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← Back to GamesNov 6, 2021Week 10
LSULSU
14
-Final
20
AlabamaAlabama
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Alabama by 23.3

Home Win Probability

Alabama 92%

Market (consensus)

Alabama -29

Edge: LSU +29 (5.7 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 6, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
LSULSU
707014
AlabamaAlabama
0146020

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-77-720-720-14
AlabamaLSU

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ALALSUALALSUALALSUALALSUALALSUALALSULSUALALSUALALSUALALSUALALSUALALSUALALSUMISS843ydTD868ydPUNT39ydPUNT3-12ydPUNT5-7ydPUNT33ydDOWNS930ydPUNT613ydTD1277ydTO36ydTD539ydEND2-3ydTO430ydTD258ydPUNT34ydPUNT31ydTD1489ydPUNT3-5ydPUNT3-8ydPUNT38ydDOWNS1474ydTO835ydDOWNS41ydPUNT3-5ydEND632yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing LSU and Alabama
StatisticLSUAlabama
Passing17-3324-37
Pass Yards186302
Rush Yards1096
Total Yards295308
Turnovers21
3rd Down5-184-13
Penalties6-309-64
Possession31:1628:44

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

LSU
passing
Max Johnson
16/32, 160 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Tyrion Davis-Price
23 CAR, 104 YDS
receiving
Jaray Jenkins
4 REC, 54 YDS
defense
Damone Clark
2 TFL, 1 PD
Alabama
passing
Bryce Young
24/37, 302 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Brian Robinson Jr.
13 CAR, 18 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jameson Williams
10 REC, 160 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Bryce Young pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 2 yds to the Alab 27

3rd & 8Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +3.09

Bryce Young pass complete to John Metchie III for 22 yds to the Alab 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.73

Bryce Young pass complete to Jameson Williams for 11 yds to the LSU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.64

Bryce Young pass complete to Jameson Williams for 8 yds to the LSU 32

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Bryce Young pass incomplete

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Bryce Young pass incomplete to John Metchie III

4th & 2Field Goal Missed+49 yds

Will Reichard 49 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.96

Max Johnson pass complete to Jack Bech for 10 yds to the LSU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Tyrion Davis-Price run for 3 yds to the LSU 45

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

LSU Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the LSU 40

2nd & 12Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.70

Tyrion Davis-Price run for 8 yds to the LSU 48

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Max Johnson pass incomplete

4th & 4Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +3.63

Avery Atkins pass complete to Jack Mashburn for 26 yds to the Alab 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

ALABAMA Penalty, Defensive Holding (Malachi Moore) to the Alab 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Tyrion Davis-Price run for 3 yds to the Alab 13

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Tyrion Davis-Price run for 5 yds to the Alab 8

3rd & 2Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.61

Max Johnson pass complete to Brian Thomas Jr. for 8 yds for a TD, (Cade York KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 4 yds to the Alab 32

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Bryce Young pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Bryce Young pass complete to John Metchie III for 5 yds to the Alab 37

4th & 1Punt0 yds

James Burnip punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Trey Palmer at the LSU 16

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.62

Max Johnson sacked by Christian Harris for a loss of 3 yards to the LSU 13

2nd & 13Sack-14 yds

Max Johnson sacked by TEAM for a loss of 7 yards to the LSU 6 LSU Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Max Johnson) to the LSU 6

3rd & 20Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.00

Tyrion Davis-Price run for 5 yds to the LSU 11

4th & 15Punt+16 yds

Avery Atkins punt for 53 yds , JoJo Earle returns for 16 yds to the LSU 48

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.31

Brian Robinson Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 49

2nd & 11Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.06

Bryce Young pass complete to Cameron Latu for 15 yds to the LSU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 1 yd to the LSU 33

2nd & 9Fumble Recovery (Own)0 ydsPPA -0.84

Bryce Young pass complete to Jameson Williams for no gain Jameson Williams fumbled, forced by Dwight McGlothern, recovered by Alab

3rd & 9Penalty-5 yds

ALABAMA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the LSU 38

3rd & 14Sack-12 ydsPPA -1.89

Bryce Young sacked by Mike Jones Jr. for a loss of 12 yards to the 50 yard line

4th & 26Penalty-5 yds

ALABAMA Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the Alab 45

4th & 31Punt0 yds

James Burnip punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LSU 20

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Corey Kiner run for 4 yds to the LSU 24

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.58

Corey Kiner run for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 23

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Max Johnson pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt-2 yds

Avery Atkins punt for 44 yds , JoJo Earle returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Alab 31

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Bryce Young pass incomplete to Jameson Williams

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Bryce Young pass incomplete to Jameson Williams

3rd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.52

Bryce Young run for 12 yds to the Alab 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

ALABAMA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Alab 38

1st & 15Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.50

Bryce Young pass complete to John Metchie III for 14 yds to the LSU 48

2nd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 1 yd to the LSU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)0 ydsPPA -1.05

Bryce Young run for no gain to the LSU 47 Bryce Young fumbled, recovered by Alab Bryce Young

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.79

Bryce Young pass complete to Jameson Williams for 8 yds to the LSU 39

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.12

Slade Bolden run for no gain to the LSU 39

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.00

Bryce Young pass incomplete to John Metchie III

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Tyrion Davis-Price run for 1 yd to the LSU 40

2nd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.84

Tyrion Davis-Price run for 8 yds to the LSU 48

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.23

Tyrion Davis-Price run for 4 yds to the Alab 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Max Johnson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.72

Tyrion Davis-Price run for a loss of 4 yards to the LSU 48

3rd & 14Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Max Johnson pass complete to Brian Thomas Jr. for 4 yds to the Alab 48

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Avery Atkins punt for 25 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Alab 23

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.57

Bryce Young pass complete to John Metchie III for 7 yds to the Alab 30

2nd & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.39

Bryce Young pass complete to John Metchie III for 5 yds to the Alab 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Roydell Williams run for 7 yds to the Alab 42

2nd & 3Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.69

Bryce Young pass complete to John Metchie III for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Roydell Williams run for 2 yds to the LSU 48

2nd & 8Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.79

Bryce Young pass complete to Roydell Williams for 24 yds to the LSU 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Bryce Young pass incomplete to John Metchie III

2nd & 10Penalty-10 yds

ALABAMA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Cameron Latu) to the LSU 34

2nd & 20Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.10

Bryce Young pass complete to Jameson Williams for 21 yds to the LSU 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Bryce Young pass complete to John Metchie III for 4 yds to the LSU 9

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 5 yds to the LSU 4

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.27

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 2 yds to the LSU 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 2 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Brian Thomas Jr. run for 5 yds to the LSU 30

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.63

Tyrion Davis-Price run for 1 yd to the LSU 31

3rd & 4Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.39

Max Johnson pass intercepted Jalyn Armour-Davis return for no gain to the LSU 39

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.44

Bryce Young pass complete to Jameson Williams for 14 yds to the LSU 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.38

Bryce Young pass complete to Jameson Williams for 17 yds to the LSU 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Bryce Young pass incomplete

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Bryce Young pass incomplete

3rd & 8Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.95

Bryce Young pass complete to John Metchie III for 8 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK)

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.15

Max Johnson sacked by Will Anderson Jr. for a loss of 7 yards to the LSU 18

2nd & 17Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Tyrion Davis-Price run for 4 yds to the LSU 22

0th & 17End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.91

Tyrion Davis-Price run for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 27

2nd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Tyrion Davis-Price run for 4 yds to the LSU 31

3rd & 7Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.74

Max Johnson pass complete to Jaray Jenkins for 16 yds to the LSU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+11 ydsPPA -2.90

Tyrion Davis-Price run for 11 yds to the Alab 42 Tyrion Davis-Price fumbled, forced by Henry To'oTo'o, recovered by Alab Phidarian Mathis

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Bryce Young pass incomplete

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+58 ydsPPA +5.71

Bryce Young pass complete to Jameson Williams for 58 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

ALABAMA Penalty, Delay of Game (5 Yards) to the LSU 31

1st & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.35

Max Johnson pass incomplete

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.65

Corey Kiner run for 1 yd to the LSU 32

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Max Johnson run for 3 yds to the LSU 35

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

LSU Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the LSU 30

4th & 6Punt+17 yds

Avery Atkins punt for 41 yds , JoJo Earle returns for 17 yds to the Alab 46

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Jameson Williams run for 1 yd to the Alab 47

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Brian Robinson Jr. run for no gain to the Alab 47

3rd & 9Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.65

Bryce Young pass complete to John Metchie III for no gain to the Alab 47

4th & 9Punt0 yds

James Burnip punt for 42 yds, downed at the LSU 11

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Max Johnson run for 5 yds to the LSU 16

2nd & 5Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.36

Armoni Goodwin run for 3 yds to the LSU 19 for a 1ST down ALABAMA Penalty, Personal Foul (Phidarian Mathis) to the LSU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Armoni Goodwin run for 2 yds to the LSU 36

2nd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Max Johnson pass complete to Jack Bech for 4 yds to the LSU 40

3rd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Max Johnson pass complete to Armoni Goodwin for 3 yds to the LSU 43

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +2.10

Tyrion Davis-Price run for 2 yds to the LSU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Max Johnson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Max Johnson run for 6 yds to the Alab 49

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Armoni Goodwin run for 3 yds to the Alab 46

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +2.11

Tyrion Davis-Price run for 2 yds to the Alab 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +0.79

Max Johnson pass complete to Trey Palmer for 34 yds to the Alab 10 for a 1ST down LSU Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jontre Kirklin) to the Alab 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Tyrion Davis-Price run for 1 yd to the Alab 19

2nd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.59

Max Johnson pass complete to Trey Palmer for 2 yds to the Alab 17 for a 1ST down ALABAMA Penalty, Personal Foul (Jordan Battle) to the Alab 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.32

Max Johnson pass complete to Jack Bech for 8 yds for a TD, (Cade York KICK)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Brian Robinson Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the Alab 23

2nd & 12Sack-11 ydsPPA -0.42

Bryce Young sacked by Neil Farrell Jr. for a loss of 11 yards to the Alab 12

3rd & 23Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.02

Bryce Young pass complete to Brian Robinson Jr. for 8 yds to the Alab 20

4th & 15Punt0 yds

James Burnip punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Trey Palmer at the LSU 40

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.12

Max Johnson pass complete to Jack Bech for no gain to the LSU 40

2nd & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.05

Max Johnson sacked by Dallas Turner for a loss of 3 yards to the LSU 37

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Max Johnson pass incomplete

4th & 13Penalty-5 yds

LSU Penalty, False Start (Jontre Kirklin) to the LSU 32

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Avery Atkins punt for 38 yds, fair catch by JoJo Earle at the Alab 30

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.67

Bryce Young pass complete to Slade Bolden for 7 yds to the Alab 37

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Bryce Young pass incomplete

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.55

Bryce Young run for 1 yd to the Alab 38

4th & 2Punt0 yds

James Burnip punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Trey Palmer at the LSU 19

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

LSU Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (-5 Yards) to the LSU 14

1st & 15Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.34

Max Johnson pass complete to Jaray Jenkins for 13 yds to the LSU 27

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Max Johnson pass incomplete

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.99

Tyrion Davis-Price run for 4 yds to the LSU 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Tyrion Davis-Price run for 3 yds to the LSU 34

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.62

Tyrion Davis-Price run for 1 yd to the LSU 35

3rd & 6Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.41

Max Johnson pass complete to Jack Bech for 11 yds to the LSU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Max Johnson pass complete to Jontre Kirklin for 6 yds to the Alab 48

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Corey Kiner run for 3 yds to the Alab 45

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.20

Corey Kiner run for no gain to the Alab 45

4th & 1Rush+37 ydsPPA +3.11

Tyrion Davis-Price run for 37 yds to the Alab 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Tyrion Davis-Price run for 1 yd to the Alab 7

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Max Johnson pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Max Johnson pass incomplete

4th & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.79

Max Johnson pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Bryce Young pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.91

Bryce Young pass complete to Slade Bolden for 15 yds to the Alab 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.56

Bryce Young pass complete to Jameson Williams for 7 yds to the Alab 29

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.29

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 4 yds to the Alab 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.51

Bryce Young pass complete to Jameson Williams for 16 yds to the Alab 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.86

Bryce Young sacked by TEAM for a loss of 10 yards to the Alab 39 ALABAMA Penalty, Intentional Grounding ( Yards) to the Alab 39

2nd & 20Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.80

Bryce Young run for 15 yds to the LSU 46

3rd & 5Sack-12 ydsPPA -2.22

Bryce Young sacked by Cameron Lewis for a loss of 12 yards to the Alab 42 Bryce Young fumbled, forced by Cameron Lewis, recovered by LSU Jaquelin Roy , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.70

Tyrion Davis-Price run for 1 yd to the Alab 41

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Max Johnson pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Max Johnson pass incomplete

4th & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Max Johnson pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 2 yds to the Alab 43

2nd & 8Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.24

Brian Robinson Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the Alab 41

3rd & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.66

Bryce Young run for a loss of 5 yards to the Alab 36

4th & 15Punt+5 yds

James Burnip punt for 31 yds , Trey Palmer returns for 5 yds to the LSU 38

1st & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.12

Max Johnson sacked by Dallas Turner for a loss of 9 yards to the LSU 29

2nd & 19Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.46

Max Johnson pass complete to Jaray Jenkins for 10 yds to the LSU 39

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Max Johnson pass incomplete

4th & 9Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +3.57

Max Johnson pass complete to Brian Thomas Jr. for 16 yds to the Alab 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.66

Max Johnson pass complete to Jaray Jenkins for 15 yds to the Alab 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Max Johnson pass incomplete

Situational Analysis

LSU

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
28%
25 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
0%
1 play
20%
5 plays
40%
10 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
17%
6 plays
20%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
100%
3 plays
100%
1 play
33%
3 plays

Alabama

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
36%
25 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
50%
6 plays
50%
2 plays
40%
10 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
25%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
60%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play