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← Back to GamesOct 9, 2021Week 6
LSULSU
21
-Final
42
KentuckyKentucky
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Kentucky by 7.2

Home Win Probability

Kentucky 64%

Market (consensus)

Kentucky -2

Edge: Kentucky -2 (5.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 9, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
LSULSU
0071421
KentuckyKentucky
77141442

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-014-021-021-728-735-1442-21
KentuckyLSU

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20LSUKENLSUKENLSUKENLSUKENLSUKENKENLSUKENLSUKENLSUKENLSUKENLSUKENTO819ydTD944ydDOWNS844ydTD569ydPUNT510ydPUNT530ydPUNT734ydPUNT642ydPUNT613ydEND517ydTD775ydTD975ydTD1075ydDOWNS831ydTD356ydTD475ydPUNT37ydTD1178ydTD444ydDOWNS734ydEND513yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing LSU and Kentucky
StatisticLSUKentucky
Passing22-3814-17
Pass Yards261145
Rush Yards147330
Total Yards408475
Turnovers10
3rd Down7-152-7
Penalties4-183-25
Possession27:4832:12

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

LSU
passing
Max Johnson
22/38, 261 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Tyrion Davis-Price
22 CAR, 147 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Kayshon Boutte
8 REC, 73 YDS
defense
Kentucky
passing
Will Levis
14/17, 145 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Chris Rodriguez Jr.
16 CAR, 147 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Wan'Dale Robinson
8 REC, 60 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Max Johnson pass complete to Kayshon Boutte for 2 yds to the LSU 27

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.40

Tyrion Davis-Price run for 1 yd to the LSU 28

3rd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.98

Max Johnson pass complete to Malik Nabers for 10 yds to the LSU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.27

Corey Kiner run for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 37

2nd & 11Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Max Johnson pass complete to Jack Bech for 5 yds to the LSU 42

3rd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.24

Max Johnson pass complete to Kayshon Boutte for 7 yds to the LSU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Corey Kiner run for 4 yds to the Kent 47

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.93

Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 9 yds to the LSU 35

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 2 yds to the LSU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Kavosiey Smoke run for 1 yd to the LSU 32

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 2 yds to the LSU 30

3rd & 7Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.30

Will Levis pass complete to Isaiah Epps for 20 yds to the LSU 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Will Levis pass incomplete to Izayah Cummings

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 3 yds to the LSU 7

3rd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Will Levis run for 4 yds to the LSU 3

4th & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.92

Will Levis pass complete to Chris Rodriguez Jr. for 3 yds for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Corey Kiner run for 3 yds to the LSU 28

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Max Johnson run for 5 yds to the LSU 33

3rd & 2Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.74

Max Johnson pass complete to Deion Smith for 9 yds to the LSU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.37

Max Johnson pass complete to Brian Thomas Jr. for 18 yds to the Kent 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-6 ydsPPA -2.15

Max Johnson pass complete to Kayshon Boutte for a loss of 6 yards to the Kent 46

2nd & 16Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.37

Max Johnson pass complete to Jack Bech for 11 yds to the Kent 35

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Tyrion Davis-Price run for 4 yds to the Kent 31

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Will Levis run for 2 yds to the Kent 33

2nd & 8Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.33

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 17 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +1.27

Will Levis pass complete to Justin Rigg for 34 yds to the LSU 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

JuTahn McClain run for 5 yds to the LSU 11

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.49

Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 11 yds for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Armoni Goodwin run for 4 yds to the LSU 29

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.04

Armoni Goodwin run for 7 yds to the LSU 36 for a 1ST down

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.72

Corey Kiner run for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 35

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Avery Atkins punt for 53 yds, fair catch by Wan'Dale Robinson at the Kent 12

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.54

Mike Drennen II run for a loss of 4 yards to the Kent 8

2nd & 14Rush+32 ydsPPA +2.51

Kavosiey Smoke run for 32 yds to the Kent 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Kavosiey Smoke run for 7 yds to the Kent 47

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.30

Will Levis pass incomplete to Wan'Dale Robinson

3rd & 3Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -1.56

Will Levis pass complete to Mike Drennen II for a loss of 5 yards to the Kent 42

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Colin Goodfellow punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LSU 10

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.65

Tyrion Davis-Price run for 14 yds to the LSU 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Tyrion Davis-Price run for 5 yds to the LSU 29

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Tyrion Davis-Price run for 4 yds to the LSU 33

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.92

Tyrion Davis-Price run for 2 yds to the LSU 35 for a 1ST down

2nd & 17Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.74

Max Johnson pass complete to Jaray Jenkins for 16 yds to the LSU 44

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Avery Atkins punt for 55 yds, downed at the Kent 1

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 6 yds to the Kent 7

2nd & 4Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.34

Will Levis run for 11 yds to the Kent 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.63

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 21 yds to the Kent 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Mike Drennen II run for 2 yds to the Kent 41

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.90

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for no gain to the Kent 41

3rd & 8Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 2 yds to the Kent 43

4th & 6Penalty+5 yds

Goodfellow, Colin punt 43 yards to the LSU14, fair catch by Palmer, Trey, PENALTY LSU offside (Kirklin, Jontre) 5 yards to the KENTUCKY48, NO PLAY.

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

KENTUCKY Penalty, False Start (Luke Fortner) to the Kent 43

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Colin Goodfellow punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Trey Palmer at the LSU 14

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.94

Tyrion Davis-Price run for 9 yds to the LSU 23

3rd & 1Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.41

Tyrion Davis-Price run for 12 yds to the LSU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Tyrion Davis-Price run for 1 yd to the LSU 36

4th & 18Punt+4 yds

Avery Atkins punt for 52 yds , Wan'Dale Robinson returns for 4 yds to the Kent 25

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 2 yds to the Kent 27

2nd & 8Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.77

Kavosiey Smoke run for 13 yds to the Kent 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Will Levis pass incomplete to Wan'Dale Robinson

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.79

Will Levis pass complete to Isaiah Epps for 8 yds to the Kent 48

3rd & 2Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.82

Will Levis sacked by BJ Ojulari and Ali Gaye for a loss of 6 yards to the Kent 42

0th & 2End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 4 yds to the Kent 29

2nd & 6Rush+22 ydsPPA +2.43

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 22 yds to the LSU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Kavosiey Smoke run for 5 yds to the LSU 44

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.52

Kavosiey Smoke run for 5 yds to the LSU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+33 ydsPPA +1.09

Will Levis run for 33 yds to the LSU 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.15

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 5 yds to the LSU 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Will Levis run for 1 yd for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Armoni Goodwin run for 2 yds to the LSU 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.16

Max Johnson pass complete to Kayshon Boutte for 17 yds to the LSU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.96

Tyrion Davis-Price run for 8 yds to the Kent 48

2nd & 2Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.32

Max Johnson pass complete to Kayshon Boutte for 10 yds to the Kent 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+30 ydsPPA +0.77

Tyrion Davis-Price run for 30 yds to the Kent 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.48

Max Johnson pass complete to Kayshon Boutte for a loss of 2 yards to the Kent 10

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.35

Max Johnson pass complete to Devonta Lee for 9 yds to the Kent 1

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Tyrion Davis-Price run for no gain to the Kent 1

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.79

Tyrion Davis-Price run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cade York KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Will Levis run for 5 yds to the Kent 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.13

Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 9 yds to the Kent 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.35

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 9 yds to the Kent 48

2nd & 1Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.26

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 11 yds to the LSU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.46

Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 7 yds to the LSU 34

2nd & 3Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.16

Kavosiey Smoke run for 14 yds to the LSU 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Kavosiey Smoke run for 2 yds to the LSU 18

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Will Levis run for 5 yds to the LSU 13

3rd & 3Penalty+3 yds

Levis, Will pass incomplete to Robinson, Wan'Dale, PENALTY LSU pass interference (Evans, Darren) 3 yards to the LSU10, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN KENTUCKY.

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 5 yds to the LSU 5

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Will Levis run for 5 yds for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Max Johnson pass complete to Jaray Jenkins for 8 yds to the LSU 33

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.21

Armoni Goodwin run for 5 yds to the LSU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Tyrion Davis-Price run for 12 yds to the 50 yard line LSU Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the LSU 40

1st & 8Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.91

Max Johnson pass complete to Jaray Jenkins for 15 yds to the Kent 45 for a 1ST down

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Tyrion Davis-Price run for 1 yd to the Kent 44

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.18

Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 16 yds to the LSU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.49

Kavosiey Smoke run for 15 yds to the LSU 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +2.70

Will Levis pass complete to JuTahn McClain for 25 yds for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo KICK)

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

Johnson, Max pass incomplete to Davis-Price, Tyrion (#), PENALTY KENTUCKY personal foul (Hayes, Josaih) 15 yards to the LSU40, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN LSU,

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Max Johnson pass complete to Kayshon Boutte for 8 yds to the LSU 48

2nd & 2Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.50

Tyrion Davis-Price run for 11 yds to the Kent 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+41 ydsPPA +3.24

Max Johnson pass complete to Malik Nabers for 41 yds for a TD, (Cade York KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Kavosiey Smoke run for 1 yd to the Kent 26

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Kavosiey Smoke run for 2 yds to the Kent 28

3rd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Will Levis run for 4 yds to the Kent 32

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Colin Goodfellow punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Trey Palmer at the LSU 22

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Max Johnson pass complete to Jack Bech for 4 yds to the LSU 26

3rd & 6Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.28

Max Johnson pass complete to Malik Nabers for 15 yds to the LSU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +2.01

Max Johnson pass complete to Kayshon Boutte for 37 yds to the Kent 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Tyrion Davis-Price run for 6 yds to the Kent 16

3rd & 4Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Max Johnson pass complete to Brian Thomas Jr. for 2 yds to the Kent 14

4th & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.65

Tyrion Davis-Price run for 3 yds to the Kent 11 for a 1ST down

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.35

Tyrion Davis-Price run for 9 yds to the Kent 2

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.46

Tyrion Davis-Price run for 2 yds for a TD, (Cade York KICK)

3rd & 1Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Cade York on-side kick recovered by KENTUCKY at the LSU 44 , Justin Rigg return for no gain to the LSU 44

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 5 yds to the LSU 39

2nd & 5Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.62

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 14 yds to the LSU 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.33

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 7 yds to the LSU 18

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +2.37

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 18 yds for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo KICK)

2nd & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.83

Tyrion Davis-Price run for 13 yds to the LSU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +1.90

Max Johnson pass complete to Brian Thomas Jr. for 25 yds to the Kent 37 for a 1ST down

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.19

Tyrion Davis-Price run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 38

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Kavosiey Smoke run for 7 yds to the Kent 48

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.75

Mike Drennen II run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 6Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.53

Will Levis run for 11 yds to the LSU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.19

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 45

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.25

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 46

Situational Analysis

LSU

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
54%
24 plays
2nd
100%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
56%
9 plays
100%
3 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
2 plays

Kentucky

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
62%
29 plays
2nd
57%
7 plays
100%
7 plays
50%
8 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
0%
2 plays
100%
1 play
25%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play