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← Back to GamesSep 18, 2021Week 3

House Prediction

Model Margin

LSU by 10.9

Home Win Probability

LSU 74%

Market (consensus)

LSU -19.5

Edge: Central Michigan +19.5 (8.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 18, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Central MichiganCentral Michigan
707721
LSULSU
21147749

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-014-021-728-735-742-742-1442-2149-21
LSUCentral Michigan

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20LSUCMCMLSUCMLSUCMLSUCMLSUCMLSUCMLSUCMLSUCMLSULSUCMLSUCMLSUCMLSUTD865ydTD48ydTO614ydPUNT3-13ydPUNT3-1ydTD363ydTD375ydPUNT525ydPUNT39ydTD1265ydPUNT718ydTD492ydDOWNS836ydEND1-2ydPUNT411ydTD993ydPUNT45ydTD34ydPUNT3-7ydPUNT30ydPUNT30ydTD1250ydTD675ydDOWNS1354ydEND314yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Central Michigan and LSU
StatisticCentral MichiganLSU
Passing25-3927-39
Pass Yards228400
Rush Yards5684
Total Yards284484
Turnovers21
3rd Down9-196-11
Penalties2-206-57
Possession33:0226:58

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Central Michigan
passing
Jacob Sirmon
17/24, 156 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Myles Bailey
7 CAR, 29 YDS
receiving
JaCorey Sullivan
5 REC, 114 YDS, 1 TD
defense
LSU
passing
Max Johnson
26/35, 372 YDS, 5 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Corey Kiner
12 CAR, 74 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Deion Smith
5 REC, 135 YDS, 2 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Max Johnson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Tyrion Davis-Price run for 5 yds to the LSU 40

3rd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.27

Max Johnson pass complete to Jack Bech for 9 yds to the LSU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.68

Max Johnson pass complete to Kayshon Boutte for 10 yds to the CMich 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.88

Max Johnson pass complete to Kayshon Boutte for no gain to the CMich 41

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Tyrion Davis-Price run for 4 yds to the CMich 37

3rd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.50

Max Johnson pass complete to Jack Bech for 9 yds to the CMich 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+28 ydsPPA +2.76

Max Johnson pass complete to Deion Smith for 28 yds for a TD, (Cade York KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Kalil Pimpleton for 2 yds to the CMich 27

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Lew Nichols III run for 6 yds to the CMich 33

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.05

Darius Bracy run for 2 yds to the CMich 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Return Touchdown+33 ydsPPA -8.76

Andre Anthony 33 Yd Fumble Return (Cade York Kick)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Lew Nichols III run for 1 yd to the CMich 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Lew Nichols III for 3 yds to the CMich 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.18

Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Lew Nichols III for 12 yds to the CMich 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Jacob Sirmon pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.01

Lew Nichols III run for a loss of 2 yards to the CMich 39

3rd & 12Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.19

Jacob Sirmon pass intercepted for a 1ST down return for no gain to the CMich 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.73

Max Johnson pass complete to Devonta Lee for 8 yds to the CMich 37

2nd & 2Fumble Recovery (Own)-11 ydsPPA -3.38

Tyrion Davis-Price run for a loss of 11 yards to the CMich 48 fumbled, recovered by LSU Tyrion Davis-Price

3rd & 13Penalty-5 yds

JOHNSON, Max pass up the middle complete for 13 yards to LEE, Devonta caught at the CMU35 and advanced to the CMU35 (KRESKI, Gage). PENALTY Before the snap, LSU Illegal Formation on DECULUS, Austin enforced 5 yards from the CMU48 to the LSU47. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 18Penalty-5 yds

LSU Penalty, Delay Of Game (Max Johnson) to the LSU 42

3rd & 23Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Max Johnson pass incomplete

4th & 23Punt0 yds

Avery Atkins punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Kalil Pimpleton at the CMich 6

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.33

Lew Nichols III run for a loss of 1 yard to the CMich 5

2nd & 11Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.14

Lew Nichols III run for a loss of 3 yards to the CMich 2

3rd & 14Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.01

Lew Nichols III run for 3 yds to the CMich 5

4th & 11Punt+47 yds

Luke Elzinga punt for 47 yds , Koy Moore returns for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 37

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.04

Max Johnson pass complete to Kayshon Boutte for 11 yds to the LSU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.82

Max Johnson pass complete to Jack Bech for 12 yds to the CMich 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+40 ydsPPA +3.19

Max Johnson pass complete to Deion Smith for 40 yds for a TD, (Cade York KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Lew Nichols III for a loss of 2 yards to the CMich 23

2nd & 12Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.28

Marion Lukes run for a loss of 1 yard to the CMich 22

3rd & 13Passing Touchdown+78 ydsPPA +7.24

Jacob Sirmon pass complete to JaCorey Sullivan for 78 yds for a TD, (Marshall Meeder KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Max Johnson pass complete to Devonta Lee for 6 yds to the LSU 26

2nd & 4Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.05

Max Johnson pass complete to Koy Moore for 11 yds to the LSU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Corey Kiner run for 4 yds to the LSU 41

2nd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Max Johnson pass complete to Devonta Lee for 4 yds to the LSU 45

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Max Johnson pass incomplete

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Avery Atkins punt for 55 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Jacob Sirmon pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.22

Lew Nichols III run for 1 yd to the CMich 21

3rd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.21

Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Joel Wilson for 8 yds to the CMich 29

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Luke Elzinga punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Koy Moore at the LSU 35

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Corey Kiner run for 4 yds to the LSU 39

2nd & 6Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.72

Corey Kiner run for 13 yds to the CMich 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.31

Corey Kiner run for a loss of 1 yard to the CMich 49

2nd & 11Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.04

Max Johnson pass complete to Brian Thomas Jr. for 9 yds to the CMich 40

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.95

Corey Kiner run for 4 yds to the CMich 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Max Johnson pass complete to Kayshon Boutte for 6 yds to the CMich 30

2nd & 4Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.21

Max Johnson pass complete to Deion Smith for 15 yds to the CMich 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Max Johnson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Tyrion Davis-Price run for 3 yds to the CMich 12

3rd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.30

Max Johnson pass complete to Devonta Lee for 8 yds to the CMich 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Tyrion Davis-Price run for 2 yds to the CMich 2

2nd & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Max Johnson pass complete to Kayshon Boutte for 2 yds for a TD (Cade York KICK)

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.52

Lew Nichols III run for 17 yds to the CMich 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Jacob Sirmon pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Joel Wilson for 4 yds to the CMich 46

3rd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +2.17

Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Dallas Dixon for 6 yds to the LSU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack0 ydsPPA -1.07

Jacob Sirmon sacked by BJ Ojulari for 0 yards to the 50 yard line

2nd & 12Rush0 ydsPPA -0.95

run for no gain to the 50 yard line

3rd & 12Sack0 ydsPPA -0.62

Jacob Sirmon sacked by BJ Ojulari for 0 yards to the CMich 43

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Luke Elzinga punt for 49 yds , Koy Moore returns for no gain to the LSU 8

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Max Johnson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +2.31

Max Johnson pass complete to Jack Bech for 31 yds to the LSU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+41 ydsPPA +2.24

Max Johnson pass complete to Brian Thomas Jr. for 41 yds to the CMich 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +2.62

Max Johnson pass complete to Jack Bech for 20 yds for a TD (Cade York KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Lew Nichols III for 5 yds to the CMich 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.63

Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Joel Wilson for 1 yd to the CMich 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.34

Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Kalil Pimpleton for 14 yds to the CMich 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.86

Jacob Sirmon pass complete to JaCorey Sullivan for 11 yds to the LSU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Jacob Sirmon pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.28

Lew Nichols III run for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 45

3rd & 11Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Jacob Sirmon run for 5 yds to the LSU 40

4th & 6Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -1.39

Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Lew Nichols III for 1 yd to the LSU 39

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.46

run for a loss of 2 yards to the LSU 37

0th & 12End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jacob Sirmon pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

SIRMON, Jacob pass to the left complete for 8 yards to WILSON, Joel caught at the CMU27 and advanced to the CMU33 (STINGLEY JR., Derek). PENALTY CMU Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on PIMPLETON, Kalil enforced 5 yards from the CMU25 to the CMU20 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 15Penalty+15 yds

SIRMON, Jacob pass to the left incomplete intended for SULLIVAN, JaCorey thrown to the LSU40. PENALTY LSU Pass Interference on STINGLEY JR., Derek enforced 15 yards to the CMU35 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.18

Lew Nichols III run for a loss of 1 yard to the CMich 34

2nd & 11Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Remi Simmons for 2 yds to the CMich 36

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Jacob Sirmon pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt+50 yds

Luke Elzinga punt for 50 yds, downed at the LSU 14 for a 1ST down LSU Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) to the LSU 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Tyrion Davis-Price run for 1 yd to the LSU 8

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Max Johnson run for 4 yds to the LSU 12

3rd & 5Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.22

Max Johnson pass complete to Kayshon Boutte for 15 yds to the LSU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.66

Max Johnson pass complete to Deion Smith for 18 yds to the LSU 45 for a 1ST down pass incomplete for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Max Johnson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Max Johnson pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +3.72

Max Johnson pass complete to Deion Smith for 34 yds to the CMich 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Max Johnson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +3.02

Max Johnson pass complete to Devonta Lee for 21 yds for a TD (Cade York KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Myles Bailey for 10 yds to the CMich 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack0 ydsPPA -1.01

Jacob Sirmon sacked by BJ Ojulari and Jacobian Guillory for 0 yards to the CMich 28

2nd & 17Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Myles Bailey run for 3 yds to the CMich 31

3rd & 14Sack0 ydsPPA -0.16

Jacob Sirmon sacked by Desmond Little and Jaquelin Roy for 0 yards to the CMich 30

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Luke Elzinga punt for 60 yds, downed at the LSU 10

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.43

Max Johnson pass complete to Josh Williams for a loss of 2 yards to the LSU 8

2nd & 12Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.06

Max Johnson pass complete to Malik Nabers for 6 yds to the LSU 14

3rd & 6Interception Return Touchdown0 ydsPPA -6.83

Max Johnson pass intercepted for a TD return for no gain for a TD (Marshall Meeder KICK)

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.64

Corey Kiner run for a loss of 5 yards to the LSU 30

2nd & 15Sack0 ydsPPA -0.29

Garrett Nussmeier sacked by Troy Hairston II for 0 yards to the LSU 20

3rd & 25Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.03

Corey Kiner run for 8 yds to the LSU 28

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Avery Atkins punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Kalil Pimpleton at the CMich 32

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.19

Lew Nichols III run for a loss of 2 yards to the CMich 30

2nd & 12Sack0 ydsPPA -0.38

Jacob Sirmon sacked by Jarell Cherry for 0 yards to the CMich 29

3rd & 13Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.07

Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Dallas Dixon for 3 yds to the CMich 32

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Luke Elzinga punt for 52 yds, downed at the LSU 16

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.09

Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Avery Atkins punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Kalil Pimpleton at the 50 yard line

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Daniel Richardson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Myles Bailey run for 2 yds to the LSU 48

3rd & 8Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.39

Daniel Richardson pass complete to JaCorey Sullivan for 8 yds to the LSU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.65

Myles Bailey run for 1 yd to the LSU 39

2nd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Daniel Richardson pass complete to Myles Bailey for 4 yds to the LSU 35

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Myles Bailey run for 4 yds to the LSU 31

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.34

Myles Bailey run for 3 yds to the LSU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Daniel Richardson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.70

Myles Bailey run for 11 yds to the LSU 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.42

Marion Lukes run for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 18

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Daniel Richardson pass incomplete

3rd & 11Passing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +3.43

Daniel Richardson pass complete to Joel Wilson for 18 yds for a TD (Marshall Meeder KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Corey Kiner run for 3 yds to the LSU 28

2nd & 7Rush+26 ydsPPA +2.83

Corey Kiner run for 26 yds to the CMich 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.61

Corey Kiner run for 12 yds to the CMich 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Corey Kiner run for 1 yd to the CMich 33

2nd & 9Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +1.56

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Koy Moore for 28 yds to the CMich 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Corey Kiner run for 5 yds for a TD (Preston Stafford KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Daniel Richardson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Daniel Richardson pass complete to Dallas Dixon for 5 yds to the CMich 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.49

Daniel Richardson pass complete to JaCorey Sullivan for 5 yds to the CMich 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.56

De'Javion Stepney run for 17 yds to the LSU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.84

Daniel Richardson pass complete to De'Javion Stepney for 1 yd to the LSU 47

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

De'Javion Stepney run for 2 yds to the LSU 45

3rd & 7Penalty+15 yds

LSU Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Darren Evans) to the LSU 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Myles Bailey run for 5 yds to the LSU 43

2nd & 5Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.91

Daniel Richardson pass complete to Kalil Pimpleton for 19 yds to the LSU 24 for a 1ST down pass incomplete for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Daniel Richardson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Daniel Richardson pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

De'Javion Stepney run for 3 yds to the LSU 21

4th & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.02

Daniel Richardson pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Josh Williams run for 5 yds to the LSU 26

2nd & 5Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.10

Josh Williams run for 10 yds to the LSU 36 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Central Michigan

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
22%
27 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
25%
12 plays
0%
7 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
80%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
38%
8 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

LSU

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
45%
29 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
80%
5 plays
50%
10 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
75%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
4th