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← Back to GamesOct 23, 2021Week 8

House Prediction

Model Margin

Arkansas by 20.2

Home Win Probability

Arkansas 87%

Market (consensus)

Arkansas -50.5

Edge: Arkansas-Pine Bluff +50.5 (30.3 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 23, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
00033
ArkansasArkansas
17280045

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014284214-017-031-045-045-3
ArkansasArkansas-Pine Bluff

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ABARKABARKABARKABARKARKABARKABABARKABARKABABARKABARKABARKABARKABARKPUNT35ydTD149ydMISS755ydPUNT524ydPUNT37ydFG1271ydPUNT633ydTD665ydTO424ydTO430ydTD795ydTD38ydPUNT48ydTD368ydPUNT3-1ydTD445ydEND21ydPUNT36ydTO2-9ydTO10ydDOWNS1060ydDOWNS1041ydPUNT32ydFG961ydPUNT48ydPUNT34ydEND32yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Arkansas-Pine Bluff and Arkansas
StatisticArkansas-Pine BluffArkansas
Passing8-2211-22
Pass Yards112213
Rush Yards111291
Total Yards223504
Turnovers22
3rd Down1-142-9
Penalties4-309-76
Possession36:1823:42

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Arkansas-Pine Bluff
passing
Skyler Perry
7/18, 107 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Kierre Crossley
13 CAR, 39 YDS
receiving
Daemon Dawkins
2 REC, 49 YDS
defense
Nathan Seward
0.5 TFL, 2 PD
Arkansas
passing
KJ Jefferson
10/17, 194 YDS, 4 TD
rushing
Dominique Johnson
6 CAR, 91 YDS
receiving
Treylon Burks
4 REC, 89 YDS, 2 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Kayvon Britten run for 3 yds to the ArkPB 28

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Kayvon Britten run for 2 yds to the ArkPB 30

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Skyler Perry pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt+16 yds

Josh Sanchez punt for 35 yds , Nathan Parodi returns for 16 yds to the ArkPB 49

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+49 ydsPPA +3.76

Treylon Burks run for 49 yds for a TD, (Cam Little KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+42 ydsPPA +3.17

Skyler Perry pass complete to Daemon Dawkins for 42 yds to the Ark 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Skyler Perry run for 2 yds to the Ark 31

2nd & 8Penalty+5 yds

ARKANSAS Penalty, Delay Of Game (5 Yards) to the Ark 26

2nd & 3Rush+10 ydsPPA -0.04

Skyler Perry run for 10 yds to the Ark 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.40

Kierre Crossley run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ark 17

2nd & 11Sack0 ydsPPA -0.41

Skyler Perry sacked by Myles Slusher and Joe Foucha for 0 yards to the Ark 25

3rd & 19Penalty+5 yds

ARKANSAS Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the Ark 20

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Skyler Perry pass incomplete

4th & 14Field Goal Missed+37 yds

Zack Piwniczka 37 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

KJ Jefferson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.19

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Treylon Burks for 20 yds to the Ark 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Trelon Smith run for 4 yds to the Ark 44

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Trelon Smith run for 2 yds to the Ark 46

3rd & 4Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.13

Trelon Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ark 44

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Reid Bauer punt for 56 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Skyler Perry pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.25

Skyler Perry pass complete to Daemon Dawkins for 7 yds to the ArkPB 27

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.40

Kayvon Britten run for no gain to the ArkPB 27

4th & 3Punt+33 yds

Josh Sanchez punt for 47 yds , Nathan Parodi returns for 33 yds to the ARKANSAS 40 ARKANSAS Penalty, Holding Holding on ZIMOS, Zach enforced ( Yards) declined

4th & 3Punt+33 yds

Josh Sanchez punt for 47 yds , Nathan Parodi returns for 33 yds to the Ark 16

1st & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Raheim Sanders run for 7 yds to the Ark 23

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.16

Raheim Sanders run for 6 yds to the Ark 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.21

KJ Jefferson pass complete to De'Vion Warren for 13 yds to the Ark 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.02

KJ Jefferson pass complete to De'Vion Warren for 12 yds to the ArkPB 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

De'Vion Warren run for 5 yds to the ArkPB 41

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.47

Raheim Sanders run for 6 yds to the ArkPB 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.75

Raheim Sanders run for 9 yds to the ArkPB 26

2nd & 1Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA -0.33

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Treylon Burks for 12 yds to the ArkPB 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Raheim Sanders run for 1 yd to the ArkPB 13

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

KJ Jefferson pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

KJ Jefferson pass incomplete

4th & 9Field Goal Good+31 yds

Cam Little 31 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Skyler Perry pass complete to Kierre Crossley for 1 yd to the ArkPB 26

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Skyler Perry pass incomplete

3rd & 9Rush+28 ydsPPA +3.53

Kierre Crossley run for 28 yds to the Ark 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.71

Kierre Crossley run for a loss of 3 yards to the Ark 49

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Skyler Perry pass incomplete

3rd & 13Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.54

Skyler Perry run for 12 yds to the Ark 37

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

ARK PINE BLUFF Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Ark 42

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Josh Sanchez punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Nathan Parodi at the Ark 9

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +2.59

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Blake Kern for 18 yds for a TD (Cam Little KICK)

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.06

KJ Jefferson run for 11 yds to the Ark 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

ARK PINE BLUFF Penalty, Illegal use of the hands enforced (Paul Reeves) to the ArkPB 32 for a 1ST down

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.49

Trelon Smith run for 8 yds to the ArkPB 24

3rd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Trelon Smith run for 6 yds to the ArkPB 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

KJ Jefferson pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.37

Raheim Sanders run for 7 yds to the Ark 16

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.01

Raheim Sanders run for 3 yds to the Ark 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Raheim Sanders run for 2 yds to the Ark 21

2nd & 8Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.36

KJ Jefferson run for 12 yds to the Ark 33

1st & 10Penalty+13 yds

ARKANSAS Penalty, Roughing the Passer on RIDGEWAY, John enforced half the distance from the goal (John Ridgeway) to the Ark 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Kierre Crossley run for 3 yds to the Ark 7

2nd & 7Penalty0 yds

ARKANSAS Penalty, Offsides (Joe Foucha) to the Ark 3

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.41

Skyler Perry run for no gain to the Ark 3

3rd & 3Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -4.38

Skyler Perry pass intercepted for a 1ST down return for no gain to the Ark 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+34 ydsPPA +2.06

Dominique Johnson run for 34 yds to the Ark 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.71

Dominique Johnson run for 22 yds to the ArkPB 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.38

Dominique Johnson run for 11 yds to the ArkPB 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.17

KJ Jefferson run for 10 yds to the ArkPB 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

KJ Jefferson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

KJ Jefferson pass incomplete

3rd & 10Passing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +3.37

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Treylon Burks for 18 yds for a TD (Cam Little KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Kierre Crossley run for a loss of 1 yard to the ArkPB 24

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Skyler Perry pass incomplete

3rd & 11Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.27

Skyler Perry run for 9 yds to the ArkPB 33

4th & 2Punt+80 yds

Josh Sanchez punt for 47 yds , Nathan Parodi returns for 80 yds for a TD (Cam Little KICK)

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.32

Xzavier Vaughn run for 15 yds to the ArkPB 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.91

Kierre Crossley run for a loss of 5 yards to the ArkPB 35

2nd & 15Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Xzavier Vaughn pass complete to Trey Harrell for 5 yds to the ArkPB 40

3rd & 10Sack0 ydsPPA -0.41

Xzavier Vaughn sacked by Zach Williams for 0 yards to the ArkPB 33

4th & 17Punt+35 yds

Josh Sanchez punt for 40 yds ARK PINE BLUFF Penalty, Illegal Shift (TEAM) to the Ark 32

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.24

Dominique Johnson run for 13 yds to the Ark 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +1.49

KJ Jefferson pass complete to De'Vion Warren for 26 yds to the ArkPB 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+29 ydsPPA +2.79

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Ketron Jackson Jr. for 29 yds for a TD (Cam Little KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Xzavier Vaughn pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Xzavier Vaughn pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Xzavier Vaughn run for 4 yds to the ArkPB 29

4th & 6Penalty-5 yds

ARK PINE BLUFF Penalty, Delay Of Game (Josh Sanchez) to the ArkPB 24

4th & 11Punt+18 yds

Josh Sanchez punt for 39 yds , Nathan Parodi returns for 18 yds to the ArkPB 45

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.23

Trelon Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the ArkPB 46

2nd & 11Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Treylon Burks run for 7 yds to the ArkPB 39

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

KJ Jefferson pass incomplete

4th & 4Passing Touchdown+39 ydsPPA +5.26

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Treylon Burks for 39 yds for a TD (Cam Little KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Kierre Crossley run for 2 yds to the ArkPB 27

2nd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.54

Kierre Crossley run for a loss of 1 yard to the ArkPB 26

0th & 8End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Kayvon Britten run for 4 yds to the ArkPB 29

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.65

Kayvon Britten run for no gain to the ArkPB 29

3rd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Skyler Perry run for 2 yds to the ArkPB 31

4th & 4Punt+27 yds

Josh Sanchez punt for 40 yds , Bryce Stephens returns for 27 yds to the ArkPB 44

1st & 10Rush-8 ydsPPA -2.67

Trelon Smith run for 7 yds to the Ark 37 ARKANSAS Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the Ark 48

2nd & 18Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.75

T.J. Hammonds run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ark 47

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.39

Xzavier Vaughn pass intercepted return for no gain to the Ark 13

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

AJ Green run for 5 yds to the Ark 18

2nd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.62

AJ Green run for 8 yds to the Ark 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Malik Hornsby pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+29 ydsPPA +3.26

AJ Green run for 29 yds to the ArkPB 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Dominique Johnson run for 7 yds to the ArkPB 38

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.02

Dominique Johnson run for 4 yds to the ArkPB 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack0 ydsPPA -0.66

Malik Hornsby sacked for 0 yards to the Ark 49

2nd & 27Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Raheim Sanders run for 5 yds to the ArkPB 46

3rd & 22Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.66

Malik Hornsby pass complete to Jaquayln Crawford for 19 yds to the ArkPB 27

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.98

Malik Hornsby pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.64

Kierre Crossley run for 1 yd to the ArkPB 28

2nd & 9Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.91

Kierre Crossley run for 13 yds to the ArkPB 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion+15 ydsPPA +1.25

Skyler Perry pass incomplete for a 1ST down ARKANSAS Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Jayden Johnson) to the Ark 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Kierre Crossley run for 4 yds to the Ark 40

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Skyler Perry pass incomplete

3rd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Skyler Perry run for 1 yd to the Ark 39

4th & 5Penalty+6 yds

PERRY, Skyler pass up the middle incomplete intended for HILL, Dalyn thrown to the ARK34; QB hurried by SOLI, Mataio. PENALTY ARK Pass Interference on CHAVIS, Malik enforced at the spot of the foul for 6 yards to the ARK33 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.64

Kierre Crossley run for no gain to the Ark 33

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Skyler Perry pass complete to Kierre Crossley for 6 yds to the Ark 27

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Skyler Perry pass incomplete

4th & 4Sack0 ydsPPA -2.86

Skyler Perry sacked by Andrew Parker for 0 yards to the Ark 32

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.07

AJ Green run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ark 31

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Malik Hornsby pass incomplete

3rd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Malik Hornsby run for 3 yds to the Ark 34

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Reid Bauer punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Josh Wilkes at the ArkPB 24

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Skyler Perry run for 6 yds to the ArkPB 30

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.58

Dalyn Hill run for 5 yds to the ArkPB 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.32

Skyler Perry run for a loss of 2 yards to the ArkPB 33

2nd & 12Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +3.59

Skyler Perry pass complete to Dalyn Hill for 32 yds to the Ark 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.35

Dalyn Hill run for 15 yds to the Ark 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.46

Kierre Crossley run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ark 21

2nd & 11Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.13

Skyler Perry pass complete to Trey Harrell for 6 yds to the Ark 15

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Skyler Perry pass incomplete

4th & 5Field Goal Good+32 yds

Zack Piwniczka 32 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.06

Malik Hornsby run for 15 yds to the Ark 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.34

AJ Green run for a loss of 3 yards to the Ark 30

2nd & 13Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.49

AJ Green run for a loss of 4 yards to the Ark 26

3rd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.08

Malik Hornsby pass incomplete

4th & 17Punt+44 yds

Reid Bauer punt for 44 yds ARK PINE BLUFF Penalty, Illegal Formation (TEAM) declined

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Omar Allen Jr. run for 5 yds to the ArkPB 35

2nd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.05

Omar Allen Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the ArkPB 34

3rd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.42

Xzavier Vaughn run for no gain to the ArkPB 34

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Josh Sanchez punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Bryce Stephens at the Ark 19

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.53

AJ Green run for no gain to the Ark 19

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

AJ Green run for 2 yds to the Ark 21

3rd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.16

AJ Green run for no gain to the Ark 21

Situational Analysis

Arkansas-Pine Bluff

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
25%
24 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
43%
7 plays
50%
6 plays
3rd
0%
2 plays
0%
6 plays
33%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Arkansas

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
59%
32 plays
2nd
75%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
57%
7 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
0%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play
100%
1 play