House Prediction
Model Margin
North Carolina by 9
Home Win Probability
North Carolina 70%
Market (consensus)
North Carolina -19.5
fitted_v1 · Oct 2, 2021
Line Movement
No line movement to chart
Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.
| Team | 1Q | 2Q | 3Q | 4Q | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Duke | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 7 |
 North Carolina | 7 | 17 | 0 | 14 | 38 |
Scoring Timeline
Drive Chart
Box Score
| Statistic | Duke | North Carolina |
|---|---|---|
| Passing | 17-24 | 18-32 |
| Pass Yards | 184 | 321 |
| Rush Yards | 130 | 135 |
| Total Yards | 314 | 456 |
| Turnovers | 2 | 0 |
| 3rd Down | 2-15 | 9-17 |
| Penalties | 7-55 | 5-54 |
| Possession | 27:18 | 32:42 |
Player Leaders
Player Leaders
Play-by-Play
Ty Chandler run for 1 yd to the NCaro 27
Sam Howell pass complete to Garrett Walston for 26 yds to the Duke 47 for a 1ST down
Sam Howell run for a loss of 1 yard to the Duke 48
Ty Chandler run for 1 yd to the Duke 47
Sam Howell sacked by DeWayne Carter for a loss of 5 yards to the NCaro 48
Ben Kiernan punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Scott Boylan at the Duke 14
Mataeo Durant run for 37 yds to the NCaro 49 for a 1ST down
Gunnar Holmberg pass incomplete to Jake Bobo
Mataeo Durant run for 1 yd to the NCaro 48
NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the NCaro 43
Gunnar Holmberg run for 3 yds to the NCaro 40
Mataeo Durant run for 2 yds to the NCaro 38 for a 1ST down
Gunnar Holmberg sacked by Myles Murphy for a loss of 7 yards to the NCaro 45
Gunnar Holmberg pass complete to Jalon Calhoun for 2 yds to the NCaro 43
DUKE Penalty, False Start (Jalon Calhoun) to the NCaro 48
Gunnar Holmberg pass complete to Jalon Calhoun for 3 yds to the NCaro 45
Porter Wilson punt for 45 yds for a touchback
Sam Howell pass incomplete to Antoine Green
D.J. Jones run for a loss of 2 yards to the NCaro 18
Sam Howell pass complete to Josh Downs for 15 yds to the NCaro 33 for a 1ST down
Sam Howell run for no gain to the NCaro 33
Sam Howell pass incomplete to Josh Downs
Sam Howell run for 7 yds to the NCaro 40
Ben Kiernan punt for 48 yds , Scott Boylan returns for 9 yds to the Duke 21
Gunnar Holmberg pass complete to Jake Bobo for 4 yds to the Duke 25
Gunnar Holmberg pass complete to Jake Bobo for 2 yds to the Duke 27
Gunnar Holmberg pass complete to Jake Marwede for 18 yds to the Duke 45 for a 1ST down
Mataeo Durant run for 9 yds to the NCaro 46
Mataeo Durant run for 8 yds to the NCaro 38 for a 1ST down
Gunnar Holmberg pass incomplete to Nicky Dalmolin
Gunnar Holmberg pass complete to Jalon Calhoun for a loss of 2 yards to the NCaro 40
DUKE Penalty, False Start (Jacob Monk) to the NCaro 45
Jordan Waters run for 8 yds to the NCaro 37
Porter Wilson punt for 15 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NCaro 22
Ty Chandler run for a loss of 2 yards to the NCaro 20
Sam Howell pass complete to Kamari Morales for 5 yds to the NCaro 25
Sam Howell pass complete to Ty Chandler for 75 yds for a TD, (Grayson Atkins KICK)
Gunnar Holmberg pass complete to Jalon Calhoun for 9 yds to the Duke 27
Mataeo Durant run for 20 yds to the Duke 47 for a 1ST down
Mataeo Durant run for 11 yds to the NCaro 42 for a 1ST down
Gunnar Holmberg pass incomplete
Gunnar Holmberg pass complete to Jake Bobo for 2 yds to the NCaro 40
Gunnar Holmberg sacked by Kevin Hester Jr. for loss of 3 yards to the UNC 43. Fumbled by Gunnar Holmberg recovered by Trey Morrison at the UNC 37. Trey Morrison 63 Yd Fumble Return (Grayson Atkins Kick)
Jordan Waters run for 2 yds to the Duke 27
Gunnar Holmberg pass complete to Jarett Garner for 3 yds to the Duke 30
Gunnar Holmberg sacked by Tomari Fox for a loss of 5 yards to the Duke 25
Porter Wilson punt for 38 yds , Josh Downs returns for no gain to the NCaro 37
Sam Howell pass complete to Josh Downs for 10 yds to the NCaro 47 for a 1ST down
Sam Howell pass incomplete to Emery Simmons
Sam Howell pass complete to Antoine Green for 7 yds to the Duke 46
Sam Howell sacked by Shaka Heyward for a loss of 3 yards to the Duke 49
Ben Kiernan punt for 41 yds, downed at the Duke 8
Mataeo Durant run for 2 yds to the Duke 10
Holmberg, Gunnar pass incomplete to Bobo, Jake, PENALTY UNC pass interference (Grimes, Tony) 4 yards to the DUKE14, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN DUKE.
Gunnar Holmberg pass incomplete to Darrell Harding Jr.
Mataeo Durant run for 5 yds to the Duke 19
Gunnar Holmberg pass incomplete to Eli Pancol
Porter Wilson punt for 49 yds , Josh Downs returns for 1 yd to the NCaro 33
Sam Howell pass incomplete to Garrett Walston
Sam Howell pass complete to Josh Downs for 3 yds to the NCaro 36
Sam Howell pass complete to Ty Chandler for 12 yds to the NCaro 48 for a 1ST down
Ty Chandler run for 18 yds to the Duke 34 for a 1ST down
Sam Howell pass incomplete to Antoine Green
Sam Howell run for 32 yds to the Duke 2 for a 1ST down
Sam Howell pass complete to Kamari Morales for 2 yds for a TD, (Grayson Atkins KICK)
Gunnar Holmberg pass complete to Jake Bobo for 21 yds to the Duke 46 for a 1ST down
Mataeo Durant run for a loss of 1 yard to the Duke 45
Mataeo Durant run for a loss of 1 yard to the Duke 44
Gunnar Holmberg run for 1 yd to the Duke 45
Porter Wilson punt for 37 yds , Josh Downs returns for 17 yds to the NCaro 35
Sam Howell pass incomplete to Antoine Green
Sam Howell pass complete to Josh Downs for 25 yds to the Duke 40 for a 1ST down
D.J. Jones run for 7 yds to the Duke 33
Sam Howell pass complete to Emery Simmons for 7 yds to the Duke 26 for a 1ST down
D.J. Jones run for 11 yds to the Duke 15 for a 1ST down
D.J. Jones run for 4 yds to the Duke 11
Sam Howell pass incomplete to D.J. Jones
Sam Howell pass incomplete to Josh Downs
Grayson Atkins 28 yd FG GOOD
Gunnar Holmberg run for 5 yds to the Duke 30
Gunnar Holmberg run for no gain to the Duke 30
Mataeo Durant run for 1 yd to the Duke 31
Porter Wilson punt for 56 yds , Josh Downs returns for 4 yds to the NCaro 17
Sam Howell pass incomplete to Ty Chandler
Sam Howell pass incomplete to Emery Simmons
Sam Howell run for 8 yds to the NCaro 25
Ben Kiernan punt for 46 yds , Scott Boylan returns for 22 yds to the NCaro 49 NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, Personal Foul (Cameron Roseman-Sinclair) to the NCaro 34
Gunnar Holmberg sacked by Tomon Fox for a loss of 6 yards to the NCaro 40
Gunnar Holmberg pass incomplete to Jake Bobo
Gunnar Holmberg run for 2 yds to the NCaro 38
Charlie Ham 56 yd FG RETURNED , Trey Morrison return for 22 yds to the NCaro 22
End of 2nd Quarter
Gunnar Holmberg pass complete to Jalon Calhoun for 80 yds for a TD, (Charlie Ham KICK)
Ty Chandler run for 7 yds to the NCaro 40
Ty Chandler run for 4 yds to the NCaro 44 for a 1ST down
Ty Chandler run for no gain to the NCaro 44
Sam Howell run for 8 yds to the Duke 48
Sam Howell pass incomplete to Garrett Walston
Ben Kiernan punt for 48 yds for a touchback
Jordan Moore run for 5 yds to the Duke 25
Gunnar Holmberg pass complete to Jake Bobo for 11 yds to the Duke 36 for a 1ST down
Gunnar Holmberg pass intercepted Cam'Ron Kelly return for 1 yd to the Duke 45
Sam Howell pass incomplete to Josh Downs
D.J. Jones run for a loss of 2 yards to the Duke 47
Sam Howell sacked by Aeneas Peebles for a loss of 10 yards to the NCaro 43
Ben Kiernan punt for 41 yds , Scott Boylan returns for 5 yds to the Duke 21 DUKE Penalty, Offensive Holding (Dominique Long) to the Duke 11
Mataeo Durant run for 5 yds to the Duke 16
Mataeo Durant run for 4 yds to the Duke 20
Mataeo Durant run for 4 yds to the Duke 24 for a 1ST down
Gunnar Holmberg pass complete to Jalon Calhoun for 11 yds to the Duke 35 for a 1ST down
Gunnar Holmberg pass complete to Jake Marwede for 12 yds to the Duke 47 for a 1ST down
Holmberg, Gunnar pass incomplete to Garner, Jarett, PENALTY UNC pass interference (Brown, Khafre) 15 yards to the UNC38, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN DUKE.
Gunnar Holmberg pass complete to Jake Bobo for 5 yds to the NCaro 33
Jordan Waters run for 3 yds to the NCaro 30
Mataeo Durant run for no gain to the NCaro 30
Jordan Moore run for 1 yd to the NCaro 29
Sam Howell pass incomplete to Josh Downs
Sam Howell pass complete to Stephen Gosnell for 8 yds to the NCaro 37
Ty Chandler run for 3 yds to the NCaro 40 for a 1ST down
Howell, Sam pass incomplete to Brown, Khafre, PENALTY DUKE pass interference (Blackwell, Josh) 15 yards to the DUKE45, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UNC.
Sam Howell pass complete to Josh Downs for 8 yds to the Duke 37
Sam Howell sacked by Ben Frye for a loss of 6 yards to the Duke 43
Sam Howell sacked by DeWayne Carter for a loss of 11 yards to the NCaro 46
Ben Kiernan punt for 44 yds , Scott Boylan returns for 14 yds to the Duke 24
Mataeo Durant run for 2 yds to the Duke 26
Mataeo Durant run for 4 yds to the Duke 30 for a 1ST down NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the Duke 45 for a 1ST down
Gunnar Holmberg pass complete to Mataeo Durant for 2 yds to the Duke 47
Jordan Waters run for 7 yds to the NCaro 46
Jordan Waters run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCaro 47
DUKE Penalty, False Start (TEAM) to the Duke 48
Porter Wilson punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Josh Downs at the NCaro 17
Sam Howell run for 8 yds to the NCaro 25
D.J. Jones run for 1 yd to the NCaro 26
D.J. Jones run for 11 yds to the NCaro 37 for a 1ST down
Sam Howell pass complete to Josh Downs for 36 yds to the Duke 27 for a 1ST down
Sam Howell pass complete to Kamari Morales for 7 yds to the Duke 20
Sam Howell run for 2 yds to the Duke 18
Ty Chandler run for 4 yds to the Duke 14 for a 1ST down
Ty Chandler run for 14 yds for a TD, (Grayson Atkins KICK)
Mataeo Durant run for 1 yd to the Duke 26
Gunnar Holmberg run for 4 yds to the Duke 30
Gunnar Holmberg pass complete to Jake Marwede for 1 yd to the Duke 31
Porter Wilson punt for 61 yds , Josh Downs muffs punt, recovered by NCaro Josh Downs , return for 21 yds to the NCaro 22
Ty Chandler run for 2 yds to the NCaro 24
Sam Howell pass complete to Garrett Walston for 4 yds to the NCaro 28
Sam Howell pass complete to Josh Downs for 8 yds to the NCaro 36 for a 1ST down
Sam Howell pass incomplete to Josh Downs
Ty Chandler run for 1 yd to the NCaro 37
Sam Howell pass complete to Josh Downs for 63 yds for a TD, (Grayson Atkins KICK)
Jordan Waters run for no gain to the Duke 25
Jordan Moore run for no gain to the Duke 25
Jordan Moore sacked by Chris Collins for a loss of 9 yards to the Duke 16
Porter Wilson punt for 58 yds, downed at the NCaro 26
Elijah Green run for 9 yds to the NCaro 35
Elijah Green run for 3 yds to the NCaro 38 for a 1ST down
Elijah Green run for 6 yds to the NCaro 44
Jacolby Criswell run for 1 yd to the NCaro 45 Jacolby Criswell fumbled, recovered by NCaro Bryson Nesbit
Elijah Green run for 4 yds to the NCaro 49 for a 1ST down
Elijah Green run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCaro 48