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← Back to GamesOct 16, 2021Week 7
FloridaFlorida
42
-Final
49
LSULSU
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Florida by 0.3

Home Win Probability

LSU 46%

Market (consensus)

LSU +12.5

Edge: LSU +12.5 (12.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 16, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
FloridaFlorida
6722742
LSULSU
021141449

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842560-67-621-628-2135-2842-3542-4249-42
LSUFlorida

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20LSUFLOLSUFLOLSUFLOLSUFLOLSUFLOLSUFLOLSUFLOLSUFLOFLOFLOLSUFLOLSUFLOLSUFLOLSUFLOLSUPUNT518ydPUNT32ydTO37ydTD659ydPUNT30ydPUNT32ydTD1390ydPUNT32ydPUNT3-16ydTO632ydTD128ydTO10ydTD421ydPUNT726ydPUNT618ydEND577ydTD31ydTD875ydTD375ydTD675ydPUNT37ydTD665ydTD1075ydTD1375ydTD1068ydTO512ydEND533yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Florida and LSU
StatisticFloridaLSU
Passing23-4014-24
Pass Yards350133
Rush Yards138321
Total Yards488454
Turnovers40
3rd Down7-145-12
Penalties0-05-45
Possession30:0429:56

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Florida
passing
Anthony Richardson
10/19, 167 YDS, 3 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Anthony Richardson
7 CAR, 37 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Justin Shorter
6 REC, 113 YDS, 2 TD
defense
LSU
passing
Max Johnson
14/24, 133 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Tyrion Davis-Price
36 CAR, 287 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
Jaray Jenkins
4 REC, 50 YDS, 3 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Tyrion Davis-Price run for 2 yds to the LSU 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.48

Max Johnson pass complete to Jack Bech for 10 yds to the LSU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Max Johnson pass incomplete to Jack Bech

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Tyrion Davis-Price run for 6 yds to the LSU 43

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Max Johnson pass incomplete to Malik Nabers

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Avery Atkins punt for 16 yds, deflected by FLA Jordan Pouncey, downed at the Fla 41

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Malik Davis run for 7 yds to the Fla 48

2nd & 3Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.77

Malik Davis run for a loss of 2 yards to the Fla 46

3rd & 5Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.15

Emory Jones sacked by Maason Smith for a loss of 3 yards to the Fla 43

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 57 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Tyrion Davis-Price run for 3 yds to the LSU 23

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Tyrion Davis-Price run for 4 yds to the LSU 27

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Max Johnson pass incomplete to Brian Thomas Jr.

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Avery Atkins punt for 32 yds , Xzavier Henderson returns for no gain to the Fla 41 Xzavier Henderson fumbled, recovered by Fla Xzavier Henderson

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Emory Jones pass incomplete to Xzavier Henderson

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.25

Emory Jones pass complete to Kemore Gamble for 13 yds to the LSU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +0.86

Trent Whittemore pass complete to Emory Jones for 22 yds to the LSU 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.16

Emory Jones pass complete to Rick Wells for 13 yds to the LSU 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Emory Jones run for 4 yds to the LSU 7

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.54

Dameon Pierce 7 Yd Run (Jace Christmann PAT blocked)

2nd & 6Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Jace Christmann kickoff for 65 yds , Trey Palmer return for 19 yds to the LSU 19

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.53

Tyrion Davis-Price run for no gain to the LSU 19

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.25

Max Johnson run for no gain to the LSU 19

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Max Johnson pass incomplete to Jontre Kirklin

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Avery Atkins punt for 34 yds, downed at the Fla 47

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Nay'Quan Wright run for 2 yds to the Fla 49

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.65

Nay'Quan Wright run for 2 yds to the LSU 49

3rd & 6Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.20

Anthony Richardson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Fla 49

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Trey Palmer at the LSU 10

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.41

Tyrion Davis-Price run for 10 yds to the LSU 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Tyrion Davis-Price run for 7 yds to the LSU 27

2nd & 3Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.81

Max Johnson pass complete to Jack Bech for 10 yds to the LSU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.76

Max Johnson sacked by Zachary Carter and Ty'Ron Hopper for a loss of 5 yards to the LSU 32

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Max Johnson pass incomplete to Trey Palmer

3rd & 15Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +3.13

Max Johnson pass complete to Jaray Jenkins for 16 yds to the LSU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Tyrion Davis-Price run for no gain to the LSU 48

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Josh Williams run for 4 yds to the Fla 48

3rd & 6Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.30

Tyrion Davis-Price run for 12 yds to the Fla 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Max Johnson pass incomplete to Malik Nabers

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.07

Max Johnson pass complete to Malik Nabers for 13 yds to the Fla 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Tyrion Davis-Price run for 5 yds to the Fla 18

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +2.59

Tyrion Davis-Price 18 Yd Run (Cade York Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Emory Jones pass incomplete to Trent Whittemore

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Emory Jones pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.11

Emory Jones pass complete to Ja'Quavion Fraziars for 2 yds to the Fla 27

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LSU 35

1st & 10Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -1.64

Max Johnson pass complete to Josh Williams for a loss of 5 yards to the LSU 30

2nd & 15Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.33

Max Johnson pass complete to Malik Nabers for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 29

3rd & 16Penalty-10 yds

Johnson, Max pass complete to Thomas Jr., Brian for 71 yards to the FLORIDA0, PENALTY LSU holding (Wire, Cameron) 10 yards to the LSU19, NO PLAY.

3rd & 26Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.02

Max Johnson pass incomplete to Malik Nabers

4th & 26Punt0 yds

Avery Atkins punt for 51 yds, downed at the Fla 30

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.00

Emory Jones pass complete to Dameon Pierce for 8 yds to the Fla 38

2nd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.51

Emory Jones run for 8 yds to the Fla 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.94

Emory Jones pass complete to Justin Shorter for 13 yds to the LSU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.67

Emory Jones run for 1 yd to the LSU 40

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Emory Jones run for 2 yds to the LSU 38

3rd & 7Pass Interception Return+54 ydsPPA -2.51

Emory Jones pass intercepted Micah Baskerville return for 54 yds to the Fla 28

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+28 ydsPPA +2.76

Jaray Jenkins 28 Yd pass from Max Johnson (Cade York Kick)

1st & 10Pass Interception Return+26 ydsPPA -0.92

Anthony Richardson pass intercepted Jay Ward return for 26 yds to the Fla 21

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.30

Max Johnson pass complete to Trey Palmer for 1 yd to the Fla 20

2nd & 9Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.74

Max Johnson pass complete to Brian Thomas Jr. for 13 yds to the Fla 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Tyrion Davis-Price run for 2 yds to the Fla 5

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Jaray Jenkins 5 Yd pass from Max Johnson (Cade York Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Emory Jones pass complete to Rick Wells for 10 yds to the Fla 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Nay'Quan Wright run for 7 yds to the Fla 42

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.76

Nay'Quan Wright run for 2 yds to the Fla 44

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.11

Emory Jones run for 2 yds to the Fla 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Emory Jones run for 6 yds to the LSU 48

2nd & 4Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.76

Emory Jones sacked by BJ Ojulari for a loss of 8 yards to the Fla 44

3rd & 12Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.33

Emory Jones pass complete to Malik Davis for 7 yds to the LSU 49

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Trey Palmer at the LSU 11

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Max Johnson run for 6 yds to the LSU 17

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.49

Tyrion Davis-Price run for 10 yds to the LSU 27 LSU Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the LSU 17

2nd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.47

Tyrion Davis-Price run for 8 yds to the LSU 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Johnson, Max pass complete to Thomas Jr., Brian for 50 yards to the FLORIDA25, PENALTY LSU ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the LSU20, NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Max Johnson run for 2 yds to the LSU 22

2nd & 13Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.19

Tyrion Davis-Price run for 7 yds to the LSU 29

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Max Johnson pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt+8 yds

Avery Atkins punt for 56 yds , Xzavier Henderson returns for 8 yds to the Fla 23

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Emory Jones pass complete to Malik Davis for 2 yds to the Fla 25

2nd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.29

Emory Jones pass complete to Rick Wells for 9 yds to the Fla 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

TEAM pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +3.03

Emory Jones pass complete to Justin Shorter for 24 yds to the LSU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+42 ydsPPA +3.29

Justin Shorter 42 Yd pass from Emory Jones (Jace Christmann Kick)

0th & 0End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Emory Jones run for 1 yd to the Fla 26

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Emory Jones pass incomplete to Malik Davis

3rd & 9Interception Return Touchdown+37 ydsPPA -6.93

Dwight McGlothern 37 Yd Interception Return (Cade York Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Anthony Richardson pass incomplete to Justin Shorter

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion+15 ydsPPA +2.02

Anthony Richardson pass incomplete to Justin Shorter for a 1ST down LSU Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Raydarious Jones) to the Fla 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Dameon Pierce run for 3 yds to the Fla 43

2nd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.50

Dameon Pierce run for 9 yds to the LSU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +1.05

Anthony Richardson pass complete to Dameon Pierce for 27 yds to the LSU 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Dameon Pierce run for 5 yds to the LSU 16

2nd & 5Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.67

Anthony Richardson pass complete to Justin Shorter for 11 yds to the LSU 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Anthony Richardson 5 Yd Run (Anthony Richardson Run for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Max Johnson pass complete to Brian Thomas Jr. for 11 yds to the LSU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.96

Max Johnson pass complete to Malik Nabers for 24 yds to the Fla 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+40 ydsPPA +3.19

Tyrion Davis-Price 40 Yd Run (Cade York Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +3.03

Anthony Richardson pass complete to Kemore Gamble for 38 yds to the LSU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Nay'Quan Wright run for 4 yds to the LSU 33

2nd & 6Rush+19 ydsPPA +0.58

Jacob Copeland run for 19 yds to the LSU 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Anthony Richardson pass incomplete to Kemore Gamble

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.37

Anthony Richardson pass complete to Dameon Pierce for 9 yds to the LSU 5

3rd & 1Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.49

Justin Shorter 5 Yd pass from Anthony Richardson (Jace Christmann Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Max Johnson pass complete to Jack Mashburn for 7 yds to the LSU 32

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.99

Tyrion Davis-Price run for no gain to the LSU 32

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Max Johnson pass incomplete to Koy Moore

4th & 3Punt+10 yds

Avery Atkins punt for 43 yds , Xzavier Henderson returns for 10 yds to the Fla 35

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Anthony Richardson pass complete to Kemore Gamble for 6 yds to the Fla 41

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.71

Malik Davis run for 2 yds to the Fla 43

3rd & 2Rush+25 ydsPPA +2.68

Anthony Richardson run for 25 yds to the LSU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.46

Malik Davis run for 1 yd to the LSU 31

2nd & 9Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +0.81

Anthony Richardson pass complete to Jacob Copeland for 20 yds to the LSU 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.52

Dameon Pierce 11 Yd pass from Anthony Richardson (Jace Christmann Kick)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Tyrion Davis-Price run for 4 yds to the LSU 29

2nd & 6Rush+21 ydsPPA +2.35

Tyrion Davis-Price run for 21 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Max Johnson pass incomplete to Brian Thomas Jr.

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Max Johnson run for 5 yds to the Fla 45

3rd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.74

Tyrion Davis-Price run for 6 yds to the Fla 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Tyrion Davis-Price run for 5 yds to the Fla 34

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.83

Tyrion Davis-Price run for no gain to the Fla 34

3rd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.10

Tyrion Davis-Price run for 5 yds to the Fla 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Tyrion Davis-Price run for 4 yds to the Fla 25

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +2.83

Tyrion Davis-Price 25 Yd Run (Cade York Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Anthony Richardson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.46

Anthony Richardson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Fla 22

3rd & 13Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.49

Emory Jones pass complete to Justin Shorter for 18 yds to the Fla 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Emory Jones run for 3 yds to the Fla 43

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Emory Jones pass incomplete to Jacob Copeland

3rd & 7Fumble Recovery (Own)+11 ydsPPA +2.66

Nay'Quan Wright run for 11 yds to the LSU 46 Nay'Quan Wright fumbled, recovered by Fla Nay'Quan Wright for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Anthony Richardson run for 6 yds to the LSU 40

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -1.03

Dameon Pierce run for no gain to the LSU 40

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Anthony Richardson pass incomplete to Malik Davis

4th & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.46

Anthony Richardson pass complete to Kemore Gamble for 7 yds to the LSU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Anthony Richardson pass incomplete to Jacob Copeland

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.86

Anthony Richardson run for no gain to the LSU 33

3rd & 10Passing Touchdown+33 ydsPPA +4.40

Jacob Copeland 33 Yd pass from Anthony Richardson (Jace Christmann Kick)

3rd & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+28 yds

Jace Christmann kickoff for 61 yds , Trey Palmer return for 28 yds to the LSU 32

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Tyrion Davis-Price run for 3 yds to the LSU 35

2nd & 7Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.89

Tyrion Davis-Price run for 13 yds to the LSU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

LSU Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the LSU 43

1st & 15Rush+18 ydsPPA +2.08

Tyrion Davis-Price run for 18 yds to the Fla 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Tyrion Davis-Price run for 6 yds to the Fla 33

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.81

Tyrion Davis-Price run for no gain to the Fla 33

3rd & 4Rush+24 ydsPPA +1.27

Josh Williams run for 24 yds to the Fla 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Tyrion Davis-Price run for 6 yds to the Fla 3

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Tyrion Davis-Price run for 1 yd to the Fla 2

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Tyrion Davis-Price run for 1 yd to the Fla 1

4th & 1Passing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.79

Jaray Jenkins 1 Yd pass from Max Johnson (Cade York Kick)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Nay'Quan Wright run for 4 yds to the Fla 29

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Nay'Quan Wright run for 2 yds to the Fla 31

3rd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.56

Anthony Richardson run for 6 yds to the Fla 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Anthony Richardson pass incomplete to Justin Shorter

2nd & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.88

Anthony Richardson pass intercepted Damone Clark return for no gain to the LSU 30

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Tyrion Davis-Price run for 5 yds to the LSU 35

2nd & 5Rush+20 ydsPPA +2.11

Tyrion Davis-Price run for 20 yds to the Fla 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.50

Tyrion Davis-Price run for 10 yds to the Fla 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.87

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 36

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.17

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 37

Situational Analysis

Florida

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
44%
34 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
43%
7 plays
47%
15 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
40%
5 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play

LSU

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
48%
29 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
67%
9 plays
67%
9 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
0%
3 plays
67%
6 plays
0%
1 play
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play