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← Back to GamesSep 25, 2021Week 4
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Texas A&M by 10.4

Home Win Probability

Arkansas 24%

Market (consensus)

Arkansas +4.5

Edge: Texas A&M -4.5 (5.8 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 25, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Texas A&MTexas A&M
037010
ArkansasArkansas
1070320

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014283-017-017-317-1020-10
ArkansasTexas A&M

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20TAARKTAARKTAARKTAARKTAARKTAARKARKTAARKTAARKTAARKTAARKTAARKTAARKPUNT722ydFG857ydPUNT1030ydTD180ydPUNT518ydTD482ydPUNT41ydPUNT34ydPUNT52ydDOWNS1165ydFG946ydEND1-1ydPUNT58ydPUNT3-3ydPUNT35ydTD375ydPUNT717ydPUNT514ydPUNT520ydTO223ydFG942ydPUNT30ydPUNT617ydDOWNS44ydEND727yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Texas A&M and Arkansas
StatisticTexas A&MArkansas
Passing20-369-19
Pass Yards151246
Rush Yards121197
Total Yards272443
Turnovers10
3rd Down4-143-13
Penalties11-7510-65
Possession29:1030:50

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Texas A&M
passing
Zach Calzada
20/36, 151 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Isaiah Spiller
12 CAR, 95 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Ainias Smith
2 REC, 35 YDS
defense
Arkansas
passing
KJ Jefferson
7/15, 212 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Trelon Smith
17 CAR, 82 YDS
receiving
Treylon Burks
6 REC, 167 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Bumper Pool
1 TFL, 1 PD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Isaiah Spiller run for 11 yds to the TexAM 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Zach Calzada pass complete to Demond Demas for 5 yds to the TexAM 41

2nd & 5Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Zach Calzada pass complete to Isaiah Spiller for 1 yd to the TexAM 42

3rd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.83

Zach Calzada run for 5 yds to the TexAM 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Zach Calzada pass incomplete to Isaiah Spiller

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Isaiah Spiller run for no gain to the TexAM 47

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Zach Calzada pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Nik Constantinou punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Nathan Parodi at the Ark 14

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.97

Trelon Smith run for 16 yds to the Ark 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Trelon Smith run for 15 yds to the Ark 45 ARKANSAS Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Ark 35

1st & 5Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.08

Trelon Smith run for 12 yds to the Ark 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.28

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Treylon Burks for 23 yds to the TexAM 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

KJ Jefferson run for 4 yds to the TexAM 26

2nd & 6Penalty-5 yds

ARKANSAS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TexAM 31

2nd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Trelon Smith run for 2 yds to the TexAM 29

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

KJ Jefferson pass incomplete to Blake Kern

4th & 9Field Goal Good+46 yds

Cam Little 46 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Isaiah Spiller run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexAM 24

2nd & 11Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.41

Zach Calzada pass complete to Isaiah Spiller for 19 yds to the TexAM 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.98

Zach Calzada pass complete to Max Wright for 8 yds to the Ark 49

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.05

Isaiah Spiller run for 3 yds to the Ark 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Zach Calzada pass complete to Isaiah Spiller for 4 yds to the Ark 42

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Isaiah Spiller run for 3 yds to the Ark 39

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.09

Isaiah Spiller run for 5 yds to the Ark 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.66

Devon Achane run for no gain to the Ark 34

2nd & 10Pass Reception-6 ydsPPA -2.16

Zach Calzada pass complete to Devon Achane for a loss of 6 yards to the Ark 40

3rd & 16Penalty-5 yds

TEXAS A&M Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Ark 45

3rd & 21Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Zach Calzada pass incomplete to Ainias Smith

4th & 21Punt0 yds

Nik Constantinou punt for 45 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

ARKANSAS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Ark 15

1st & 15Passing Touchdown+85 ydsPPA +6.98

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Treylon Burks for 85 yds for a TD, (Cam Little KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Isaiah Spiller run for 3 yds to the TexAM 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.52

Zach Calzada pass complete to Jalen Preston for 11 yds to the TexAM 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Isaiah Spiller run for 4 yds to the TexAM 43

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Zach Calzada pass incomplete to Jalen Preston

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Zach Calzada pass incomplete to Demond Demas

4th & 6Punt+2 yds

Nik Constantinou punt for 41 yds , Nathan Parodi returns for 2 yds to the Ark 18

1st & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.21

Warren Thompson pass complete to Treylon Burks for 27 yds to the Ark 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.38

Trelon Smith run for 6 yds to the TexAM 49

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.97

Trelon Smith run for 1 yd to the TexAM 48

3rd & 3Passing Touchdown+48 ydsPPA +4.87

KJ Jefferson pass complete to AJ Green for 48 yds for a TD, (Cam Little KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Devon Achane run for 5 yds to the TexAM 30

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.93

Devon Achane run for 7 yds to the TexAM 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

TEXAS A&M Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TexAM 32

1st & 15Penalty0 yds

Calzada, Zach pass complete to Smith, Ainias for 15 yards to the TEXASAM47, PENALTY TEXASAM illegal touching 0 yards to the TEXASAM32, NO PLAY.

2nd & 15Penalty-10 yds

Calzada, Zach pass complete to Achane, Devon for 6 yards to the TEXASAM38, PENALTY TEXASAM holding 10 yards to the TEXASAM22, NO PLAY.

2nd & 25Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.06

Zach Calzada pass incomplete to Demond Demas

3rd & 25Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Devon Achane run for 4 yds to the TexAM 26 TEXAS A&M Penalty, Illegal Formation ( Yards) declined

4th & 21Punt+1 yds

Nik Constantinou punt for 54 yds , Nathan Parodi returns for 1 yd to the Ark 21

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Treylon Burks for 4 yds to the Ark 25

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

KJ Jefferson pass incomplete to Blake Kern

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

KJ Jefferson pass incomplete to Treylon Burks, broken up by Antonio Johnson

4th & 6Punt+30 yds

Reid Bauer punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Ainias Smith at the ARKANSAS 40 ARKANSAS Penalty, Illegal Procedure (-5 Yards) to the TexAM 45

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Zach Calzada pass incomplete to Jalen Preston

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Zach Calzada pass incomplete

3rd & 10Penalty+2 yds

Calzada, Zach pass incomplete to Spiller, Isaiah, PENALTY ARKANSAS pass interference 2 yards to the TEXASAM47, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEXASAM.

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.63

Isaiah Spiller run for 7 yds to the Ark 46

2nd & 3Rush-4 ydsPPA -2.17

Isaiah Spiller run for a loss of 4 yards to the 50 yard line

3rd & 7Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.19

Zach Calzada sacked by Tre Williams for a loss of 3 yards to the TexAM 47

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Nik Constantinou punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Nathan Parodi at the Ark 13

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

ARKANSAS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Ark 8

1st & 15Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.19

KJ Jefferson run for 19 yds to the Ark 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.17

KJ Jefferson sacked by Micheal Clemons for a loss of 5 yards to the Ark 22 KJ Jefferson fumbled, recovered by Ark

2nd & 15Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.64

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Tyson Morris for 21 yds to the Ark 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Trelon Smith run for no gain to the Ark 43

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

KJ Jefferson pass incomplete to De'Vion Warren

3rd & 10Penalty+15 yds

Jefferson, KJ pass incomplete to Burks, Treylon, PENALTY TEXASAM pass interference 15 yards to the TEXASAM42, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ARKANSAS.

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Raheim Sanders run for 5 yds to the TexAM 37

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Raheim Sanders run for 6 yds to the TexAM 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

KJ Jefferson pass incomplete to Treylon Burks

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.20

Trelon Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexAM 33

3rd & 12Penalty-10 yds

Jefferson, KJ rush for 9 yards to the TEXASAM24, PENALTY ARKANSAS holding 10 yards to the TEXASAM43, NO PLAY.

3rd & 22Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +3.05

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Treylon Burks for 21 yds to the TexAM 22

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -3.54

Trelon Smith run for no gain to the TexAM 22

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.12

Zach Calzada pass complete to Devon Achane for 14 yds to the TexAM 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+3 yds

Calzada, Zach pass incomplete, PENALTY ARKANSAS pass interference 3 yards to the TEXASAM39, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEXASAM.

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Zach Calzada pass complete to Devon Achane for 6 yds to the TexAM 45

2nd & 4Fumble Recovery (Own)0 ydsPPA -1.23

TEAM run for no gain to the TexAM 45 TEAM fumbled, recovered by TexAM Devon Achane

3rd & 4Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.27

Zach Calzada pass complete to Jalen Preston for 11 yds to the Ark 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.54

Zach Calzada pass complete to Ainias Smith for 12 yds to the Ark 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Zach Calzada pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.83

Zach Calzada pass complete to Devon Achane for no gain to the Ark 32

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Zach Calzada pass incomplete

4th & 10Field Goal Good+49 yds

Seth Small 49 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ark 24

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

KJ Jefferson run for 9 yds to the Ark 34

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Trelon Smith run for 4 yds to the Ark 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.09

Trelon Smith run for no gain to the Ark 38

2nd & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.07

AJ Green run for a loss of 5 yards to the Ark 33

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

KJ Jefferson pass incomplete to AJ Green

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Reid Bauer punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexAM 22

1st & 10Pass Reception-6 ydsPPA -0.96

Zach Calzada pass complete to Devon Achane for a loss of 6 yards to the TexAM 16

2nd & 16Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Zach Calzada pass complete to Isaiah Spiller for 4 yds to the TexAM 20

3rd & 12Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.10

Zach Calzada sacked by Hayden Henry for a loss of 1 yard to the TexAM 19

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Nik Constantinou punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Nathan Parodi at the Ark 44

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

AJ Green run for 3 yds to the Ark 47

2nd & 7Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.46

Dominique Johnson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ark 45

3rd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

KJ Jefferson run for 4 yds to the Ark 49

4th & 5Punt+26 yds

Reid Bauer punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Ainias Smith at the ARKANSAS 10 ARKANSAS Penalty, Kick Catching Interference (-15 Yards) to the TexAM 25

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.96

Isaiah Spiller run for a loss of 3 yards to the TexAM 22

2nd & 13Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.74

Zach Calzada pass complete to Jalen Preston for 11 yds to the TexAM 33

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+67 ydsPPA +6.30

Isaiah Spiller run for 67 yds for a TD, (Seth Small KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

KJ Jefferson pass incomplete to Treylon Burks

2nd & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.12

Malik Hornsby run for 16 yds to the Ark 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

TEXAS A&M Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Ark 46

1st & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -1.34

Trelon Smith run for no gain to the Ark 46

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.94

Trelon Smith run for 7 yds to the TexAM 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.96

Trelon Smith run for a loss of 4 yards to the Ark 49

2nd & 14Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.70

Malik Hornsby run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

3rd & 13Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.99

Malik Hornsby sacked by Aaron Hansford for a loss of 8 yards to the Ark 42

4th & 21Punt0 yds

Reid Bauer punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Ainias Smith at the TexAM 18

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.75

Devon Achane run for 8 yds to the TexAM 26

2nd & 2Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.40

Zach Calzada pass complete to Demond Demas for 8 yds to the TexAM 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Calzada, Zach pass complete to Smith, Ainias for 8 yards to the TEXASAM42, PENALTY TEXASAM ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the TEXASAM29, NO PLAY.

1st & 15Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.95

Zach Calzada sacked by Tre Williams for a loss of 10 yards to the TexAM 19

2nd & 25Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.75

Zach Calzada pass complete to Jalen Wydermyer for 18 yds to the TexAM 37

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Zach Calzada pass incomplete to Ainias Smith

4th & 7Penalty-5 yds

TEXAS A&M Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the TexAM 32

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Nik Constantinou punt for 53 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ark 15

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Malik Hornsby run for 2 yds to the Ark 17

2nd & 8Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.76

Trelon Smith run for 19 yds to the Ark 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

AJ Green run for no gain to the Ark 36

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Trelon Smith run for 4 yds to the Ark 40

3rd & 6Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.88

Malik Hornsby run for a loss of 5 yards to the Ark 35

4th & 11Punt+55 yds

Reid Bauer punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Ainias Smith at the ARKANSAS 20 TEXAS A&M Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the TexAM 10

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.36

Zach Calzada pass complete to Ainias Smith for 23 yds to the TexAM 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -1.57

Zach Calzada pass intercepted Montaric Brown return for no gain to the TexAM 48

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.81

Dominique Johnson run for 16 yds to the TexAM 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.37

Malik Hornsby pass complete to Treylon Burks for 7 yds to the TexAM 25

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.49

Dominique Johnson run for 1 yd to the TexAM 24

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.36

Dominique Johnson run for 3 yds to the TexAM 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.44

Treylon Burks run for 14 yds to the TexAM 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Malik Hornsby pass incomplete to Jaquayln Crawford

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.15

Malik Hornsby run for 6 yds to the TexAM 1

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

ARKANSAS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TexAM 6

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Malik Hornsby pass incomplete to Blake Kern

4th & 6Field Goal Good+24 yds

Cam Little 24 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Zach Calzada pass incomplete to Jalen Wydermyer

2nd & 10Penalty-10 yds

Calzada, Zach rush for 8 yards to the TEXASAM40, PENALTY TEXASAM holding 10 yards to the TEXASAM22, NO PLAY.

2nd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Zach Calzada pass incomplete to Jalen Wydermyer

3rd & 20Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.12

Zach Calzada pass complete to Devon Achane for 10 yds to the TexAM 32

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Nik Constantinou punt for 57 yds, downed at the Ark 11

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Dominique Johnson run for 4 yds to the Ark 15

2nd & 6Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.45

Dominique Johnson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Ark 12

3rd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.99

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Warren Thompson for 10 yds to the Ark 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

KJ Jefferson run for 4 yds to the Ark 26

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Trelon Smith run for 2 yds to the Ark 28

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

KJ Jefferson pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Reid Bauer punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexAM 38

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Zach Calzada pass incomplete to Jalen Wydermyer

2nd & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.88

Zach Calzada pass complete to Isaiah Spiller for a loss of 2 yards to the TexAM 36

3rd & 12Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.82

Zach Calzada run for 11 yds to the TexAM 47

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

TEXAS A&M Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TexAM 42

4th & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Zach Calzada pass incomplete to Isaiah Spiller TEXAS A&M Penalty, Defensive Holding ( Yards) declined

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Raheim Sanders run for 2 yds to the TexAM 40

2nd & 8Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.02

Raheim Sanders run for 12 yds to the TexAM 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Raheim Sanders run for 1 yd to the TexAM 27

2nd & 9Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.57

KJ Jefferson run for 10 yds to the TexAM 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Raheim Sanders run for 1 yd to the TexAM 16

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

KJ Jefferson run for 5 yds to the TexAM 11

3rd & 4Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.85

TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the TexAM 15

Situational Analysis

Texas A&M

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
43%
23 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
33%
3 plays
20%
5 plays
17%
6 plays
50%
6 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
0%
4 plays
40%
5 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Arkansas

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
36%
28 plays
100%
2 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
33%
6 plays
55%
11 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
0%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play