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← Back to GamesSep 11, 2021Week 2

House Prediction

Model Margin

Wake Forest by 8.9

Home Win Probability

Wake Forest 93%

Market (consensus)

Wake Forest -43

Edge: Norfolk State +43 (34.1 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 11, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Norfolk State
360716
Wake ForestWake Forest
71717041

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-37-314-321-934-941-941-16
Wake ForestNorfolk State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NSWFNSWFNSWFNSWFNSWFNSWFNSWFNSWFNSWFNSWFNSWFFG1251ydTD665ydPUNT1129ydTD1063ydPUNT511ydTD1172ydTD975ydFG846ydEND1-1ydTD164ydPUNT32ydFG837ydPUNT632ydTD429ydPUNT38ydPUNT36ydTO1165ydTO620ydTD659ydPUNT33ydPUNT429ydEND213yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Norfolk State and Wake Forest
StatisticNorfolk StateWake Forest
Passing19-3118-29
Pass Yards195252
Rush Yards141161
Total Yards336413
Turnovers11
3rd Down8-166-12
Penalties5-304-44
Possession38:3921:21

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Norfolk State
passing
Juwan Carter
19/31, 195 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
J.J. Davis
6 CAR, 42 YDS
receiving
Justin Smith
5 REC, 66 YDS
defense
Wake Forest
passing
Sam Hartman
17/25, 244 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Christian Beal-Smith
9 CAR, 60 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jaquarii Roberson
4 REC, 97 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Rayquan Smith run for 2 yds to the NflkS 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.87

Juwan Carter pass complete to Da'Kendall James for 14 yds to the NflkS 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Juwan Carter pass incomplete to Marcque Ellington

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Cameryn Brent run for 4 yds to the NflkS 45

3rd & 6Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.89

Juwan Carter pass complete to Justin Smith for 18 yds to the WFrst 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Cameryn Brent run for 2 yds to the WFrst 39

2nd & 12Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Kevin Johnson run for 2 yds to the WFrst 37

3rd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.14

Juwan Carter pass complete to Justin Smith for 16 yds to the WFrst 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.55

Juwan Carter sacked by Rondell Bothroyd for a loss of 9 yards to the WFrst 30

2nd & 19Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Kevin Johnson run for 6 yds to the WFrst 24

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Juwan Carter pass incomplete to Marcque Ellington

4th & 13Field Goal Good+41 yds

Josh Nardone 41 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Sam Hartman pass complete to A.T. Perry for 8 yds to the WFrst 43

2nd & 2Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.36

Sam Hartman pass complete to Jaquarii Roberson for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.70

Christian Beal-Smith run for 11 yds to the NflkS 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+24 ydsPPA +0.58

Christian Beal-Smith run for 24 yds to the NflkS 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.87

Sam Hartman pass complete to A.T. Perry for 11 yds to the NflkS 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Sam Hartman run for 4 yds for a TD (Nick Sciba KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Kevin Johnson run for 3 yds to the NflkS 28

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Kevin Johnson run for no gain to the NflkS 28

3rd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.79

Juwan Carter run for 8 yds to the NflkS 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Cameryn Brent run for 5 yds to the NflkS 41

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Cameryn Brent run for 1 yd to the NflkS 42

3rd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.92

Juwan Carter pass complete to Cameryn Brent for 6 yds to the NflkS 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Rayquan Smith run for 1 yd to the NflkS 49

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Rayquan Smith run for 2 yds to the NflkS 47

3rd & 11Penalty+15 yds

PENALTY WFU UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (Holmes,Gavin) 15 yards from NSU47 to WFU38, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Smith,Rayquan rush for 0 yards to the WFU38 (Johns,JaCorey) PENALTY NSU Holding (Byrd,Colby) 10 yards from WFU38 to WFU48. NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Juwan Carter pass incomplete to Marcque Ellington

2nd & 20Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Rayquan Smith run for 1 yd to the WFrst 47

3rd & 19Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.38

Juwan Carter pass complete to Justin Smith for 1 yd to the WFrst 46

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Ryan Richter punt for 30 yds

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Christian Beal-Smith run for no gain to the WFrst 37

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Sam Hartman pass complete to Christian Beal-Smith for 4 yds to the WFrst 41

3rd & 6Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.76

Sam Hartman pass complete to Jaquarii Roberson for 14 yds to the NflkS 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.73

Christian Beal-Smith run for 8 yds to the NflkS 37

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.13

Christian Beal-Smith run for 5 yds to the NflkS 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.25

Sam Hartman pass complete to Jaquarii Roberson for 12 yds to the NflkS 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Sam Hartman run for 3 yds to the NflkS 17

2nd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.54

Sam Hartman pass complete to Taylor Morin for 10 yds to the NflkS 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Penalty+3 yds

NORFOLK ST Penalty, Face Mask (3 yards) (Devyn Coles) to the NflkS 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Christian Beal-Smith run for 3 yds for a TD (Nick Sciba KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Juwan Carter pass complete to Da'Quan Felton for 4 yds to the NflkS 39

2nd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.31

Kevin Johnson run for 8 yds to the NflkS 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Kevin Johnson run for 2 yds to the NflkS 45

2nd & 12Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.67

Kevin Johnson run for 1 yd to the NflkS 46

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Juwan Carter pass incomplete to Da'Kendall James

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Ryan Richter punt for 42 yds

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

Hartman,Sam pass complete to Williams,Ke'Shawn for 3 yards loss to the WFU25 (Land,Tayvion) PENALTY NSU Offside (Dixon,De'Shaan) 5 yards from WFU28 to WFU33. NO PLAY.

1st & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.39

Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Donald Stewart

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.71

Christian Turner run for 1 yd to the WFrst 34

3rd & 4Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.45

Sam Hartman pass complete to Ke'Shawn Williams for 14 yds to the WFrst 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.77

Sam Hartman pass complete to Donald Stewart for 11 yds to the NflkS 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Sam Hartman pass complete to Ke'Shawn Williams for 5 yds to the NflkS 36

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Blake Whiteheart

3rd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.29

Christian Turner run for 8 yds to the NflkS 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.08

Sam Hartman pass complete to Donald Stewart for 24 yds to the NflkS 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Ke'Shawn Williams

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Christian Turner run for 3 yds to the NflkS 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Christian Turner run for 1 yd for a TD (Nick Sciba KICK)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Juwan Carter run for 9 yds to the NflkS 34

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Kevin Johnson run for 2 yds to the NflkS 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.53

Juwan Carter run for 17 yds to the WFrst 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Juwan Carter run for 6 yds to the NflkS 47

2nd & 16Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.33

Juwan Carter run for 15 yds to the WFrst 38

3rd & 1Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +1.13

Juwan Carter pass complete to Justin Smith for 28 yds to the WFrst 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Juwan Carter pass incomplete to Anthony Williams

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Juwan Carter pass incomplete to Da'Quan Felton

3rd & 10Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +3.08

Juwan Carter pass complete to Rayquan Smith for 10 yds for a TD (Josh Nardone PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Blake Whiteheart

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.65

Sam Hartman pass complete to Donald Stewart for 10 yds to the WFrst 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.13

Sam Hartman pass complete to Jahmal Banks for 12 yds to the WFrst 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.95

Sam Hartman pass complete to Donald Stewart for 16 yds to the NflkS 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Donald Stewart

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Jahmal Banks

3rd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.67

Christian Beal-Smith run for 8 yds to the NflkS 27

4th & 2Field Goal Good+46 yds

Nick Sciba 46 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

run for 1 yd to the NflkS 24

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+64 ydsPPA +5.15

Sam Hartman pass complete to Jaquarii Roberson for 64 yds for a TD (Nick Sciba KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

J.J. Davis run for no gain to the NflkS 25

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

J.J. Davis run for 2 yds to the NflkS 27

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Juwan Carter pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Ryan Richter punt for 41 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Christian Turner run for 3 yds to the NflkS 38

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.74

Christian Turner run for 1 yd to the NflkS 37

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Blake Whiteheart

4th & 6Rush+30 ydsPPA +3.13

Sam Hartman run for 23 yds to the NflkS 14 for a 1ST down NORFOLK ST Penalty, Defensive Holding (Devyn Coles) to the NflkS 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.41

Christian Turner run for no gain to the NflkS 7

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Christian Turner run for 3 yds to the NflkS 4

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Jaquarii Roberson

4th & 4Field Goal Good+22 yds

Nick Sciba 22 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Juwan Carter pass complete to Da'Kendall James for 5 yds to the NflkS 30

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.63

Lex Henry run for 1 yd to the NflkS 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +3.00

Juwan Carter pass complete to Da'Quan Felton for 22 yds to the WFrst 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.77

Juwan Carter run for 8 yds to the WFrst 39

2nd & 2Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.99

Juwan Carter sacked for a loss of 4 yards to the WFrst 43

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Juwan Carter pass incomplete to Da'Quan Felton

4th & 6Blocked Punt0 yds

Luca Weber punt blocked by Rondell Bothroyd blocked by Rondell Bothroyd

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.53

Christian Beal-Smith run for no gain to the NflkS 29

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Sam Hartman pass complete to Christian Turner for 6 yds to the NflkS 23

3rd & 4Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.94

Sam Hartman pass complete to Ke'Shawn Williams for 16 yds to the NflkS 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Christian Turner run for 7 yds for a TD (Nick Sciba KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Rayquan Smith run for 1 yd to the NflkS 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Juwan Carter pass complete to Da'Quan Felton for 5 yds to the NflkS 31

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Rayquan Smith run for 2 yds to the NflkS 33

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Luca Weber punt for 53 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Quinton Cooley run for 2 yds to the WFrst 42

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Leo Kelly run for 4 yds to the WFrst 46

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Leo Kelly pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Ivan Mora punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Justin Smith at the NflkS 9

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.28

J.J. Davis run for 1 yd to the NflkS 8

2nd & 11Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.87

Juwan Carter pass complete to Da'Quan Felton for 13 yds to the NflkS 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.14

Juwan Carter pass complete to Kevin Johnson for 9 yds to the NflkS 30

2nd & 1Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.18

J.J. Davis run for 3 yds to the NflkS 33 for a 1ST down WAKE FOREST Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (DJ Taylor) to the NflkS 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Juwan Carter pass incomplete to Da'Quan Felton

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

J.J. Davis run for 4 yds to the WFrst 48

3rd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.07

Juwan Carter pass complete to J.J. Davis for 7 yds to the WFrst 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.54

Juwan Carter pass complete to Da'Quan Felton for 16 yds to the WFrst 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Juwan Carter pass incomplete to Da'Quan Felton

2nd & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.77

Juwan Carter sacked by Luiji Vilain for a loss of 1 yard to the WFrst 26

3rd & 11Interception0 ydsPPA -3.08

Juwan Carter pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.81

Quinton Cooley run for 1 yd to the WFrst 35

2nd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.76

Leo Kelly pass complete to Dez Williams for 8 yds to the WFrst 43

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.38

Quinton Cooley run for 5 yds to the WFrst 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Leo Kelly pass incomplete to Jackson Hensley

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Quinton Cooley run for 6 yds to the NflkS 46

3rd & 4Interception0 ydsPPA -2.17

Leo Kelly pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.32

Juwan Carter pass complete to Kevin Johnson for 9 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 1Rush+34 ydsPPA +0.77

J.J. Davis run for 34 yds to the WFrst 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Juwan Carter pass incomplete to Kevin Johnson

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Juwan Carter pass complete to Justin Smith for 3 yds to the WFrst 13

3rd & 7Penalty+4 yds

WAKE FOREST Penalty, Personal Foul (Isaiah Wingfield) to the WFrst 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Juwan Carter pass complete to Anthony Williams for 3 yds for a TD (Josh Nardone KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Ahmani Marshall run for no gain to the WFrst 35

2nd & 10Penalty-10 yds

Marshall,Ahmani rush for 10 yards gain to the WFU45 (Allen,Devon) PENALTY WFU Holding (Forbes,Christian) 10 yards from WFU35 to WFU25. NO PLAY.

2nd & 20Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.18

Ahmani Marshall run for 16 yds to the WFrst 41

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Santino Marucci run for 3 yds to the WFrst 38

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Zach Murphy punt for 45 yds

1st & 10Rush+25 ydsPPA +2.02

Lex Henry run for 25 yds to the NflkS 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Lex Henry run for 1 yd to the NflkS 42

2nd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Lex Henry run for 2 yds to the NflkS 44

3rd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Jonah Fitzgerald run for 3 yds to the NflkS 47

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Luca Weber punt for 36 yds

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Ahmani Marshall run for 8 yds to the WFrst 48

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.13

Ahmani Marshall run for 5 yds to the NflkS 47 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Norfolk State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
37%
27 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
20%
10 plays
43%
7 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
67%
6 plays
60%
5 plays
0%
4 plays
4th

Wake Forest

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
33%
3 plays
56%
25 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
0%
3 plays
50%
10 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
100%
2 plays
44%
9 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play