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← Back to GamesOct 30, 2021Week 9
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Missouri by 9.4

Home Win Probability

Vanderbilt 26%

Market (consensus)

Vanderbilt +16

Edge: Vanderbilt +16 (6.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 30, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
MissouriMissouri
10771337
VanderbiltVanderbilt
777728

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-30-96-1013-1014-1614-2321-2721-3028-36
VanderbiltMissouri

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MISVANMISVANMISVANMISVANMISVANMISVANMISVANMISVANMISVANMISVANMISVANMISVANMISFG849ydPUNT34ydTD859ydPUNT32ydTO2-4ydTD387ydPUNT626ydTD1384ydPUNT712ydPUNT627ydPUNT34ydDOWNS726ydTD361ydPUNT515ydPUNT613ydPUNT34ydTD759ydTD475ydFG860ydPUNT36ydFG1141ydTD1075ydTD275ydTO55ydEND48yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Missouri and Vanderbilt
StatisticMissouriVanderbilt
Passing22-2814-28
Pass Yards218122
Rush Yards284258
Total Yards502380
Turnovers11
3rd Down4-124-12
Penalties9-1005-31
Possession33:4526:15

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Missouri
passing
Connor Bazelak
22/28, 218 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Tyler Badie
31 CAR, 254 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Keke Chism
4 REC, 95 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Vanderbilt
passing
Mike Wright
14/28, 122 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Mike Wright
14 CAR, 152 YDS
receiving
Chris Pierce
4 REC, 54 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Tauskie Dove for 4 yds to the Misso 26

2nd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.13

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Barrett Banister for 9 yds to the Misso 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Tyler Badie run for 6 yds to the Misso 41

2nd & 4Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +1.91

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Keke Chism for 25 yds to the Vandy 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Tyler Badie run for 1 yd to the Vandy 33

2nd & 9Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.05

Tyler Badie run for a loss of 1 yard to the Vandy 34

3rd & 10Penalty+5 yds

VANDERBILT Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the Vandy 29

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete

4th & 5Field Goal Good+46 yds

Harrison Mevis 46 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Patrick Smith run for 5 yds to the Vandy 30

2nd & 5Sack0 ydsPPA -0.75

Mike Wright sacked by Chad Bailey for 0 yards to the Vandy 29

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Mike Wright pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Harrison Smith punt for 30 yds

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Tyler Badie run for 5 yds to the Misso 46

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.94

Tyler Badie run for 7 yds to the Vandy 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.60

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Tyler Badie for 11 yds to the Vandy 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.31

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Tyler Badie for 11 yds to the Vandy 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Tyler Badie run for 2 yds to the Vandy 23

2nd & 8Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Tyler Badie for 3 yds to the Vandy 20

3rd & 5Penalty+6 yds

BAZELAK, Connor pass to the right incomplete intended for BANISTER, Barrett broken up by JEUDY, Gabe at the VAN14. PENALTY VAN Pass Interference on JEUDY, Gabe enforced at the spot of the foul for 6 yards to the VAN14 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Tyler Badie run for 1 yd to the Vandy 13

2nd & 9Rushing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.79

Tyler Badie run for 13 yds for a TD (Harrison Mevis KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Patrick Smith run for no gain to the Vandy 25

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Patrick Smith run for 2 yds to the Vandy 27

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Mike Wright pass incomplete

4th & 8Blocked Punt0 yds

punt blocked by blocked by

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.62

Connor Bazelak run for a loss of 4 yards to the Vandy 19

2nd & 14Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.82

Connor Bazelak pass intercepted return for no gain to the Vandy 13

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.55

Patrick Smith run for 11 yds to the Vandy 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+69 ydsPPA +3.95

Mike Wright run for 69 yds to the Misso 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Mike Wright pass complete to Cam Johnson for 7 yds for a TD (Joseph Bulovas KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.51

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Tyler Badie for no gain to the Misso 18

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.12

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Barrett Banister for 6 yds to the Misso 24

3rd & 4Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.11

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Keke Chism for 16 yds to the Misso 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Tyler Badie run for 4 yds to the Misso 44

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Grant McKinniss punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Cam Johnson at the Vandy 16

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Mike Wright run for 1 yd to the Vandy 17

2nd & 9Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.36

Mike Wright pass complete to Patrick Smith for 14 yds to the Vandy 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Mike Wright run for 4 yds to the Vandy 35

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.19

Patrick Smith run for 7 yds to the Vandy 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.99

Patrick Smith run for 8 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 2Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.38

James Ziglor III run for 10 yds to the Misso 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

Mike Wright run for no gain to the Misso 40

2nd & 10Sack0 ydsPPA -1.03

Mike Wright sacked by Trajan Jeffcoat and Kobie Whiteside for 0 yards to the Misso 42

3rd & 12Rush+19 ydsPPA +2.83

Patrick Smith run for 19 yds to the Misso 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.47

Patrick Smith run for 8 yds to the Misso 15

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

James Ziglor III run for 1 yd to the Misso 14

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.11

James Ziglor III run for 4 yds to the Misso 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.51

Patrick Smith run for 10 yds for a TD (Joseph Bulovas KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Tyler Badie run for 2 yds to the Misso 27

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.40

Tyler Badie run for 1 yd to the Misso 28

3rd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.79

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Barrett Banister for 8 yds to the Misso 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

MISSOURI Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (-15 Yards) to the Misso 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Tyler Badie run for 1 yd to the Misso 34

2nd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Barrett Banister for 3 yds to the Misso 37

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Grant McKinniss punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Cam Johnson at the Vandy 30

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

MISSOURI Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Akial Byers) to the Vandy 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.14

Mike Wright pass complete to Patrick Smith for no gain to the Vandy 48

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.15

Mike Wright run for a loss of 1 yard to the Vandy 47

3rd & 11Penalty+10 yds

WRIGHT, Mike pass to the right incomplete intended for BRESNAHAN, Ben broken up by MANUEL, Martez at the MIZ44. PENALTY MIZ Holding on MANUEL, Martez enforced 10 yards from the VAN47 to the MIZ43 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.39

Patrick Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the Misso 45

2nd & 12Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.61

Patrick Smith run for 2 yds to the Misso 43

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Mike Wright pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Harrison Smith punt for 43 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Tyler Badie for 3 yds to the Misso 23

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Tyler Badie run for 4 yds to the Misso 27

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Connor Bazelak run for 2 yds to the Misso 29

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

MISSOURI Penalty, False Start (Kris Abrams-Draine) to the Misso 24

4th & 6Punt+1 yds

Grant McKinniss punt for 42 yds , Cam Johnson returns for 1 yd to the Vandy 35

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Mike Wright pass complete to Patrick Smith for 6 yds to the Vandy 41

2nd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.66

Mike Wright pass complete to Chris Pierce Jr. for 5 yds to the Vandy 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.13

Mike Wright pass complete to Chris Pierce Jr. for 17 yds to the Misso 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Mike Wright pass complete to Cam Johnson for 3 yds to the Misso 34

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Mike Wright pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Mike Wright pass incomplete

4th & 7Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.84

Joseph Bulovas run for a loss of 5 yards to the Misso 39

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.93

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Barrett Banister for 10 yds to the Misso 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Tyler Badie for 6 yds to the Vandy 45

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+45 ydsPPA +3.57

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Keke Chism for 45 yds for a TD (Harrison Mevis KICK)

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Mike Wright run for 3 yds to the Vandy 28

2nd & 7Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.91

Patrick Smith run for 15 yds to the Vandy 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.16

Mike Wright pass complete to Patrick Smith for no gain to the Vandy 43

2nd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.20

Patrick Smith run for a loss of 3 yards to the Vandy 40

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Mike Wright pass incomplete

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Harrison Smith punt for 24 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Barrett Banister for 6 yds to the Misso 42

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.46

Tyler Badie run for 3 yds to the Misso 45

3rd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.52

Connor Bazelak run for 7 yds to the Vandy 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Tyler Badie run for 4 yds to the Vandy 44

2nd & 6Penalty-10 yds

BADIE, Tyler rush up the middle for a gain of 5 yards to the VAN39 (ORJI, Anfernee;JERKINS, Dashaun). PENALTY MIZ Holding on MAIETTI, Michael enforced 10 yards from the VAN44 to the MIZ46 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 16Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Tyler Badie for 3 yds to the Misso 49

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Grant McKinniss punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Cam Johnson at the Vandy 15

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Patrick Smith run for 4 yds to the Vandy 19

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Mike Wright pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Mike Wright pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Harrison Smith punt for 40 yds, downed at the Misso 41

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.32

Tyler Badie run for 9 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 1Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.04

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Tauskie Dove for 8 yds to the Vandy 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Tyler Badie run for 3 yds to the Vandy 39

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.99

Tyler Badie run for no gain to the Vandy 39

3rd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Tyler Badie run for 5 yds to the Vandy 34

4th & 2Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.95

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Tauskie Dove for 19 yds to the Vandy 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.56

Tyler Badie run for 15 yds for a TD (Harrison Mevis KICK)

1st & 10Rush+70 ydsPPA +4.19

Mike Wright run for 70 yds to the Misso 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.79

James Ziglor III run for a loss of 3 yards to the Misso 8

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

James Ziglor III run for 4 yds to the Misso 4

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.70

Mike Wright pass complete to Gavin Schoenwald for 4 yds for a TD (Joseph Bulovas KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Tyler Badie run for 7 yds to the Misso 32

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.42

Tyler Badie run for 5 yds to the Misso 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+45 ydsPPA +2.46

Tyler Badie run for 45 yds to the Vandy 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Tyler Badie run for no gain to the Vandy 18

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.30

Michael Cox run for 18 yds MISSOURI Penalty, Illegal Block (Tauskie Dove) to the Vandy 21

2nd & 13Penalty-10 yds

COX, Michael rush up the middle for a gain of 6 yards to the VAN15 (WORSHIP, Max;DAVIS, Daevion). PENALTY MIZ Holding on PARKER, Daniel enforced 10 yards from the VAN21 to the VAN31 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 23Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.33

Tyler Badie run for 13 yds to the Vandy 18

3rd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Tyler Badie for 3 yds to the Vandy 15

4th & 7Field Goal Good+32 yds

Harrison Mevis 32 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Patrick Smith run for 7 yds to the Vandy 32

2nd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.14

Patrick Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the Vandy 31

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Mike Wright pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Harrison Smith punt for 45 yds, downed at the Misso 24

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Michael Cox run for 5 yds to the Misso 29

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.72

Michael Cox run for no gain to the Misso 29

3rd & 5Penalty+5 yds

VANDERBILT Penalty, Offsides (Daevion Davis) to the Misso 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Keke Chism for 9 yds to the Misso 43

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.03

Tyler Badie run for 6 yds to the Misso 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.36

Tyler Badie run for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 48

2nd & 11Rush0 ydsPPA -0.94

Tyler Badie run for no gain to the Misso 48

3rd & 11Penalty+5 yds

VANDERBILT Penalty, Delay Of Game (Anfernee Orji) to the Vandy 47

3rd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.17

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Tauskie Dove for 10 yds to the Vandy 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

BADIE, Tyler rush to the right for no gain to the VAN37 (JEUDY, Gabe), out of bounds. PENALTY MIZ Holding on PARKER, Daniel enforced 10 yards from the VAN37 to the VAN47 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.89

Tyler Badie run for 9 yds to the Vandy 38

2nd & 11Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.64

Connor Bazelak run for a loss of 3 yards to the Vandy 41

3rd & 14Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Tyler Macon run for 6 yds to the Vandy 35

4th & 8Field Goal Good+52 yds

Harrison Mevis 52 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Mike Wright pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Mike Wright run for 5 yds to the Vandy 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.81

Mike Wright pass complete to James Ziglor III for 19 yds to the Vandy 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Mike Wright pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Mike Wright pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Mike Wright run for 3 yds to the Misso 48

4th & 7Penalty+15 yds

WRIGHT, Mike pass to the right incomplete intended for SHEPPARD, Will broken up by ABRAMS-DRAINE, Kris at the MIZ29. PENALTY MIZ Pass Interference on ABRAMS-DRAINE, Kris enforced 15 yards to the MIZ33 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Mike Wright pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.01

Mike Wright pass complete to Chris Pierce Jr. for 21 yds to the Misso 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Mike Wright run for 6 yds to the Misso 6

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.35

Mike Wright pass complete to Cam Johnson for 6 yds for a TD (Joseph Bulovas KICK)

1st & 10Rush+73 ydsPPA +4.86

Tyler Badie run for 73 yds to the Vandy 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Tyler Macon run for 2 yds for a TD (Harrison Mevis KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Mike Wright pass complete to Chris Pierce Jr. for 11 yds to the Vandy 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Mike Wright pass complete to Will Sheppard for 9 yds to the Vandy 45

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Mike Wright run for 2 yds to the Vandy 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack0 ydsPPA -1.15

Mike Wright sacked by Isaiah McGuire and Kobie Whiteside for 0 yards to the Vandy 40

2nd & 17Penalty-10 yds

WRIGHT, Mike pass to the right incomplete intended for PIERCE, Chris broken up by EVANS, Akayleb at the MIZ49. PENALTY VAN Holding on SMITH, Patrick enforced 10 yards from the VAN40 to the VAN30 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 27Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA +0.24

Mike Wright pass intercepted return for no gain to the Misso 32

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Michael Cox run for 8 yds to the Misso 40

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.03

Dawson Downing run for 3 yds to the Misso 43 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Missouri

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
52%
29 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
100%
4 plays
67%
6 plays
30%
10 plays
20%
5 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
67%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Vanderbilt

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
50%
28 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
60%
5 plays
36%
11 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
40%
5 plays
0%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play