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← Back to GamesNov 6, 2021Week 10
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Texas A&M by 6.4

Home Win Probability

Texas A&M 61%

Market (consensus)

Texas A&M -4.5

Edge: Texas A&M -4.5 (1.9 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 6, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
AuburnAuburn
30003
Texas A&MTexas A&M
3031420

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014283-03-36-317-320-3
Texas A&MAuburn

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20AUBTAAUBTAAUBTAAUBTAAUBTAAUBTATAAUBTAAUBTAAUBAUBTAAUBTAAUBTAPUNT517ydFG1480ydFG1460ydPUNT32ydPUNT53ydPUNT3-3ydPUNT33ydPUNT540ydPUNT37ydMISS845ydPUNT58ydEND23ydPUNT3-1ydMISS1056ydFG1068ydPUNT30ydFG958ydTD3-1ydPUNT57ydTO168ydDOWNS1241ydFG726ydTO45ydEND48yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Auburn and Texas A&M
StatisticAuburnTexas A&M
Passing20-4115-29
Pass Yards153192
Rush Yards73217
Total Yards226409
Turnovers21
3rd Down4-163-13
Penalties5-354-30
Possession29:5630:04

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Auburn
passing
Bo Nix
20/41, 153 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Tank Bigsby
15 CAR, 69 YDS
receiving
John Samuel Shenker
4 REC, 50 YDS
defense
Smoke Monday
1 TFL, 1 PD
Texas A&M
passing
Zach Calzada
15/29, 192 YDS
rushing
Isaiah Spiller
21 CAR, 112 YDS
receiving
Caleb Chapman
3 REC, 77 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Bo Nix pass complete to Demetris Robertson for 10 yds to the Aub 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.32

Jarquez Hunter run for 14 yds to the Aub 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Bo Nix pass incomplete to John Samuel Shenker

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Tank Bigsby run for 3 yds to the TexAM 48

3rd & 7Sack-10 ydsPPA -1.75

Bo Nix sacked by Tyree Johnson for a loss of 10 yards to the Aub 42

4th & 17Punt+2 yds

Oscar Chapman punt for 44 yds , Ainias Smith returns for 2 yds to the TexAM 16

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.99

Zach Calzada pass complete to Jalen Wydermyer for 9 yds to the TexAM 25

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Isaiah Spiller run for 3 yds to the TexAM 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.97

Zach Calzada pass complete to Ainias Smith for 8 yds to the TexAM 36

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.22

Zach Calzada pass incomplete to Jalen Wydermyer

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.58

Isaiah Spiller run for 1 yd to the TexAM 37

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.83

Isaiah Spiller run for 2 yds to the TexAM 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +1.84

Zach Calzada pass complete to Jalen Wydermyer for 25 yds to the Aub 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Isaiah Spiller run for 2 yds to the Aub 34

2nd & 8Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.80

Zach Calzada pass complete to Demond Demas for 16 yds to the Aub 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.71

Isaiah Spiller run for 13 yds to the Aub 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Zach Calzada pass incomplete to Jalen Preston

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Ainias Smith run for 1 yd to the Aub 4

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Zach Calzada pass incomplete

4th & 4Field Goal Good+21 yds

Seth Small 21 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Bo Nix pass incomplete to Kobe Hudson

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Bo Nix run for 1 yd to the Aub 26

3rd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.93

Bo Nix pass complete to Shaun Shivers for 10 yds to the Aub 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Tank Bigsby run for 1 yd to the Aub 37

2nd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Bo Nix pass complete to Tank Bigsby for 4 yds to the Aub 41

3rd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +2.12

Shaun Shivers run for 7 yds to the Aub 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.82

Bo Nix pass complete to John Samuel Shenker for 12 yds to the TexAM 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.40

Bo Nix run for 11 yds to the TexAM 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Bo Nix pass complete to Shedrick Jackson for 5 yds to the TexAM 24

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.13

Tank Bigsby run for 7 yds to the TexAM 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.34

Shaun Shivers run for no gain to the TexAM 17

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Tank Bigsby run for 2 yds to the TexAM 15

3rd & 8Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.52

Bo Nix pass complete to Shaun Shivers for no gain to the TexAM 15

4th & 8Field Goal Good+32 yds

Anders Carlson 32 yd FG GOOD

4th & 8Kickoff Return (Offense)+10 yds

Anders Carlson kickoff for 65 yds , Devon Achane return for 10 yds to the TexAM 10

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Isaiah Spiller run for 2 yds to the TexAM 12

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Zach Calzada pass incomplete to Ainias Smith

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Zach Calzada pass incomplete to Jalen Preston

4th & 8Punt+12 yds

Nik Constantinou punt for 53 yds , Demetris Robertson returns for 12 yds to the Aub 47

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Bo Nix pass incomplete to Ja'Varrius Johnson

2nd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.90

Tank Bigsby run for 10 yds to the TexAM 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Bo Nix pass incomplete to Tank Bigsby

2nd & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.85

Jarquez Hunter run for a loss of 4 yards to the TexAM 47

3rd & 14Fumble Recovery (Own)-3 ydsPPA -0.88

Bo Nix sacked by Tyree Johnson for a loss of 3 yards to the 50 yard line Bo Nix fumbled, forced by Tyree Johnson, recovered by Aub Bo Nix , return for 0 yards to the 50 yard line

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Oscar Chapman punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexAM 16

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.62

Devon Achane run for a loss of 3 yards to the TexAM 13

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Zach Calzada pass incomplete to Chase Lane

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.05

Zach Calzada pass incomplete to Ainias Smith

4th & 13Punt+5 yds

Nik Constantinou punt for 43 yds , Demetris Robertson returns for 5 yds to the Aub 49

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.13

Jarquez Hunter run for no gain to the Aub 49

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Bo Nix pass complete to Shedrick Jackson for 3 yds to the TexAM 48

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Bo Nix pass incomplete to Shedrick Jackson

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Oscar Chapman punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Ainias Smith at the TexAM 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

AUBURN Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the TexAM 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Zach Calzada pass incomplete to Jalen Wydermyer

2nd & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.99

Isaiah Spiller run for 18 yds to the TexAM 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Zach Calzada pass complete to Jalen Wydermyer for 4 yds to the TexAM 42

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Isaiah Spiller run for 3 yds to the TexAM 45

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Zach Calzada pass incomplete to Jalen Wydermyer

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Nik Constantinou punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Demetris Robertson at the Aub 18

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Tank Bigsby run for 3 yds to the Aub 21

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

AUBURN Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (-5 Yards) to the Aub 16

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Bo Nix pass incomplete to Shedrick Jackson

3rd & 12Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.16

Bo Nix pass complete to Shaun Shivers for 9 yds to the Aub 25

4th & 3Punt+1 yds

Oscar Chapman punt for 45 yds , Ainias Smith returns for 1 yd to the TexAM 31

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.33

Zach Calzada pass complete to Jalen Wydermyer for 14 yds to the TexAM 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.94

Devon Achane run for 8 yds to the Aub 47

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.09

Devon Achane run for 6 yds to the Aub 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.43

Devon Achane run for 11 yds to the Aub 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Devon Achane run for 5 yds to the Aub 25

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Devon Achane run for 1 yd to the Aub 24

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Zach Calzada pass incomplete to Demond Demas

4th & 4Field Goal Missed+42 yds

Seth Small 42 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.77

Tank Bigsby run for a loss of 1 yard to the Aub 23

2nd & 11Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.76

Bo Nix pass complete to John Samuel Shenker for 13 yds to the Aub 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Bo Nix pass incomplete to Shedrick Jackson

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.53

Shaun Shivers run for 1 yd to the Aub 37

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Bo Nix pass incomplete to Ja'Varrius Johnson

4th & 9Penalty-5 yds

AUBURN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Aub 32

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Oscar Chapman punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Ainias Smith at the TexAM 20

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Isaiah Spiller run for 1 yd to the TexAM 21

2nd & 9Penalty-10 yds

TEXAS A&M Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the TexAM 11

2nd & 19Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.26

Isaiah Spiller run for 12 yds to the TexAM 23

0th & 19End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.02

Isaiah Spiller run for a loss of 4 yards to the TexAM 21

2nd & 14Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.08

Zach Calzada pass complete to Isaiah Spiller for 3 yds to the TexAM 24

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Zach Calzada pass incomplete to Demond Demas

4th & 11Punt+6 yds

Nik Constantinou punt for 54 yds , Demetris Robertson returns for 6 yds to the Aub 28

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.90

Tank Bigsby run for 10 yds to the Aub 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Bo Nix pass complete to Ze'Vian Capers for 6 yds to the Aub 44

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.73

Tank Bigsby run for 2 yds to the Aub 46

3rd & 2Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.14

Bo Nix pass complete to Luke Deal for 15 yds to the TexAM 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.82

Tank Bigsby run for 9 yds to the TexAM 30

2nd & 1Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA -0.26

Bo Nix pass complete to John Samuel Shenker for 13 yds to the TexAM 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Tank Bigsby run for 1 yd to the TexAM 16

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Bo Nix pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Bo Nix pass incomplete to Kobe Hudson

4th & 9Field Goal Missed+33 yds

Anders Carlson 33 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.63

Zach Calzada pass complete to Devon Achane for a loss of 1 yard to the TexAM 19

2nd & 11Pass Reception+49 ydsPPA +4.15

Zach Calzada pass complete to Caleb Chapman for 49 yds to the Aub 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.22

Zach Calzada pass complete to Caleb Chapman for 10 yds to the Aub 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.40

Devon Achane run for no gain to the Aub 22

2nd & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.36

Zach Calzada pass complete to Ainias Smith for 18 yds to the Aub 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 0Penalty-5 yds

TEXAS A&M Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Aub 9

1st & 0Penalty-5 yds

TEXAS A&M Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Aub 14

1st & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Zach Calzada pass incomplete to Ainias Smith

2nd & 14Pass Reception-9 ydsPPA -1.89

Zach Calzada pass complete to Jalen Wydermyer for 1 yd to the Aub 13 TEXAS A&M Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Aub 23

2nd & 0Rush+10 yds

Zach Calzada run for 10 yds to the Aub 13

3rd & 13Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Isaiah Spiller run for 1 yd to the Aub 12

4th & 12Field Goal Good+29 yds

Seth Small 29 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Bo Nix pass complete to Tank Bigsby for 1 yd to the Aub 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Bo Nix pass complete to Shaun Shivers for 4 yds to the Aub 30

3rd & 5Penalty-5 yds

AUBURN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Aub 25

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Bo Nix pass incomplete to Shedrick Jackson

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Oscar Chapman punt for 63 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexAM 12

1st & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +1.49

Isaiah Spiller run for 23 yds to the TexAM 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Isaiah Spiller run for 2 yds to the TexAM 37

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Zach Calzada pass incomplete to Demond Demas

3rd & 8Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +3.17

Zach Calzada pass complete to Ainias Smith for 18 yds to the Aub 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.66

Isaiah Spiller run for 15 yds to the Aub 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Isaiah Spiller run for no gain to the Aub 30

2nd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.76

Zach Calzada pass complete to Ainias Smith for no gain to the Aub 30

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Zach Calzada pass incomplete to Jalen Wydermyer

4th & 10Field Goal Good+47 yds

Seth Small 47 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Bo Nix pass complete to Tank Bigsby for 10 yds to the Aub 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Bo Nix pass incomplete to Ja'Varrius Johnson

2nd & 10Sack+24 ydsPPA +3.02

Bo Nix sacked by Jayden Peevy for a loss of 11 yards Bo Nix fumbled, forced by Jayden Peevy, recovered by TexAM Micheal Clemons , return for 0 yards , return for 24 yds, (Zach Calzada pass to Ainias Smith for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Jarquez Hunter run for 4 yds to the Aub 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.14

Bo Nix pass complete to Kobe Hudson for 8 yds to the Aub 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Bo Nix pass incomplete to Jarquez Hunter

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

AUBURN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Aub 32

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Bo Nix pass incomplete to Demetris Robertson

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Bo Nix pass incomplete to Shedrick Jackson

4th & 15Punt+2 yds

Oscar Chapman punt for 43 yds , Ainias Smith returns for 2 yds to the TexAM 27

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+68 ydsPPA -1.07

Devon Achane run for 68 yds to the Aub 5 Devon Achane fumbled, forced by Donovan Kaufman, recovered by Aub Roger McCreary

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.34

Tank Bigsby run for 11 yds to the Aub 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Bo Nix pass incomplete to Shedrick Jackson

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.47

Bo Nix run for 9 yds to the Aub 25

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.57

Tank Bigsby run for 1 yd to the Aub 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Bo Nix pass incomplete to Kobe Hudson

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.33

Tank Bigsby run for 7 yds to the Aub 33

3rd & 3Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Bo Nix pass complete to Tank Bigsby for 1 yd to the Aub 34

4th & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.82

Tank Bigsby run for 3 yds to the Aub 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-15 ydsPPA -2.25

Bo Nix sacked by Demani Richardson for a loss of 15 yards to the Aub 22

2nd & 25Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.27

Bo Nix pass complete to Shaun Shivers for 12 yds to the Aub 34

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Bo Nix pass incomplete to Kobe Hudson

4th & 13Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.24

Bo Nix pass complete to John Samuel Shenker for 12 yds to the Aub 46

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Devon Achane run for 1 yd to the Aub 45

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Devon Achane run for 1 yd to the Aub 44

3rd & 8Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.48

Zach Calzada pass complete to Caleb Chapman for 18 yds to the Aub 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Isaiah Spiller run for 3 yds to the Aub 23

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Isaiah Spiller run for 5 yds to the Aub 18

3rd & 2Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.83

Zach Calzada run for a loss of 2 yards to the Aub 20

4th & 4Field Goal Good+37 yds

Seth Small 37 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Bo Nix pass complete to Shaun Shivers for 5 yds to the Aub 30

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Bo Nix pass incomplete to John Samuel Shenker

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Bo Nix pass incomplete to Demetris Robertson

4th & 5Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA +0.11

Bo Nix pass intercepted Jaylon Jones return for no gain to the Aub 40

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.48

Isaiah Spiller run for a loss of 3 yards to the Aub 43

2nd & 13Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.10

Isaiah Spiller run for 10 yds to the Aub 33

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.75

Isaiah Spiller run for 3 yds to the Aub 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.85

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Aub 32

Situational Analysis

Auburn

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
38%
29 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
50%
4 plays
31%
13 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
14%
7 plays
25%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
100%
1 play

Texas A&M

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
41%
27 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
33%
3 plays
0%
3 plays
50%
8 plays
50%
6 plays
3rd
25%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
0%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play