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← Back to GamesNov 6, 2021Week 10
LibertyLiberty
14
-Final
27
Ole MissOle Miss

House Prediction

Model Margin

Ole Miss by 2.2

Home Win Probability

Ole Miss 55%

Market (consensus)

Ole Miss -7.5

Edge: Liberty +7.5 (5.3 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 6, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
LibertyLiberty
0014014
Ole MissOle Miss
10143027

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-017-024-727-727-14
Ole MissLiberty

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20OMLIBOMLIBOMLIBOMLIBOMLIBOMLIBLIBOMLIBOMLIBOMOMLIBOMLIBOMTD275ydPUNT734ydPUNT512ydMISS1050ydFG554ydPUNT3-3ydTD458ydTO518ydDOWNS833ydTO959ydTD570ydEND519ydTD875ydFG954ydTD1173ydMISS751ydDOWNS734ydDOWNS60ydPUNT0-5ydPUNT830ydPUNT514ydTO962ydEND27yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Liberty and Ole Miss
StatisticLibertyOle Miss
Passing16-2620-27
Pass Yards173324
Rush Yards284142
Total Yards457466
Turnovers30
3rd Down4-122-9
Penalties6-599-79
Possession39:3520:25

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Liberty
passing
Malik Willis
16/25, 173 YDS, 3 INT
rushing
Shedro Louis
7 CAR, 101 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Demario Douglas
5 REC, 56 YDS
defense
Ole Miss
passing
Matt Corral
20/27, 324 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Jerrion Ealy
10 CAR, 115 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Dannis Jackson
6 REC, 126 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Matt Corral pass complete to Dannis Jackson for 5 yds to the Miss 30

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+70 ydsPPA +5.98

Jerrion Ealy run for 70 yds for a TD, (Caden Costa KICK)

1st & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.20

Malik Willis sacked by Tysheem Johnson for a loss of 9 yards to the Liber 16

2nd & 19Penalty+15 yds

OLE MISS Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Deantre Prince) to the Liber 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.19

Malik Willis pass complete to Demario Douglas for 25 yds to the Miss 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Joshua Mack run for 2 yds to the Miss 42

2nd & 8Penalty+5 yds

OLE MISS Penalty, Defensive Offside (Jake Springer) to the Miss 37

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.01

Joshua Mack run for 4 yds to the Miss 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Joshua Mack run for 3 yds to the Miss 30

2nd & 7Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.72

Malik Willis sacked by Chance Campbell and Otis Reese for a loss of 5 yards to the Miss 35

3rd & 12Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.19

Malik Willis sacked by Cedric Johnson for a loss of 1 yard to the Miss 36

4th & 13Penalty-5 yds

LIBERTY Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Miss 41

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Aidan Alves punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Jake Springer at the Miss 13

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.64

Matt Corral pass complete to Jerrion Ealy for 8 yds to the Miss 21

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Jerrion Ealy run for 3 yds to the Miss 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.56

Jerrion Ealy run for 1 yd to the Miss 25

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Matt Corral pass incomplete to Dannis Jackson

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Matt Corral pass incomplete to Dannis Jackson

4th & 9Punt+2 yds

Mac Brown punt for 47 yds , DJ Stubbs returns for 2 yds to the Liber 30

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.35

Malik Willis run for 9 yds to the Liber 39

2nd & 1Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.99

Joshua Mack run for 18 yds to the Miss 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Joshua Mack run for 7 yds to the Miss 36

2nd & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.08

Malik Willis pass complete to Demario Douglas for 7 yds to the Miss 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.35

Malik Willis run for 7 yds to the Miss 22

2nd & 3Rush+10 ydsPPA -0.09

Joshua Mack run for 10 yds to the Miss 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.30

Joshua Mack run for no gain to the Miss 12

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Malik Willis pass incomplete to DJ Stubbs

3rd & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.93

Malik Willis sacked by Chance Campbell and Otis Reese for a loss of 8 yards to the Miss 20

4th & 18Field Goal Missed+38 yds

Brayden Beck 38 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+50 ydsPPA +3.57

Matt Corral pass complete to Dannis Jackson for 50 yds to the Liber 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Henry Parrish Jr. run for 6 yds to the Liber 24

2nd & 4Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.86

Henry Parrish Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the Liber 26

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Matt Corral pass incomplete to Braylon Sanders

4th & 6Field Goal Good+43 yds

Caden Costa 43 yd FG GOOD

4th & 6Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Caden Costa kickoff for 61 yds , Shedro Louis return for 19 yds to the Liber 23

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Malik Willis run for 3 yds to the Liber 26

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Malik Willis run for 1 yd to the Liber 27

3rd & 6Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.44

Malik Willis sacked by Sam Williams for a loss of 7 yards to the Liber 20

4th & 13Punt+6 yds

Max Morgan punt for 44 yds , Jake Springer returns for 6 yds to the Miss 42

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.88

Matt Corral pass complete to Dannis Jackson for 10 yds to the Liber 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Matt Corral pass incomplete to Dannis Jackson

2nd & 10Pass Reception+44 ydsPPA +3.07

Matt Corral pass complete to Braylon Sanders for 44 yds to the Liber 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Jerrion Ealy run for 4 yds for a TD, (Caden Costa KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Malik Willis pass incomplete to Johnny Huntley

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.83

Malik Willis pass complete to DJ Stubbs for 13 yds to the Liber 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Malik Willis run for 2 yds to the Liber 40

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Malik Willis run for 3 yds to the Liber 43

3rd & 5Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -1.02

Malik Willis pass intercepted Jaylon Jones return for no gain to the Liber 49

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Matt Corral run for 5 yds to the Liber 44

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -1.12

Snoop Conner run for no gain to the Liber 44

3rd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.69

Matt Corral pass complete to Dannis Jackson for 6 yds to the Liber 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +0.50

Matt Corral pass complete to Braylon Sanders for 20 yds to the Liber 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.43

Snoop Conner run for a loss of 1 yard to the Liber 19

2nd & 11Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.05

John Rhys Plumlee run for a loss of 4 yards to the Liber 23

3rd & 15Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.36

Snoop Conner run for 7 yds to the Liber 16

4th & 8Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -3.28

Matt Corral pass complete to Snoop Conner for no gain to the Liber 16

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.89

Joshua Mack run for 14 yds to the Liber 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.03

Malik Willis run for 11 yds to the Liber 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Malik Willis pass incomplete to Demario Douglas

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.08

Malik Willis pass complete to Kevin Shaa for 9 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Joshua Mack run for no gain to the 50 yard line

4th & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Joshua Mack run for 4 yds to the Miss 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +0.84

Joshua Mack run for 21 yds to the Miss 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.45

Malik Willis pass complete to Joshua Mack for no gain to the Miss 25

2nd & 10Pass Interception Return+19 ydsPPA -3.85

Malik Willis pass intercepted AJ Finley return for 19 yds to the Miss 30

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.94

Jerrion Ealy run for 10 yds to the Miss 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.92

Jerrion Ealy run for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Matt Corral run for 5 yds to the Liber 45

2nd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.55

Matt Corral pass complete to John Rhys Plumlee for 5 yds to the Liber 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+40 ydsPPA +3.19

Matt Corral pass complete to Dannis Jackson for 40 yds for a TD, (Caden Costa KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Caden Costa kickoff for 63 yds , Shedro Louis return for 19 yds to the Liber 21

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.91

Malik Willis sacked by Chance Campbell for a loss of 6 yards to the Liber 15

2nd & 16Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.90

Shedro Louis run for 15 yds to the Liber 30

3rd & 1Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.87

Shedro Louis run for 13 yds to the Liber 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Malik Willis pass complete to Johnny Huntley for 5 yds to the Liber 48

2nd & 5Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.47

Malik Willis sacked by Tavius Robinson for a loss of 8 yards to the Liber 40

0th & 5End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Caden Costa kickoff for 58 yds , Shedro Louis return for 18 yds to the Liber 25 Shedro Louis fumbled, recovered by Liber Shedro Louis

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Joshua Mack run for 7 yds to the Liber 32

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Joshua Mack run for 1 yd to the Liber 33

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Malik Willis run for 1 yd to the Liber 34

4th & 1Penalty+5 yds

OLE MISS Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Liber 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.09

Malik Willis pass complete to Kevin Shaa for 12 yds to the Miss 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.10

Joshua Mack run for no gain to the Miss 49

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.92

Malik Willis pass complete to Shedro Louis for 15 yds to the Miss 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Shedro Louis run for 6 yds to the Miss 28

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+28 ydsPPA +2.71

Shedro Louis run for 28 yds for a TD, (Brayden Beck KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Matt Corral pass complete to Jerrion Ealy for 8 yds to the Miss 33

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.02

Jerrion Ealy run for 3 yds to the Miss 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+14 yds

LIBERTY Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Cedric Stone) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.84

Jerrion Ealy run for 8 yds to the Liber 42

2nd & 2Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA -0.05

Matt Corral pass complete to John Rhys Plumlee for 5 yds to the Liber 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.40

Matt Corral pass complete to John Rhys Plumlee for 15 yds to the Liber 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

OLE MISS Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (Dannis Jackson) to the Liber 37

1st & 25Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Henry Parrish Jr. run for 3 yds to the Liber 34

2nd & 22Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Matt Corral run for 6 yds to the Liber 28

3rd & 16Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.44

Matt Corral run for 7 yds to the Liber 21

4th & 9Field Goal Good+38 yds

Caden Costa 38 yd FG GOOD

4th & 9Kickoff Return (Offense)+8 yds

Caden Costa kickoff for 46 yds , Cedric Stone return for 8 yds to the Liber 27

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.08

Malik Willis run for 12 yds to the Liber 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.11

Joshua Mack run for no gain to the Liber 39

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.52

Malik Willis run for 7 yds to the Liber 46

3rd & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.83

Malik Willis pass complete to CJ Daniels for 7 yds to the Miss 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

LIBERTY Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (Noah Frith) to the Liber 38

1st & 25Penalty-5 yds

LIBERTY Penalty, False Start (Brendan Schlittler) to the Liber 33

1st & 30Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.08

Shedro Louis run for 14 yds to the Liber 47

2nd & 16Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.90

Malik Willis pass complete to Kevin Shaa for 9 yds to the Miss 44

3rd & 7Rush+30 ydsPPA +2.52

T.J. Green run for 16 yds to the Miss 28 for a 1ST down OLE MISS Penalty, Face Mask (14 yards) (Sam Williams) to the Miss 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Malik Willis run for 5 yds to the Miss 9

2nd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.54

Malik Willis run for 8 yds to the Miss 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.27

Joshua Mack run for a loss of 2 yards to the Miss 3

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Malik Willis run for 3 yds for a TD, (Brayden Beck KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Snoop Conner run for 3 yds to the Miss 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.91

Matt Corral pass complete to Dannis Jackson for 15 yds to the Miss 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +1.77

Matt Corral pass complete to John Rhys Plumlee for 32 yds to the Liber 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Snoop Conner run for 3 yds to the Liber 22

2nd & 7Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.77

Matt Corral pass complete to Jerrion Ealy for a loss of 2 yards to the Liber 24

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Matt Corral pass incomplete to John Rhys Plumlee

4th & 9Field Goal Missed+41 yds

Caden Costa 41 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.00

Malik Willis run for 12 yds to the Liber 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Malik Willis pass complete to Demario Douglas for 7 yds to the Liber 43

2nd & 3Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.75

Shedro Louis run for 9 yds to the Miss 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Joshua Mack run for no gain to the Miss 48

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Joshua Mack run for 6 yds to the Miss 42

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Malik Willis pass incomplete to DJ Stubbs

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.45

Malik Willis pass incomplete to Noah Frith

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.32

Matt Corral sacked by Storey Jackson for a loss of 8 yards to the Miss 34

2nd & 18Penalty-5 yds

OLE MISS Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Miss 29

2nd & 23Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.56

Matt Corral pass complete to John Rhys Plumlee for 22 yds to the Liber 49

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

OLE MISS Penalty, False Start (Dannis Jackson) to the Miss 46

3rd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.44

Matt Corral pass complete to Jerrion Ealy for 10 yds to the Liber 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Jerrion Ealy run for 3 yds to the Liber 41

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Matt Corral pass incomplete to Jahcour Pearson

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Matt Corral pass incomplete

4th & 7Penalty-5 yds

OLE MISS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Liber 46

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Mac Brown punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Liber 18

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.80

Malik Willis pass complete to Demario Douglas for 12 yds to the Liber 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Joshua Mack run for 3 yds to the Liber 33

2nd & 7Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.21

Malik Willis run for 17 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

LIBERTY Penalty, Offensive Holding (Damian Bounds) to the Liber 40

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Malik Willis pass incomplete to Shedro Louis

2nd & 20Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +3.60

Malik Willis pass complete to Brody Brumm for 21 yds to the Miss 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.52

Malik Willis sacked by Cedric Johnson for a loss of 8 yards to the Miss 47

2nd & 18Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.05

T.J. Green run for a loss of 2 yards to the Miss 49

3rd & 20Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.50

Malik Willis sacked by Sam Williams and TEAM for a loss of 3 yards to the Liber 48 Malik Willis fumbled, forced by Sam Williams, recovered by Liber

4th & 23Punt0 yds

Max Morgan punt for 52 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.43

Matt Corral pass complete to John Rhys Plumlee for 18 yds to the Miss 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.19

Matt Corral pass complete to John Rhys Plumlee for 13 yds to the Liber 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

OLE MISS Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Miss 41

1st & 20Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Jerrion Ealy run for 3 yds to the Miss 44

2nd & 17Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.83

John Rhys Plumlee run for a loss of 4 yards to the Miss 40

3rd & 21Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.24

Matt Corral sacked by Storey Jackson for a loss of 6 yards to the Miss 34

4th & 27Punt0 yds

Mac Brown punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Demario Douglas at the Liber 22

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.94

Malik Willis run for 12 yds to the Liber 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

LIBERTY Penalty, Offensive Holding (Thomas Sargeant) to the Liber 24

1st & 20Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.00

Shedro Louis run for 16 yds to the Liber 40

2nd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.85

Malik Willis run for 7 yds to the Liber 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Malik Willis pass complete to Brody Brumm for 6 yds to the Miss 47

2nd & 4Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +0.99

Malik Willis pass complete to Johnny Huntley for 20 yds to the Miss 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Malik Willis run for 6 yds to the Miss 21

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Johnathan Bennett pass incomplete to Demario Douglas

3rd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.49

Malik Willis pass complete to Demario Douglas for 5 yds to the Miss 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -4.43

Malik Willis pass intercepted, touchback. AJ Finley return for no gain

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Snoop Conner run for 3 yds to the Miss 23

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Snoop Conner run for 4 yds to the Miss 27

Situational Analysis

Liberty

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
54%
35 plays
67%
3 plays
2nd
71%
7 plays
67%
6 plays
55%
11 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play

Ole Miss

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
68%
25 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
33%
6 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
0%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play