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← Back to GamesSep 25, 2021Week 4
LibertyLiberty
21
-Final
24
SyracuseSyracuse

House Prediction

Model Margin

Liberty by 10.4

Home Win Probability

Syracuse 24%

Market (consensus)

Syracuse +6.5

Edge: Liberty -6.5 (3.9 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 25, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
LibertyLiberty
077721
SyracuseSyracuse
0147324

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-014-014-721-721-1421-2124-21
SyracuseLiberty

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SYRLIBSYRLIBSYRLIBSYRLIBSYRLIBSYRLIBLIBSYRLIBSYRLIBSYRLIBSYRLIBSYRLIBSYRPUNT33ydMISS953ydMISS946ydPUNT419ydTD1292ydPUNT34ydTD455ydPUNT721ydPUNT35ydTD876ydPUNT516ydEND1-2ydPUNT34ydTD874ydPUNT3-2ydPUNT31ydTD973ydPUNT34ydTD545ydPUNT58ydDOWNS960ydPUNT619ydTO23ydFG713yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Liberty and Syracuse
StatisticLibertySyracuse
Passing16-216-15
Pass Yards21977
Rush Yards150228
Total Yards369305
Turnovers10
3rd Down5-124-13
Penalties7-695-37
Possession28:3931:21

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Liberty
passing
Malik Willis
14/19, 205 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Shedro Louis
9 CAR, 59 YDS
receiving
C.J. Daniels
4 REC, 86 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Syracuse
passing
Garrett Shrader
6/15, 77 YDS
rushing
Sean Tucker
32 CAR, 169 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Sean Tucker
2 REC, 27 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Garrett Shrader pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.48

Garrett Shrader pass complete to Sean Tucker for 8 yds to the Syrac 33

3rd & 2Penalty-5 yds

SYRACUSE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Syrac 28

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Garrett Shrader pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

James Williams punt for 43 yds, downed at the Liber 29

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Shedro Louis run for 5 yds to the Liber 34

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Shedro Louis run for 4 yds to the Liber 38

3rd & 1Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.89

Malik Willis run for 11 yds to the Liber 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Malik Willis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+26 ydsPPA +2.35

Malik Willis run for 26 yds to the Syrac 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Shedro Louis run for 3 yds to the Syrac 22

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

T.J. Green run for 4 yds to the Syrac 18

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.54

T.J. Green run for no gain to the Syrac 18

4th & 3Field Goal Missed+36 yds

Alex Barbir 36 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Sean Tucker run for 6 yds to the Syrac 26

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.71

Sean Tucker run for no gain to the Syrac 26

3rd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.38

Garrett Shrader pass complete to Taj Harris for 7 yds to the Syrac 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.42

Garrett Shrader run for 15 yds to the Syrac 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.82

Sean Tucker run for 12 yds to the Liber 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.27

Sean Tucker run for a loss of 2 yards to the Liber 42

2nd & 12Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.08

Garrett Shrader run for 10 yds to the Liber 32

3rd & 2Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.40

Garrett Shrader run for a loss of 2 yards to the Liber 34

4th & 4Field Goal Missed+52 yds

Andre Szmyt 52 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.24

CJ Daniels pass complete to Malik Willis for 13 yds to the Liber 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Joshua Mack run for 4 yds to the Syrac 49

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Joshua Mack run for 2 yds to the Syrac 47

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Malik Willis pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt+39 yds

Max Morgan punt for 31 yds SYRACUSE Penalty, Offensive Holding (8 Yards) to the Syrac 8

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

SYRACUSE Penalty, False Start ( Yards) to the Syrac 4

1st & 14Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Sean Tucker run for 4 yds to the Syrac 8

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

TUCKER, Sean rush up the middle for a gain of 1 yard to the SYR9 (SINGS V, Stephen). PENALTY LIB Personal Foul enforced 15 yards from the SYR9 to the SYR24 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.56

Sean Tucker run for 1 yd to the Syrac 25

2nd & 9Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.34

Garrett Shrader pass complete to Sean Tucker for 19 yds to the Syrac 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.83

Abdul Adams run for 10 yds to the Liber 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Garrett Shrader pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.60

Garrett Shrader pass complete to Abdul Adams for 11 yds to the Liber 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.05

Garrett Shrader run for a loss of 2 yards to the Liber 37

2nd & 12Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.43

Garrett Shrader pass complete to Damien Alford for 19 yds to the Liber 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.27

Sean Tucker run for 10 yds to the Liber 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Sean Tucker run for 2 yds to the Liber 6

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Garrett Shrader run for 5 yds to the Liber 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Garrett Shrader run for 1 yd for a TD, (Andre Szmyt KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+11 yds

Andre Szmyt kickoff for 60 yds , Shedro Louis return for 11 yds to the Liber 8

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Demario Douglas run for 2 yds to the Liber 10

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Malik Willis pass complete to CJ Daniels for 5 yds to the Liber 15

3rd & 3Sack0 ydsPPA -0.23

Malik Willis sacked by Mikel Jones for 0 yards to the Liber 12

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Max Morgan punt for 43 yds

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.94

Sean Tucker run for 8 yds to the Liber 47

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.09

Garrett Shrader run for 6 yds to the Liber 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Sean Tucker run for 4 yds to the Liber 37

2nd & 6Penalty+10 yds

LIBERTY Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (T.J. Green) to the Liber 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+27 ydsPPA +2.74

Sean Tucker run for 27 yds for a TD, (Andre Szmyt KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+11 yds

Andre Szmyt kickoff for 65 yds , Shedro Louis return for 11 yds to the Liber 5

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Malik Willis pass complete to Demario Douglas for 3 yds to the Liber 8

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Joshua Mack run for 4 yds to the Liber 12

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.52

Malik Willis run for 5 yds to the Liber 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.78

Malik Willis pass complete to CJ Daniels for 23 yds to the Liber 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.12

Joshua Mack run for no gain to the Liber 40

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Malik Willis pass incomplete

3rd & 10Sack0 ydsPPA -0.41

Malik Willis sacked by Kingsley Jonathan and Geoff Cantin-Arku for 0 yards to the Liber 26

4th & 24Punt0 yds

Max Morgan punt for 48 yds, downed at the Syrac 26

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Sean Tucker run for 5 yds to the Syrac 31

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.79

Garrett Shrader run for no gain to the Syrac 31

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Garrett Shrader pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt+10 yds

James Williams punt for 55 yds , Demario Douglas returns for 10 yds to the Liber 24

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Shedro Louis run for 2 yds to the Liber 26

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.41

Malik Willis run for 7 yds to the Liber 33

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.02

Malik Willis run for 3 yds to the Liber 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.85

Malik Willis pass complete to Treon Sibley for 22 yds to the Syrac 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Shedro Louis run for 3 yds to the Syrac 39

2nd & 7Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.72

Shedro Louis run for 7 yds to the Syrac 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +0.67

Malik Willis pass complete to Noah Frith for 25 yds to the Syrac 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Malik Willis pass complete to Shedro Louis for 7 yds for a TD, (Alex Barbir KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Sean Tucker run for 5 yds to the Syrac 30

2nd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Sean Tucker run for 8 yds to the Syrac 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Sean Tucker run for 3 yds to the Syrac 41

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Garrett Shrader pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Garrett Shrader pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

James Williams punt for 36 yds, downed at the Liber 23

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.81

run for a loss of 2 yards to the Liber 21

0th & 12End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Malik Willis pass complete to Demario Douglas for 7 yds to the Liber 32

2nd & 3Sack0 ydsPPA -0.99

Malik Willis sacked by Marlowe Wax for 0 yards to the Liber 28

3rd & 7Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.22

Johnathan Bennett pass complete to Demario Douglas for 1 yd to the Liber 29

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Max Morgan punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Courtney Jackson at the Syrac 26

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Sean Tucker run for 3 yds to the Syrac 29

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.26

Sean Tucker run for 8 yds to the Syrac 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Sean Tucker run for 8 yds to the Syrac 45

2nd & 2Penalty+15 yds

QB Keeper SHRADER, Garrett rush up the middle for a gain of 2 yards to the SYR47 (HARDING, Rashaad). PENALTY LIB Face mask enforced 15 yards from the SYR47 to the LIB38 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush-8 ydsPPA -2.47

run for a loss of 8 yards to the Liber 46

2nd & 18Rush+19 ydsPPA +2.83

Sean Tucker run for 19 yds to the Liber 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.19

Garrett Shrader pass complete to Taj Harris for 13 yds to the Liber 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Garrett Shrader run for 4 yds to the Liber 10

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.57

Garrett Shrader run for 10 yds for a TD, (Andre Szmyt KICK)

1st & 10Sack0 ydsPPA -0.70

Malik Willis sacked by Cody Roscoe for 0 yards to the Liber 24

2nd & 11Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Malik Willis pass complete to Demario Douglas for 6 yds to the Liber 30

3rd & 5Penalty-5 yds

LIBERTY Penalty, False Start (TEAM) to the Liber 25

3rd & 10Sack0 ydsPPA -0.16

Malik Willis sacked by Marlowe Wax for 0 yards to the Liber 23

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Max Morgan punt for 53 yds, downed at the Syrac 24

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.56

Sean Tucker run for 1 yd to the Syrac 25

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Garrett Shrader pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Garrett Shrader pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt+26 yds

James Williams punt for 37 yds , Demario Douglas returns for 26 yds to the Liber 27

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Shedro Louis run for 3 yds to the Liber 30

2nd & 7Penalty+15 yds

SYRACUSE Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Geoff Cantin-Arku) to the Syrac 49 for a 1ST down

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.80

T.J. Green run for 7 yds to the Syrac 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

T.J. Green run for 6 yds to the Syrac 32

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

T.J. Green run for 1 yd to the Syrac 31

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.72

Malik Willis run for 5 yds to the Syrac 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

T.J. Green run for 3 yds to the Syrac 23

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Malik Willis pass complete to Noah Frith for 4 yds to the Syrac 45

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+23 ydsPPA +2.87

Malik Willis pass complete to CJ Daniels for 23 yds for a TD, (Alex Barbir KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Sean Tucker run for 3 yds to the Syrac 28

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Sean Tucker run for 1 yd to the Syrac 29

3rd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.31

Abdul Adams run for no gain to the Syrac 29

4th & 6Punt0 yds

James Williams punt for 46 yds

1st & 10Rush+30 ydsPPA +2.60

Shedro Louis run for 30 yds to the Syrac 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Malik Willis pass complete to Demario Douglas for 6 yds to the Syrac 39

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Shedro Louis run for 2 yds to the Syrac 37

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.81

Malik Willis run for 4 yds to the Syrac 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+33 ydsPPA +2.90

Malik Willis pass complete to Demario Douglas for 33 yds for a TD, (Alex Barbir KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Sean Tucker run for 4 yds to the Syrac 29

2nd & 6Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.53

Sean Tucker run for 12 yds to the Syrac 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.34

Garrett Shrader run for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 40

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Garrett Shrader pass incomplete

3rd & 11Sack0 ydsPPA -0.38

Garrett Shrader sacked by Kendy Charles and Ahmad Walker for 0 yards to the Syrac 33

4th & 18Punt+8 yds

James Williams punt for 38 yds , Demario Douglas returns for 8 yds to the Liber 37

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Malik Willis run for 9 yds to the Liber 46

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

T.J. Green run for 2 yds to the Liber 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Malik Willis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +2.57

Malik Willis pass complete to CJ Daniels for 35 yds to the Syrac 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

T.J. Green run for 8 yds to the Syrac 9

2nd & 2Penalty0 yds

GREEN, TJ rush up the middle for no gain to the SYR9 (BARRON, Justin). PENALTY Before the snap, SYR Illegal Substitution enforced half the distance from the goal, 4 yards from the SYR9 to the SYR5 and results in a 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Malik Willis pass incomplete

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

T.J. Green run for 1 yd to the Syrac 3

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Malik Willis run for 1 yd to the Syrac 2

4th & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -4.15

Malik Willis run for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 3

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Garrett Shrader run for 2 yds to the Syrac 5

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Sean Tucker run for 5 yds to the Syrac 10

3rd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.51

Sean Tucker run for 6 yds to the Syrac 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Sean Tucker run for 2 yds to the Syrac 18

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Courtney Jackson run for 4 yds to the Syrac 22

3rd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.27

Taj Harris run for no gain to the Syrac 22

4th & 4Punt-5 yds

James Williams punt for 46 yds , Demario Douglas returns for a loss of 5 yards to the Liber 27

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.88

Malik Willis run for 10 yds to the Liber 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack0 ydsPPA -1.07

Malik Willis sacked for 0 yards to the Liber 30

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.51

Sean Tucker run for 8 yds to the Liber 22

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Sean Tucker run for 1 yd to the Liber 21

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.18

Garrett Shrader run for 2 yds to the Liber 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.73

Sean Tucker run for a loss of 4 yards to the Liber 23

2nd & 14Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.01

Sean Tucker run for a loss of 2 yards to the Liber 25

3rd & 16Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.56

Garrett Shrader run for 8 yds to the Liber 17

4th & 8Field Goal Good+35 yds

Andre Szmyt 35 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0End of Regulation0 yds

End of 4th Quarter

Situational Analysis

Liberty

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
48%
29 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
17%
6 plays
67%
9 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
63%
8 plays
0%
1 play
0%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Syracuse

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
40%
30 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
67%
6 plays
56%
9 plays
60%
5 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
0%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
4th