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← Back to GamesOct 3, 2021Week 5
AuburnAuburn
24
-Final
19
LSULSU
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

LSU by 7.3

Home Win Probability

LSU 62%

Market (consensus)

LSU -3

Edge: LSU -3 (4.3 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 3, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
AuburnAuburn
01001424
LSULSU
766019

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-010-013-013-716-1019-1019-1719-24
LSUAuburn

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20AUBLSUAUBLSUAUBLSUAUBLSUAUBLSULSULSULSUAUBLSUAUBLSUAUBLSUAUBLSUAUBLSUAUBPUNT632ydTD891ydMISS1141ydFG1052ydDOWNS540ydFG851ydTD1075ydPUNT642ydFG1362ydMISS00ydEND1-1ydUncategorized00ydFG1240ydMISS740ydFG1129ydTD975ydPUNT35ydPUNT34ydPUNT620ydPUNT30ydPUNT33ydTD1192ydTO721ydEND2-3yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Auburn and LSU
StatisticAuburnLSU
Passing24-4826-46
Pass Yards290325
Rush Yards16333
Total Yards453358
Turnovers01
3rd Down7-166-17
Penalties4-406-50
Possession28:4631:14

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Auburn
passing
Bo Nix
23/44, 255 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Bo Nix
12 CAR, 74 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
John Samuel Shenker
5 REC, 102 YDS
defense
LSU
passing
Max Johnson
26/46, 325 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Corey Kiner
5 CAR, 22 YDS
receiving
Kayshon Boutte
6 REC, 127 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

LSU Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Aub 30

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Bo Nix run for 4 yds to the Aub 34

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Bo Nix pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +3.03

Bo Nix pass complete to Demetris Robertson for 19 yds to the LSU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-7 ydsPPA -2.53

Tank Bigsby run for a loss of 7 yards to the Aub 46

2nd & 17Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Tank Bigsby run for 3 yds to the Aub 49

3rd & 14Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.55

Bo Nix run for 8 yds to the LSU 43

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Oscar Chapman punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Trey Palmer at the LSU 9

1st & 10Pass Reception+55 ydsPPA +3.81

Max Johnson pass complete to Kayshon Boutte for 55 yds to the Aub 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.55

Armoni Goodwin run for 1 yd to the Aub 35

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.40

Max Johnson pass complete to Jack Bech for 7 yds to the Aub 28

3rd & 2Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Max Johnson pass complete to Brian Thomas Jr. for 7 yds to the Aub 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

LSU Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Aub 31

1st & 20Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.48

Max Johnson pass complete to Tyrion Davis-Price for 9 yds to the Aub 22

2nd & 11Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.69

Max Johnson pass complete to Kayshon Boutte for 13 yds to the Aub 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Fumble Recovery (Own)-22 ydsPPA -3.16

TEAM run for a loss of 22 yards to the Aub 31 TEAM fumbled, recovered by LSU Max Johnson Max Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Aub 31

2nd & 0Passing Touchdown+31 yds

Max Johnson pass complete to Kayshon Boutte for 31 yds for a TD, (Cade York KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Tank Bigsby run for 7 yds to the Aub 32

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Bo Nix pass incomplete

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.42

Bo Nix run for 5 yds to the Aub 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.96

Bo Nix pass complete to Demetris Robertson for 10 yds to the Aub 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Bo Nix pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.84

Bo Nix pass complete to Tyler Fromm for 8 yds to the LSU 45

3rd & 2Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.36

Bo Nix pass complete to Tyler Fromm for 8 yds to the LSU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Bo Nix run for 4 yds to the LSU 33

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.00

Tank Bigsby run for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 34

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Bo Nix pass incomplete to Kobe Hudson

4th & 7Field Goal Missed+51 yds

Anders Carlson 51 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Max Johnson run for 4 yds to the LSU 38

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Max Johnson pass incomplete

3rd & 6Penalty+15 yds

AUBURN Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Aub 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.74

Max Johnson pass complete to Kayshon Boutte for 15 yds to the Aub 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Max Johnson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Max Johnson pass complete to Corey Kiner for 6 yds to the Aub 26

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Max Johnson run for 3 yds to the Aub 23

4th & 1Penalty+5 yds

AUBURN Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Aub 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.05

Max Johnson sacked by Derick Hall for a loss of 7 yards to the Aub 25

2nd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Max Johnson pass incomplete

3rd & 17Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.00

Max Johnson run for 11 yds to the Aub 14

4th & 6Field Goal Good+33 yds

Cade York 33 yd FG GOOD

4th & 6Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Avery Atkins kickoff for 65 yds , Nehemiah Pritchett return for 19 yds to the Aub 19

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

LSU Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the Aub 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.79

TJ Finley pass complete to John Samuel Shenker for 35 yds to the LSU 31 for a 1ST down AUBURN Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (-15 Yards) to the LSU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Jarquez Hunter run for 5 yds to the LSU 41

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

TJ Finley pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

TJ Finley pass incomplete

4th & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.42

TJ Finley pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.05

Max Johnson pass complete to Jaray Jenkins for 12 yds to the Aub 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.69

Max Johnson sacked by Derick Hall for a loss of 8 yards to the LSU 45

2nd & 18Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Armoni Goodwin run for 3 yds to the LSU 48

3rd & 15Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +4.02

Max Johnson pass complete to Jack Bech for 40 yds to the Aub 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Max Johnson pass incomplete to Deion Smith

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Tyrion Davis-Price run for 6 yds to the Aub 6

3rd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Max Johnson pass complete to Kayshon Boutte for 3 yds to the Aub 3

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

LSU Penalty, False Start (Charles Turner) to the Aub 8

4th & 6Field Goal Good+26 yds

Cade York 26 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Bo Nix pass complete to Demetris Robertson for 7 yds to the Aub 32

2nd & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.62

Bo Nix pass complete to Shedrick Jackson for 7 yds to the Aub 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Bo Nix pass incomplete to John Samuel Shenker

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.28

Bo Nix pass complete to John Samuel Shenker for 13 yds to the LSU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.56

Jarquez Hunter run for 7 yds to the LSU 41

2nd & 3Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.25

Bo Nix pass complete to Demetris Robertson for 9 yds to the LSU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Bo Nix run for 6 yds to the LSU 26

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

Bo Nix pass incomplete to Kobe Hudson

3rd & 4Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Bo Nix pass complete to Shaun Shivers for 2 yds to the LSU 24

4th & 2Passing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +3.69

Bo Nix pass complete to Tyler Fromm for 24 yds for a TD, (Anders Carlson KICK)

4th & 2Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Anders Carlson kickoff for 65 yds , Trey Palmer return for 17 yds to the LSU 17

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.76

Max Johnson pass complete to Brian Thomas Jr. for 12 yds to the LSU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Max Johnson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +3.06

Max Johnson pass complete to Malik Nabers for 25 yds to the Aub 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Max Johnson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Max Johnson run for 5 yds to the Aub 41

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Max Johnson pass incomplete to Kayshon Boutte

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Avery Atkins punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Demetris Robertson at the Aub 6

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Bo Nix pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Bo Nix pass incomplete to Kobe Hudson

3rd & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.11

Bo Nix pass complete to Shaun Shivers for 17 yds to the Aub 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.87

Bo Nix pass complete to John Samuel Shenker for 8 yds to the Aub 31

2nd & 2Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.97

Bo Nix pass complete to John Samuel Shenker for 13 yds to the Aub 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Bo Nix pass complete to Demetris Robertson for 5 yds to the Aub 49

2nd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.44

Bo Nix pass complete to Shaun Shivers for 3 yds to the LSU 48

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Bo Nix pass incomplete to Ja'Varrius Johnson

4th & 2Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.74

Bo Nix pass complete to Demetris Robertson for 10 yds to the LSU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Bo Nix run for 6 yds to the LSU 32

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Bo Nix pass incomplete to Kobe Hudson

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Bo Nix pass incomplete to Shaun Shivers

4th & 4Field Goal Good+49 yds

Anders Carlson 49 yd FG GOOD

No play data available
1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 24

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

No play data available
1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.73

Tyrion Davis-Price run for 8 yds to the Aub 37

2nd & 2Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA -0.13

Max Johnson pass complete to Jack Bech for 5 yds to the Aub 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Max Johnson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.83

Tyrion Davis-Price run for no gain to the Aub 32

3rd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.66

Max Johnson pass complete to Kayshon Boutte for 10 yds to the Aub 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Max Johnson pass incomplete to Jack Bech

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.34

Max Johnson pass complete to Jaray Jenkins for 8 yds to the Aub 14

3rd & 2Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.83

Max Johnson run for 4 yds to the Aub 10 for a 1ST down AUBURN Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Romello Height) to the Aub 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Max Johnson pass incomplete to Jaray Jenkins

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Tyrion Davis-Price run for no gain to the Aub 5

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Max Johnson pass incomplete to Deion Smith

4th & 5Field Goal Good+22 yds

Cade York 22 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Bo Nix run for 2 yds to the Aub 27

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Tank Bigsby run for 5 yds to the Aub 32

3rd & 3Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +3.49

Bo Nix pass complete to John Samuel Shenker for 33 yds to the LSU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Bo Nix pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Bo Nix pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Bo Nix pass incomplete

4th & 10Blocked Field Goal+52 yds

Anders Carlson 52 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Jay Ward

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.03

Corey Kiner run for 11 yds to the LSU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Max Johnson pass complete to Jack Bech for 6 yds to the Aub 45

2nd & 4Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.63

Max Johnson pass complete to Jack Bech for 11 yds to the Aub 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Corey Kiner run for 6 yds to the Aub 28

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Corey Kiner run for 3 yds to the Aub 25

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.73

Corey Kiner run for no gain to the Aub 25

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.99

Corey Kiner run for 2 yds to the Aub 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Max Johnson run for 2 yds to the Aub 21

2nd & 8Penalty-10 yds

LSU Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Aub 31

2nd & 18Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Josh Williams run for 2 yds to the Aub 29

3rd & 16Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.68

Max Johnson sacked by Eku Leota for a loss of 4 yards to the Aub 33 Max Johnson fumbled, forced by Eku Leota, recovered by LSU

4th & 20Field Goal Good+51 yds

Cade York 51 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Bo Nix pass complete to Jarquez Hunter for 10 yds to the Aub 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Jarquez Hunter run for no gain to the Aub 35

2nd & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.78

Bo Nix pass complete to Kobe Hudson for 20 yds to the LSU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Tank Bigsby run for 5 yds to the LSU 40

2nd & 5Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.59

Tank Bigsby run for 11 yds to the LSU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.21

Bo Nix run for 12 yds to the LSU 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Bo Nix pass complete to Tank Bigsby for 6 yds to the LSU 11

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.51

Bo Nix run for 6 yds to the LSU 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Bo Nix run for 5 yds for a TD, (Anders Carlson KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Max Johnson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Max Johnson pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Max Johnson pass complete to Brian Thomas Jr. for 5 yds to the LSU 30

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Avery Atkins punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Demetris Robertson at the Aub 25

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Tank Bigsby run for 1 yd to the Aub 26

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Tank Bigsby run for 3 yds to the Aub 29

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Bo Nix pass incomplete to Ja'Varrius Johnson

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Oscar Chapman punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Trey Palmer at the LSU 27

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Max Johnson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Max Johnson pass complete to Jack Bech for 5 yds to the LSU 32

3rd & 5Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.09

Max Johnson pass complete to Jack Bech for 10 yds to the LSU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Max Johnson pass incomplete to Trey Palmer

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Max Johnson pass complete to Malik Nabers for 5 yds to the LSU 47

3rd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

Max Johnson run for no gain to the LSU 47

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Avery Atkins punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Demetris Robertson at the Aub 13

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Bo Nix pass incomplete to Demetris Robertson

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Bo Nix pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.08

Bo Nix pass incomplete to Shedrick Jackson

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Oscar Chapman punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Trey Palmer at the LSU 46

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Max Johnson pass complete to Brian Thomas Jr. for 2 yds to the LSU 48

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Max Johnson pass complete to Brian Thomas Jr. for 6 yds to the Aub 46

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Max Johnson pass incomplete to Jack Bech

4th & 2Penalty-5 yds

LSU Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the LSU 49

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Avery Atkins punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Aub 8

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.41

Bo Nix run for 11 yds to the Aub 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Bo Nix pass incomplete to Tank Bigsby

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Bo Nix run for 5 yds to the Aub 24

3rd & 5Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.60

Bo Nix pass complete to Shaun Shivers for 10 yds to the Aub 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Bo Nix pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+44 ydsPPA +3.68

Jarquez Hunter run for 44 yds to the LSU 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Bo Nix pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.24

Bo Nix pass complete to Ze'Vian Capers for 7 yds to the LSU 15

3rd & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Bo Nix pass complete to Shaun Shivers for 6 yds to the LSU 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.52

Jarquez Hunter run for 8 yds to the LSU 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Jarquez Hunter run for 1 yd for a TD, (Anders Carlson KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Max Johnson pass incomplete to Trey Palmer

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Max Johnson pass complete to Trey Palmer for 7 yds to the LSU 32

3rd & 3Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.91

Max Johnson pass complete to Deion Smith for 10 yds to the LSU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Max Johnson pass incomplete to Deion Smith

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Tyrion Davis-Price run for 4 yds to the LSU 46

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Max Johnson pass incomplete to Kayshon Boutte

4th & 6Pass Interception Return+7 ydsPPA -0.38

Max Johnson pass intercepted Bydarrius Knighten return for 7 yds to the Aub 39

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.46

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Aub 37

2nd & 12Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.65

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Aub 36

Situational Analysis

Auburn

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
52%
31 plays
2nd
80%
5 plays
25%
8 plays
64%
11 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
33%
6 plays
25%
4 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play

LSU

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
30%
27 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
0%
1 play
25%
4 plays
77%
13 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
14%
7 plays
100%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play