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← Back to GamesOct 2, 2021Week 5
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Syracuse by 4

Home Win Probability

Florida State 35%

Market (consensus)

Florida State -5.5

Edge: Syracuse +5.5 (9.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 2, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
SyracuseSyracuse
01371030
Florida StateFlorida State
31371033

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428423-09-616-1323-1330-2730-3033-30
Florida StateSyracuse

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SYRFSSYRFSSYRFSSYRFSSYRFSSYRFSSYRFSSYRFSSYRSYRFSSYRFSSYRFSSYRFSSYRFSPUNT34ydFG1748ydDOWNS846ydPUNT39ydPUNT33ydPUNT4-9ydPUNT3-1ydTD550ydTD367ydPUNT3-4ydTD560ydTD675ydTO526ydPUNT37ydPUNT37ydTD844ydPUNT3-2ydDOWNS633ydPUNT39ydTD449ydTD580ydTD661ydTO411ydFG735ydPUNT38ydPUNT516ydFG763yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Syracuse and Florida State
StatisticSyracuseFlorida State
Passing13-2322-32
Pass Yards150131
Rush Yards239247
Total Yards389378
Turnovers12
3rd Down2-126-15
Penalties3-283-30
Possession29:4430:16

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Syracuse
passing
Garrett Shrader
13/23, 150 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Garrett Shrader
16 CAR, 137 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
Courtney Jackson
6 REC, 57 YDS
defense
Florida State
passing
Jordan Travis
22/32, 131 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Jordan Travis
19 CAR, 113 YDS
receiving
Camm McDonald
5 REC, 41 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Sean Tucker run for 4 yds to the Syrac 29

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.65

Garrett Shrader run for no gain to the Syrac 29

3rd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.31

Garrett Shrader run for no gain to the Syrac 29

4th & 6Punt+1 yds

Ian Hawkins punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FlaSt 35 , Ontaria Wilson returns for 1 yd to the FlaSt 35

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Jashaun Corbin run for 8 yds to the FlaSt 43

2nd & 2Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -1.09

Jordan Travis pass complete to Jashaun Corbin for 1 yd to the FlaSt 44

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.20

Lawrance Toafili run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Jordan Travis pass complete to Lawrance Toafili for 4 yds to the Syrac 49

2nd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Jordan Travis pass complete to Lawrance Toafili for 4 yds to the Syrac 45

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Malik McClain

4th & 2Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Jordan Travis pass complete to Jashaun Corbin for 4 yds to the Syrac 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.67

Jordan Travis pass complete to Jashaun Corbin for 1 yd to the Syrac 40

2nd & 9Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.10

Jashaun Corbin run for 10 yds to the Syrac 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jordan Travis pass complete to Darion Williamson for 5 yds to the Syrac 25

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Treshaun Ward

3rd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Jordan Travis pass complete to Andrew Parchment for 4 yds to the Syrac 21

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.80

Jordan Travis run for 2 yds to the Syrac 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Jordan Travis pass complete to Camren McDonald for 2 yds to the Syrac 17

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Jashaun Corbin run for 3 yds to the Syrac 20

3rd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Jordan Travis run for 3 yds to the Syrac 17

4th & 8Field Goal Good+35 yds

Ryan Fitzgerald 35 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+24 yds

Parker Grothaus kickoff for 63 yds , Trebor Pena return for 24 yds to the Syrac 26

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

FLORIDA ST Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Jammie Robinson) to the Syrac 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Sean Tucker run for 3 yds to the Syrac 49

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Sean Tucker run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 48

3rd & 4Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.09

Garrett Shrader pass complete to Courtney Jackson for 14 yds to the FlaSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Sean Tucker run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 32

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Sean Tucker run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 29

3rd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Garrett Shrader pass complete to Devaughn Cooper for 3 yds to the FlaSt 26

4th & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.15

Sean Tucker run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 28

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.66

Treshaun Ward run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 29

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Fernando Padron

3rd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.32

Jordan Travis run for 8 yds to the FlaSt 37

4th & 1Punt+8 yds

Alex Mastromanno punt for 49 yds , Trebor Pena returns for 8 yds to the Syrac 22

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.61

Sean Tucker run for no gain to the Syrac 22

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Sean Tucker run for 3 yds to the Syrac 25

3rd & 7Penalty0 yds

(14:24) Shrader,Garrett pass incomplete to Gadsden II,Oronde PENALTY SYR Pass Interference offsetting FSU Personal Foul offsetting. NO PLAY.

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Courtney Jackson

4th & 7Punt+12 yds

Ian Hawkins punt for 44 yds , Ontaria Wilson returns for 12 yds to the FlaSt 43

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

FLORIDA ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the FlaSt 39

1st & 14Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jordan Travis pass complete to Camren McDonald for 5 yds to the FlaSt 44

2nd & 9Sack-10 ydsPPA -1.80

Jordan Travis sacked by Kingsley Jonathan for a loss of 10 yards to the FlaSt 34

3rd & 19Rush0 ydsPPA -0.12

Jordan Travis run for no gain to the FlaSt 34

4th & 19Punt+7 yds

Alex Mastromanno punt for 49 yds , Trebor Pena returns for 7 yds to the Syrac 24

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.56

Garrett Shrader pass complete to Courtney Jackson for 1 yd to the Syrac 23

2nd & 11Rush0 ydsPPA -0.28

Garrett Shrader run for no gain to the Syrac 23

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Garrett Shrader pass incomplete pass incomplete fumbled, recovered by Syrac , return for 0 yards

4th & 11Punt+3 yds

Ian Hawkins punt for 30 yds , Ontaria Wilson returns for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.75

Jordan Travis pass complete to Camren McDonald for 12 yds to the Syrac 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Andrew Parchment

2nd & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.29

Jordan Travis run for 20 yds to the Syrac 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Jashaun Corbin run for 4 yds to the Syrac 14

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.61

Jordan Travis pass complete to Camren McDonald for 14 yds for a TD, (Ryan Fitzgerald PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+29 yds

Parker Grothaus kickoff for 61 yds , Trebor Pena return for 29 yds to the Syrac 33

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Sean Tucker run for 1 yd to the Syrac 34

2nd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.94

Garrett Shrader pass complete to Sharod Johnson for 11 yds to the Syrac 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+55 ydsPPA +4.28

Garrett Shrader run for 55 yds for a TD, (Andre Szmyt PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Jordan Travis run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 26

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Jashaun Corbin run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 22

3rd & 13Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.11

Jordan Travis sacked by Terry Lockett for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaSt 21

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Alex Mastromanno punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Trebor Pena at the Syrac 40

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.07

Garrett Shrader pass complete to Damien Alford for 12 yds to the FlaSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.59

Sean Tucker run for 10 yds to the FlaSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.46

Garrett Shrader pass complete to Damien Alford for 17 yds to the FlaSt 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.75

Garrett Shrader run for 16 yds to the FlaSt 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Garrett Shrader run for 5 yds for a TD, (Andre Szmyt KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jashaun Corbin run for 5 yds to the FlaSt 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Jordan Travis pass complete to Camren McDonald for 8 yds to the FlaSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

(01:49) Travis,Jordan pass intercepted by Simmons Jr.,Jason at SYR31 Simmons Jr.,Jason return 31 yards to the FSU38, out of bounds PENALTY SYR Holding (Chestnut,Darian) 10 yards from FSU38 to FSU48, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.71

Jordan Travis pass complete to Treshaun Ward for 10 yds to the Syrac 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

(01:15) Travis,Jordan pass incomplete to Wilson,Ontaria QB hurried by Wax,Marlowe PENALTY SYR Roughing The Passer (Wax,Marlowe) 15 yards from SYR42 to SYR27, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.49

Jordan Travis pass complete to Treshaun Ward for 8 yds to the Syrac 19

2nd & 2Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA -0.30

Jordan Travis pass complete to Treshaun Ward for 5 yds to the Syrac 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.55

Jordan Travis pass complete to Keyshawn Helton for 14 yds for a TD, (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+27 yds

Parker Grothaus kickoff for 58 yds , Trebor Pena return for 27 yds to the Syrac 34

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.15

Garrett Shrader pass complete to Courtney Jackson for 26 yds to the FlaSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Sean Tucker

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Anthony Queeley

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Sean Tucker

4th & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -0.96

Garrett Shrader pass intercepted, touchback.

0th & 0End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+11 yds

Andre Szmyt kickoff for 53 yds , Ja'Khi Douglas return for 11 yds to the FlaSt 23

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.64

Jordan Travis pass complete to Treshaun Ward for no gain to the FlaSt 23

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.29

Jashaun Corbin run for 7 yds to the FlaSt 30

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Keyshawn Helton

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Alex Mastromanno punt for 44 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Sean Tucker run for 3 yds to the Syrac 29

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Sean Tucker run for 3 yds to the Syrac 32

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Garrett Shrader run for 1 yd to the Syrac 33

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Ian Hawkins punt for 11 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Syrac 44

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.67

Jashaun Corbin run for 17 yds to the Syrac 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.17

Jashaun Corbin run for 11 yds to the Syrac 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Jordan Travis run for 1 yd to the Syrac 15

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Darion Williamson

3rd & 9Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.72

Jordan Travis pass complete to Keyshawn Helton for 12 yds to the Syrac 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

Jashaun Corbin run for no gain to the Syrac 3

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Preston Daniel

3rd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.62

Andrew Parchment 3 Yd Run (Ryan Fitzgerald Kick)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Garrett Shrader run for 4 yds to the Syrac 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.65

Garrett Shrader pass complete to Abdul Adams for no gain to the Syrac 29

3rd & 6Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.48

Garrett Shrader sacked by Fabien Lovett for a loss of 6 yards to the Syrac 23

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Ian Hawkins punt for 42 yds

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.74

Sean Tucker run for 9 yds to the FlaSt 25

2nd & 1Rush+17 ydsPPA -0.12

Sean Tucker run for 17 yds to the FlaSt 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.36

Sean Tucker run for no gain to the FlaSt 8

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Maximilian Mang

3rd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.16

Garrett Shrader pass complete to Courtney Jackson for 7 yds to the FlaSt 1

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -4.21

Garrett Shrader run for no gain to the FlaSt 1

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Jordan Travis run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 3

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.06

Jashaun Corbin run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 6

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Jordan Travis run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 10

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Alex Mastromanno punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Trebor Pena at the FlaSt 49

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Sean Tucker run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 45

2nd & 6Rush+32 ydsPPA +1.36

Garrett Shrader run for 32 yds to the FlaSt 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 yds

run for 13 yds for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Garrett Shrader run for 1 yd for a TD, (Andre Szmyt KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+12 yds

Andre Szmyt kickoff for 57 yds , Ja'Khi Douglas return for 12 yds to the FlaSt 20

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Malik McClain

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY FSU False Start (Smith,Maurice) 5 yards from FSU20 to FSU15. NO PLAY.

2nd & 15Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.41

Jordan Travis run for 11 yds to the FlaSt 26

3rd & 4Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.12

Jordan Travis pass complete to Lawrance Toafili for 4 yds to the FlaSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+68 ydsPPA +4.48

Treshaun Ward run for 65 yds to the FLORIDAST 5 for a 1ST down SYRACUSE Penalty, Face Mask (3 yards) (Aman Greenwood) to the Syrac 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Jashaun Corbin run for 2 yds for a TD, (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+39 yds

Parker Grothaus kickoff for 65 yds , Trebor Pena return for 39 yds to the Syrac 39

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.80

Garrett Shrader pass complete to Anthony Queeley for 24 yds to the FlaSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.78

Garrett Shrader pass complete to Courtney Jackson for 9 yds to the FlaSt 28

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Sean Tucker run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Devaughn Cooper

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.64

Sean Tucker run for no gain to the FlaSt 26

3rd & 10Passing Touchdown+26 ydsPPA +3.83

Garrett Shrader pass complete to Anthony Queeley for 26 yds for a TD, (Andre Szmyt KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Jordan Travis run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 36

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Jashaun Corbin run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 40

3rd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +2.01

Jordan Travis run for 6 yds to the FlaSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -2.82

Jordan Travis pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.52

Garrett Shrader run for 15 yds to the FlaSt 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.65

Sean Tucker run for 9 yds to the FlaSt 17

2nd & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA -0.36

Sean Tucker run for 8 yds to the FlaSt 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Sean Tucker run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 8

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Garrett Shrader run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 6

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Anthony Queeley

4th & 6Field Goal Good+24 yds

Andre Szmyt 24 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Andre Szmyt kickoff for 65 yds , Ja'Khi Douglas return for 16 yds to the FlaSt 16

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.46

Jordan Travis run for 7 yds to the FlaSt 23

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Jashaun Corbin run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 24

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.39

Jordan Travis run for no gain to the FlaSt 24

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Alex Mastromanno punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Syrac 28

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Sean Tucker run for 2 yds to the Syrac 30

2nd & 8Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.71

Garrett Shrader run for 11 yds to the Syrac 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Garrett Shrader pass complete to Courtney Jackson for 2 yds to the Syrac 43

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Garrett Shrader run for 1 yd to the Syrac 44

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Anthony Queeley

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Ian Hawkins punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Keyshawn Helton at the FlaSt 21

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jordan Travis pass complete to Jashaun Corbin for 5 yds to the FlaSt 26

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Ontaria Wilson

2nd & 5Rush+33 ydsPPA +3.00

Jordan Travis run for 33 yds to the Syrac 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Ontaria Wilson

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Jordan Travis pass complete to Jashaun Corbin for 3 yds to the Syrac 38

3rd & 7Rush+25 ydsPPA +1.95

Jordan Travis run for 25 yds to the Syrac 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.50

run for a loss of 3 yards to the Syrac 16

2nd & 13Field Goal Good+34 yds

Ryan Fitzgerald 34 yd FG GOOD

Situational Analysis

Syracuse

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
42%
26 plays
2nd
0%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
18%
11 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
17%
6 plays
40%
5 plays
0%
1 play
4th
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play

Florida State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
43%
28 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
0%
4 plays
60%
5 plays
27%
11 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
40%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
100%
3 plays
0%
3 plays
4th
100%
2 plays