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← Back to GamesOct 30, 2021Week 9
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Florida Atlantic by 5.8

Home Win Probability

Florida Atlantic 63%

Market (consensus)

Florida Atlantic -10.5

Edge: UTEP +10.5 (4.7 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 30, 2021

Line Movement

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Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
UTEPUTEP
3701525
Florida AtlanticFlorida Atlantic
777728

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-37-37-1014-1028-18
Florida AtlanticUTEP

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20FAUTEFAUTEFAUTEFAUTEFAUTEFAUTEFAUTEUTEFAUTEFAUTEFAUTEPUNT31ydFG1368ydPUNT37ydPUNT54ydTD255ydPUNT39ydPUNT39ydPUNT418ydPUNT35ydPUNT33ydPUNT32ydTD1080ydTD1075ydEND1-1ydUncategorized739ydPUNT58ydTO20ydTD713ydMISS650ydPUNT30ydPUNT31yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing UTEP and Florida Atlantic
StatisticUTEPFlorida Atlantic
Passing23-4713-26
Pass Yards327149
Rush Yards109132
Total Yards436281
Turnovers20
3rd Down4-171-15
Penalties13-978-79
Possession36:2923:31

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

UTEP
passing
Gavin Hardison
23/46, 327 YDS, 2 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Deion Hankins
11 CAR, 72 YDS
receiving
Tyrin Smith
4 REC, 114 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Breon Hayward
0.5 TFL, 1 PD
Florida Atlantic
passing
N'Kosi Perry
13/26, 149 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Johnny Ford
13 CAR, 93 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
LaJohntay Wester
4 REC, 64 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Johnny Ford run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception-9 ydsPPA -1.29

N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Johnny Ford for a loss of 9 yards to the FlAtl 21

3rd & 14Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Larry McCammon III run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 26

4th & 9Punt+48 yds

Matt Hayball punt for 48 yds , Justin Garrett returns for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 25

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Gavin Hardison pass complete to Justin Garrett for 7 yds to the UTEP 32

2nd & 3Penalty-10 yds

HARDISON, Gavin pass to the right incomplete intended for COWING, Jacob thrown to the EP 45. PENALTY FAU Holding on GILBERT, Zyon enforced 10 yards from the EP 32 to the EP 42 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.42

Ronald Awatt run for 19 yds to the FlAtl 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.02

Ronald Awatt run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 40

2nd & 11Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.84

Gavin Hardison pass complete to Justin Garrett for 9 yds to the FlAtl 31

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.92

Gavin Hardison pass incomplete

4th & 2Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.52

Gavin Hardison pass complete to Justin Garrett for 5 yds to the FlAtl 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.47

Deion Hankins run for no gain to the FlAtl 26

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Gavin Hardison pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 3 yds to the FlAtl 23

3rd & 7Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.87

Gavin Hardison run for 12 yds to the FlAtl 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Reynaldo Flores run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 8

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.22

Deion Hankins run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 7

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Gavin Hardison pass incomplete

4th & 6Field Goal Good+24 yds

Gavin Baechle 24 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

N'Kosi Perry pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 5 yds to the FlAtl 30

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.48

James Charles run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 32

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

N'Kosi Perry pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt+1 yds

Matt Hayball punt for 56 yds , Justin Garrett returns for 1 yd to the UTEP 13

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.40

Ronald Awatt run for no gain to the UTEP 13

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.24

Gavin Hardison pass complete to Trent Thompson for 15 yds to the UTEP 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Gavin Hardison pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Gavin Hardison pass incomplete

3rd & 10Sack0 ydsPPA -0.19

Gavin Hardison sacked for 0 yards to the UTEP 22

4th & 16Penalty-5 yds

UTEP Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the UTEP 17

4th & 21Punt0 yds

Joshua Sloan punt for 38 yds, fair catch by LaJohntay Wester at the FlAtl 45

1st & 10Rush+28 ydsPPA +1.54

Johnny Ford run for 13 yds to the FLAATLANTC 42 for a 1ST down UTEP Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Dy'vonne Inyang) to the UTEP 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+27 ydsPPA +2.74

Johnny Ford 27 Yd Run (Aaron Shahriari Kick)

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.75

Ronald Awatt run for a loss of 3 yards to the UTEP 17

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Gavin Hardison pass incomplete

3rd & 13Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.34

Gavin Hardison pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 12 yds to the UTEP 29

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Joshua Sloan punt for 41 yds, fair catch by LaJohntay Wester at the FlAtl 30

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the FlAtl 25

1st & 15Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.01

Johnny Ford run for 10 yds to the FlAtl 35

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

N'Kosi Perry run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 37

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

James Charles run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 39

4th & 1Punt+6 yds

punt for 47 yds , Justin Garrett returns for 6 yds to the UTEP 20

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.05

Gavin Hardison pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 14 yds to the UTEP 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Deion Hankins run for 8 yds to the UTEP 42

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.34

Gavin Hardison pass incomplete

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.73

Deion Hankins run for 1 yd to the UTEP 43

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

UTEP Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the UTEP 38

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Joshua Sloan punt for 40 yds, fair catch by LaJohntay Wester at the FlAtl 22

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.70

Johnny Ford run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 21

2nd & 11Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.12

N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Johnny Ford for 6 yds to the FlAtl 27

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

N'Kosi Perry pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt+4 yds

Matt Hayball punt for 59 yds , Justin Garrett returns for 4 yds to the UTEP 18

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Ronald Awatt run for 3 yds to the UTEP 21

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Gavin Hardison pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Gavin Hardison pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt+2 yds

Joshua Sloan punt for 45 yds , LaJohntay Wester returns for 2 yds to the FlAtl 36

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

James Charles run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 38

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

N'Kosi Perry pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

N'Kosi Perry pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Matt Hayball punt for 62 yds for a touchback

2nd & 17Passing Touchdown+23 ydsPPA +3.53

Trent Thompson 23 Yd pass from Gavin Hardison (Gavin Baechle Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Brandon Robinson for 8 yds to the FlAtl 33

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

N'Kosi Perry pass incomplete

3rd & 2Penalty+5 yds

UTEP Penalty, Offsides (Jadrian Taylor) to the FlAtl 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

N'Kosi Perry run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 39

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

N'Kosi Perry pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.51

N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Larry McCammon III for 8 yds to the FlAtl 47

4th & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +2.42

N'Kosi Perry run for 5 yds to the UTEP 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

N'Kosi Perry run for 3 yds to the UTEP 45

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

N'Kosi Perry pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.31

N'Kosi Perry pass complete to James Charles for 6 yds to the UTEP 39

4th & 1Passing Touchdown+39 ydsPPA +4.85

LaJohntay Wester 39 Yd pass from N'Kosi Perry (Aaron Shahriari Kick)

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.56

Gavin Hardison pass complete to Jacob Cowing for no gain to the UTEP 20

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Deion Hankins run for 6 yds to the UTEP 26

3rd & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.57

Gavin Hardison pass complete to Tyrin Smith for 9 yds to the UTEP 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.18

Deion Hankins run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 34

2nd & 11Penalty-5 yds

UTEP Penalty, Offsides (-5 Yards) to the UTEP 39

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.80

Reynaldo Flores run for 1 yd to the UTEP 40

3rd & 5Penalty-5 yds

UTEP Penalty, False Start (Bobby DeHaro) to the UTEP 35

3rd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.55

Gavin Hardison pass complete to Tyrin Smith for 9 yds to the UTEP 44

4th & 1Penalty-15 yds

UTEP Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the FlAtl 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, False Start (Nick Weber) to the FlAtl 36

1st & 15Rush0 ydsPPA -0.76

Johnny Ford run for no gain to the FlAtl 36

2nd & 15Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.93

N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Johnny Ford for 16 yds to the UTEP 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.31

N'Kosi Perry run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 49

2nd & 11Sack0 ydsPPA -1.01

N'Kosi Perry sacked by Praise Amaewhule for 0 yards to the FlAtl 44

3rd & 18Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.02

N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Brandon Robinson for 5 yds to the FlAtl 49

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Matt Hayball punt for 35 yds, downed at the UTEP 16

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Gavin Hardison pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA +0.04

Gavin Hardison pass intercepted return for no gain to the UTEP 13

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Johnny Ford run for 5 yds to the UTEP 8

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

LaJohntay Wester run for 4 yds to the UTEP 4

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

N'Kosi Perry pass incomplete

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.62

James Charles run for 2 yds to the UTEP 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

James Charles run for 1 yd to the UTEP 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

James Charles run for no gain to the UTEP 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown0 ydsPPA +2.45

Zaire Mitchell-Paden 0 Yd Run (Aaron Shahriari Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Gavin Hardison pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+44 ydsPPA +3.94

Gavin Hardison pass complete to Justin Garrett for 44 yds to the FlAtl 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Deion Hankins run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 29

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Ronald Awatt run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 25

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Gavin Hardison pass incomplete

4th & 4Field Goal Missed+42 yds

Gavin Baechle 42 yd FG MISSED

0th & 0Rushing Touchdown+5 yds

Ronald Awatt 5 Yd Run (Ronald Awatt Run for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.70

N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Zaire Mitchell-Paden for no gain to the FlAtl 25

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

N'Kosi Perry run for no gain to the FlAtl 25

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

N'Kosi Perry pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Matt Hayball punt for 57 yds, downed at the UTEP 18

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Ronald Awatt run for 1 yd to the UTEP 19

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Gavin Hardison pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Gavin Hardison pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Joshua Sloan punt for 48 yds, downed at the FlAtl 33

Situational Analysis

UTEP

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
24%
17 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
40%
10 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
0%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play

Florida Atlantic

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
50%
12 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
0%
4 plays
0%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
25%
4 plays
0%
1 play
50%
4 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
100%
3 plays