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← Back to GamesSep 11, 2021Week 2

House Prediction

Model Margin

Boston College by 41.5

Home Win Probability

Massachusetts 0%

Market (consensus)

Massachusetts +39

Edge: Boston College -39 (2.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 11, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Boston CollegeBoston College
140211045
MassachusettsMassachusetts
0021728

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-70-147-217-2821-3528-3828-45
MassachusettsBoston College

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MASBCMASBCMASBCMASBCMASBCMASBCMASMASBCBCMASBCMASBCMASBCTO422ydTD1465ydPUNT36ydTD768ydDOWNS1468ydPUNT952ydEND437ydTO233ydTD258ydTD675ydPUNT39ydTD144ydPUNT630ydTD31ydPUNT31ydTD00ydTD550ydEND950ydTD975ydTD00ydTO653ydEND1178yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Boston College and Massachusetts
StatisticBoston CollegeMassachusetts
Passing14-1814-29
Pass Yards221214
Rush Yards254121
Total Yards475335
Turnovers23
3rd Down10-132-8
Penalties11-995-50
Possession32:2427:36

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Boston College
passing
Dennis Grosel
11/14, 199 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Pat Garwo III
15 CAR, 160 YDS
receiving
Trae Barry
5 REC, 98 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Massachusetts
passing
Brady Olson
14/29, 214 YDS, 3 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Ellis Merriweather
11 CAR, 56 YDS
receiving
Rico Arnold
2 REC, 85 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Kay'Ron Adams run for 2 yds to the UMass 27

2nd & 8Penalty+5 yds

BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the UMass 32

2nd & 3Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.01

Brady Olson pass complete to Michael Fitzgerald for 11 yds to the UMass 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Brady Olson pass incomplete to Taylor Edwards BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Jaiden Woodbey) to the UMass 47

1st & 6Pass Interception Return-18 ydsPPA -3.65

Brady Olson pass intercepted Josh DeBerry return for a loss of 3 yards to the BC 44 MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (-15 Yards) to the BC 35

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Alec Sinkfield run for 8 yds to the BC 43

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.11

Alec Sinkfield run for 4 yds to the BC 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Trae Barry for 4 yds to the UMass 49

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Alec Sinkfield run for 4 yds to the UMass 45

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.11

Alec Sinkfield run for 3 yds to the UMass 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.70

Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Joey Luchetti for 1 yd to the UMass 41

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete to Alec Sinkfield

3rd & 9Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.35

Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Trae Barry for 17 yds to the UMass 24 for a 1ST down MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declined for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Travis Levy run for 6 yds to the UMass 18

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Travis Levy run for 1 yd to the UMass 17

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.32

Travis Levy run for 4 yds to the UMass 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Alec Sinkfield run for 7 yds to the UMass 6

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.42

Alec Sinkfield run for no gain to the UMass 6

3rd & 3Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.66

Alec Sinkfield run for 6 yds for a TD, (Danny Longman KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Kay'Ron Adams run for 6 yds to the UMass 31

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Brady Olson pass incomplete, broken up by Shitta Sillah

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Brady Olson pass incomplete to Jermaine Johnson Jr.

4th & 4Punt0 yds

G Georgeopoulos punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BC 32

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.33

Dennis Grosel pass complete to Jaden Williams for 14 yds to the BC 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+36 ydsPPA +1.59

Patrick Garwo run for 36 yds to the UMass 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Alec Sinkfield run for 8 yds to the UMass 10

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.06

Alec Sinkfield run for 3 yds to the UMass 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.13

Dennis Grosel run for 5 yds to the UMass 2

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Patrick Garwo run for no gain to the UMass 2

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Dennis Grosel run for 2 yds for a TD, (Danny Longman KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Brady Olson pass complete to Onuma Dieke for 8 yds to the UMass 33

2nd & 2Penalty+5 yds

BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the UMass 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.11

Eric Collins run for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Brady Olson pass complete to Taylor Edwards for 2 yds to the BC 48

2nd & 8Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.38

Ellis Merriweather run for 10 yds to the BC 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Brady Olson pass incomplete to Rico Arnold

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Zamar Wise run for 1 yd to the BC 37

3rd & 9Penalty+5 yds

BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Defensive offside (CJ Lewis) to the BC 32

3rd & 4Penalty+15 yds

Olson,Brady pass incomplete to Arnold,Rico ( Graham-Mobley,), PENALTY BC roughing passer ( Sillah, Shitta) 15 yards to the BC17, 1ST DOWN UMASS, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Ellis Merriweather run for 4 yds to the BC 13

2nd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Brady Olson pass complete to Kay'Ron Adams for 4 yds to the BC 9

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Kay'Ron Adams run for 1 yd to the BC 8

4th & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.71

Brady Olson run for 6 yds to the BC 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Kay'Ron Adams run for 1 yd to the BC 1

2nd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.64

Ellis Merriweather run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 2

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Zamar Wise run for 1 yd to the BC 1

4th & 1Rush-6 ydsPPA -4.21

Ellis Merriweather run for a loss of 6 yards to the BC 7

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Alec Sinkfield run for 1 yd to the BC 8

2nd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.10

Dennis Grosel pass complete to Jaden Williams for 6 yds to the BC 14

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.59

Dennis Grosel run for 5 yds to the BC 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +2.83

Dennis Grosel pass complete to Zay Flowers for 19 yds to the UMass 38 for a 1ST down MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the UMass 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Travis Levy run for 5 yds to the UMass 42

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.46

Dennis Grosel run for 5 yds to the UMass 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.14

Dennis Grosel run for a loss of 2 yards to the UMass 39

2nd & 12Rush-5 ydsPPA -2.00

Alec Sinkfield run for a loss of 5 yards to the UMass 44

3rd & 17Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Dennis Grosel pass complete to Travis Levy for 3 yds to the UMass 41

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Grant Carlson punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Eric Collins at the UMass 13

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Ellis Merriweather run for 4 yds to the UMass 17

2nd & 6Rush+32 ydsPPA +2.83

Ellis Merriweather run for 32 yds to the UMass 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Brady Olson pass incomplete to Tray Pettway, broken up by Jaiden Woodbey

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Ellis Merriweather run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+42 ydsPPA +3.17

Patrick Garwo run for 42 yds to the UMass 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-8 ydsPPA -4.10

Zay Flowers run for a loss of 8 yards to the UMass 42 Zay Flowers fumbled, forced by Devin Baldwin, recovered by UMass Uchenna Ezewike

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Ellis Merriweather run for 2 yds to the UMass 44

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+56 ydsPPA +5.25

Brady Olson pass complete to Rico Arnold for 56 yds for a TD, (Cameron Carson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Patrick Garwo run for 1 yd to the BC 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.57

Dennis Grosel pass complete to Trae Barry for 21 yds to the BC 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.22

Patrick Garwo run for 21 yds to the UMass 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.37

Patrick Garwo run for 7 yds to the UMass 25

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.11

Travis Levy run for 5 yds to the UMass 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +2.62

Travis Levy run for 20 yds for a TD, (Danny Longman KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Kay'Ron Adams run for 1 yd to the UMass 9

2nd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.29

Ellis Merriweather run for 8 yds to the UMass 17

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Ellis Merriweather run for no gain to the UMass 17

4th & 1Punt+27 yds

G Georgeopoulos punt for 32 yds, downed at the UMass 49 MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, IM (-5 Yards) to the UMass 44

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+44 ydsPPA +3.41

Dennis Grosel pass complete to Trae Barry for 44 yds for a TD, (Danny Longman KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Brady Olson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.95

Brady Olson pass complete to Ellis Merriweather for 11 yds to the UMass 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.29

Brady Olson run for 5 yds to the UMass 29 for a 1ST down BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Defensive holding (Josh DeBerry) to the UMass 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Ellis Merriweather run for 2 yds to the UMass 41

2nd & 8Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.27

Kay'Ron Adams run for a loss of 3 yards to the UMass 38

3rd & 11Penalty+5 yds

BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Defensive offside (Isaiah Graham-Mobley) to the UMass 43

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Brady Olson pass incomplete to Eric Collins, broken up by Josh DeBerry

4th & 6Punt0 yds

G Georgeopoulos punt for 52 yds , Travis Levy returns for no gain to the BC 1 Travis Levy fumbled, recovered by UMass Javon Batten

1st & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Brady Olson pass incomplete

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Kay'Ron Adams run for no gain to the BC 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Kay'Ron Adams run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cameron Carson KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, delay of game (Khris Banks) to the BC 20

1st & 15Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.43

Patrick Garwo run for a loss of 3 yards to the BC 17

2nd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.09

Dennis Grosel pass incomplete

3rd & 18Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.08

Dennis Grosel pass complete to Jaden Williams for 9 yds to the BC 26

4th & 9Punt+41 yds

Grant Carlson punt for 37 yds , Eric Collins returns for 4 yds for a TD Eric Collins fumbled, forced by Vinny DePalma, recovered by BC Jaiden Woodbey , return for 41 yds, (Danny Longman KICK)

1st & 0Penalty-15 yds

BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, personal foul (Khris Banks) to the BC 20

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Brady Olson pass incomplete to Rico Arnold

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Khris Banks) to the BC 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Wise,Zamar pass incomplete to Dieke,Onuma, PENALTY BC pass interference ( Horsley, Cam) 15 yards to the BC20, 1ST DOWN UMASS, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Brady Olson pass incomplete to Rico Arnold

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Kay'Ron Adams run for 5 yds to the BC 15

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Brady Olson pass incomplete to Rico Arnold

4th & 5Passing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +3.43

Brady Olson pass complete to Eric Collins for 15 yds for a TD, (Cameron Carson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+33 ydsPPA +2.78

Patrick Garwo run for 33 yds to the UMass 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.45

Patrick Garwo run for 11 yds to the UMass 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Alec Sinkfield run for 4 yds to the UMass 27

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Alec Sinkfield run for 2 yds to the UMass 25

3rd & 4Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.70

Dennis Grosel pass complete to CJ Lewis for 13 yds to the UMass 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Patrick Garwo run for 2 yds to the UMass 10

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Dennis Grosel pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Dennis Grosel pass incomplete to Zay Flowers

4th & 8Field Goal Good+27 yds

Danny Longman 27 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UMass 20

1st & 15Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Brady Olson run for 10 yds to the UMass 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.89

Brady Olson pass complete to Tray Pettway for 17 yds to the UMass 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Brady Olson pass complete to Melvin Hill for 4 yds to the BC 49

2nd & 6Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.44

Brady Olson pass complete to Taylor Edwards for 19 yds to the BC 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Brady Olson pass incomplete to Eric Collins

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Brady Olson run for 7 yds to the BC 23

3rd & 3Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.52

Brady Olson pass complete to Taylor Edwards for 11 yds to the BC 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.42

Brady Olson run for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 14

2nd & 12Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.95

Brady Olson pass complete to Ellis Merriweather for 14 yds for a TD, (Cameron Carson KICK)

1st & 0Kickoff Return Touchdown+96 yds

CJ Kolodziey kickoff for 61 yds , Travis Levy return for 96 yds for a TD, (Danny Longman KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Brady Olson pass incomplete to Rico Arnold, broken up by Brandon Sebastian

2nd & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +3.24

Brady Olson pass complete to Rico Arnold for 29 yds to the BC 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.64

Brady Olson pass complete to Onuma Dieke for 13 yds to the BC 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +0.36

Kay'Ron Adams run for 20 yds to the BC 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-4 ydsPPA -0.58

Brady Olson run for a loss of 4 yards to the BC 22 Brady Olson fumbled, forced by Kam Arnold, recovered by UMass Kay'Ron Adams

2nd & 19Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.38

Brady Olson pass intercepted Brandon Sebastian return for no gain to the BC 4

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Patrick Garwo run for 3 yds to the BC 7

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Patrick Garwo run for 4 yds to the BC 11

3rd & 3Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.69

Dennis Grosel pass complete to Travis Levy for 9 yds to the BC 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Travis Levy run for 2 yds to the BC 22

2nd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.42

Patrick Garwo run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 21

3rd & 9Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.74

Dennis Grosel pass complete to Trae Barry for 12 yds to the BC 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Patrick Garwo run for 1 yd to the BC 34

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Patrick Garwo run for 3 yds to the BC 37

3rd & 6Pass Reception+49 ydsPPA +3.94

Dennis Grosel pass complete to Zay Flowers for 49 yds to the UMass 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.45

Cam Horsley run for a loss of 2 yards to the UMass 16

2nd & 12Rush0 ydsPPA -0.40

Cam Horsley run for no gain to the UMass 16

3rd & 12Rush0 ydsPPA -0.67

Dennis Grosel run for no gain to the UMass 16

4th & 12Rush-2 ydsPPA -2.93

Dennis Grosel run for a loss of 2 yards to the UMass 18

Situational Analysis

Boston College

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
57%
28 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
20%
5 plays
25%
4 plays
29%
7 plays
0%
3 plays
3rd
100%
6 plays
100%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Massachusetts

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
0%
1 play
25%
24 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
33%
3 plays
60%
5 plays
70%
10 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
40%
5 plays
0%
3 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play