD, (Brendan Farrell KICK)

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Tyler Allgeier run for 13 yds to the BYU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.76

Jaren Hall pass complete to Puka Nacua for 22 yds to the Virg 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+40 ydsPPA +3.19

Jaren Hall pass complete to Samson Nacua for 40 yds for a TD, (Jake Oldroyd KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Wayne Taulapapa run for 6 yds to the Virg 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.95

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Keytaon Thompson for 10 yds to the Virg 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +1.79

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Keytaon Thompson for 27 yds to the BYU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +0.34

Brennan Armstrong run for 20 yds to the BYU 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.53

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for 12 yds for a TD, (Brendan Farrell KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Tyler Allgeier run for 8 yds to the BYU 33

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Tyler Allgeier run for a loss of 1 yard to the BYU 24

2nd & 11Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.51

Jaren Hall pass complete to Puka Nacua for 20 yds to the BYU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.67

Samson Nacua run for 7 yds to the Virg 49

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+49 ydsPPA +3.70

Tyler Allgeier run for 49 yds for a TD, (Jake Oldroyd KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Keytaon Thompson run for 4 yds to the Virg 29

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt+1 yds

Jacob Finn punt for 47 yds , Hobbs Nyberg returns for 1 yd to the BYU 25

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Tyler Allgeier run for 5 yds to the BYU 30

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.93

Tyler Allgeier run for 7 yds to the BYU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+28 ydsPPA +2.08

Puka Nacua run for 28 yds to the Virg 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.56

Neil Pau'u run for 8 yds to the Virg 27

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Lopini Katoa run for 2 yds to the Virg 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Lopini Katoa run for 6 yds to the Virg 19

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Lopini Katoa run for 3 yds to the Virg 16

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.51

Jaren Hall run for no gain to the Virg 16

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.63

Tyler Allgeier run for 3 yds to the Virg 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Jaren Hall pass incomplete to Tyler Allgeier

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Jaren Hall pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.99

Jaren Hall pass complete to Puka Nacua for a loss of 3 yards to the Virg 16

4th & 13Field Goal Missed+33 yds

Jake Oldroyd 33 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Jacob Rodriguez for 5 yds to the Virg 25

2nd & 5Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.74

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Keytaon Thompson for 17 yds to the Virg 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.09

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Dontayvion Wicks for 13 yds to the BYU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.54

Devin Darrington run for 11 yds to the BYU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.55

Keytaon Thompson run for 8 yds to the BYU 26

2nd & 2Penalty+15 yds

BYU Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Shamon Willis) to the BYU 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Brennan Armstrong run for 4 yds to the BYU 7

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Keytaon Thompson run for 4 yds to the BYU 3

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Jelani Woods run for 1 yd to the BYU 2

4th & 1Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.80

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Keytaon Thompson for 2 yds for a TD, (Brendan Farrell KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Jaren Hall pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+31 ydsPPA +3.32

Tyler Allgeier run for 31 yds to the Virg 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Jaren Hall pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Lopini Katoa run for 6 yds to the Virg 28

3rd & 4Rush+19 ydsPPA +0.95

Tyler Allgeier run for 19 yds to the Virg 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Tyler Allgeier run for 4 yds to the Virg 5

2nd & 0Penalty-5 yds

BYU Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Virg 10

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Jaren Hall pass incomplete

3rd & 10Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +3.08

Jaren Hall pass complete to Neil Pau'u for 10 yds for a TD, (Jake Oldroyd KICK)

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+6 ydsPPA -0.92

Wayne Taulapapa run for 6 yds to the Virg 31 Wayne Taulapapa fumbled, forced by Uriah Leiataua, recovered by BYU Uriah Leiataua

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Jaren Hall pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+31 ydsPPA +3.42

Tyler Allgeier run for 31 yds for a TD, (Jake Oldroyd KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Jelani Woods for 8 yds to the Virg 33

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.34

Keytaon Thompson run for 5 yds to the Virg 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.81

Brennan Armstrong sacked by Alden Tofa and John Nelson for a loss of 5 yards to the Virg 33

2nd & 15Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.23

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Keytaon Thompson for 12 yds to the Virg 45

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.61

Brennan Armstrong run for 4 yds to the Virg 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.08

Brennan Armstrong pass intercepted Drew Jensen return for no gain to the BYU 35

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Tyler Allgeier run for 7 yds to the BYU 42

2nd & 3Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.92

Neil Pau'u run for 11 yds to the Virg 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +1.06

Jaren Hall pass complete to Keanu Hill for 32 yds to the Virg 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Jaren Hall pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Tyler Allgeier run for 4 yds to the Virg 11

3rd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.23

Jaren Hall pass complete to Masen Wake for 7 yds to the Virg 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Tyler Allgeier run for 4 yds for a TD, (Jake Oldroyd KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jay Woolfolk run for no gain to the Virg 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.02

Jay Woolfolk pass complete to Ra'Shaun Henry for 15 yds to the Virg 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.57

Jay Woolfolk pass complete to Jelani Woods for 20 yds to the BYU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Jay Woolfolk run for 6 yds to the BYU 34

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Jay Woolfolk pass incomplete

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Jay Woolfolk pass incomplete

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.22

Jay Woolfolk pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.33

Tyler Allgeier run for 14 yds to the BYU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Tyler Allgeier run for 6 yds to the Virg 46

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.41

Tyler Allgeier run for 5 yds to the Virg 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Tyler Allgeier run for 4 yds to the Virg 37

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Jackson McChesney run for 4 yds to the Virg 33

3rd & 2Rush+19 ydsPPA +0.89

Jaren Hall run for 19 yds to the Virg 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.45

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Virg 16

Situational Analysis

Virginia

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
59%
32 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
67%
3 plays
50%
6 plays
67%
6 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
50%
6 plays
33%
3 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play

BYU

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
63%
41 plays
2nd
63%
8 plays
50%
6 plays
36%
11 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
50%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
60%
5 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play