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← Back to GamesOct 9, 2021Week 6
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Florida by 29.7

Home Win Probability

Florida 95%

Market (consensus)

Florida -39

Edge: Vanderbilt +39 (9.3 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 9, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
VanderbiltVanderbilt
00000
FloridaFlorida
14721042

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-014-021-028-042-0
FloridaVanderbilt

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20VANFLOVANFLOVANFLOVANFLOVANFLOVANFLOVANFLOFLOVANFLOVANFLOVANFLOVANFLOVANFLOVANFLOPUNT38ydTD878ydPUNT618ydTD749ydPUNT31ydTO10ydMISS744ydPUNT33ydMISS1453ydPUNT614ydTO423ydTD460ydDOWNS1373ydEND211ydTD679ydPUNT3-1ydTD272ydTO31ydTD330ydPUNT618ydTO21ydMISS715ydPUNT3-5ydTO620ydPUNT734ydDOWNS734ydEND828yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Vanderbilt and Florida
StatisticVanderbiltFlorida
Passing24-4518-28
Pass Yards199298
Rush Yards88181
Total Yards287479
Turnovers22
3rd Down8-202-9
Penalties3-358-80
Possession36:1023:50

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Vanderbilt
passing
Ken Seals
22/43, 192 YDS, 2 INT
rushing
Patrick Smith
17 CAR, 75 YDS
receiving
Cam Johnson
4 REC, 49 YDS
defense
Florida
passing
Emory Jones
14/22, 273 YDS, 4 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Nay'Quan Wright
7 CAR, 46 YDS
receiving
Jacob Copeland
5 REC, 79 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Ken Seals pass complete to Cam Johnson for 8 yds to the Vandy 33

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.13

Rocko Griffin run for no gain to the Vandy 33

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Ken Seals pass incomplete to Will Sheppard

4th & 2Punt+1 yds

Harrison Smith punt for 46 yds , Xzavier Henderson returns for 1 yd to the Fla 22

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Emory Jones pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.60

Emory Jones run for 9 yds to the Fla 31

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.86

Emory Jones run for 2 yds to the Fla 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Dameon Pierce run for no gain to the Fla 33

2nd & 10Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +3.41

Emory Jones pass complete to Trent Whittemore for 32 yds to the Vandy 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Emory Jones pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+34 ydsPPA +2.73

Nay'Quan Wright run for 34 yds to the Vandy 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Dameon Pierce run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jace Christmann KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Ken Seals pass complete to Rocko Griffin for 7 yds to the Vandy 32

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Rocko Griffin run for 1 yd to the Vandy 33

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.15

Rocko Griffin run for 3 yds to the Vandy 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Ken Seals pass complete to Chris Pierce Jr. for 6 yds to the Vandy 42

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.96

Rocko Griffin run for 1 yd to the Vandy 43

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Ken Seals pass incomplete to Will Sheppard

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Harrison Smith punt for 6 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Vandy 49

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Emory Jones pass incomplete to Rick Wells

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

Jones, Emory pass incomplete to Wells, Rick, PENALTY VANDERBILT pass interference (George, Allan) 15 yards to the VANDERBILT34, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN FLORIDA.

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Nay'Quan Wright run for 3 yds to the Vandy 31

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Nay'Quan Wright run for 5 yds to the Vandy 26

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.58

Nay'Quan Wright run for 1 yd to the Vandy 25

4th & 1Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.23

Emory Jones run for 16 yds to the Vandy 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Dameon Pierce run for 4 yds to the Vandy 5

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Emory Jones pass complete to Ja'Quavion Fraziars for 5 yds for a TD, (Jace Christmann KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Ken Seals pass incomplete to Cam Johnson

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Ken Seals pass complete to Chris Pierce Jr. for 1 yd to the Vandy 26

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Ken Seals pass incomplete to Will Sheppard

4th & 9Punt+24 yds

Harrison Smith punt for 42 yds , Xzavier Henderson returns for 24 yds to the Vandy 44

1st & 10Pass Interception Return-3 ydsPPA -3.59

Anthony Richardson pass intercepted Elijah McAllister return for a loss of 3 yards to the Vandy 35

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.06

Ken Seals pass complete to Will Sheppard for 11 yds to the Vandy 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Ken Seals pass incomplete to Chris Pierce Jr.

2nd & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +2.50

Devin Boddie Jr. run for 8 yds to the FLORIDA 46 for a 1ST down FLORIDA Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (15 Yards) to the Fla 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Johnson, Cam pass incomplete, PENALTY FLORIDA personal foul (Johnson, Tre'Vez) 15 yards to the FLORIDA16, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN VANDERBILT.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Ken Seals pass incomplete to Will Sheppard

2nd & 10Rush-9 ydsPPA -1.77

Patrick Smith run for 6 yds to the Fla 10 VANDERBILT Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (-15 Yards) to the Fla 25

3rd & 19Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Ken Seals pass complete to Chris Pierce Jr. for 4 yds to the Fla 21

4th & 15Field Goal Missed+39 yds

Joseph Bulovas 39 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.14

Anthony Richardson pass complete to Justin Shorter for 9 yds to the Fla 30

2nd & 1Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.32

Anthony Richardson pass complete to Jacob Copeland for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 29

3rd & 2Penalty-5 yds

FLORIDA Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the Fla 24

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Anthony Richardson pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Cam Johnson at the Vandy 24

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Ken Seals pass incomplete to Chris Pierce Jr.

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Ken Seals pass complete to Ben Bresnahan for 2 yds to the Vandy 26

3rd & 8Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +3.03

Ken Seals pass complete to Devin Boddie Jr. for 22 yds to the Vandy 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Ken Seals pass complete to Patrick Smith for 3 yds to the Fla 49

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Rocko Griffin run for 2 yds to the Fla 47

3rd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.94

Ken Seals pass complete to Patrick Smith for 8 yds to the Fla 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.44

Patrick Smith run for 7 yds to the Fla 32

2nd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.99

Patrick Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 33

3rd & 4Penalty-5 yds

VANDERBILT Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Fla 38

3rd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.72

Ken Seals pass complete to Will Sheppard for 8 yds to the Fla 30

4th & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.36

Patrick Smith run for 7 yds to the Fla 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Ken Seals pass incomplete to Amir Abdur-Rahman

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Ken Seals pass incomplete to Amir Abdur-Rahman

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Ken Seals pass incomplete to Chris Pierce Jr.

4th & 10Field Goal Missed+41 yds

Joseph Bulovas 41 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Dameon Pierce run for 3 yds to the Fla 26

2nd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.33

Emory Jones pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 10 yds to the Fla 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Emory Jones pass complete to Ja'Quavion Fraziars for 5 yds to the Fla 41

2nd & 5Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.87

Dameon Pierce run for 4 yds to the Fla 45 FLORIDA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Fla 35

2nd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Emory Jones run for 2 yds to the Fla 37

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Emory Jones pass incomplete to Xzavier Henderson

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 22 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Vandy 41

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.90

Patrick Smith run for 10 yds to the Fla 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.10

Patrick Smith run for no gain to the Fla 49

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.85

Ken Seals pass complete to Will Sheppard for 13 yds to the Fla 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return+7 ydsPPA -3.99

Ken Seals pass intercepted Daquan Newkirk return for 7 yds to the Fla 40

1st & 10Pass Reception+51 ydsPPA +2.33

Emory Jones pass complete to Nay'Quan Wright for 51 yds to the Vandy 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Nay'Quan Wright run for no gain to the Vandy 9

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Emory Jones pass incomplete to Jacob Copeland

3rd & 9Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +3.01

Emory Jones pass complete to Trent Whittemore for 9 yds for a TD, (Jace Christmann KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Rocko Griffin run for 6 yds to the Vandy 31

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Rocko Griffin run for 1 yd to the Vandy 32

3rd & 3Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.00

Ken Seals pass complete to Chris Pierce Jr. for 11 yds to the Vandy 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Patrick Smith run for 2 yds to the Vandy 45

2nd & 8Penalty+10 yds

FLORIDA Penalty, Defensive Holding (Avery Helm) to the Fla 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Ken Seals pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.60

Ken Seals pass complete to Will Sheppard for 13 yds to the Fla 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Ken Seals pass complete to Cam Johnson for 2 yds to the Fla 30

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Ken Seals pass incomplete to Devin Boddie Jr.

3rd & 8Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +2.99

Ken Seals pass complete to Cam Johnson for 29 yds to the Fla 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Ken Seals run for no gain to the Fla 1

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Ken Seals pass incomplete to Ben Bresnahan

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.40

Rocko Griffin run for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 2

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -4.15

Ken Seals pass incomplete to Chris Pierce Jr.

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.28

Emory Jones run for 11 yds to the Fla 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.40

Emory Jones pass complete to Jacob Copeland for no gain to the Fla 13

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Pierson Cooke kickoff for 61 yds , Jacob Copeland return for 17 yds to the Fla 21

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Emory Jones pass complete to Nay'Quan Wright for 6 yds to the Fla 27

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.74

Nay'Quan Wright run for no gain to the Fla 27

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Emory Jones pass incomplete to Jacob Copeland

4th & 4Rush+28 ydsPPA +3.65

Jeremy Crawshaw run for 28 yds to the Vandy 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.23

Dameon Pierce run for a loss of 1 yard to the Vandy 46

2nd & 11Penalty-5 yds

FLORIDA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Fla 49

2nd & 16Penalty-10 yds

Jones, Emory rush for 5 yards to the VANDERBILT46, PENALTY FLORIDA holding 10 yards to the FLORIDA39, NO PLAY.

2nd & 26Passing Touchdown+61 ydsPPA +7.04

Emory Jones pass complete to Dameon Pierce for 61 yds for a TD, (Jace Christmann KICK)

2nd & 26Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Jace Christmann kickoff for 59 yds , James Ziglor III return for 17 yds to the Vandy 23

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Ken Seals pass incomplete to Rocko Griffin

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.35

Rocko Griffin run for a loss of 1 yard to the Vandy 22

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Ken Seals pass incomplete to Chris Pierce Jr.

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Harrison Smith punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Xzavier Henderson at the Fla 28

1st & 10Pass Reception+47 ydsPPA +3.16

Emory Jones pass complete to Jacob Copeland for 47 yds to the Vandy 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +2.70

Emory Jones pass complete to Jacob Copeland for 25 yds for a TD, (Jace Christmann KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Ken Seals pass incomplete to Chris Pierce Jr.

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Patrick Smith run for 1 yd to the Vandy 26

3rd & 9Pass Interception Return+12 ydsPPA +0.07

Ken Seals pass intercepted Trey Dean III return for 12 yds to the Vandy 30

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.29

Emory Jones pass complete to Rick Wells for 19 yds to the Vandy 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.58

Rick Wells run for 10 yds to the Vandy 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Dameon Pierce run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jace Christmann KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Patrick Smith run for no gain to the Vandy 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Ken Seals pass complete to Devin Boddie Jr. for 2 yds to the Vandy 27

3rd & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.15

Ken Seals pass complete to Devin Boddie Jr. for 12 yds to the Vandy 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.35

Ken Seals pass complete to Devin Boddie Jr. for 9 yds to the Vandy 48

2nd & 1Sack-8 ydsPPA -3.07

Ken Seals sacked by Antwuan Powell for a loss of 8 yards to the Vandy 40

3rd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Ken Seals pass complete to Chris Pierce Jr. for 3 yds to the Vandy 43

4th & 6Punt+1 yds

Harrison Smith punt for 46 yds , Xzavier Henderson returns for 1 yd to the Fla 12

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.32

Emory Jones pass complete to Trent Whittemore for 1 yd to the Fla 13

2nd & 9Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA +0.05

Emory Jones pass intercepted Dashaun Jerkins return for no gain to the Fla 30

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Ken Seals pass incomplete to Ben Bresnahan

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Ken Seals pass complete to Ben Bresnahan for 8 yds to the Fla 22

3rd & 2Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.39

Ken Seals pass complete to Cam Johnson for 10 yds to the Fla 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Patrick Smith run for 4 yds to the Fla 8

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Ken Seals pass incomplete to Will Sheppard

3rd & 6Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.23

Ken Seals sacked by Antwuan Powell for a loss of 7 yards to the Fla 15

4th & 13Field Goal Missed+33 yds

Joseph Bulovas 33 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Nay'Quan Wright run for 3 yds to the Fla 23

2nd & 7Penalty-10 yds

FLORIDA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Fla 13

2nd & 17Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.05

Emory Jones pass complete to Keon Zipperer for 2 yds to the Fla 15

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.05

Emory Jones pass incomplete to Xzavier Henderson

4th & 15Punt+10 yds

Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 69 yds , Cam Johnson returns for 10 yds to the Vandy 26

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Patrick Smith run for 5 yds to the Vandy 31

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.50

Devin Boddie Jr. run for 2 yds to the Vandy 33

3rd & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.36

Mike Wright pass complete to Devin Boddie Jr. for 4 yds to the Vandy 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Mike Wright run for 4 yds to the Vandy 41

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Patrick Smith run for 5 yds to the Vandy 46

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Patrick Smith run for no gain to the Vandy 46

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Harrison Smith punt for 45 yds , Xzavier Henderson returns for no gain to the Fla 9 Xzavier Henderson fumbled, recovered by Fla Xzavier Henderson

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.80

Anthony Richardson pass complete to Lorenzo Lingard for 9 yds to the Fla 18

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Lorenzo Lingard run for 2 yds to the Fla 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.80

Anthony Richardson pass complete to Jacob Copeland for 8 yds to the Fla 28

2nd & 2Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.54

Lorenzo Lingard run for 9 yds to the Fla 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Anthony Richardson run for 3 yds to the Fla 40

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Lorenzo Lingard run for 2 yds to the Fla 42

3rd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.58

Anthony Richardson run for 1 yd to the Fla 43

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 57 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Mike Wright run for 3 yds to the Vandy 23

2nd & 7Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.57

Patrick Smith run for 14 yds to the Vandy 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.96

Patrick Smith run for 10 yds to the Vandy 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Patrick Smith run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Mike Wright pass complete to Patrick Smith for 3 yds to the Fla 47

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Patrick Smith run for 2 yds to the Fla 45

4th & 2Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.43

Mike Wright sacked by Justus Boone and Lloyd Summerall III for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 46

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Anthony Richardson run for 2 yds to the Fla 48

2nd & 8Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.62

Demarkcus Bowman run for 11 yds to the Vandy 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Demarkcus Bowman run for 5 yds to the Vandy 36

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.90

Demarkcus Bowman run for no gain to the Vandy 36

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Demarkcus Bowman run for 2 yds to the Vandy 34

4th & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.88

Anthony Richardson run for 6 yds to the Vandy 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Demarkcus Bowman run for 3 yds to the Vandy 25

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.72

Anthony Richardson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Vandy 26

Situational Analysis

Vanderbilt

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
34%
29 plays
2nd
0%
5 plays
20%
5 plays
33%
15 plays
3rd
50%
8 plays
33%
3 plays
63%
8 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
33%
3 plays

Florida

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
2 plays
43%
28 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
70%
10 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
0%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
2 plays
100%
1 play