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← Back to GamesNov 27, 2021Week 13
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Southern Miss by 8.9

Home Win Probability

Southern Miss 61%

Market (consensus)

Southern Miss -14.5

Edge: Florida International +14.5 (5.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 27, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Florida InternationalFlorida International
773017
Southern MissSouthern Miss
21031337

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-021-021-1424-1424-1731-1737-17
Southern MissFlorida International

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20FISMFISMFISMFISMFISMFISMFISMFISMSMFIFISMFISMFIFISMTO767ydTD992ydTO10ydTD134ydPUNT3-4ydTD12ydTO333ydTO222ydTD296ydPUNT37ydTD779ydPUNT32ydPUNT925ydPUNT36ydPUNT35ydEND26ydFG967ydFG1166ydMISS46ydTD1275ydDOWNS49ydTD134ydPUNT3-11ydTO410ydEND887yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Florida International and Southern Miss
StatisticFlorida InternationalSouthern Miss
Passing13-248-10
Pass Yards231122
Rush Yards160322
Total Yards391444
Turnovers43
3rd Down5-134-9
Penalties4-201-10
Possession28:0431:56

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Florida International
passing
Max Bortenschlager
13/24, 231 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Lexington Joseph
16 CAR, 105 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Tyrese Chambers
5 REC, 155 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Southern Miss
passing
Frank Gore Jr.
4/5, 81 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Dajon Richard
16 CAR, 107 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jason Brownlee
5 REC, 98 YDS, 2 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Lexington Joseph run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 30

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Lexington Joseph run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 34

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.15

Max Bortenschlager run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +2.19

Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Tyrese Chambers for 34 yds to the SoMis 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

FLORIDA INTL Penalty, False Start (EJ Wilson Jr.) to the SoMis 33

1st & 15Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

EJ Wilson Jr. run for 5 yds to the SoMis 28

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Max Bortenschlager pass incomplete

3rd & 15Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.66

Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Bryce Singleton for 25 yds to the SoMis 8

3rd & 10Penalty-5 yds

FLORIDA INTL Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SoMis 33

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

run for no gain to the SoMis 8

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.73

run for 11 yds to the SoMis 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.39

Antavious Willis pass complete to Jason Brownlee for 18 yds to the SoMis 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

run for 6 yds to the SoMis 43

2nd & 4Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.24

Frank Gore Jr. pass complete to Jakarius Caston for 13 yds to the FlaIn 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Dajon Richard run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 41

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 39

3rd & 5Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.52

run for 10 yds to the FlaIn 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+29 ydsPPA +2.79

Dajon Richard 29 Yd Run (Briggs Bourgeois Kick)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Briggs Bourgeois kickoff for 60 yds , Lexington Joseph return for 20 yds to the FlaIn 25

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.92

Max Bortenschlager pass intercepted return for no gain to the FlaIn 34

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+34 ydsPPA +2.94

Frank Gore Jr. pass complete to Jason Brownlee for 34 yds for a TD, (Briggs Bourgeois KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Lexington Joseph run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.10

Max Bortenschlager pass complete to EJ Wilson Jr. for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaIn 29

3rd & 6Sack0 ydsPPA -0.31

Max Bortenschlager sacked by Santrell Latham for 0 yards to the FlaIn 21

4th & 14Punt+77 yds

Tommy Heatherly punt for 58 yds , Natrone Brooks returns for 77 yds to the FlaIn 2

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Frank Gore Jr. 2 Yd Run (Briggs Bourgeois Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.70

Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Bryce Singleton for no gain to the FlaIn 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.94

Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Bryce Singleton for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.84

EJ Wilson Jr. run for 8 yds to the SoMis 42

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.55

run for 22 yds to the FlaIn 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.99

Jason Goldstein pass intercepted return for no gain to the FlaIn 4

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Shaun Peterson Jr. run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 9

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+91 ydsPPA +6.88

Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Tyrese Chambers for 91 yds for a TD, (Chase Gabriel KICK)

0th & 0Penalty-5 yds

FLORIDA INTL Penalty, Delay Of Game (Tyrese Chambers) to the SoMis 8

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

run for 1 yd to the SoMis 26

2nd & 9Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.51

run for a loss of 2 yards to the SoMis 24

3rd & 11Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.19

run for 8 yds to the SoMis 32

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Mason Hunt punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Tyrese Chambers at the FlaIn 21

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.59

Lexington Joseph run for no gain to the FlaIn 21

2nd & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +2.06

Lexington Joseph run for 18 yds to the FlaIn 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Bryce Singleton for 6 yds to the FlaIn 45

2nd & 4Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.04

Lexington Joseph run for 11 yds to the SoMis 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.71

Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Bryce Singleton for 19 yds to the SoMis 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.38

EJ Wilson Jr. run for 17 yds to the SoMis 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.32

Lexington Joseph run for 8 yds for a TD, (Chase Gabriel KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

run for 2 yds to the SoMis 27

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Frank Gore Jr. pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.22

Frank Gore Jr. pass complete to Demarcus Jones for no gain to the SoMis 27

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Mason Hunt punt for 54 yds, fair catch by Tyrese Chambers at the FlaIn 19

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Shaun Peterson Jr. run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 25

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Max Bortenschlager pass incomplete

3rd & 4Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.79

EJ Wilson Jr. run for 12 yds to the FlaIn 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Shaun Peterson Jr. run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 40

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Shaun Peterson Jr. run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 46

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.01

run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack0 ydsPPA -1.15

Max Bortenschlager sacked by TQ Newsome and Everitt Cunningham for 0 yards to the FlaIn 42

2nd & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

EJ Wilson Jr. run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 44

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Max Bortenschlager pass incomplete

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Tommy Heatherly punt for 16 yds

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Direct snap to WILLIS, Antavious rush to the right for a gain of 4 yards to the USM49 (POTTS, Jamal;PACE, Shykieim). PENALTY USM Holding on GUNTER, Grayson enforced 10 yards from the USM45 to the USM35 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

run for 4 yds to the SoMis 39

2nd & 16Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.72

run for 9 yds to the SoMis 48

3rd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 49

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Mason Hunt punt for 49 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Max Bortenschlager pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Lexington Joseph run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 22

3rd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.07

Lexington Joseph run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 25

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Tommy Heatherly punt for 47 yds, downed at the SoMis 28

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.66

run for 1 yd to the SoMis 29

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

run for 5 yds to the SoMis 34

0th & 9End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+33 ydsPPA +2.78

run for 33 yds to the FlaIn 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.45

Antavious Willis pass complete to Brandon Hayes for 11 yds to the FlaIn 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 26

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 23

3rd & 2Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.41

run for 10 yds to the FlaIn 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Dajon Richard run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 9

2nd & 6Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.53

run for a loss of 3 yards to the FlaIn 12

3rd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 8

4th & 5Field Goal Good+25 yds

Briggs Bourgeois 25 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Lexington Joseph run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 28

2nd & 7Rush+23 ydsPPA +2.61

Lexington Joseph run for 23 yds to the SoMis 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Max Bortenschlager pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.81

Lexington Joseph run for 8 yds to the SoMis 41

3rd & 2Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.28

Lexington Joseph run for 13 yds to the SoMis 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

EJ Wilson Jr. run for 6 yds to the SoMis 22

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.01

EJ Wilson Jr. run for 6 yds to the SoMis 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Max Bortenschlager pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.20

Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Tyrese Chambers for 7 yds to the SoMis 9

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.36

Lexington Joseph run for no gain to the SoMis 9

4th & 3Field Goal Good+26 yds

Chase Gabriel 26 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+31 yds

Lucas Matias kickoff for 65 yds , Camron Harrell return for 31 yds to the SoMis 31

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.58

EJ Wilson Jr. run for no gain to the SoMis 31

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Max Bortenschlager pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Tyrese Chambers for 6 yds to the SoMis 25

4th & 4Field Goal Missed+42 yds

Chase Gabriel 42 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Dajon Richard run for 4 yds to the SoMis 29

2nd & 6Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.01

run for 17 yds to the SoMis 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Antavious Willis pass complete to Jason Brownlee for 5 yds to the FlaIn 49

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Dajon Richard run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 47

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 45

4th & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +2.19

run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 39

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.47

Antavious Willis pass complete to Jason Brownlee for 7 yds to the FlaIn 32

3rd & 1Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.60

run for 10 yds to the FlaIn 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.22

Demarcus Jones run for 13 yds to the FlaIn 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 5

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Frank Gore Jr. 5 Yd Run (Briggs Bourgeois Kick)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Max Bortenschlager run for no gain to the FlaIn 25

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Shaun Peterson Jr. run for 7 yds to the FlaIn 32

3rd & 3Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Lexington Joseph for 2 yds to the FlaIn 34

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.20

Lexington Joseph run for no gain to the FlaIn 34

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+34 ydsPPA +2.94

Frank Gore Jr. pass complete to Jason Brownlee for 34 yds for a TD, (Briggs Bourgeois PAT BLOCKED)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Max Bortenschlager pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Max Bortenschlager pass incomplete

3rd & 10Sack0 ydsPPA -0.16

Max Bortenschlager sacked by Everitt Cunningham for 0 yards to the FlaIn 14

4th & 21Punt+4 yds

Tommy Heatherly punt for 44 yds , Natrone Brooks returns for 4 yds to the SoMis 46

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Lexington Joseph for 1 yd to the SoMis 45

2nd & 9Sack0 ydsPPA -1.08

Max Bortenschlager sacked by TQ Newsome for 0 yards to the FlaIn 47

3rd & 17Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +3.72

Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Tyrese Chambers for 17 yds to the SoMis 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.99

Max Bortenschlager pass intercepted return for no gain to the SoMis 3

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

run for 5 yds to the SoMis 8

2nd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.32

run for 8 yds to the SoMis 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+56 ydsPPA +3.82

run for 56 yds to the FlaIn 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 23

2nd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.67

run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 24

3rd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.79

run for 8 yds to the FlaIn 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

run for 8 yds to the FlaIn 8

Situational Analysis

Florida International

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
44%
25 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
33%
6 plays
58%
12 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
60%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Southern Miss

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
60%
25 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
8 plays
50%
6 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
67%
3 plays
100%
2 plays
0%
3 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play