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← Back to GamesSep 11, 2021Week 2

House Prediction

Model Margin

Army by 17.4

Home Win Probability

Army 83%

Market (consensus)

Army -6

Edge: Army -6 (11.4 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 11, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Western KentuckyWestern Kentucky
01402135
ArmyArmy
02171038

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-021-728-1435-1435-2135-2838-35
ArmyWestern Kentucky

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20WKARMWKARMWKARMWKARMWKARMARMWKARMWKARMWKARMWKARMTO739ydTO737ydDOWNS752ydTD1062ydPUNT32ydTD453ydTD375ydTD1675ydTD675ydEND13ydTD1075ydDOWNS1036ydTD1471ydTD875ydDOWNS47ydTD663ydFG730ydTD975ydEND1-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Western Kentucky and Army
StatisticWestern KentuckyArmy
Passing28-405-6
Pass Yards43577
Rush Yards42339
Total Yards477416
Turnovers11
3rd Down7-109-13
Penalties5-205-40
Possession20:2239:38

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Western Kentucky
passing
Bailey Zappe
28/40, 435 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Noah Whittington
8 CAR, 33 YDS
receiving
Jerreth Sterns
9 REC, 171 YDS, 2 TD
defense
Army
passing
Christian Anderson
5/6, 77 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Christian Anderson
22 CAR, 119 YDS
receiving
Braheam Murphy
1 REC, 40 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WKent 20

1st & 15Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Noah Whittington run for 4 yds to the WKent 24

2nd & 11Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.73

Bailey Zappe pass complete to Mitchell Tinsley for 12 yds to the WKent 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.31

Bailey Zappe pass complete to Malachi Corley for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Noah Whittington run for 5 yds to the Army 45

2nd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.73

Bailey Zappe pass complete to Malachi Corley for 9 yds to the Army 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.72

Adam Cofield run for no gain to the Army 36

2nd & 10Pass Interception Return+24 ydsPPA -3.27

Bailey Zappe pass intercepted Marquel Broughton return for 24 yds to the WKent 47

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Christian Anderson run for 2 yds to the WKent 45

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.56

Jakobi Buchanan run for 7 yds to the WKent 38

3rd & 1Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.01

Christian Anderson pass complete to Brandon Walters for 17 yds to the WKent 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Cade Barnard run for 7 yds to the WKent 14

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Cade Barnard run for 1 yd to the WKent 13

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.17

Jakobi Buchanan run for 2 yds to the WKent 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+2 ydsPPA -4.48

Anthony Adkins run for 2 yds to the WKent 10 Anthony Adkins fumbled, forced by Jaden Hunter, recovered by WKent Jeremy Darvin

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.41

Bailey Zappe pass complete to Jerreth Sterns for 10 yds to the WKent 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +2.38

Bailey Zappe pass complete to Jerreth Sterns for 28 yds to the WKent 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.87

Bailey Zappe pass complete to Joey Beljan for 13 yds to the Army 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, false start (Mitchell Tinsley) to the Army 44

1st & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.56

Noah Whittington run for 2 yds to the Army 42

2nd & 13Rush0 ydsPPA -1.03

Adam Cofield run for no gain to the Army 42

3rd & 13Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Bailey Zappe pass complete to Malachi Corley for 4 yds to the Army 38

4th & 9Penalty+5 yds

ARMY Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the Army 33

4th & 4Penalty-5 yds

WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Army 38

4th & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.24

Bailey Zappe pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Christian Anderson run for 6 yds to the Army 44

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.46

Jakobi Buchanan run for 3 yds to the Army 47

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.17

Jakobi Buchanan run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.09

Christian Anderson run for 9 yds to the WKent 41

2nd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA -0.19

Brandon Walters run for 7 yds to the WKent 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Christian Anderson run for 3 yds to the WKent 31

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Tyrell Robinson run for 4 yds to the WKent 27

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Jakobi Buchanan run for 2 yds to the WKent 25

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.97

Jakobi Buchanan run for 1 yd to the WKent 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +2.68

Tyrell Robinson run for 24 yds for a TD (Cole Talley KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Bailey Zappe run for no gain to the WKent 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Bailey Zappe pass complete to Jerreth Sterns for 2 yds to the WKent 27

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Bailey Zappe pass incomplete to Malachi Corley

4th & 8Punt0 yds

TEAM punt, downed at the Army 47

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.63

Christian Anderson pass complete to Cole Caterbone for 7 yds to the WKent 46

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.17

Christian Anderson run for 4 yds to the WKent 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Tyrell Robinson run for 2 yds to the WKent 40

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+40 ydsPPA +3.79

Christian Anderson pass complete to Braheam Murphy for 40 yds for a TD (Cole Talley KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Noah Whittington run for 3 yds to the WKent 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Bailey Zappe pass incomplete to Daewood Davis

3rd & 7Passing Touchdown+72 ydsPPA +6.93

Bailey Zappe pass complete to Jerreth Sterns for 72 yds for a TD (Brayden Narveson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Jakobi Buchanan run for 2 yds to the Army 27

2nd & 8Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.77

Brandon Walters run for 13 yds to the Army 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Anthony Adkins run for 5 yds to the Army 45

2nd & 5Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.41

Tyrell Robinson run for 14 yds to the WKent 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Anthony Adkins run for 4 yds to the WKent 37

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.93

A.J. Howard run for no gain to the WKent 37

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Christian Anderson pass incomplete

4th & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.54

Christian Anderson pass complete to Cole Caterbone for 8 yds to the WKent 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Anthony Adkins run for 5 yds to the WKent 24

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Jakobi Buchanan run for 3 yds to the WKent 21

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.29

Jakobi Buchanan run for 3 yds to the WKent 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Tyrell Robinson run for 4 yds to the WKent 14

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Anthony Adkins run for 4 yds to the WKent 10

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.76

Anthony Adkins run for 5 yds to the WKent 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

A.J. Howard run for 4 yds to the WKent 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Jakobi Buchanan run for 1 yd for a TD (Cole Talley KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.15

Bailey Zappe pass complete to Jerreth Sterns for 24 yds to the WKent 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.50

Bailey Zappe sacked by Andre Carter II for a loss of 7 yards to the WKent 42

2nd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Bailey Zappe pass incomplete to Malachi Corley, broken up by Jabari Moore

3rd & 17Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +4.12

Bailey Zappe pass complete to Craig Burt Jr. for 28 yds to the Army 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +0.30

Bailey Zappe pass complete to Craig Burt Jr. for 20 yds to the Army 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.51

Bailey Zappe run for 10 yds for a TD (Brayden Narveson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Anthony Adkins run for 3 yds to the Army 28

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Jakobi Buchanan run for 1 yd to the Army 26

2nd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.37

Brandon Walters run for 7 yds to the Army 33

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.05

Cade Barnard run for 2 yds to the Army 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Christian Anderson run for 8 yds to the Army 43

2nd & 2Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.20

Christian Anderson pass complete to Tyrell Robinson for 5 yds to the Army 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Christian Anderson run for 4 yds to the WKent 48

2nd & 6Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.34

Christian Anderson run for 18 yds to the WKent 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Jakobi Buchanan run for 2 yds to the WKent 28

2nd & 8Rush+25 ydsPPA +1.65

Tyrell Robinson run for 25 yds to the WKent 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Anthony Adkins run for 3 yds for a TD (Cole Talley KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Bailey Zappe pass complete to Daewood Davis for 6 yds to the WKent 41

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.45

Noah Whittington run for 3 yds to the WKent 44

3rd & 1Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.75

Bailey Zappe pass complete to Jerreth Sterns for 10 yds to the Army 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.98

Bailey Zappe pass complete to Malachi Corley for 9 yds to the Army 37

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Bailey Zappe pass incomplete

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.59

Bailey Zappe run for 2 yds to the Army 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.87

Noah Whittington run for a loss of 1 yard to the Army 36

2nd & 11Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.40

Bailey Zappe pass complete to Jerreth Sterns for 7 yds to the Army 29

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Bailey Zappe pass incomplete to Jerreth Sterns

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.69

Bailey Zappe pass incomplete to Jerreth Sterns, broken up by Cedrick Cunningham Jr.

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, Defensive offside (Jeremy Darvin) to the Army 34

1st & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Braheam Murphy run for 4 yds to the Army 38

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Christian Anderson run for 3 yds to the Army 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.32

Jakobi Buchanan run for 9 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Jakobi Buchanan run for 1 yd to the WKent 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Christian Anderson run for 6 yds to the WKent 43

2nd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Tyrell Robinson run for 8 yds to the WKent 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Christian Anderson run for 3 yds to the WKent 32

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Christian Anderson run for 5 yds to the WKent 27

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.47

Jakobi Buchanan run for 5 yds to the WKent 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

A.J. Howard run for 4 yds to the WKent 18

2nd & 6Fumble Recovery (Own)-5 ydsPPA -1.04

Christian Anderson sacked by Juwuan Jones for a loss of 5 yards to the WKent 24 Christian Anderson fumbled, recovered by Army , return for 0 yards

3rd & 12Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.45

Christian Anderson run for 15 yds to the WKent 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Christian Anderson run for 6 yds to the WKent 3

2nd & 3Penalty-10 yds

BUCHANAN, J. rush for 3 yards to the WKU0, clock 10:37, PENALTY ARMY holding (LAW, Jordyn) 10 yards to the WKU13, NO PLAY.

2nd & 13Rushing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.97

Jakobi Buchanan run for 13 yds for a TD (Cole Talley KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Bailey Zappe pass complete to Noah Whittington for 8 yds to the WKent 33

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Bailey Zappe pass incomplete to Mitchell Tinsley, broken up by Julian McDuffie

3rd & 2Rush+13 ydsPPA +2.11

Noah Whittington run for 13 yds to the WKent 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Noah Whittington run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Bailey Zappe pass complete to Jerreth Sterns for 4 yds to the Army 46

3rd & 2Penalty+5 yds

ROBICHAUX, K. rush for 2 yards to the ARMY44 (CARTER, Andre;SMITH, Arik), PENALTY ARMY substitution infraction 5 yards to the ARMY41, 1ST DOWN WKU, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Bailey Zappe pass incomplete to Malachi Corley, broken up by Malkelm Morrison

2nd & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.49

Bailey Zappe run for 5 yds to the Army 36 for a 1ST down ARMY Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Army 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +2.63

Bailey Zappe pass complete to Mitchell Tinsley for 21 yds for a TD (Brayden Narveson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Christian Anderson run for 4 yds to the WKent 40

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Christian Anderson run for 1 yd to the WKent 39

3rd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Jakobi Buchanan run for 3 yds to the WKent 36

4th & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -2.30

Christian Anderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 37

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.65

Bailey Zappe sacked by Jaylen Jacobs and Andre Carter II for a loss of 4 yards to the WKent 33

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Bailey Zappe pass incomplete

3rd & 14Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +3.61

Bailey Zappe pass complete to Mitchell Tinsley for 22 yds to the Army 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +0.96

Bailey Zappe pass complete to Mitchell Tinsley for 35 yds to the Army 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.52

Bailey Zappe sacked by Spencer Jones for a loss of 4 yards to the Army 14 WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, intentional grounding (Bailey Zappe) to the Army 14

2nd & 14Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +3.03

Bailey Zappe pass complete to Jerreth Sterns for 14 yds for a TD (Brayden Narveson KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.97

Jakobi Buchanan run for no gain to the WKent 44

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Christian Anderson run for 3 yds to the WKent 41

3rd & 7Rush+20 ydsPPA +2.14

Christian Anderson run for 20 yds to the WKent 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Christian Anderson run for 2 yds to the WKent 19

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Christian Anderson run for 4 yds to the WKent 15

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.36

Cade Barnard run for 1 yd to the WKent 14

4th & 3Field Goal Good+31 yds

Cole Talley 31 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Bailey Zappe pass complete to Daewood Davis for 11 yds to the WKent 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.38

Bailey Zappe pass complete to Malachi Corley for 15 yds to the Army 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Bailey Zappe pass complete to Dakota Thomas for 5 yds to the Army 44

2nd & 5Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.92

Bailey Zappe pass complete to Dakota Thomas for 17 yds to the Army 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Bailey Zappe run for 5 yds to the Army 22

2nd & 5Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.15

Bailey Zappe pass complete to Malachi Corley for 12 yds to the Army 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Bailey Zappe pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty+5 yds

ZAPPE, B. pass incomplete to STERNS, JERR, PENALTY ARMY offside defense 5 yards to the ARMY5, NO PLAY.

2nd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Bailey Zappe pass complete to Mitchell Tinsley for 3 yds to the Army 2

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Adam Cofield run for 2 yds for a TD (Brayden Narveson KICK)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.55

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Army 40

Situational Analysis

Western Kentucky

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
63%
27 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
50%
6 plays
25%
4 plays
50%
6 plays
3rd
100%
4 plays
0%
1 play
50%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

Army

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
2 plays
39%
28 plays
2nd
43%
7 plays
33%
9 plays
67%
9 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
88%
8 plays
0%
3 plays
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
4th
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play