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← Back to GamesOct 23, 2021Week 8

House Prediction

Model Margin

Florida State by 47.3

Home Win Probability

Florida State 100%

Market (consensus)

Florida State -35.5

Edge: Florida State -35.5 (11.8 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 23, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
MassachusettsMassachusetts
30003
Florida StateFlorida State
102814759

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-310-317-324-338-345-359-3
Florida StateMassachusetts

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MASFSMASFSMASFSMASFSMASFSMASMASMASFSMASFSFSMASFSMASFSMASFSFG4-2ydTD675ydPUNT520ydFG875ydPUNT822ydTD694ydTO871ydTD780ydPUNT38ydTD876ydTD312ydEND10ydPUNT513ydPUNT521ydPUNT35ydTD669ydTD125ydPUNT48ydTD886ydDOWNS1264ydDOWNS49ydDOWNS627ydEND2-4yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Massachusetts and Florida State
StatisticMassachusettsFlorida State
Passing15-3310-15
Pass Yards129221
Rush Yards112365
Total Yards241586
Turnovers31
3rd Down3-136-9
Penalties8-613-41
Possession30:1729:43

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Massachusetts
passing
Brady Olson
12/27, 110 YDS, 2 INT
rushing
Zamar Wise
12 CAR, 60 YDS
receiving
Ellis Merriweather
4 REC, 65 YDS
defense
Florida State
passing
Jordan Travis
5/10, 123 YDS
rushing
Jashaun Corbin
11 CAR, 127 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Andrew Parchment
2 REC, 65 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Ellis Merriweather run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 23

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY UMA False Start (Fagundes,Helber) 5 yards from FSU23 to FSU28. NO PLAY.

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Brady Olson pass incomplete

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Brady Olson pass incomplete to Onuma Dieke

4th & 12Field Goal Good+45 yds

Cameron Carson 45 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+39 ydsPPA +3.07

Jordan Travis run for 39 yds to the UMass 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +0.45

Jashaun Corbin run for 21 yds to the UMass 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Jordan Travis run for no gain to the UMass 15

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Ontaria Wilson

3rd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.78

Jordan Travis pass complete to Camren McDonald for 12 yds to the UMass 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Jordan Travis run for 3 yds for a TD (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.65

Brady Olson run for 7 yds to the UMass 35

2nd & 3Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.11

Brady Olson pass complete to Ellis Merriweather for 12 yds to the UMass 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Brady Olson run for 2 yds to the UMass 49

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Brady Olson pass incomplete to Jermaine Johnson Jr.

3rd & 8Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.63

Brady Olson pass complete to Tray Pettway for 1 yd to the UMass 48

4th & 9Punt0 yds

George Georgopoulos punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Travis Jay at the FlaSt 7

1st & 10Rush+38 ydsPPA +2.60

Lawrance Toafili run for 38 yds to the FlaSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Treshaun Ward run for no gain to the FlaSt 45

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.75

Treshaun Ward run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 46

3rd & 9Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +3.58

Jordan Travis pass complete to Ontaria Wilson for 35 yds to the UMass 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Jordan Travis run for 2 yds to the UMass 21

2nd & 12Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.20

Jordan Travis sacked by Te'Rai Powell for a loss of 4 yards to the UMass 25

4th & 9Field Goal Good+36 yds

Ryan Fitzgerald 36 yd FG GOOD

3rd & 16Fumble Recovery (Own)+7 ydsPPA +0.40

Jordan Travis run for 7 yds to the UMass 18 Jordan Travis fumbled, forced by Gerrell Johnson, recovered by FlaSt Jashaun Corbin

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Brady Olson pass complete to Zamar Wise for 3 yds to the UMass 30

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.52

Zamar Wise run for 1 yd to the UMass 31

3rd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.11

Brady Olson pass complete to Eric Collins for 10 yds to the UMass 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Brady Olson pass incomplete to Eric Collins

2nd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +2.04

Zamar Wise run for 10 yds to the FlaSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Ellis Merriweather run for 2 yds to the UMass 49

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Brady Olson pass incomplete to Eric Collins

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Brady Olson pass incomplete to Ellis Merriweather

4th & 12Punt0 yds

George Georgopoulos punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Travis Jay at the FlaSt 6

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Jashaun Corbin run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 7

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Jashaun Corbin run for 5 yds to the FlaSt 12

3rd & 4Pass Reception+51 ydsPPA +4.06

Jordan Travis pass complete to Malik McClain for 51 yds to the UMass 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Keyshawn Helton

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.59

Jashaun Corbin run for 8 yds to the UMass 29

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+29 ydsPPA +3.21

Jashaun Corbin run for 29 yds for a TD (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Zamar Wise run for no gain to the UMass 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +3.49

Brady Olson pass complete to Ellis Merriweather for 33 yds to the FlaSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.70

Brady Olson pass complete to Jermaine Johnson Jr. for 1 yd to the FlaSt 41

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Brady Olson run for no gain to the FlaSt 41

3rd & 9Penalty+15 yds

FLORIDA ST Penalty, Roughing The Passer (Kevin Knowles II) to the FlaSt 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.93

Melvin Hill run for 16 yds to the FlaSt 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Brady Olson pass incomplete to Jaret Pallotta

2nd & 4Interception0 ydsPPA -4.67

Brady Olson pass intercepted, touchback.

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.87

Jordan Travis run for 12 yds to the FlaSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Treshaun Ward run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 34

2nd & 8Rush+23 ydsPPA +2.75

Treshaun Ward run for 23 yds to the UMass 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Da'Shon Ross) to the UMass 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jordan Travis pass complete to Camren McDonald for 5 yds to the UMass 20

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Lawrance Toafili run for 3 yds to the UMass 17

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +2.78

Treshaun Ward run for 17 yds for a TD (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Ellis Merriweather run for 1 yd to the UMass 24

2nd & 11Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.58

Zamar Wise pass complete to Ellis Merriweather for 9 yds to the UMass 33

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.60

Ellis Merriweather run for no gain to the UMass 33

4th & 2Punt0 yds

George Georgopoulos punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FlaSt 24

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Malik McClain

2nd & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.45

Jordan Travis pass complete to Keyshawn Helton for 20 yds to the FlaSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Keyshawn Helton

2nd & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.24

Jashaun Corbin run for 14 yds to the UMass 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Jashaun Corbin run for 6 yds to the UMass 36

2nd & 4Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.33

Jordan Travis run for 12 yds to the UMass 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

D.J. Williams run for 1 yd to the UMass 23

2nd & 9Rushing Touchdown+23 ydsPPA +3.01

D.J. Williams run for 23 yds for a TD (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.68

Brady Olson pass complete to Jermaine Johnson Jr. for 12 yds to the FlaSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Brady Olson pass incomplete to Tray Pettway

2nd & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -3.27

Brady Olson pass intercepted for a TD (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Ellis Merriweather run for no gain to the UMass 25

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Ellis Merriweather run for 1 yd to the UMass 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.61

Zamar Wise pass complete to Ellis Merriweather for 11 yds to the UMass 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Ellis Merriweather run for no gain to the UMass 37

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Zamar Wise run for 6 yds to the UMass 43

3rd & 4Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.22

Zamar Wise sacked by DJ Lundy for a loss of 5 yards to the UMass 38

4th & 9Punt0 yds

George Georgopoulos punt for 57 yds

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.33

Jashaun Corbin run for 7 yds to the FlaSt 12

2nd & 3Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.38

Jashaun Corbin run for 11 yds to the FlaSt 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Ontaria Wilson

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.29

Treshaun Ward run for 7 yds to the FlaSt 30

3rd & 3Penalty-15 yds

(09:56) Travis,Jordan pass complete to Helton,Keyshawn for 8 yards to the FSU38, out of bounds PENALTY FSU Pass Interference (McClain,Malik) 15 yards from FSU30 to FSU15. NO PLAY.

3rd & 18Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.13

Jordan Travis run for 11 yds to the FlaSt 26

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Alex Mastromanno punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Eric Collins at the UMass 27

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Zamar Wise pass incomplete to Jermaine Johnson Jr.

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Zamar Wise run for 5 yds to the UMass 32

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Zamar Wise pass incomplete to Jermaine Johnson Jr.

4th & 5Punt0 yds

George Georgopoulos punt for 37 yds , Keyshawn Helton returns for no gain to the FlaSt 31

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.89

Jashaun Corbin run for no gain to the FlaSt 31

2nd & 10Rush+25 ydsPPA +3.09

Jashaun Corbin run for 25 yds to the UMass 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.65

Chubba Purdy pass complete to Darion Williamson for 16 yds to the UMass 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Treshaun Ward run for 4 yds to the UMass 24

2nd & 6Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.28

Lawrance Toafili run for 12 yds to the UMass 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.53

Chubba Purdy pass complete to Camren McDonald for 12 yds for a TD (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

(04:55) Purdy,Chubba pass incomplete to McClain,Malik PENALTY UMA Pass Interference (Mahoney,Jordan) 15 yards from UMA25 to UMA10, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.51

Lawrance Toafili run for 10 yds for a TD (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Zamar Wise run for 12 yds to the UMass 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Ellis Merriweather run for 3 yds to the UMass 34

2nd & 13Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.50

Zamar Wise sacked by Marcus Cushnie for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 33

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Zamar Wise pass incomplete to Eric Collins

4th & 14Punt0 yds

George Georgopoulos punt for 53 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Ja'Khi Douglas run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 15

2nd & 9Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +3.40

Chubba Purdy pass complete to Andrew Parchment for 38 yds to the UMass 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.05

Ja'Khi Douglas run for no gain to the UMass 47

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Chubba Purdy run for 5 yds to the UMass 42

3rd & 5Penalty+5 yds

(00:18) Douglas,Ja'Khi rush for 2 yards loss to the UMA44 (Logan,Nahji) PENALTY UMA Offside (Wooden,Billy) 5 yards from UMA42 to UMA37, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Ja'Khi Douglas run for 3 yds to the UMass 34

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Ja'Khi Douglas run for 2 yds to the UMass 32

3rd & 5Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +1.86

Chubba Purdy pass complete to Andrew Parchment for 27 yds to the UMass 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Chubba Purdy pass complete to Jordan Young for 5 yds for a TD (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Ellis Merriweather run for 1 yd to the UMass 9

2nd & 9Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.21

Zamar Wise sacked for a loss of 2 yards to the UMass 7

3rd & 11Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.25

Zamar Wise run for 18 yds to the UMass 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Ellis Merriweather run for 2 yds to the UMass 27

2nd & 8Rush+18 ydsPPA +2.25

Zamar Wise run for 18 yds to the UMass 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.59

Zamar Wise sacked for a loss of 2 yards to the UMass 43

2nd & 12Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.00

Brady Olson pass complete to Rico Arnold for 9 yds to the FlaSt 48

3rd & 3Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.93

Brady Olson pass complete to Eric Collins for 14 yds to the FlaSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Brady Olson pass incomplete to Onuma Dieke

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Brady Olson pass complete to Jared Chisari for 6 yds to the FlaSt 28

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Brady Olson pass incomplete to Eric Collins

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.78

Brady Olson pass incomplete to Eric Collins

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.36

D.J. Williams run for 6 yds to the FlaSt 34

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.80

D.J. Williams run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 35

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.39

Ja'Khi Douglas run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 37

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Ja'Khi Douglas run for no gain to the FlaSt 37

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

(03:45) Olson,Brady pass complete to Johnson,Jermaine for 32 yards to the FSU05 (Dix, Jr.,Stephen) PENALTY UMA Ineligible Downfield on Pass 5 yards from FSU37 to FSU42. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Brady Olson pass complete to Tray Pettway for 5 yds to the FlaSt 37

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY UMA False Start (Chisari,Jared) 5 yards from FSU37 to FSU42. NO PLAY.

2nd & 15Penalty0 yds

(02:29) Olson,Brady pass incomplete to Johnson,Jermaine PENALTY FSU Pass Interference (Dix, Jr.,Stephen) 11 yard from FSU42 to FSU31, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.26

Jared Chisari run for 14 yds to the FlaSt 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Zamar Wise pass complete to Josiah Johnson for 1 yd to the FlaSt 18

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Brady Olson pass incomplete to Melvin Hill

3rd & 11Penalty-4 yds

PENALTY UMA False Start (Tomlison,Dalton) 4 yards from FSU18 to FSU22. NO PLAY.

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Brady Olson pass incomplete to Tray Pettway

4th & 15Rush+12 ydsPPA -2.08

Brady Olson run for 12 yds to the FlaSt 10

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.43

run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaSt 8

2nd & 12Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.13

run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaSt 6

Situational Analysis

Massachusetts

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
21%
24 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
58%
12 plays
33%
6 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
0%
1 play
20%
5 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

Florida State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
41%
27 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
50%
4 plays
77%
13 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
100%
2 plays
100%
2 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play