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← Back to GamesSep 25, 2021Week 4

House Prediction

Model Margin

Boston College by 11.6

Home Win Probability

Boston College 77%

Market (consensus)

Boston College -1

Edge: Boston College -1 (10.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 25, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QOTFinal
MissouriMissouri
143017034
Boston CollegeBoston College
710107741

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-77-714-1414-1717-1724-1727-1727-2427-3134-3134-34
Boston CollegeMissouri

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MISBCMISBCMISBCMISBCMISBCMISBCMISBCMISBCMISBCMISBCMISTD1072ydTO10ydPUNT31ydTD498ydTD780ydTD1075ydPUNT411ydPUNT33ydFG1457ydFG1043ydUncategorized00ydTD1375ydTO24ydFG1650ydTD975ydPUNT31ydTD1157ydTD1560ydEND736ydTD525ydUncategorized10yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Missouri and Boston College
StatisticMissouriBoston College
Passing30-4218-29
Pass Yards303175
Rush Yards88275
Total Yards391450
Turnovers21
3rd Down8-1210-16
Penalties3-304-37
Possession25:4934:11

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Missouri
passing
Connor Bazelak
30/41, 303 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Tyler Badie
18 CAR, 72 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Tauskie Dove
3 REC, 89 YDS
defense
Boston College
passing
Dennis Grosel
18/29, 175 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Pat Garwo III
25 CAR, 175 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Zay Flowers
8 REC, 62 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+15 yds

Danny Longman kickoff for 52 yds , Kris Abrams-Draine return for 15 yds to the Misso 28

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Tyler Badie for 3 yds to the Misso 31

2nd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Mookie Cooper for 3 yds to the Misso 34

3rd & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.00

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Dawson Downing for 9 yds to the Misso 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.85

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Tauskie Dove for 10 yds to the BC 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Chance Luper for 3 yds to the BC 44

2nd & 7Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Tyler Badie for 1 yd to the BC 43

3rd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Tyler Badie run for no gain to the BC 43

4th & 6Penalty+5 yds

BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Running Into Kicker (Elijah Jones) to the BC 38

4th & 1Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.85

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Keke Chism for 5 yds to the BC 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+24 ydsPPA +0.48

Tyler Badie run for 24 yds to the BC 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.42

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Barrett Banister for 9 yds for a TD, (Harrison Mevis KICK)

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.92

Dennis Grosel pass intercepted Shawn Robinson return for no gain to the Misso 38

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Tyler Badie run for 1 yd to the Misso 39

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Tauskie Dove

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Chance Luper

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Grant McKinniss punt for 59 yds, downed at the BC 2

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Pat Garwo III run for 2 yds to the BC 4

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.10

Dennis Grosel run for 2 yds to the BC 6

3rd & 6Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +1.81

Dennis Grosel pass complete to Zay Flowers for 27 yds to the BC 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+67 ydsPPA +5.43

Pat Garwo III run for 67 yds for a TD, (Connor Lytton KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Danny Longman kickoff for 62 yds , Kris Abrams-Draine return for 17 yds to the Misso 20

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.80

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Tyler Badie for 8 yds to the Misso 28

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Tyler Badie

3rd & 2Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.28

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Keke Chism for 17 yds to the Misso 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Chance Luper

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.09

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Barrett Banister for 12 yds to the BC 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +1.66

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Tauskie Dove for 39 yds to the BC 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Tyler Badie run for 4 yds for a TD, (Harrison Mevis KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Dennis Grosel pass complete to Jaelen Gill for 13 yds to the BC 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.48

Pat Garwo III run for 17 yds to the Misso 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.96

Pat Garwo III run for 9 yds to the Misso 36

2nd & 1Rush+18 ydsPPA -0.07

Alec Sinkfield run for 18 yds to the Misso 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Alec Sinkfield run for 2 yds to the Misso 16

2nd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Dennis Grosel pass complete to Zay Flowers for 4 yds to the Misso 12

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Travis Levy run for 3 yds to the Misso 9

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.62

Dennis Grosel run for 1 yd to the Misso 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Pat Garwo III run for 1 yd to the Misso 7

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.61

Dennis Grosel pass complete to Jaden Williams for 7 yds for a TD, (Connor Lytton KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Dominic Lovett for 10 yds to the Misso 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Tyler Badie run for 1 yd to the Misso 36

2nd & 9Penalty-10 yds

MISSOURI Penalty, Offensive Holding (Javon Foster) to the Misso 26

2nd & 19Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Niko Hea for 4 yds to the Misso 30

3rd & 15Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.06

Tyler Badie run for 6 yds to the Misso 36

4th & 9Punt+46 yds

Grant McKinniss punt for 46 yds , Travis Levy returns for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 17

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Pat Garwo III run for 3 yds to the BC 20

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Dennis Grosel pass incomplete to Jaelen Gill

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Dennis Grosel pass incomplete to Trae Barry

4th & 7Punt+4 yds

Grant Carlson punt for 52 yds , D'ionte Smith returns for 4 yds to the Misso 32

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Tyler Badie run for 2 yds to the Misso 34

2nd & 8Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.54

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Tyler Badie for 8 yds to the Misso 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Tyler Badie run for 3 yds to the Misso 45

2nd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.45

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Keke Chism for 9 yds to the BC 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Chance Luper for 1 yd to the BC 45

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Tyler Badie

3rd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.48

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Chance Luper for 11 yds to the BC 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.34

Connor Bazelak pass complete to JJ Hester for 16 yds to the BC 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Elijah Young run for no gain to the BC 18

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.75

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Dominic Lovett for 4 yds to the BC 14 for a 1ST down BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Personal Foul (Isaiah Graham-Mobley) to the BC 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush-6 ydsPPA -0.78

Tyler Badie run for a loss of 6 yards to the BC 13

2nd & 13Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Tyler Badie run for 2 yds to the BC 11

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete

4th & 11Field Goal Good+28 yds

Harrison Mevis 28 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Dennis Grosel pass complete to Zay Flowers for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 24

2nd & 11Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.78

Dennis Grosel pass complete to Trae Barry for 10 yds to the BC 34

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.86

Alec Sinkfield run for 1 yd to the BC 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Alec Sinkfield run for 4 yds to the BC 39

2nd & 6Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.24

Dennis Grosel pass complete to Xavier Coleman for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 37

3rd & 8Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +3.95

Dennis Grosel pass complete to CJ Lewis for 38 yds to the Misso 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Alec Sinkfield run for 3 yds to the Misso 22

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Dennis Grosel pass incomplete

3rd & 7Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.72

Dennis Grosel sacked by Blaze Alldredge and Martez Manuel for a loss of 10 yards to the Misso 32

4th & 17Field Goal Good+49 yds

Connor Lytton 49 yd FG GOOD

0th & 17End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

4th & 17Kickoff Return (Offense)+36 yds

Danny Longman kickoff for 65 yds , Kris Abrams-Draine return for 36 yds to the Misso 36

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Pat Garwo III run for 7 yds to the BC 32

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.42

Pat Garwo III run for 5 yds to the BC 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Dennis Grosel pass incomplete to Zay Flowers

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Pat Garwo III run for 6 yds to the BC 43

3rd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.93

Dennis Grosel run for 6 yds to the BC 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Pat Garwo III run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

2nd & 9Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.84

Dennis Grosel pass complete to Jaelen Gill for 15 yds to the Misso 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.39

Pat Garwo III run for 7 yds to the Misso 28

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.07

Pat Garwo III run for 6 yds to the Misso 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Dennis Grosel pass complete to Jaden Williams for 1 yd to the Misso 21

2nd & 9Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.76

Dennis Grosel pass complete to CJ Lewis for 14 yds to the Misso 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Dennis Grosel pass complete to Zay Flowers for 4 yds to the Misso 3

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Pat Garwo III run for 3 yds for a TD, (Connor Lytton KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Tyler Badie run for 4 yds to the Misso 39

2nd & 6Pass Interception Return-4 ydsPPA -1.60

Connor Bazelak pass intercepted Josh DeBerry return for a loss of 4 yards to the BC 36

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Pat Garwo III run for 1 yd to the BC 37

2nd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.80

Dennis Grosel run for 8 yds to the BC 45

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.19

Pat Garwo III run for 3 yds to the BC 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Pat Garwo III run for 5 yds to the Misso 47

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.66

Pat Garwo III run for 6 yds to the Misso 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Pat Garwo III run for 2 yds to the Misso 39

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Dennis Grosel pass incomplete to CJ Lewis

3rd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Dennis Grosel run for 14 yds to the Misso 25 BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Misso 35

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Dennis Grosel pass incomplete to CJ Lewis

4th & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +2.06

Dennis Grosel run for 5 yds to the Misso 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Pat Garwo III run for 6 yds to the Misso 24

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.01

Pat Garwo III run for 6 yds to the Misso 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Pat Garwo III run for 3 yds to the Misso 15

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.28

Alec Sinkfield run for 1 yd to the Misso 14

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Dennis Grosel pass incomplete to Jaelen Gill

4th & 6Field Goal Good+31 yds

Connor Lytton 31 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Keke Chism for 11 yds to the Misso 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Tyler Badie run for 2 yds to the Misso 38

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +3.95

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Tauskie Dove for 40 yds to the BC 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Connor Bazelak run for 8 yds to the BC 14

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.24

Tyler Badie run for 5 yds to the BC 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.52

Tyler Badie run for 8 yds to the BC 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Tyler Badie run for no gain to the BC 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Michael Cox run for 1 yd for a TD, (Harrison Mevis KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Pat Garwo III run for 1 yd to the BC 26

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Dennis Grosel pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Dennis Grosel pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Grant Carlson punt for 31 yds, fair catch by D'ionte Smith at the Misso 43

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Keke Chism

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Keke Chism for 5 yds to the Misso 48

3rd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.14

Connor Bazelak pass complete to JJ Hester for 8 yds to the BC 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.71

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Keke Chism for 8 yds to the BC 36

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.14

Tyler Badie run for 5 yds to the BC 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.73

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Barrett Banister for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 32

2nd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.46

Connor Bazelak run for 2 yds to the BC 30

3rd & 9Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.46

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Tyler Badie for 14 yds to the BC 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Tyler Badie run for 3 yds to the BC 13

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Connor Bazelak run for 5 yds to the BC 8

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.61

Tyler Badie run for 8 yds for a TD, (Harrison Mevis KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Alec Sinkfield run for 4 yds to the BC 44

2nd & 6Penalty+5 yds

MISSOURI Penalty, Defensive Offside (Blaze Alldredge) to the BC 49

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.40

Alec Sinkfield run for no gain to the BC 49

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.05

Dennis Grosel run for 2 yds to the Misso 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Pat Garwo III run for 2 yds to the Misso 47

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Pat Garwo III run for 4 yds to the Misso 43

3rd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.49

Dennis Grosel pass complete to Zay Flowers for 6 yds to the Misso 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.59

Dennis Grosel pass complete to Zay Flowers for 8 yds to the Misso 29

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.20

Travis Levy run for 6 yds to the Misso 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.63

Travis Levy run for 13 yds to the Misso 10 BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Travis Levy) to the Misso 25

1st & 12Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.26

Dennis Grosel pass complete to Joey Luchetti for 7 yds to the Misso 18

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Travis Levy run for 3 yds to the Misso 15

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.20

Travis Levy run for 3 yds to the Misso 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Dennis Grosel run for 7 yds to the Misso 5

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Dennis Grosel pass incomplete to Trae Barry

3rd & 3Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.65

Travis Levy run for 5 yds for a TD, (Connor Lytton KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Barrett Banister

2nd & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.41

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Barrett Banister for 19 yds to the Misso 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

TEAM pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.12

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Keke Chism for 12 yds to the BC 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Barrett Banister for 5 yds to the BC 39

2nd & 5Field Goal Good+56 yds

Harrison Mevis 56 yd FG GOOD

0th & 5End of Regulation0 yds

End of 4th Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Dennis Grosel pass complete to Zay Flowers for 4 yds to the Misso 21

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Pat Garwo III run for 2 yds to the Misso 19

3rd & 4Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.57

Dennis Grosel pass complete to Travis Levy for 10 yds to the Misso 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.37

Travis Levy run for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 10

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.80

Dennis Grosel pass complete to Zay Flowers for 10 yds for a TD, (Connor Lytton KICK)

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -4.30

Connor Bazelak pass intercepted, touchback. Brandon Sebastian return for no gain

Situational Analysis

Missouri

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
40%
30 plays
2nd
0%
4 plays
0%
1 play
62%
13 plays
0%
3 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
75%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Boston College

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
32%
31 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
29%
7 plays
40%
5 plays
43%
14 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
100%
5 plays
57%
7 plays
20%
5 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play