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← Back to GamesNov 14, 2021Week 11
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Kentucky by 20.6

Home Win Probability

Vanderbilt 11%

Market (consensus)

Vanderbilt +21.5

Edge: Vanderbilt +21.5 (0.9 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 14, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
KentuckyKentucky
7240334
VanderbiltVanderbilt
308617

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-73-73-143-283-3111-3111-3417-34
VanderbiltKentucky

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20VANKENVANKENVANVANKENVANKENVANKENKENVANKENVANKENVANKENPUNT617ydTD1085ydFG1045ydTD371ydTD410ydPUNT35ydTD348ydPUNT510ydFG867ydPUNT3-2ydTO518ydPUNT76ydTD1272ydFG1461ydTD1175ydPUNT420ydDOWNS620ydEND618yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Kentucky and Vanderbilt
StatisticKentuckyVanderbilt
Passing14-2220-29
Pass Yards177170
Rush Yards23696
Total Yards413266
Turnovers11
3rd Down3-95-13
Penalties4-456-31
Possession29:4630:14

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Kentucky
passing
Will Levis
14/22, 177 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Chris Rodriguez Jr.
16 CAR, 114 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Wan'Dale Robinson
6 REC, 75 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Vanderbilt
passing
Ken Seals
12/17, 87 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Patrick Smith
18 CAR, 84 YDS
receiving
Chris Pierce
6 REC, 69 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Ken Seals pass complete to Amir Abdur-Rahman for 4 yds to the Vandy 29

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Patrick Smith run for 2 yds to the Vandy 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.24

Ken Seals pass complete to Chris Pierce Jr. for 13 yds to the Vandy 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

VANDERBILT Penalty, False Start (Ben Bresnahan) to the Vandy 39

1st & 15Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.99

Ken Seals pass complete to Patrick Smith for a loss of 1 yard to the Vandy 38

2nd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Ken Seals pass incomplete to Cam Johnson

3rd & 16Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Ken Seals pass complete to Patrick Smith for 4 yds to the Vandy 42

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Harrison Smith punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Josh Ali at the Kent 15

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 4 yds to the Kent 19

2nd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.61

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 6 yds to the Kent 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 11 yds to the Kent 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 9 yds to the Kent 45

2nd & 1Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.71

Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 18 yds to the Vandy 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

VANDERBILT Penalty, Defensive Offside (Devin Lee) to the Vandy 32

1st & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.58

Kavosiey Smoke run for 1 yd to the Vandy 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.23

Will Levis pass complete to Josh Ali for 14 yds to the Vandy 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 4 yds to the Vandy 13

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.55

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 7 yds to the Vandy 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 6 yds for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Patrick Smith run for 1 yd to the Vandy 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.61

Ken Seals pass complete to Amir Abdur-Rahman for 11 yds to the Vandy 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

VANDERBILT Penalty, False Start (Tyler Steen) to the Vandy 32

1st & 15Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.16

Patrick Smith run for 16 yds to the Vandy 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Patrick Smith run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Ken Seals pass incomplete to Patrick Smith

3rd & 8Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.85

Ken Seals pass complete to Amir Abdur-Rahman for 17 yds to the Kent 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Ken Seals pass complete to Chris Pierce Jr. for 1 yd to the Kent 32

2nd & 9Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.66

Ken Seals sacked by Justin Rogers for a loss of 9 yards to the Kent 41

3rd & 18Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.28

Ken Seals pass complete to Ben Bresnahan for 11 yds to the Kent 30

4th & 7Field Goal Good+48 yds

Joseph Bulovas 48 yd FG GOOD

4th & 7Kickoff Return (Offense)+23 yds

Pierson Cooke kickoff for 59 yds , Zach Johnson return for 23 yds to the Kent 29

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.92

Will Levis pass complete to DeMarcus Harris for 10 yds to the Kent 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +2.21

Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 39 yds to the Vandy 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +2.65

Will Levis pass complete to Izayah Cummings for 22 yds for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+23 yds

Chance Poore kickoff for 65 yds , James Ziglor III return for 23 yds to the Vandy 23

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Patrick Smith run for 3 yds to the Vandy 26

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Ken Seals pass complete to Amir Abdur-Rahman for 5 yds to the Vandy 31

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.98

Patrick Smith run for 2 yds to the Vandy 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception Return Touchdown+31 ydsPPA -8.57

Ken Seals pass intercepted for a TD Jalen Geiger return for 31 yds for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

James Ziglor III run for 1 yd to the Vandy 26

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Ken Seals pass incomplete to James Ziglor III

3rd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Ken Seals pass complete to Devin Boddie Jr. for 4 yds to the Vandy 30

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Harrison Smith punt for 18 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Vandy 48

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.56

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 7 yds to the Vandy 41

2nd & 3Rush+36 ydsPPA +1.24

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 30 yds to the Vandy 11 for a 1ST down VANDERBILT Penalty, Personal Foul (Lorenza Surgers) to the Vandy 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 5 yds for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Patrick Smith run for 1 yd to the Vandy 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.61

Ken Seals pass complete to Amir Abdur-Rahman for 11 yds to the Vandy 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.76

Ken Seals sacked by Josh Paschal for a loss of 5 yards to the Vandy 32

2nd & 15Penalty-5 yds

VANDERBILT Penalty, False Start (Cam Johnson) to the Vandy 27

2nd & 20Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.19

Patrick Smith run for 8 yds to the Vandy 35

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Ken Seals pass incomplete to Ben Bresnahan

4th & 12Punt+25 yds

Harrison Smith punt for 49 yds , Josh Ali returns for 25 yds to the VANDERBILT 40 KENTUCKY Penalty, Personal Foul (Vito Tisdale) to the Kent 26

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.93

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 8 yds to the Kent 34

2nd & 2Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.78

Will Levis pass complete to Josh Ali for 24 yds to the Vandy 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.67

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 8 yds to the Vandy 34

2nd & 2Rush+23 ydsPPA +0.10

Wan'Dale Robinson run for 23 yds to the Vandy 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Will Levis pass incomplete to Rahsaan Lewis

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Will Levis pass incomplete to Josh Ali

3rd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 4 yds to the Vandy 7

4th & 6Field Goal Good+25 yds

Matt Ruffolo 25 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

VANDERBILT Penalty, False Start (Delfin Xavier Castillo) to the Vandy 20

1st & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Patrick Smith run for 3 yds to the Vandy 23

2nd & 12Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.39

Ken Seals sacked by Josh Paschal for a loss of 7 yards to the Vandy 16

3rd & 19Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.03

Ken Seals pass complete to Cam Johnson for 7 yds to the Vandy 23

4th & 12Punt+3 yds

Harrison Smith punt for 43 yds , Josh Ali returns for 3 yds to the Kent 37

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.96

Will Levis pass complete to Josh Ali for 10 yds to the Kent 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.68

Will Levis sacked by Malik Langham for a loss of 9 yards to the Kent 38

2nd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Will Levis pass incomplete to DeMarcus Harris

3rd & 19Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.55

Will Levis run for 17 yds to the Vandy 45

4th & 2Pass Interception Return+49 ydsPPA -1.43

Will Levis pass intercepted Chris Pierce Jr. return for 49 yds to the Vandy 49

0th & 2End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Will Levis pass incomplete to Izayah Cummings

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 5 yds to the Kent 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.49

Will Levis pass complete to Izayah Cummings for 5 yds to the Kent 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.72

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 4 yds to the Kent 39 KENTUCKY Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Kent 29

1st & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Will Levis pass incomplete to Kavosiey Smoke

2nd & 16Penalty-20 yds

KENTUCKY Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (Wan'Dale Robinson) to the Kent 15

2nd & 30Rush+22 ydsPPA +0.72

JuTahn McClain run for 22 yds to the Kent 37

4th & 8Punt+5 yds

Colin Goodfellow punt for 40 yds , Cam Johnson returns for 5 yds to the Vandy 28

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Will Levis pass incomplete to Josh Ali

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.80

Patrick Smith run for no gain to the Vandy 28

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Patrick Smith run for 2 yds to the Vandy 30

3rd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.07

Mike Wright pass complete to Chris Pierce Jr. for 9 yds to the Vandy 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+37 ydsPPA +2.17

Patrick Smith run for 37 yds to the Kent 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.64

Mike Wright pass complete to Amir Abdur-Rahman for 9 yds to the Kent 15

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.50

Patrick Smith run for 2 yds to the Kent 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.30

Patrick Smith run for no gain to the Kent 13

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.19

Mike Wright run for 1 yd to the Kent 12 for a 1ST down KENTUCKY Penalty, Personal Foul (Vito Tisdale) to the Kent 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Patrick Smith run for 1 yd to the Kent 5

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Mike Wright pass incomplete to Amir Abdur-Rahman

3rd & 5Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.54

Mike Wright sacked by Davonte Robinson for a loss of 3 yards to the Kent 8 Mike Wright fumbled, recovered by Vandy

4th & 8Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +3.30

Mike Wright pass complete to Chris Pierce Jr. for 8 yds for a TD, (Mike Wright pass to Cam Johnson for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 3 yds to the Kent 28

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Will Levis run for 5 yds to the Kent 33

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.25

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 4 yds to the Kent 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 8 yds to the Kent 45

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.36

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for no gain to the Kent 45

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.45

Will Levis run for 4 yds to the Kent 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.73

JuTahn McClain run for 11 yds to the Vandy 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.37

Will Levis pass complete to Josh Ali for 10 yds to the Vandy 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Will Levis pass incomplete to Wan'Dale Robinson

2nd & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.81

JuTahn McClain run for 15 yds to the Vandy 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

JuTahn McClain run for 2 yds to the Vandy 13

2nd & 8Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.71

JuTahn McClain run for a loss of 4 yards to the Vandy 17

3rd & 12Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Will Levis run for 3 yds to the Vandy 14

4th & 9Field Goal Good+32 yds

Matt Ruffolo 32 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.24

Cam Johnson pass complete to Chris Pierce Jr. for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.35

Patrick Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the Vandy 49

2nd & 11Rush0 ydsPPA -0.97

Patrick Smith run for no gain to the Vandy 49

3rd & 11Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +3.06

Mike Wright pass complete to Chris Pierce Jr. for 13 yds to the Kent 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Mike Wright run for 7 yds to the Kent 31

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.05

Patrick Smith run for 5 yds to the Kent 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.17

James Ziglor III run for 12 yds to the Kent 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.31

Mike Wright run for no gain to the Kent 14

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Mike Wright pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.12

Mike Wright pass complete to Patrick Smith for 6 yds to the Kent 8

4th & 4Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +3.09

Mike Wright pass complete to Amir Abdur-Rahman for 8 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )

4th & 4Kickoff Return (Offense)+5 yds

Pierson Cooke kickoff for 57 yds , Zach Johnson return for 5 yds to the Kent 13

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.76

JuTahn McClain run for 14 yds to the Kent 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.64

JuTahn McClain run for 1 yd to the Kent 28

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.40

Will Levis pass complete to Justin Rigg for 7 yds to the Kent 35

3rd & 2Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.83

JuTahn McClain run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kent 33

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Colin Goodfellow punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Cam Johnson at the Vandy 16

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Mike Wright run for 3 yds to the Vandy 19

2nd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.92

Mike Wright run for 9 yds to the Vandy 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Mike Wright pass complete to James Ziglor III for 5 yds to the Vandy 33

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Mike Wright run for 3 yds to the Vandy 36

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Mike Wright pass incomplete to Amir Abdur-Rahman

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Mike Wright pass incomplete to Devin Boddie Jr.

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.90

Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for a loss of 1 yard to the Vandy 37

2nd & 11Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.75

JuTahn McClain run for 9 yds to the Vandy 28

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.63

JuTahn McClain run for 1 yd to the Vandy 27

4th & 1Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.23

Will Levis run for 12 yds to the Vandy 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.46

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Vandy 17

2nd & 12Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.55

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Vandy 18

Situational Analysis

Kentucky

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
67%
3 plays
52%
25 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
80%
5 plays
100%
3 plays
67%
6 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
100%
1 play
0%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
50%
2 plays

Vanderbilt

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
30%
20 plays
33%
3 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
0%
3 plays
50%
10 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
75%
4 plays
60%
5 plays
4th
0%
1 play
100%
1 play
100%
1 play