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← Back to GamesNov 20, 2021Week 12
FloridaFlorida
23
-Final
24
MissouriMissouri
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Florida by 1.2

Home Win Probability

Missouri 47%

Market (consensus)

Missouri +9

Edge: Missouri +9 (7.8 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 20, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QOTFinal
FloridaFlorida
3373723
MissouriMissouri
3607824

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-33-33-66-69-69-1316-1316-1616-23
MissouriFlorida

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20FLOMISFLOMISFLOMISFLOMISFLOMISFLOMISFLOMISFLOMISFLOMISFLOMISFLOMISFLOMISFLOMISFLOMISFG1050ydPUNT624ydPUNT35ydFG4-4ydPUNT733ydPUNT35ydFG827ydFG834ydPUNT39ydFG974ydEND666ydPUNT30ydTD350ydPUNT3-1ydPUNT36ydPUNT38ydPUNT935ydPUNT424ydPUNT3-2ydTD785ydFG959ydPUNT617ydPUNT3-4ydMISS721ydPUNT3-2ydEND1-1ydTD425ydTD225yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Florida and Missouri
StatisticFloridaMissouri
Passing21-3315-26
Pass Yards267165
Rush Yards93121
Total Yards360286
Turnovers00
3rd Down5-183-15
Penalties9-804-27
Possession32:0727:53

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Florida
passing
Emory Jones
20/32, 261 YDS
rushing
Emory Jones
17 CAR, 45 YDS
receiving
Jacob Copeland
8 REC, 102 YDS
defense
Missouri
passing
Connor Bazelak
15/26, 165 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Tyler Badie
27 CAR, 146 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Tauskie Dove
2 REC, 72 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Emory Jones run for 5 yds to the Fla 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Emory Jones pass complete to Malik Davis for 2 yds to the Fla 32

3rd & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.32

Emory Jones pass complete to Jacob Copeland for 4 yds to the Fla 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Malik Davis run for 6 yds to the Fla 42

2nd & 4Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.39

Malik Davis run for 15 yds to the Misso 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.54

Emory Jones pass complete to Jacob Copeland for 13 yds to the Misso 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Dameon Pierce run for no gain to the Misso 30

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Dameon Pierce run for 7 yds to the Misso 23

3rd & 3Fumble Recovery (Own)-2 ydsPPA -1.04

Emory Jones run for a loss of 2 yards to the Misso 25 fumbled, recovered by Fla Emory Jones

4th & 5Field Goal Good+42 yds

Chris Howard 42 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Tyler Badie run for no gain to the Misso 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.43

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Dominic Lovett for a loss of 2 yards to the Misso 23

3rd & 12Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.94

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Tauskie Dove for 22 yds to the Misso 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Connor Bazelak pass complete to D'ionte Smith for 3 yds to the Misso 48

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Tyler Badie run for 1 yd to the Misso 49

3rd & 6Sack0 ydsPPA -0.86

Connor Bazelak sacked by Khris Bogle and Zachary Carter for 0 yards to the Misso 49

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Grant McKinniss punt for 49 yds, downed at the Fla 2

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Dameon Pierce run for 2 yds to the Fla 4

2nd & 8Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.20

Dameon Pierce run for a loss of 2 yards to the Fla 2

3rd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Emory Jones pass complete to Kemore Gamble for 5 yds to the Fla 7

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 11 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Niko Hea for 1 yd to the Fla 17

2nd & 9Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -1.04

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Tyler Badie for a loss of 5 yards to the Fla 22

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete

4th & 14Field Goal Good+39 yds

Harrison Mevis 39 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Nay'Quan Wright run for 2 yds to the Fla 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.07

Emory Jones pass complete to Jacob Copeland for 16 yds to the Fla 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Emory Jones run for 4 yds to the Fla 47

2nd & 6Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.54

Emory Jones run for 15 yds to the Misso 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Emory Jones pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Emory Jones pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.81

Nay'Quan Wright run for 1 yd to the Misso 37

4th & 9Penalty-5 yds

FLORIDA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Misso 42

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 31 yds, fair catch by D'ionte Smith at the Misso 11

1st & 10Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -0.51

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Tyler Badie for a loss of 4 yards to the Misso 7

2nd & 14Rush0 ydsPPA -0.08

Tyler Badie run for no gain to the Misso 7

3rd & 14Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.08

Connor Bazelak run for 9 yds to the Misso 16

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Grant McKinniss punt for 34 yds , returns for no gain to the Misso 36

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Emory Jones run for 6 yds to the Misso 30

2nd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.90

Malik Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 31

3rd & 5Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.39

Malik Davis run for a loss of 2 yards to the Misso 33

4th & 7Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.51

Emory Jones pass complete to Kemore Gamble for 19 yds to the Misso 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

JONES, Emory pass to the right incomplete intended for COPELAND, Jacob thrown to the MIZ0. PENALTY MIZ Offsides on JEFFCOAT, Trajan declined MIZ Pass Interference on GREEN IV, Allie enforced at the spot of the foul for 12 yards to the MIZ2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 2Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.12

Malik Davis run for a loss of 2 yards to the Misso 4

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Emory Jones pass incomplete

3rd & 4Penalty-5 yds

FLORIDA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Misso 9

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Emory Jones pass incomplete

4th & 9Field Goal Good+26 yds

Chris Howard 26 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+34 yds

Chris Howard kickoff for 62 yds , Elijah Young return for 34 yds to the Misso 37

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +3.06

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Niko Hea for 26 yds to the Fla 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Tyler Badie run for 6 yds to the Fla 31

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.06

Tyler Badie run for 4 yds to the Fla 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Tyler Badie run for 4 yds to the Fla 23

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete

3rd & 6Sack0 ydsPPA -0.72

Connor Bazelak sacked by Antonio Valentino for 0 yards to the Fla 29

4th & 12Field Goal Good+46 yds

Harrison Mevis 46 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Dameon Pierce run for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 24

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Emory Jones pass incomplete

3rd & 11Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.37

Emory Jones pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 10 yds to the Fla 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 54 yds, fair catch by Kris Abrams-Draine at the Misso 12

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.38

Tyler Badie run for no gain to the Misso 12

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Barrett Banister for 5 yds to the Misso 17

3rd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Dominic Lovett for 4 yds to the Misso 21

4th & 1Penalty+5 yds

FLORIDA Penalty, Offsides (Mohamoud Diabate) to the Misso 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+50 ydsPPA +3.33

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Tauskie Dove for 50 yds to the Fla 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Tyler Badie run for 4 yds to the Fla 20

2nd & 6Penalty+2 yds

BADIE, Tyler rush to the left for a loss of 2 yards to the UF 22 (DIABATE, Mohamoud). PENALTY UF Personal Foul on CARTER, Zachary enforced half the distance from the goal, 10 yards from the UF 20 to the UF 10 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.59

Elijah Young run for a loss of 5 yards to the Fla 15

2nd & 15Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.16

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Keke Chism for 7 yds to the Fla 8

3rd & 8Sack0 ydsPPA -0.35

Connor Bazelak sacked by Zachary Carter for 0 yards to the Fla 14

4th & 14Field Goal Good+31 yds

Harrison Mevis 31 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Emory Jones run for 8 yds to the Fla 33

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Emory Jones run for 1 yd to the Fla 34

3rd & 1Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.64

Emory Jones pass complete to Jacob Copeland for 9 yds to the Fla 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack0 ydsPPA -1.16

Emory Jones sacked by Trajan Jeffcoat for 0 yards to the Fla 35

2nd & 18Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.24

Nay'Quan Wright run for 7 yds to the Fla 42

3rd & 11Pass Reception+49 ydsPPA +4.18

Emory Jones pass complete to Jacob Copeland for 49 yds to the Misso 9 for a 1ST down

0th & 11End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Chris Howard kickoff for 65 yds , Elijah Young return for 20 yds to the Misso 20

2nd & 21Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.14

Tyler Badie run for 11 yds to the Misso 20

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt+11 yds

Grant McKinniss punt for 41 yds , Xzavier Henderson returns for 11 yds to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Pass Reception+45 ydsPPA +1.96

Emory Jones pass complete to Trent Whittemore for 45 yds to the Misso 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Emory Jones pass complete to Justin Shorter for 3 yds to the Misso 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Dameon Pierce run for 2 yds for a TD, (Chris Howard KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete

3rd & 10Sack0 ydsPPA -0.16

Connor Bazelak sacked by Brenton Cox Jr. for 0 yards to the Misso 24

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Grant McKinniss punt for 37 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Emory Jones pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 3 yds to the Fla 42

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Emory Jones run for 3 yds to the Fla 45

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Emory Jones pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 41 yds, fair catch by D'ionte Smith at the Misso 14

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.43

Tyler Badie run for 7 yds to the Misso 21

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Tyler Badie run for 2 yds to the Misso 23

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.49

Tyler Badie run for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 22

4th & 2Punt+1 yds

Grant McKinniss punt for 36 yds , Xzavier Henderson returns for 1 yd to the Fla 28

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Nay'Quan Wright run for 2 yds to the Fla 30

2nd & 8Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.41

Nay'Quan Wright run for 8 yds to the Fla 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.60

Emory Jones pass complete to Justin Shorter for 19 yds to the Misso 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Nay'Quan Wright run for 3 yds to the Misso 40

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Emory Jones run for 3 yds to the Misso 37

3rd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.19

Emory Jones run for 7 yds to the Misso 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Emory Jones pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.58

Emory Jones run for 1 yd to the Misso 29

3rd & 9Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.60

Emory Jones pass complete to Jacob Copeland for a loss of 3 yards to the Misso 32

4th & 12Penalty-5 yds

FLORIDA Penalty, Delay Of Game (Trent Whittemore) to the Misso 37

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 29 yds, fair catch by D'ionte Smith at the Misso 8

1st & 10Rush+28 ydsPPA +1.70

Tyler Badie run for 28 yds to the Misso 36 for a 1ST down

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete

4th & 14Punt+48 yds

Grant McKinniss punt for 38 yds FLORIDA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Ja'Markis Weston) to the Fla 20

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.75

Emory Jones run for a loss of 3 yards to the Fla 17

2nd & 13Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.13

Emory Jones pass complete to Malik Davis for 1 yd to the Fla 18

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.08

Emory Jones pass incomplete

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 67 yds, downed at the Misso 15

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.10

Tyler Badie run for 17 yds to the Misso 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.76

Tyler Badie run for 19 yds to the Fla 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.10

Tyler Badie run for no gain to the Fla 49

2nd & 10Penalty+10 yds

BAZELAK, Connor pass up the middle intercepted by ELAM, Kaiir at the UF 40 intended for DOVE, Tauskie. Elam return for 0 yards to the UF 40, End of Play. PENALTY UF Holding on ELAM, Kaiir enforced 10 yards from the UF 49 to the UF 39 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.44

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Tyler Badie for 7 yds to the Fla 32

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.61

Tyler Badie run for 1 yd to the Fla 31

3rd & 2Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.60

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Barrett Banister for 5 yds to the Fla 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

BADIE, Tyler rush to the left for no gain to the UF 26 (DEXTER, Gervon;CARTER, Zachary). PENALTY MIZ Personal Foul on WOOD, Connor enforced 15 yards from the UF 26 to the UF 41 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 25Passing Touchdown+41 ydsPPA +4.88

Niko Hea 41 Yd pass from Connor Bazelak (Harrison Mevis Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.32

Emory Jones pass complete to Malik Davis for 26 yds to the Misso 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Emory Jones pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Emory Jones pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.71

Emory Jones pass complete to Jacob Copeland for 8 yds to the Misso 41

4th & 2Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.51

Emory Jones pass complete to Malik Davis for 17 yds to the Misso 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Malik Davis run for 3 yds to the Misso 21

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Emory Jones run for 6 yds to the Misso 15

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.61

Dameon Pierce run for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 16

4th & 2Field Goal Good+33 yds

Chris Howard 33 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Tyler Badie run for 4 yds to the Misso 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Barrett Banister for 5 yds to the Misso 34

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.95

Tyler Badie run for 2 yds to the Misso 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Tyler Badie run for 6 yds to the Misso 42

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt+2 yds

Grant McKinniss punt for 43 yds , Xzavier Henderson returns for 2 yds to the Fla 17

1st & 10Sack0 ydsPPA -0.48

Emory Jones sacked by Jatorian Hansford for 0 yards to the Fla 7

2nd & 20Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.02

Emory Jones pass complete to Jacob Copeland for 6 yds to the Fla 13

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.05

Emory Jones pass incomplete

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 37 yds, downed at the 50 yard line

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Tyler Badie run for 2 yds to the Fla 48

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Tyler Badie run for 3 yds to the Fla 45

3rd & 5Penalty+15 yds

FLORIDA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Trey Dean III) to the Fla 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.70

Tyler Badie run for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 31

2nd & 11Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.62

Tyler Badie run for 1 yd to the Fla 30

3rd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Tyler Badie run for 1 yd to the Fla 29

4th & 9Field Goal Missed+46 yds

Harrison Mevis 46 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.15

Nay'Quan Wright run for a loss of 3 yards to the Fla 26

2nd & 13Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.31

Emory Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 25

3rd & 14Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.07

Nay'Quan Wright run for 2 yds to the Fla 27

4th & 12Punt+5 yds

Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 39 yds , D'ionte Smith returns for 5 yds to the Misso 39

0th & 10End of Regulation0 yds

End of 4th Quarter

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.14

Emory Jones run for 10 yds to the Misso 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Emory Jones pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.38

Emory Jones pass complete to Kemore Gamble for 9 yds to the Misso 6

3rd & 1Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.50

Trent Whittemore pass complete to Emory Jones for 6 yds for a TD, (Chris Howard KICK)

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.16

Tyler Badie run for 12 yds to the Fla 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.54

Tyler Badie run for 13 yds for a TD, (Connor Bazelak pass to Daniel Parker Jr. for Two-Point Conversion)

Situational Analysis

Florida

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
35%
26 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
45%
11 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
40%
5 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play

Missouri

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
38%
24 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
0%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
38%
8 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
0%
4 plays
0%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
4th