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← Back to GamesSep 18, 2021Week 3

House Prediction

Model Margin

Texas A&M by 26.8

Home Win Probability

Texas A&M 94%

Market (consensus)

Texas A&M -30

Edge: New Mexico +30 (3.3 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 18, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
New MexicoNew Mexico
00000
Texas A&MTexas A&M
141010034

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014284214-021-024-027-034-0
Texas A&MNew Mexico

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NMTANMTANMTANMTANMTANMTANMTANMTANMTANMTANMTANMTANMTAPUNT38ydTD343ydPUNT68ydTD170ydPUNT617ydPUNT515ydPUNT627ydPUNT58ydPUNT68ydTD1260ydPUNT3-2ydFG744ydEND29ydFG536ydPUNT35ydTO619ydDOWNS67ydTD890ydPUNT3-8ydPUNT617ydPUNT512ydPUNT3-1ydTO10ydMISS40ydPUNT926ydEND526yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing New Mexico and Texas A&M
StatisticNew MexicoTexas A&M
Passing10-2319-33
Pass Yards33275
Rush Yards89154
Total Yards122429
Turnovers11
3rd Down6-175-14
Penalties4-186-35
Possession29:0130:59

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

New Mexico
passing
Terry Wilson
10/23, 33 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Aaron Dumas
10 CAR, 49 YDS
receiving
defense
Texas A&M
passing
Zach Calzada
19/33, 275 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Isaiah Spiller
15 CAR, 117 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Demond Demas
2 REC, 100 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Terry Wilson pass complete to Trace Bruckler for 8 yds to the NMex 33

2nd & 2Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.45

Bobby Wooden run for a loss of 2 yards to the NMex 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Terry Wilson pass complete to Mannie Logan-Greene for 2 yds to the NMex 33

4th & 2Punt+39 yds

Aaron Rodriguez punt for 49 yds , Ainias Smith returns for 39 yds to the NMex 43

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.61

Zach Calzada pass complete to Chase Lane for 16 yds to the NMex 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Isaiah Spiller run for 1 yd to the NMex 26

2nd & 9Passing Touchdown+26 ydsPPA +3.12

Devon Achane 26 Yd pass from Zach Calzada (Seth Small Kick)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Luke Wysong run for 3 yds to the NMex 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Terry Wilson pass incomplete

3rd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.79

Bobby Cole run for 8 yds to the NMex 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Terry Wilson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.86

Bobby Cole run for a loss of 3 yards to the NMex 33

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Terry Wilson pass incomplete to Mannie Logan-Greene

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Aaron Rodriguez punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Ainias Smith at the TexAM 30

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+70 ydsPPA +5.69

Demond Demas 70 Yd pass from Zach Calzada (Seth Small Kick)

1st & 0Penalty-5 yds

TEXAS A&M Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NMex 8

1st & 0Penalty-5 yds

TEXAS A&M Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NMex 13

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Terry Wilson run for no gain to the NMex 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Terry Wilson pass complete to Trace Bruckler for 4 yds to the NMex 29

3rd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.79

Terry Wilson run for 8 yds to the NMex 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Terry Wilson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Bobby Cole run for 3 yds to the NMex 40

3rd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Terry Wilson run for 2 yds to the NMex 42

4th & 5Punt+4 yds

Aaron Rodriguez punt for 43 yds , Ainias Smith returns for 4 yds to the TexAM 19

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Isaiah Spiller run for 2 yds to the TexAM 21

2nd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.09

Zach Calzada pass complete to Chase Lane for 9 yds to the TexAM 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Zach Calzada pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Zach Calzada pass incomplete to Demond Demas

3rd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.42

Zach Calzada pass complete to Jalen Wydermyer for 9 yds to the TexAM 39

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

TEXAS A&M Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the TexAM 34

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Nik Constantinou punt for 61 yds, downed at the NMex 5

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.59

Aaron Dumas run for 16 yds to the NMex 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Terry Wilson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.58

Aaron Dumas run for 13 yds to the NMex 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Terry Wilson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.72

Aaron Dumas run for a loss of 2 yards to the NMex 32

3rd & 12Rush0 ydsPPA -0.21

Terry Wilson run for no gain to the NMex 32

4th & 12Punt+34 yds

Aaron Rodriguez punt for 40 yds , Ainias Smith returns for 34 yds to the TEXASAM 34 TEXAS A&M Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the NMex 48

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Devon Achane run for 4 yds to the NMex 44

2nd & 6Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.10

Devon Achane run for 18 yds to the NMex 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.15

Devon Achane run for a loss of 5 yards to the NMex 31

2nd & 15Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.60

Zach Calzada sacked by Justin Harris for a loss of 9 yards to the NMex 40

3rd & 24Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Zach Calzada pass incomplete

4th & 24Punt0 yds

Nik Constantinou punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Mannie Logan-Greene at the NMex 8

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Aaron Dumas run for 1 yd to the NMex 9

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Terry Wilson pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.90

Terry Wilson pass complete to Zarak Scruggs Jr. for 11 yds to the NMex 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Luke Wysong run for 3 yds to the NMex 23

2nd & 7Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.69

Terry Wilson sacked by Tyree Johnson for a loss of 7 yards to the NMex 16

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.06

Terry Wilson pass incomplete

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Aaron Rodriguez punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Ainias Smith at the TexAM 40

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Zach Calzada pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.20

Isaiah Spiller run for 12 yds to the NMex 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.54

Isaiah Spiller run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard line

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Zach Calzada pass incomplete to Demond Demas

3rd & 12Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +3.31

Zach Calzada pass complete to Chase Lane for 18 yds to the NMex 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Zach Calzada pass complete to Ainias Smith for 5 yds to the NMex 27

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.63

Isaiah Spiller run for no gain to the NMex 27

3rd & 5Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.86

Zach Calzada pass complete to Ainias Smith for 11 yds to the NMex 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+8 yds

NEW MEXICO Penalty, Defensive Holding (8 Yards) to the NMex 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Isaiah Spiller run for 2 yds to the NMex 6

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.36

Devon Achane run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMex 7

3rd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Isaiah Spiller run for 2 yds to the NMex 5

4th & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +3.05

Isaiah Spiller 5 Yd Run (Seth Small Kick)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Bobby Cole run for 3 yds to the NMex 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Terry Wilson pass complete to Mannie Logan-Greene for 3 yds to the NMex 31

3rd & 4Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.71

Terry Wilson sacked by Micheal Clemons for a loss of 8 yards to the NMex 23

4th & 12Punt+1 yds

Aaron Rodriguez punt for 40 yds , Ainias Smith returns for 1 yd to the TexAM 38

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Zach Calzada pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.35

Zach Calzada pass complete to Moose Muhammad III for 14 yds to the NMex 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +0.94

Zach Calzada pass complete to Jalen Wydermyer for 21 yds to the NMex 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Devon Achane run for 5 yds to the NMex 22

2nd & 5Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.40

Zach Calzada pass complete to Chase Lane for 1 yd to the NMex 21

3rd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Zach Calzada pass complete to Jalen Wydermyer for 3 yds to the NMex 18

4th & 1Field Goal Good+35 yds

Seth Small 35 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Bobby Cole run for 7 yds to the NMex 32

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Bobby Cole run for 2 yds to the NMex 34

0th & 3End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+38 yds

George Steinkamp kickoff for 65 yds , Devon Achane return for 38 yds to the TexAM 38

1st & 10Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +2.08

Zach Calzada pass complete to Demond Demas for 30 yds to the NMex 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Zach Calzada pass incomplete to Chase Lane

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.63

Devon Achane run for 1 yd to the NMex 31

3rd & 9Penalty+5 yds

NEW MEXICO Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the NMex 26

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Zach Calzada pass incomplete

4th & 4Field Goal Good+44 yds

Seth Small 44 Yd Field Goal

4th & 4Kickoff Return (Offense)+29 yds

Caden Davis kickoff for 65 yds , Mannie Logan-Greene return for 29 yds to the NMex 29

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Luke Wysong run for 5 yds to the NMex 34

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Terry Wilson pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Terry Wilson pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Aaron Rodriguez punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Moose Muhammad III at the TexAM 20

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.24

Isaiah Spiller run for 16 yds to the TexAM 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Isaiah Spiller run for 6 yds to the TexAM 42

2nd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.82

Zach Calzada pass complete to Devin Price for 7 yds to the TexAM 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -2.18

Zach Calzada sacked by Joey Noble for a loss of 5 yards to the TexAM 44

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Zach Calzada pass incomplete

3rd & 15Penalty-5 yds

TEXAS A&M Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TexAM 39

3rd & 20Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA +0.12

Zach Calzada pass intercepted Tavian Combs return for no gain to the NMex 49

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Terry Wilson pass incomplete to Andrew Erickson

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Aaron Dumas run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

3rd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.73

Terry Wilson pass complete to Mannie Logan-Greene for 11 yds to the TexAM 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

NEW MEXICO Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TexAM 44

1st & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Aaron Dumas run for 3 yds to the TexAM 41

2nd & 12Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Terry Wilson pass complete to Luke Wysong for 4 yds to the TexAM 37

3rd & 8Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.17

Terry Wilson sacked by TEAM for a loss of 7 yards to the TexAM 44

4th & 15Penalty0 yds

NEW MEXICO Penalty, Intentional Grounding ( Yards) to the TexAM 44

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Aaron Rodriguez punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Moose Muhammad III at the TexAM 10

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Isaiah Spiller run for 6 yds to the TexAM 16

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Isaiah Spiller run for 6 yds to the TexAM 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.03

Isaiah Spiller run for 13 yds to the TexAM 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+46 ydsPPA +2.64

Isaiah Spiller run for 46 yds to the NMex 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Devon Achane run for 3 yds to the NMex 16

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Devon Achane run for 3 yds to the NMex 13

3rd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.64

Zach Calzada pass complete to Jalen Wydermyer for 6 yds to the NMex 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Moose Muhammad III 7 Yd pass from Zach Calzada (Seth Small Kick)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+31 yds

Caden Davis kickoff for 65 yds , Mannie Logan-Greene return for 31 yds to the NMex 31

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.52

Terry Wilson sacked by DeMarvin Leal for a loss of 7 yards to the NMex 24

2nd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Terry Wilson pass incomplete to Luke Wysong

3rd & 17Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.08

Terry Wilson pass complete to Chad Alexander for a loss of 1 yard to the NMex 23

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Aaron Rodriguez punt for 43 yds , Moose Muhammad III returns for no gain to the TexAM 34

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Isaiah Spiller run for 3 yds to the TexAM 37

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Zach Calzada pass complete to Devon Achane for 5 yds to the TexAM 42

3rd & 2Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.23

Zach Calzada pass complete to Devon Achane for 14 yds to the NMex 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Zach Calzada pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Devon Achane run for no gain to the NMex 44

3rd & 10Penalty-5 yds

TEXAS A&M Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NMex 49

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Zach Calzada pass incomplete to Jalen Wydermyer

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Nik Constantinou punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NMex 13

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Mannie Logan-Greene run for 6 yds to the NMex 19

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.32

Terry Wilson run for 5 yds to the NMex 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.67

Bobby Cole run for no gain to the NMex 24

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Luke Wysong run for 4 yds to the NMex 28

3rd & 6Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.40

Terry Wilson pass complete to Chad Alexander for a loss of 3 yards to the NMex 25

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Aaron Rodriguez punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexAM 39

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Zach Calzada pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Earnest Crownover run for 2 yds to the TexAM 41

3rd & 8Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.70

Zach Calzada sacked by Jeston Webskowski for a loss of 3 yards to the TexAM 38

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Nik Constantinou punt for 53 yds, downed at the NMex 9

1st & 10Pass Interception Return+4 ydsPPA -0.18

Terry Wilson pass intercepted Edgerrin Cooper return for 4 yds to the NMex 20

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.65

Earnest Crownover run for a loss of 3 yards to the NMex 23

2nd & 13Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Zach Calzada pass complete to Moose Muhammad III for 3 yds to the NMex 20

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Zach Calzada pass incomplete to Demond Demas

4th & 10Field Goal Missed+37 yds

Caden Davis 37 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Aaron Dumas run for 6 yds to the NMex 26

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.46

Aaron Dumas run for 2 yds to the NMex 28

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.95

Mannie Logan-Greene run for 3 yds to the NMex 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.38

Aaron Dumas run for 6 yds to the NMex 37

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Aaron Dumas run for 3 yds to the NMex 40

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.47

Luke Wysong run for 6 yds to the NMex 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.65

Bobby Cole run for 7 yds to the TexAM 47

2nd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.49

Luke Wysong run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexAM 48

3rd & 4Pass Reception-6 ydsPPA -1.84

Terry Wilson pass complete to Bobby Cole for a loss of 6 yards to the NMex 46

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Aaron Rodriguez punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexAM 25

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

LJ Johnson Jr. run for 5 yds to the TexAM 30

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

LJ Johnson Jr. run for no gain to the TexAM 30

3rd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.59

Amari Daniels run for 6 yds to the TexAM 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.22

Amari Daniels run for 13 yds to the TexAM 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Amari Daniels run for 2 yds to the NMex 49

Situational Analysis

New Mexico

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
38%
21 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
9%
11 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
17%
6 plays
60%
5 plays
0%
4 plays
4th

Texas A&M

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
45%
31 plays
2nd
43%
7 plays
50%
10 plays
0%
4 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
60%
5 plays
25%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play