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← Back to GamesSep 25, 2021Week 4
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Kentucky by 1.4

Home Win Probability

South Carolina 48%

Market (consensus)

South Carolina +4.5

Edge: South Carolina +4.5 (3.1 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 25, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
KentuckyKentucky
733316
South CarolinaSouth Carolina
007310

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40140-70-107-107-137-1610-16
South CarolinaKentucky

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20KENSCKENSCKENSCKENSCKENSCKENSCKENSCKENSCKENSCKENSCKENTD1275ydPUNT37ydPUNT423ydPUNT723ydPUNT411ydPUNT34ydPUNT36ydDOWNS49ydTO312ydPUNT637ydEND1057ydTD1075ydFG1372ydPUNT51ydTO1-7ydDOWNS515ydTO422ydDOWNS47ydFG951ydFG539ydEND630yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Kentucky and South Carolina
StatisticKentuckySouth Carolina
Passing15-2217-25
Pass Yards102158
Rush Yards23058
Total Yards332216
Turnovers30
3rd Down6-123-12
Penalties4-295-45
Possession35:3624:24

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Kentucky
passing
Will Levis
15/22, 102 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Chris Rodriguez Jr.
26 CAR, 144 YDS
receiving
Wan'Dale Robinson
7 REC, 65 YDS
defense
South Carolina
passing
Luke Doty
17/25, 158 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Kevin Harris
12 CAR, 38 YDS
receiving
Jalen Brooks
4 REC, 63 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 10 yds to the Kent 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Wan'Dale Robinson run for 5 yds to the Kent 40

2nd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Will Levis pass complete to Chris Rodriguez Jr. for 4 yds to the Kent 44

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

KENTUCKY Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Kent 39

3rd & 6Penalty+5 yds

SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Kent 44

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.11

Will Levis run for 2 yds to the Kent 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.83

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 11 yds to the SCaro 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Will Levis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.72

Kavosiey Smoke run for 8 yds to the SCaro 35

3rd & 2Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.87

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 10 yds to the SCaro 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 4 yds to the SCaro 21

2nd & 6Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Will Levis pass complete to Josh Ali for 3 yds to the SCaro 18

3rd & 3Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +0.33

Will Levis pass complete to Josh Ali for 3 yds to the SCaro 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.56

Kavosiey Smoke run for 15 yds for a TD (Matt Ruffolo KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Kevin Harris run for 6 yds to the SCaro 31

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Kevin Harris run for 1 yd to the SCaro 32

3rd & 3Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.51

Luke Doty pass complete to Kevin Harris for no gain to the SCaro 32

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Kai Kroeger punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Josh Ali at the Kent 17

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.02

Will Levis pass complete to Brenden Bates for 15 yds to the Kent 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Will Levis pass complete to Josh Ali for 4 yds to the Kent 36

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 3 yds to the Kent 39

3rd & 3Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Will Levis pass complete to Chris Rodriguez Jr. for 1 yd to the Kent 40

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Colin Goodfellow punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Josh Vann at the SCaro 18

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.80

Luke Doty pass complete to Juju McDowell for 12 yds to the SCaro 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Kevin Harris run for 5 yds to the SCaro 35

2nd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Luke Doty pass complete to Juju McDowell for 4 yds to the SCaro 39

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.27

Juju McDowell run for 4 yds to the SCaro 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Luke Doty pass incomplete to Josh Vann

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Juju McDowell run for 3 yds to the SCaro 46

3rd & 7Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.12

Luke Doty sacked by J.J. Weaver for a loss of 5 yards to the SCaro 41

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Kai Kroeger punt for 56 yds, downed at the Kent 3

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.26

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for no gain to the Kent 3 Chris Rodriguez Jr. fumbled, forced by Carlins Platel, recovered by Kent

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 4 yds to the Kent 7

2nd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 4 yds to the Kent 8

3rd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.05

Will Levis run for 3 yds to the Kent 11

4th & 2Punt+7 yds

Colin Goodfellow punt for 40 yds , Josh Vann returns for 7 yds to the Kent 44

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Kevin Harris run for 2 yds to the Kent 42

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Kevin Harris run for 1 yd to the Kent 41

3rd & 7Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Luke Doty pass complete to Josh Vann for 1 yd to the Kent 40

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Kai Kroeger punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Josh Ali at the Kent 10

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 6 yds to the Kent 16

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Will Levis pass incomplete to Justin Rigg

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Will Levis pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Colin Goodfellow punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Josh Vann at the SCaro 44

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Juju McDowell run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.44

Juju McDowell run for 3 yds to the Kent 47

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.19

Kevin Harris run for no gain to the Kent 47

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.38

Kevin Harris run for no gain to the Kent 47

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Will Levis pass incomplete to Justin Rigg

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.01

Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 12 yds to the SCaro 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return-1 ydsPPA -3.76

Will Levis pass intercepted Jaylan Foster return for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 1

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Luke Doty pass incomplete to Jalen Brooks

2nd & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.85

Luke Doty pass complete to Kevin Harris for 19 yds to the SCaro 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.69

Luke Doty pass complete to Rico Powers for 10 yds to the SCaro 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Kevin Harris run for 5 yds to the SCaro 35

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

MarShawn Lloyd run for 3 yds to the SCaro 38

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Luke Doty pass incomplete to Jaheim Bell

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Kai Kroeger punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Josh Ali at the Kent 18

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Kavosiey Smoke run for 4 yds to the Kent 22

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Kavosiey Smoke run for 5 yds to the Kent 27

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.80

Will Levis run for 3 yds to the Kent 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.03

Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 11 yds to the Kent 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for no gain to the Kent 41

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the SCaro 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 5 yds to the SCaro 39

2nd & 5Penalty+10 yds

SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the SCaro 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

KENTUCKY Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the SCaro 39

1st & 20Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Will Levis pass complete to Kavosiey Smoke for 3 yds to the SCaro 36

2nd & 17Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.08

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 11 yds to the SCaro 25

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Will Levis pass incomplete

4th & 6Field Goal Good+43 yds

Matt Ruffolo 43 yd FG GOOD

0th & 6End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Luke Doty run for 4 yds to the SCaro 29

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Luke Doty run for 2 yds to the SCaro 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.37

Luke Doty pass complete to Josh Vann for 4 yds to the SCaro 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Luke Doty pass incomplete to Jaheim Bell

2nd & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.57

Luke Doty pass complete to Jalen Brooks for 17 yds to the Kent 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.56

Kevin Harris run for 7 yds to the Kent 41

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Kevin Harris run for no gain to the Kent 41

3rd & 3Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +1.63

Luke Doty pass complete to Nick Muse for 25 yds to the Kent 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.68

Luke Doty pass complete to Josh Vann for 11 yds to the Kent 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Luke Doty pass complete to Jalen Brooks for 5 yds for a TD (Parker White KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Kent 30

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.10

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kent 28

2nd & 12Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.13

Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 13 yds to the Kent 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 2 yds to the Kent 43

2nd & 8Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.15

Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 17 yds to the SCaro 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 3 yds to the SCaro 37 Chris Rodriguez Jr. fumbled, recovered by Kent

2nd & 7Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.85

Will Levis run for 18 yds to the SCaro 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Will Levis run for 4 yds to the SCaro 15

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Kavosiey Smoke run for 2 yds to the SCaro 13

3rd & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.15

Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 9 yds to the SCaro 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.75

Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 5

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Kavosiey Smoke run for 2 yds to the SCaro 3

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Will Levis pass incomplete

4th & 3Field Goal Good+21 yds

Matt Ruffolo 21 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Kevin Harris run for 1 yd to the SCaro 20

2nd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.28

Luke Doty pass complete to Jalen Brooks for 11 yds to the SCaro 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.33

Luke Doty run for a loss of 4 yards to the SCaro 27

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Luke Doty pass incomplete to Jalen Brooks

3rd & 14Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.18

Luke Doty sacked by Carrington Valentine for a loss of 7 yards to the SCaro 20

4th & 21Punt0 yds

Kai Kroeger punt for 33 yds, downed at the Kent 47

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-7 ydsPPA -2.90

Josh Ali run for a loss of 7 yards to the Kent 40 Josh Ali fumbled, forced by David Spaulding, recovered by SCaro Brad Johnson

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.37

Kevin Harris run for 10 yds to the Kent 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Kent 40

1st & 20Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.99

Luke Doty pass complete to Kevin Harris for no gain to the Kent 40

2nd & 20Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Luke Doty pass complete to Rico Powers for 2 yds to the Kent 38

3rd & 18Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.70

Luke Doty pass complete to E.J. Jenkins for 13 yds to the Kent 25

4th & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.91

Luke Doty pass incomplete to Jalen Brooks

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 8 yds to the Kent 33

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.02

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 3 yds to the Kent 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 2 yds to the Kent 38

2nd & 8Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+9 ydsPPA -1.21

Josh Ali run for 9 yds to the Kent 47 Josh Ali fumbled, forced by R.J. Roderick, recovered by SCaro Kingsley Enagbare

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.74

Juju McDowell run for a loss of 3 yards to the 50 yard line

2nd & 13Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Luke Doty run for 3 yds to the Kent 47

3rd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Luke Doty run for 7 yds to the Kent 40

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.77

Luke Doty pass incomplete to Dakereon Joyner

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 4 yds to the Kent 44

2nd & 6Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.57

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 13 yds to the SCaro 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.48

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 11 yds to the SCaro 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 5 yds to the SCaro 27

2nd & 5Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.21

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 10 yds to the SCaro 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Kavosiey Smoke run for 5 yds to the SCaro 12

2nd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.45

Kavosiey Smoke run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 13

3rd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Will Levis pass complete to Josh Ali for 4 yds to the SCaro 9

4th & 2Field Goal Good+27 yds

Matt Ruffolo 27 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +2.60

Luke Doty pass complete to Jalen Brooks for 30 yds to the Kent 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+11 yds

KENTUCKY Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (11 Yards) to the Kent 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-6 ydsPPA -1.81

Luke Doty pass complete to Kevin Harris for a loss of 6 yards to the Kent 40

2nd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Luke Doty pass incomplete to Jalen Brooks

3rd & 16Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Luke Doty run for 4 yds to the Kent 36

4th & 12Field Goal Good+54 yds

Parker White 54 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 9 yds to the Kent 34

2nd & 1Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.46

Kavosiey Smoke run for 10 yds to the Kent 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 4 yds to the Kent 48

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 4 yds to the SCaro 48

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.29

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 4 yds to the SCaro 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.19

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 45

Situational Analysis

Kentucky

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
43%
30 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
100%
2 plays
27%
11 plays
57%
7 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
71%
7 plays
20%
5 plays
4th

South Carolina

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
53%
19 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
1 play
0%
5 plays
60%
5 plays
0%
4 plays
3rd
40%
5 plays
100%
1 play
33%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
0%
2 plays
0%
1 play