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← Back to GamesNov 6, 2021Week 10
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Florida by 6.4

Home Win Probability

South Carolina 31%

Market (consensus)

South Carolina +20.5

Edge: South Carolina +20.5 (14.1 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 6, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
FloridaFlorida
730717
South CarolinaSouth Carolina
102010040

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428423-010-713-1020-1023-1030-1033-1040-1040-17
South CarolinaFlorida

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20FLOSCFLOSCFLOSCFLOSCFLOSCFLOFLOSCFLOSCFLOSCFLOSCFLOSCFLOSCFLOPUNT527ydFG1365ydTD575ydTD575ydFG662ydFG858ydPUNT32ydTD476ydPUNT615ydFG862ydTD2-1ydEND23ydPUNT515ydPUNT35ydFG646ydDOWNS49ydTD632ydTD875ydPUNT34ydTO321ydPUNT33ydPUNT3-13ydDOWNS952ydEND745yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Florida and South Carolina
StatisticFloridaSouth Carolina
Passing17-3014-24
Pass Yards258175
Rush Yards82284
Total Yards340459
Turnovers20
3rd Down3-102-12
Penalties6-641-5
Possession23:4236:18

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Florida
passing
Emory Jones
17/30, 258 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Dameon Pierce
6 CAR, 39 YDS
receiving
Justin Shorter
5 REC, 92 YDS
defense
South Carolina
passing
Jason Brown
14/24, 175 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Kevin Harris
16 CAR, 128 YDS
receiving
Josh Vann
7 REC, 111 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Emory Jones pass incomplete to Malik Davis

2nd & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.50

Emory Jones pass complete to Justin Shorter for 20 yds to the Fla 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Emory Jones pass complete to Justin Shorter for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.20

Emory Jones pass incomplete to Jacob Copeland

3rd & 5Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Emory Jones pass complete to Jacob Copeland for 2 yds to the SCaro 48

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 34 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.97

Jason Brown pass complete to Josh Vann for 16 yds to the SCaro 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

ZaQuandre White run for 3 yds to the SCaro 33

2nd & 7Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.77

ZaQuandre White run for 12 yds to the SCaro 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.94

Jason Brown pass complete to Josh Vann for 8 yds to the Fla 47

2nd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.19

Kevin Harris run for 8 yds to the Fla 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Kevin Harris run for 4 yds to the Fla 35

2nd & 6Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Jason Brown pass complete to Nick Muse for 3 yds to the Fla 32

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.52

MarShawn Lloyd run for 2 yds to the Fla 30

4th & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.33

Kevin Harris run for 5 yds to the Fla 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.45

Jason Brown pass complete to Jaheim Bell for no gain to the Fla 25

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

MarShawn Lloyd run for 4 yds to the Fla 21

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Jason Brown pass incomplete to Dakereon Joyner

4th & 6Field Goal Good+39 yds

Parker White 39 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Emory Jones pass incomplete to Marcus Burke

2nd & 10Pass Reception+52 ydsPPA +4.12

Emory Jones pass complete to Justin Shorter for 52 yds to the SCaro 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Emory Jones pass complete to Justin Shorter for 6 yds to the SCaro 17

2nd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA -0.06

Emory Jones pass complete to Dameon Pierce for 5 yds to the SCaro 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.53

Emory Jones pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 12 yds for a TD (Chris Howard KICK)

1st & 10Rush+54 ydsPPA +3.45

ZaQuandre White run for 54 yds to the Fla 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

ZaQuandre White run for 6 yds to the Fla 15

2nd & 4Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.76

ZaQuandre White run for 11 yds to the Fla 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Jason Brown pass complete to Josh Vann for 2 yds to the Fla 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Juju McDowell run for 2 yds for a TD (Parker White KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Nay'Quan Wright run for 3 yds to the Fla 22

2nd & 13Pass Reception+61 ydsPPA +4.45

Emory Jones pass complete to Marcus Burke for 61 yds to the SCaro 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Wright,Nay'Quan rush for 2 yards loss to the USC19 (Staley,Damani) PENALTY FLA Holding (Zipperer,Keon) 10 yards from USC17 to USC27. NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.46

Emory Jones run for 10 yds to the SCaro 17

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Emory Jones run for 4 yds to the SCaro 13

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Emory Jones pass incomplete to Jacob Copeland

4th & 6Field Goal Good+30 yds

Chris Howard 30 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jason Brown pass incomplete to Dakereon Joyner

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Kevin Harris run for 2 yds to the SCaro 23

3rd & 12Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.06

Jason Brown pass complete to Nick Muse for 13 yds to the SCaro 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+39 ydsPPA +2.45

Kevin Harris run for 39 yds to the Fla 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Jason Brown pass complete to Nick Muse for 3 yds to the Fla 22

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Kevin Harris run for 5 yds to the Fla 17

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Jason Brown pass incomplete to Dakereon Joyner

4th & 2Field Goal Good+35 yds

Parker White 35 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Malik Davis run for 1 yd to the Fla 24

2nd & 11Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Emory Jones pass complete to Malik Davis for 3 yds to the Fla 27

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Emory Jones pass incomplete to Marcus Burke

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 49 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+50 ydsPPA +3.43

Jason Brown pass complete to Josh Vann for 50 yds to the Fla 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.16

Jason Brown run for 11 yds to the Fla 37

2nd & 21Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.52

Jason Brown pass complete to Josh Vann for 13 yds to the Fla 24

3rd & 8Passing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +3.53

Jason Brown pass complete to Josh Vann for 24 yds for a TD (Parker White KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Emory Jones pass incomplete to Justin Shorter

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Dameon Pierce run for 6 yds to the Fla 36

3rd & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.07

Emory Jones pass complete to Justin Shorter for 9 yds to the Fla 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Jacob Copeland run for 2 yds to the Fla 47

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Emory Jones run for 2 yds to the Fla 45

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Emory Jones pass incomplete to Justin Shorter

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 39 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

ZaQuandre White run for 2 yds to the SCaro 14

2nd & 12Penalty+5 yds

PENALTY FLA Offside (Valentino,Antonio) 5 yards from USC14 to USC19. NO PLAY.

2nd & 7Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.72

Jason Brown pass complete to Traevon Kenion for 18 yds to the SCaro 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.64

Jason Brown pass complete to Nick Muse for 19 yds to the Fla 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Jason Brown pass incomplete to Nick Muse

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

White,Zaquandre rush for 1 yard loss to the FLA45 (Carter,Zachary) PENALTY FLA Face Mask (Carter,Zachary) 15 yards from FLA44 to FLA29, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

ZaQuandre White run for 4 yds to the Fla 25

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

ZaQuandre White run for 3 yds to the Fla 22

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Jason Brown pass incomplete to E.J. Jenkins

4th & 3Field Goal Good+40 yds

Parker White 40 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Emory Jones pass incomplete to Ja'Quavion Fraziars

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)0 ydsPPA -0.03

Emory Jones run for 1 yd Emory Jones fumbled, forced by Aaron Sterling, recovered by SCaro Jabari Ellis for a TD (Parker White KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Emory Jones run for 3 yds to the Fla 34

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.74

Malik Davis run for no gain to the Fla 34

0th & 7End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

ZaQuandre White run for 6 yds to the Fla 47

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.43

ZaQuandre White run for 5 yds to the Fla 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

ZaQuandre White run for 2 yds to the Fla 40

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Kevin Harris run for 2 yds to the Fla 38

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Jason Brown pass incomplete to Dakereon Joyner

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Kai Kroeger punt for 27 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Malik Davis run for 2 yds to the Fla 13

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Malik Davis run for 3 yds to the Fla 16

3rd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.18

Emory Jones run for no gain to the Fla 16

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 51 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SCaro 33

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Jason Brown pass incomplete to Josh Vann

2nd & 10Rush+54 ydsPPA +3.85

MarShawn Lloyd run for 40 yds to the SOCAROLINA 27 for a 1ST down FLORIDA Penalty, Personal Foul (Rashad Torrence II) to the Fla 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

MarShawn Lloyd run for 1 yd to the Fla 14

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Jason Brown pass incomplete to Josh Vann

3rd & 11Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY USC False Start (Gwyn,Jovaughn) 5 yards from FLA14 to FLA19. NO PLAY.

3rd & 16Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Jason Brown pass complete to Josh Vann for 2 yds to the Fla 21

4th & 18Field Goal Good+39 yds

Parker White 39 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY FLA False Start (Wells,Rick) 5 yards from FLA23 to FLA18. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.57

Emory Jones pass complete to Keon Zipperer for 9 yds to the Fla 27

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Dameon Pierce run for 4 yds to the Fla 31

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.46

Emory Jones run for 1 yd to the Fla 32

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.13

Dameon Pierce run for no gain to the Fla 32

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.27

Kevin Harris run for 13 yds to the Fla 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Kevin Harris run for 3 yds to the Fla 16

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Kevin Harris run for 5 yds to the Fla 11

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Kevin Harris run for 1 yd to the Fla 10

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.65

ZaQuandre White run for 2 yds to the Fla 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.32

Jason Brown pass complete to Jaheim Bell for 8 yds for a TD (Parker White KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Emory Jones pass complete to Marcus Burke for 12 yds to the Fla 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.44

Emory Jones pass complete to Ja'Quavion Fraziars for 16 yds to the SCaro 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Nay'Quan Wright run for 1 yd to the SCaro 46

2nd & 9Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.42

Emory Jones run for 10 yds to the SCaro 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.77

Emory Jones pass complete to Rick Wells for 9 yds to the SCaro 27

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.44

Dameon Pierce run for 3 yds to the SCaro 30

3rd & 4Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.07

Emory Jones pass complete to Keon Zipperer for 21 yds to the SCaro 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.42

Emory Jones pass complete to Rick Wells for 9 yds for a TD (Chris Howard KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Juju McDowell run for 3 yds to the SCaro 29

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.49

Juju McDowell run for 1 yd to the SCaro 30

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Jason Brown pass incomplete to Nick Muse

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Kai Kroeger punt for 41 yds , Xzavier Henderson returns for no gain to the Fla 25

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Emory Jones pass complete to Jacob Copeland for 7 yds to the Fla 32

2nd & 3Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.29

Emory Jones run for 14 yds to the Fla 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -2.82

Emory Jones pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Jason Brown pass incomplete to Xavier Legette

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

ZaQuandre White run for 5 yds to the SCaro 40

3rd & 5Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.80

Jason Brown sacked by Jeremiah Moon for a loss of 2 yards to the SCaro 38

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Kai Kroeger punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Xzavier Henderson at the Fla 23

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.92

Emory Jones sacked by Jordan Burch for a loss of 4 yards to the Fla 19

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Emory Jones pass incomplete to Marcus Burke

3rd & 14Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.11

Emory Jones sacked by Darius Rush for a loss of 9 yards to the Fla 10

4th & 23Punt0 yds

Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Josh Vann at the SCaro 44

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Kevin Harris run for 5 yds to the SCaro 49

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.78

Jason Brown run for 6 yds to the Fla 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +0.81

Kevin Harris run for 22 yds to the Fla 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Kevin Harris run for 4 yds to the Fla 19

2nd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.18

Kevin Harris run for 9 yds to the Fla 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Kevin Harris run for 5 yds to the Fla 5

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

MarShawn Lloyd run for 2 yds to the Fla 7

3rd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

MarShawn Lloyd run for 3 yds to the Fla 10

4th & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA -3.49

MarShawn Lloyd run for 6 yds to the Fla 4

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.69

Malik Davis run for 9 yds to the Fla 13

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.29

Malik Davis run for 4 yds to the Fla 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Emory Jones pass incomplete to Marcus Burke

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Emory Jones pass incomplete to Justin Shorter

3rd & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +2.48

Dameon Pierce run for 23 yds to the Fla 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Emory Jones pass incomplete to Marcus Burke

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.07

Dameon Pierce run for 9 yds to the Fla 49

Situational Analysis

Florida

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
39%
23 plays
100%
2 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
0%
3 plays
45%
11 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
40%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
0%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play

South Carolina

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
48%
29 plays
2nd
100%
2 plays
57%
7 plays
60%
10 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
0%
4 plays
0%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play