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← Back to GamesNov 26, 2021Week 13
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Arkansas by 13.6

Home Win Probability

Arkansas 77%

Market (consensus)

Arkansas -14.5

Edge: Missouri +14.5 (0.9 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 26, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
MissouriMissouri
063817
ArkansasArkansas
37141034

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428423-03-310-624-927-934-934-17
ArkansasMissouri

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MISARKMISARKMISARKMISARKMISARKMISARKMISARKARKMISARKMISARKMISARKMISARKMISARKMISARKPUNT323ydFG867ydPUNT935ydPUNT39ydDOWNS532ydTO11ydFG711ydPUNT34ydPUNT614ydTD876ydFG844ydPUNT39ydPUNT517ydEND1-4ydPUNT34ydPUNT36ydTD361ydPUNT3-5ydTD252ydFG1451ydFG1170ydTO10ydTD447ydPUNT414ydPUNT3-9ydTD1158ydEND218yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Missouri and Arkansas
StatisticMissouriArkansas
Passing10-2615-20
Pass Yards65262
Rush Yards251163
Total Yards316425
Turnovers11
3rd Down7-194-11
Penalties4-516-55
Possession35:1124:49

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Missouri
passing
Connor Bazelak
10/26, 65 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Tyler Badie
41 CAR, 219 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Keke Chism
3 REC, 37 YDS
defense
Arkansas
passing
KJ Jefferson
15/19, 262 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
KJ Jefferson
6 CAR, 58 YDS
receiving
Treylon Burks
7 REC, 129 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

BAZELAK, Connor pass up the middle incomplete intended for LOVETT, Dominic thrown to the ARK30. PENALTY ARK Pass Interference on BLAIR, Simeon enforced 15 yards to the MIZ40 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Tyler Badie run for 5 yds to the Misso 45

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.44

Tyler Badie run for 3 yds to the Misso 48

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete

4th & 2Punt+7 yds

Grant McKinniss punt for 44 yds , Nathan Parodi returns for 7 yds to the Ark 15

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Dominique Johnson run for 3 yds to the Ark 18

2nd & 7Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.03

Dominique Johnson run for 11 yds to the Ark 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.02

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Treylon Burks for 11 yds to the Ark 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+49 ydsPPA +2.24

KJ Jefferson run for 49 yds to the Misso 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Dominique Johnson run for 1 yd to the Misso 10

2nd & 9Penalty-5 yds

ARKANSAS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Misso 15

2nd & 14Rush0 ydsPPA -0.42

Dominique Johnson run for no gain to the Misso 15

3rd & 14Sack0 ydsPPA -0.70

KJ Jefferson sacked by Isaiah McGuire and Blaze Alldredge for 0 yards to the Misso 18

4th & 17Field Goal Good+36 yds

Cam Little 36 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Vito Calvaruso kickoff for 65 yds , Kris Abrams-Draine return for 20 yds to the Misso 20

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Tyler Badie run for 1 yd to the Misso 21

2nd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.25

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Tauskie Dove for 10 yds to the Misso 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.33

Tyler Badie run for 14 yds to the Misso 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Tyler Badie run for no gain to the Misso 45

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.14

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Barrett Banister for 13 yds to the Ark 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Keke Chism run for 5 yds to the Ark 37

2nd & 5Penalty0 yds

MISSOURI Penalty, Holding Block below the waist on MAIETTI, Michael enforced ( Yards) declined

2nd & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Connor Bazelak run for 2 yds to the Ark 45

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete MISSOURI Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) declined

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Sean Koetting punt for 45 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Treylon Burks run for 2 yds to the Ark 22

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.36

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Trey Knox for 7 yds to the Ark 29

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Dominique Johnson run for no gain to the Ark 29

4th & 1Punt+3 yds

Reid Bauer punt for 44 yds , D'ionte Smith returns for 3 yds to the Misso 30

1st & 10Rush+27 ydsPPA +2.34

Tyler Badie run for 12 yds to the Ark 42 for a 1ST down ARKANSAS Penalty, Personal Foul (Zach Williams) to the Ark 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Tyler Badie run for 4 yds to the Ark 39

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.76

Tyler Badie run for 1 yd to the Ark 38

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete

4th & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.70

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Trelon Smith run for 1 yd to the Ark 39

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Tyler Badie run for 5 yds to the Ark 34

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Tyler Badie run for 2 yds to the Ark 32

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.76

Connor Bazelak run for 5 yds to the Ark 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Tyler Badie run for 2 yds to the Ark 25

2nd & 8Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.07

Tyler Badie run for a loss of 3 yards to the Ark 28

3rd & 11Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.97

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Keke Chism for no gain to the Ark 28

4th & 11Field Goal Good+46 yds

Harrison Mevis 46 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Treylon Burks run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ark 24

2nd & 11Sack0 ydsPPA -0.29

KJ Jefferson sacked by Martez Manuel for 0 yards to the Ark 15

3rd & 20Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.20

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Ketron Jackson Jr. for 14 yds to the Ark 29

4th & 6Punt+10 yds

Reid Bauer punt for 52 yds , D'ionte Smith returns for 10 yds to the Misso 29

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Tyler Badie run for 5 yds to the Misso 34

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Tyler Badie run for 4 yds to the Misso 38

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.06

Tyler Badie run for 2 yds to the Misso 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Connor Bazelak pass complete to D'ionte Smith for 2 yds to the Misso 42

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.76

Connor Bazelak run for 1 yd to the Misso 43

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Sean Koetting punt for 33 yds

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.10

KJ Jefferson run for 13 yds to the Ark 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Raheim Sanders run for 3 yds to the Ark 40

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Raheim Sanders run for 3 yds to the Ark 43

3rd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.01

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Treylon Burks for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+43 ydsPPA +1.64

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Treylon Burks for 43 yds to the Misso 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

KJ Jefferson pass incomplete

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.15

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Treylon Burks for 6 yds to the Misso 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Raheim Sanders run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cam Little KICK)

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.32

Tyler Badie run for 15 yds to the Misso 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Tyler Badie run for 4 yds to the Misso 44

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +3.20

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Keke Chism for 26 yds to the Ark 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-12 ydsPPA -2.82

Tyler Badie run for 3 yds to the Ark 27 MISSOURI Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Tyler Badie) to the Ark 42

2nd & 22Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.31

Tyler Badie run for 11 yds to the Ark 31

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete

4th & 11Field Goal Good+49 yds

Harrison Mevis 49 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Raheim Sanders run for 2 yds to the Ark 27

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.40

Raheim Sanders run for 1 yd to the Ark 28

3rd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.13

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Blake Kern for 6 yds to the Ark 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Reid Bauer punt for 42 yds, fair catch by D'ionte Smith at the Misso 24

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Tyler Badie run for 4 yds to the Misso 28

2nd & 6Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.98

Tyler Badie run for 17 yds to the Misso 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete

3rd & 10Penalty-10 yds

BADIE, Tyler rush to the left for a gain of 20 yards to the ARK35 (HENRY, Hayden), out of bounds. PENALTY MIZ Holding on WOOD, Connor enforced 10 yards from the MIZ45 to the MIZ35 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 20Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.05

Michael Cox run for 6 yds to the Misso 41

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Sean Koetting punt for 41 yds

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Dominique Johnson run for 4 yds to the Ark 29

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

KJ Jefferson pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

KJ Jefferson pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt+4 yds

Reid Bauer punt for 61 yds , D'ionte Smith returns for 4 yds to the Misso 14

1st & 10Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -0.59

Connor Bazelak pass complete to D'ionte Smith for a loss of 4 yards to the Misso 10

2nd & 14Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Tyler Badie run for 5 yds to the Misso 15

3rd & 9Penalty+5 yds

BAZELAK, Connor sacked for a loss of 6 yards at the MIZ9 (WILLIAMS, Tre). PENALTY ARK Offsides on CLARK, Hudson enforced 5 yards from the MIZ15 to the MIZ20 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Sean Koetting punt for 41 yds , Harper Cole returns for no gain to the Ark 39

1st & 10Pass Reception+55 ydsPPA +2.80

KJ Jefferson pass complete to De'Vion Warren for 55 yds to the Misso 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.28

Trelon Smith run for 2 yds to the Misso 4

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Trelon Smith run for 4 yds for a TD, (Cam Little KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -0.23

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Tyler Badie for a loss of 5 yards to the Misso 20

4th & 15Punt+27 yds

Sean Koetting punt for 59 yds , Nathan Parodi returns for 27 yds to the Ark 48

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

De'Vion Warren pass incomplete

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+52 ydsPPA +5.15

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Treylon Burks for 52 yds for a TD, (Cam Little KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Tyler Badie run for 5 yds to the Misso 30

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Tyler Badie run for 4 yds to the Misso 34

3rd & 1Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.09

Tyler Badie run for 14 yds to the Misso 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Michael Cox run for 1 yd to the Misso 49

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Michael Cox run for 5 yds to the Ark 46

3rd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.73

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Messiah Swinson for 8 yds to the Ark 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Tyler Badie run for 2 yds to the Ark 36

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Tyler Badie run for 5 yds to the Ark 31

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.71

Tyler Badie run for 1 yd to the Ark 30

4th & 2Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.43

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Niko Hea for 4 yds to the Ark 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Tyler Badie run for 1 yd to the Ark 25

3rd & 9Penalty-10 yds

BAZELAK, Connor pass to the right incomplete intended for DOVE, Tauskie thrown to the ARK10. PENALTY MIZ Holding on MAIETTI, Michael enforced 10 yards from the ARK25 to the ARK35 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 19Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.30

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Keke Chism for 11 yds to the Ark 24

4th & 8Field Goal Good+41 yds

Harrison Mevis 41 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.59

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Treylon Burks for 1 yd to the Ark 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.34

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Trelon Smith for 1 yd to the Ark 27

3rd & 8Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +4.07

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Ketron Jackson Jr. for 39 yds to the Misso 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.27

KJ Jefferson run for 11 yds to the Misso 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Trelon Smith run for 7 yds to the Misso 16

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.17

Trelon Smith run for 16 yds ARKANSAS Penalty, Offensive Holding (Trey Knox) to the Misso 21

2nd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.36

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Treylon Burks for 9 yds to the Misso 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Raheim Sanders run for 3 yds to the Misso 9

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Raheim Sanders run for 1 yd to the Misso 8

3rd & 6Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.10

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Trey Knox for 3 yds to the Misso 5

4th & 3Field Goal Good+23 yds

Cam Little 23 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.92

Connor Bazelak pass intercepted return for no gain to the Misso 47

1st & 10Rush+32 ydsPPA +1.06

De'Vion Warren run for 32 yds to the Misso 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.45

KJ Jefferson pass complete to De'Vion Warren for 8 yds to the Misso 7

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

KJ Jefferson pass incomplete

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.60

Raheim Sanders run for 7 yds for a TD, (Cam Little KICK)

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.22

Tyler Badie run for 14 yds to the Misso 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.11

Tyler Badie run for no gain to the Misso 39

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Sean Koetting punt for 61 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

AJ Green run for no gain to the Ark 20

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.29

AJ Green run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ark 19

3rd & 11Sack0 ydsPPA -0.10

KJ Jefferson sacked by Isaiah McGuire for 0 yards to the Ark 16

4th & 14Penalty-5 yds

ARKANSAS Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the Ark 11

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Reid Bauer punt for 47 yds, fair catch by D'ionte Smith at the Misso 42

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Brady Cook run for 2 yds to the Misso 44

2nd & 8Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.90

Tyler Badie run for 13 yds to the Ark 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Tyler Badie run for 1 yd to the Ark 42

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Tyler Badie run for 5 yds to the Ark 37

3rd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.13

Mookie Cooper run for 5 yds to the Ark 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.46

Tyler Badie run for 1 yd to the Ark 31

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Tyler Badie run for 6 yds to the Ark 25

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.50

Tyler Badie run for 4 yds to the Ark 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Tyler Badie run for 8 yds to the Ark 13

2nd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.29

Tyler Badie run for 8 yds to the Ark 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Tyler Badie run for 5 yds for a TD, (Tauskie Dove pass to Keke Chism for Two-Point Conversion)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+1 yds

kickoff for 16 yds , Treylon Burks return for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Trelon Smith run for 4 yds to the Misso 46

2nd & 6Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.11

Trelon Smith run for 14 yds to the Misso 32 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Missouri

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
34%
29 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
14%
7 plays
54%
13 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
67%
6 plays
60%
5 plays
0%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play

Arkansas

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
39%
23 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
50%
10 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
100%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
4th