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← Back to GamesSep 5, 2021Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

South Alabama by 4.1

Home Win Probability

South Alabama 60%

Market (consensus)

South Alabama -2

Edge: South Alabama -2 (2.1 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 5, 2021

Line Movement

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Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Southern MissSouthern Miss
70007
South AlabamaSouth Alabama
01410731

Scoring Timeline

No scoring plays recorded yet

The score flow chart populates once points are on the board.

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SASMSASMSASMSASMSASMSASMSASMSASMSASMSASMSATD375ydPUNT70ydTO534ydPUNT831ydTD1099ydPUNT5-11ydTO25ydTD979ydMISS1257ydFG1771ydTD411ydPUNT40ydTD1056ydFG1166ydFG1488ydMISS945ydTD780ydTD1275ydFG1175ydUncategorized970ydEND2-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Southern Miss and South Alabama
StatisticSouthern MissSouth Alabama
Passing13-2917-22
Pass Yards133269
Rush Yards12531
Total Yards258300
Turnovers41
3rd Down2-153-12
Penalties8-746-70
Possession31:2728:33

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Southern Miss
passing
Trey Lowe III
13/29, 133 YDS, 2 INT
rushing
Frank Gore Jr.
19 CAR, 81 YDS
receiving
Jakarius Caston
3 REC, 38 YDS
defense
Santrell Latham
1 TFL, 1 PD
South Alabama
passing
Jake Bentley
17/22, 269 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Kareem Walker
18 CAR, 26 YDS
receiving
Jalen Tolbert
5 REC, 168 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Desmond Trotter pass incomplete to Jalen Wayne

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Terrion Avery run for 2 yds to the SAlab 27

3rd & 8Passing Touchdown+73 ydsPPA +7.01

Desmond Trotter pass complete to Jalen Tolbert for 73 yds for a TD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Don Ragsdale run for 1 yd to the SoMis 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.41

Jack Abraham pass complete to Dee Baker for no gain to the SoMis 26

3rd & 9Penalty+5 yds

SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the SoMis 31

3rd & 4Penalty-5 yds

SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, False Start (Jason Brownlee) to the SoMis 26

3rd & 9Penalty-5 yds

SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, False Start (Bryce Foxworth) to the SoMis 21

3rd & 14Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Jack Abraham pass complete to Jason Brownlee for 4 yds to the SoMis 25

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Mason Hunt punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SAlab 31

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Desmond Trotter pass complete to Jalen Tolbert for 3 yds to the SAlab 34

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.62

Carlos Davis run for 1 yd to the SAlab 35

3rd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.93

Desmond Trotter pass complete to Trent Tyre for 6 yds to the SAlab 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Desmond Trotter run for 4 yds to the SAlab 45

2nd & 6Pass Interception Return+20 ydsPPA -2.17

Desmond Trotter pass intercepted Eric Scott Jr. return for 20 yds to the SoMis 35

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Abraham, Jack pass complete to Brownlee, Jason for 13 yards to the SOUMISS48, PENALTY SOUMISS ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the SOUMISS30, NO PLAY.

1st & 15Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.47

Jack Abraham pass complete to Tim Jones for 20 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.11

Don Ragsdale run for no gain to the 50 yard line

2nd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.02

Jack Abraham pass complete to Grayson Gunter for 16 yds to the SAlab 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Don Ragsdale run for 2 yds to the SAlab 32

2nd & 8Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.20

Dee Baker run for a loss of 2 yards to the SAlab 34

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Jack Abraham pass incomplete to Tim Jones

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Mason Hunt punt for 33 yds, downed at the SAlab 1

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.33

Desmond Trotter pass complete to Jalen Tolbert for 13 yds to the SAlab 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Carlos Davis run for 6 yds to the SAlab 20

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Desmond Trotter run for 3 yds to the SAlab 23

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.79

Carlos Davis run for 5 yds to the SAlab 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Desmond Trotter pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.47

Desmond Trotter pass complete to Jalen Tolbert for 18 yds to the SAlab 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Terrion Avery run for 3 yds to the SAlab 49

2nd & 7Pass Reception+49 ydsPPA +3.39

Desmond Trotter pass complete to Jalen Wayne for 49 yds to the SoMis 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Terrion Avery run for 2 yds for a TD, (Diego Guajardo KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Frank Gore Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the SoMis 24

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Jack Abraham pass incomplete to Jason Brownlee

3rd & 11Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.22

Jack Abraham sacked by Gi'Narious Johnson for a loss of 10 yards to the SoMis 14

4th & 21Punt0 yds

Mason Hunt punt for 21 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SoMis 35

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Jared Wilson run for 2 yds to the SoMis 33.

2nd & 8Pass Interception Return+3 ydsPPA -0.83

Desmond Trotter pass intercepted Tyler Barnes return for 3 yds to the SoMis 21

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.82

Jack Abraham pass complete to Antavious Willis for 8 yds to the SoMis 29

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.08

Frank Gore Jr. run for 4 yds to the SoMis 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.51

Jack Abraham pass complete to Antavious Willis for 16 yds to the SoMis 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Don Ragsdale run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

2nd & 9Penalty-9 yds

Abraham, Jack pass complete to Gunter, Grayson for 5 yards to the SOUTHALA45, PENALTY SOUMISS holding (McCoy, Marquis) 9 yards to the SOUMISS41, NO PLAY.

2nd & 18Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.89

Jack Abraham pass complete to Tim Jones for 10 yds to the SAlab 49

3rd & 8Pass Reception+47 ydsPPA +4.45

Jack Abraham pass complete to Tim Jones for 47 yds to the SAlab 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

Don Ragsdale run for no gain to the SAlab 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Don Ragsdale run for 2 yds for a TD, (Briggs Bourgeois KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+15 yds

Briggs Bourgeois kickoff for 65 yds , Kawaan Baker return for 15 yds to the SAlab 15

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Caullin Lacy run for 6 yds to the SAlab 21

2nd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.60

Carlos Davis run for 8 yds to the SAlab 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Desmond Trotter pass complete to Jalen Wayne for 6 yds to the SAlab 35

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.65

Carlos Davis run for 5 yds to the SAlab 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.99

Desmond Trotter pass complete to Kawaan Baker for 11 yds to the SoMis 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Terrion Avery run for 6 yds to the SoMis 43

2nd & 4Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.55

Desmond Trotter run for 11 yds to the SoMis 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Desmond Trotter pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.35

Desmond Trotter run for 7 yds to the SoMis 25

3rd & 3Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.33

Carlos Davis run for a loss of 3 yards to the SoMis 28

4th & 6Field Goal Missed0 yds

Diego Guajardo 46 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.00

Frank Gore Jr. run for 11 yds to the SoMis 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Frank Gore Jr. run for 6 yds to the SoMis 45

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.99

Frank Gore Jr. run for 1 yd to the SoMis 46

3rd & 3Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.35

Jack Abraham pass complete to Grayson Gunter for 16 yds to the SAlab 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Frank Gore Jr. run for 1 yd to the SAlab 37

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.95

Frank Gore Jr. run for no gain to the SAlab 37

3rd & 9Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.96

Jack Abraham pass complete to Tim Jones for 13 yds to the SAlab 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Frank Gore Jr. run for 6 yds to the SAlab 18

2nd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA -0.03

Jack Abraham pass complete to Tim Jones for 7 yds to the SAlab 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jack Abraham pass complete to Antavious Willis for 5 yds to the SAlab 6

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Frank Gore Jr. run for 1 yd to the SAlab 5

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Jack Abraham run for 2 yds to the SAlab 3

4th & 2Penalty-5 yds

SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, Substitution Infraction (-5 Yards) to the SAlab 8

4th & 7Field Goal Good+7 yds

Briggs Bourgeois 24 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.12

Chance Lovertich pass complete to Jalen Wayne for 12 yds to the SAlab 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Chance Lovertich pass incomplete to Carlos Davis

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.91

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 40

2nd & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jack Abraham pass incomplete to Tim Jones

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Frank Gore Jr. run for no gain to the SoMis 25

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Jack Abraham pass incomplete to Tim Jones

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Mason Hunt punt for 31 yds, downed at the SAlab 44

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Desmond Trotter pass incomplete to Jalen Tolbert

2nd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.12

Carlos Davis run for 12 yds to the SoMis 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.97

Carlos Davis run for no gain to the SoMis 44

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.52

Desmond Trotter pass complete to Kawaan Baker for 7 yds to the SoMis 37

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Desmond Trotter pass incomplete to Jalen Wayne

4th & 3Penalty+2 yds

Desmond Trotter pass complete to Kawaan Baker for 12 yds to the SoMis 25 SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jalen Tolbert) to the SoMis 35

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.56

Desmond Trotter run for 2 yds to the SoMis 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Carlos Davis run for 2 yds to the SoMis 31

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Desmond Trotter pass incomplete

3rd & 8Passing Touchdown+31 ydsPPA +4.00

Desmond Trotter pass complete to Jalen Tolbert for 31 yds for a TD, (Diego Guajardo KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+24 yds

Diego Guajardo kickoff for 55 yds , Dee Baker return for 24 yds to the SoMis 34

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jack Abraham pass complete to Demarcus Jones for 5 yds to the SoMis 39

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.04

Kevin Perkins run for 7 yds to the SoMis 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Jack Abraham pass incomplete to Tim Jones

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.10

Jack Abraham pass complete to Demarcus Jones for 13 yds to the SAlab 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Jack Abraham pass incomplete to Grayson Gunter

2nd & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.40

Kevin Perkins run for 15 yds to the SAlab 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Abraham, Jack pass incomplete to Brownlee, Jason, PENALTY SOUTHALA pass interference (Rockette, Devin) 15 yards to the SOUTHALA11, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN SOUMISS.

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Frank Gore Jr. run for 1 yd to the SAlab 10

2nd & 9Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.35

Tate Whatley run for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 11

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Jack Abraham pass incomplete

4th & 10Field Goal Good+11 yds

Briggs Bourgeois 28 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+12 yds

Briggs Bourgeois kickoff for 65 yds , Caullin Lacy return for 12 yds to the SAlab 12

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.38

Desmond Trotter run for no gain to the SAlab 12

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.18

Desmond Trotter pass complete to Jalen Wayne for 7 yds to the SAlab 19

3rd & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.79

Desmond Trotter pass complete to Brandon Crum for 5 yds to the SAlab 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.39

Desmond Trotter pass complete to Jalen Wayne for 16 yds to the SAlab 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Trotter, Desmond pass incomplete to Tolbert, Jalen, PENALTY SOUMISS pass interference (Brooks, Natrone) 15 yards to the SOUMISS45, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN SOUTHALA.

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Caullin Lacy run for 5 yds to the SoMis 40

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Desmond Trotter pass incomplete to Jalen Wayne

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Desmond Trotter pass incomplete to Jamel Thomas

4th & 5Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +3.06

Desmond Trotter pass complete to Jalen Tolbert for 31 yds to the SoMis 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Desmond Trotter run for 2 yds to the SoMis 7

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Carlos Davis run for 4 yds to the SoMis 3

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Desmond Trotter pass incomplete to Jalen Tolbert

4th & 3Field Goal Good+3 yds

Diego Guajardo 21 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+37 yds

Diego Guajardo kickoff for 61 yds , Tim Jones return for 37 yds to the SoMis 41

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Kevin Perkins run for no gain to the SoMis 41

2nd & 10Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +3.08

Jack Abraham pass complete to Marquis McCoy for 33 yds to the SAlab 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.36

Kevin Perkins run for 1 yd to the SAlab 25

2nd & 9Penalty+8 yds

Abraham, Jack pass incomplete to Gunter, Grayson, PENALTY SOUTHALA pass interference (Flenord, Davyn) 8 yards to the SOUTHALA17, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN SOUMISS.

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Frank Gore Jr. run for 2 yds to the SAlab 15

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Don Ragsdale run for 1 yd to the SAlab 14

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Jack Abraham pass incomplete to Don Ragsdale

4th & 7Field Goal Missed0 yds

Briggs Bourgeois 31 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.70

Carlos Davis run for a loss of 2 yards to the SAlab 18

2nd & 12Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.69

Desmond Trotter pass complete to Jalen Wayne for 11 yds to the SAlab 29

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.78

Desmond Trotter run for 2 yds to the SAlab 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.95

Desmond Trotter run for 10 yds to the SAlab 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Carlos Davis run for 5 yds to the SAlab 46

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.71

Terrion Avery run for 2 yds to the SAlab 48

3rd & 3Passing Touchdown+52 ydsPPA +5.26

Chance Lovertich pass complete to Kawaan Baker for 52 yds for a TD, (Diego Guajardo PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Jack Abraham run for 1 yd to the SoMis 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+42 ydsPPA +3.79

Jack Abraham pass complete to Tim Jones for 42 yds to the SAlab 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-5 ydsPPA -1.49

Jack Abraham run for a loss of 5 yards to the SAlab 37 Jack Abraham fumbled, recovered by SoMis Jack Abraham

2nd & 15Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.74

Jack Abraham pass complete to Jason Brownlee for 17 yds to the SAlab 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jack Abraham pass complete to Grayson Gunter for 5 yds to the SAlab 15

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Kevin Perkins run for 4 yds to the SAlab 11

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.15

Kevin Perkins run for 2 yds to the SAlab 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.36

Jack Abraham run for 7 yds to the SAlab 2

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Kevin Perkins run for no gain to the SAlab 2

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Kevin Perkins run for 1 yd to the SAlab 1

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.79

Naricuss Driver run for 1 yd for a TD, (Naricuss Driver pass to Luke Baker for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Carlos Davis run for no gain to the SAlab 25

2nd & 10Rush+40 ydsPPA +3.81

Carlos Davis run for 40 yds to the SoMis 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Carlos Davis run for 2 yds to the SoMis 33

2nd & 8Penalty+5 yds

Trotter, Desmond pass incomplete to Tolbert, Jalen, PENALTY SOUMISS offside (Kitchen, Eriq) 5 yards to the SOUMISS28, NO PLAY.

2nd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA -0.05

Terrion Avery run for 7 yds to the SoMis 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Terrion Avery run for 2 yds to the SoMis 19

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Terrion Avery run for 2 yds to the SoMis 17

3rd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

AJ Phillips run for 1 yd to the SoMis 16

4th & 5Field Goal Good+16 yds

Diego Guajardo 34 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.32

Jack Abraham pass complete to Jason Brownlee for 26 yds to the SAlab 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Jack Abraham pass complete to Jason Brownlee for 4 yds to the SAlab 45

2nd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Jack Abraham pass complete to Kevin Perkins for 4 yds to the SAlab 41

3rd & 2Rush+35 ydsPPA +1.99

Jack Abraham run for 35 yds to the SAlab 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Jack Abraham pass incomplete

2nd & 6Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Jack Abraham pass complete to Jason Brownlee for 3 yds to the SAlab 3

3rd & 3Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.43

Jack Abraham sacked by Jeremiah Littles for a loss of 2 yards to the SAlab 5

4th & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.95

Jack Abraham pass incomplete to Marquis McCoy

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.35

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the SAlab 3

Situational Analysis

Southern Miss

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
38%
26 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
67%
3 plays
14%
7 plays
45%
11 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
0%
1 play
33%
6 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play

South Alabama

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
38%
29 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
43%
7 plays
50%
14 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
57%
7 plays
33%
3 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play