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← Back to GamesSep 18, 2021Week 3

House Prediction

Model Margin

Penn State by 8.3

Home Win Probability

Penn State 68%

Market (consensus)

Penn State -4

Edge: Penn State -4 (4.3 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 18, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
AuburnAuburn
377320
Penn StatePenn State
777728

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-37-1014-1021-1728-20
Penn StateAuburn

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20PSAUBPSAUBPSAUBPSAUBPSAUBPSAUBAUBPSAUBPSAUBPSAUBPSAUBPSAUBDOWNS931ydFG628ydPUNT35ydPUNT620ydTD688ydTD1175ydPUNT412ydPUNT636ydTD1491ydPUNT36ydTO332ydEND1-2ydTO1-10ydTD420ydTD1575ydDOWNS732ydFG931ydTD975ydPUNT49ydPUNT34ydDOWNS1173ydPUNT410ydEND836yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Auburn and Penn State
StatisticAuburnPenn State
Passing21-3929-33
Pass Yards185302
Rush Yards18284
Total Yards367386
Turnovers11
3rd Down10-175-10
Penalties6-455-30
Possession31:4228:18

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Auburn
passing
Bo Nix
21/37, 185 YDS
rushing
Tank Bigsby
23 CAR, 102 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Kobe Hudson
4 REC, 66 YDS
defense
Penn State
passing
Sean Clifford
28/32, 280 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Noah Cain
19 CAR, 45 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jahan Dotson
10 REC, 78 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Brandon Smith
1 TFL, 1 PD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Jahan Dotson run for a loss of 2 yards to the PnSt 23

2nd & 12Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Sean Clifford pass complete to KeAndre Lambert-Smith for 5 yds to the PnSt 28

3rd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.79

Sean Clifford pass complete to KeAndre Lambert-Smith for 8 yds to the PnSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Noah Cain run for 1 yd to the PnSt 37

2nd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.90

Sean Clifford pass complete to Jahan Dotson for 10 yds to the PnSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Noah Cain run for 5 yds to the Aub 48

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.18

Sean Clifford pass incomplete to Jahan Dotson

3rd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Sean Clifford pass complete to Parker Washington for 4 yds to the Aub 44

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.66

Sean Clifford run for no gain to the Aub 44

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.28

Tank Bigsby run for 18 yds to the PnSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.78

Tank Bigsby run for no gain to the PnSt 38

2nd & 10Penalty+10 yds

Nix, Bo pass incomplete to Jackson, Shedrick, PENALTY PENNST pass interference 10 yards to the PENNST28, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN AUBURN.

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.64

Bo Nix run for a loss of 1 yard to the PnSt 29

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Bo Nix pass incomplete to Demetris Robertson

3rd & 11Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Bo Nix pass complete to Tank Bigsby for 1 yd to the PnSt 28

4th & 10Field Goal Good+45 yds

Anders Carlson 45 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.63

Sean Clifford run for a loss of 1 yard to the PnSt 19

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Sean Clifford pass incomplete to Parker Washington

3rd & 11Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.05

Sean Clifford run for 6 yds to the PnSt 25

4th & 5Punt+8 yds

Jordan Stout punt for 51 yds , Demetris Robertson returns for 8 yds to the Aub 33 AUBURN Penalty, Illegal Block (15 Yards) to the Aub 17

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Bo Nix run for 2 yds to the Aub 23

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Tank Bigsby run for 2 yds to the Aub 25

3rd & 6Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.30

Bo Nix pass complete to Demetris Robertson for 16 yds to the Aub 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.34

Bo Nix pass complete to Demetris Robertson for a loss of 1 yard to the Aub 40

2nd & 11Penalty-5 yds

AUBURN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Aub 35

2nd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Bo Nix pass incomplete to Shedrick Jackson

3rd & 16Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.07

Bo Nix run for 6 yds to the Aub 41

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Oscar Chapman punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Jahan Dotson at the PnSt 12

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.46

Keyvone Lee run for 10 yds to the PnSt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Keyvone Lee run for 5 yds to the PnSt 27 Keyvone Lee fumbled, recovered by PnSt

2nd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.04

Sean Clifford pass complete to KeAndre Lambert-Smith for 9 yds to the PnSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.91

Sean Clifford pass complete to Brenton Strange for 23 yds to the Aub 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +1.55

Sean Clifford pass complete to Theo Johnson for 37 yds to the Aub 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Sean Clifford pass complete to Jahan Dotson for 4 yds for a TD (Jordan Stout KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jarquez Hunter run for 5 yds to the Aub 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.74

Bo Nix pass complete to Jarquez Hunter for 5 yds to the Aub 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Tank Bigsby run for 4 yds to the Aub 39

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Tank Bigsby run for 4 yds to the Aub 43

3rd & 2Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.94

Bo Nix pass complete to John Samuel Shenker for 10 yds to the PnSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.52

Bo Nix pass complete to Demetris Robertson for a loss of 2 yards to the PnSt 49

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Bo Nix pass incomplete to Shedrick Jackson

3rd & 12Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +3.56

Bo Nix pass complete to Kobe Hudson for 36 yds to the PnSt 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Tank Bigsby run for 1 yd to the PnSt 12

2nd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.30

Tank Bigsby run for 8 yds to the PnSt 4

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.48

Tank Bigsby run for 4 yds for a TD (Anders Carlson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.14

Noah Cain run for 9 yds to the PnSt 30

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Noah Cain run for 4 yds to the PnSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.66

Sean Clifford sacked by TEAM for a loss of 6 yards to the PnSt 28 PENN ST Penalty, Intentional Grounding ( Yards) to the PnSt 28

2nd & 16Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Sean Clifford pass complete to Jahan Dotson for 5 yds to the PnSt 33

3rd & 11Punt0 yds

Jordan Stout punt for 58 yds, downed at the Aub 9

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.30

Bo Nix pass complete to John Samuel Shenker for 23 yds to the Aub 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.69

Jarquez Hunter run for 7 yds to the Aub 39

2nd & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.36

Bo Nix pass complete to Shedrick Jackson for 4 yds to the Aub 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Bo Nix pass complete to Demetris Robertson for 1 yd to the Aub 44

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Jarquez Hunter run for 1 yd to the Aub 45

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Bo Nix pass incomplete to Tyler Fromm

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Oscar Chapman punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Jahan Dotson at the PnSt 9

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Noah Cain run for 5 yds to the PnSt 14

2nd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Sean Clifford pass complete to Jahan Dotson for 4 yds to the PnSt 18

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.59

Noah Cain run for 5 yds to the PnSt 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.93

Sean Clifford pass complete to Jahan Dotson for 22 yds to the PnSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Noah Cain run for 3 yds to the PnSt 48

2nd & 7Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.89

Jahan Dotson pass complete to Tyler Warren for 22 yds to the Aub 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Sean Clifford pass incomplete to Jahan Dotson

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Sean Clifford pass complete to Jahan Dotson for 7 yds to the Aub 23

3rd & 3Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.51

Sean Clifford pass complete to Parker Washington for 10 yds to the Aub 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Sean Clifford pass complete to Jahan Dotson for 6 yds to the Aub 7

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Noah Cain run for 2 yds to the Aub 5

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.64

Noah Cain run for 4 yds to the Aub 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.13

Noah Cain run for a loss of 1 yard to the Aub 2

2nd & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Sean Clifford pass complete to Brenton Strange for 2 yds for a TD (Jordan Stout KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Bo Nix pass complete to John Samuel Shenker for 6 yds to the Aub 31

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Bo Nix pass incomplete to John Samuel Shenker, broken up by Brandon Smith

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Bo Nix pass incomplete to Shedrick Jackson

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Oscar Chapman punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Jahan Dotson at the PnSt 21

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.67

Sean Clifford run for 20 yds to the PnSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.05

Sean Clifford pass complete to Parker Washington for 12 yds to the Aub 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.39

Sean Clifford pass intercepted Roger McCreary return for no gain to the Aub 3

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.32

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Aub 1

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.86

Bo Nix run for a loss of 10 yards to the Aub 20 Kobe Hudson Kobe Hudson fumbled, recovered by PnSt

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.55

Noah Cain run for a loss of 2 yards to the Aub 22

2nd & 12Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.29

Sean Clifford pass complete to Jahan Dotson for 17 yds to the Aub 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Noah Cain run for 3 yds to the Aub 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Tyler Warren run for 2 yds for a TD (Jordan Stout KICK)

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Jarquez Hunter run for 10 yds to the Aub 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Tank Bigsby run for 3 yds to the Aub 38

2nd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.46

Bo Nix pass complete to Kobe Hudson for 8 yds to the Aub 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Tank Bigsby run for 2 yds to the Aub 48

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Bo Nix run for 6 yds to the PnSt 46

3rd & 2Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +1.15

Bo Nix pass complete to Ja'Varrius Johnson for 3 yds to the PnSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.91

Tank Bigsby run for 9 yds to the PnSt 34

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Tank Bigsby run for 3 yds to the PnSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Tank Bigsby run for 4 yds to the PnSt 27

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Bo Nix pass complete to Jarquez Hunter for 5 yds to the PnSt 22

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.20

Jarquez Hunter run for 2 yds to the PnSt 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Jarquez Hunter run for 3 yds to the PnSt 17

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Tank Bigsby run for 6 yds to the PnSt 11

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.52

Tank Bigsby run for 5 yds to the PnSt 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Tank Bigsby run for 6 yds for a TD (Anders Carlson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

John Lovett run for 6 yds to the PnSt 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.60

Sean Clifford pass complete to KeAndre Lambert-Smith for 5 yds to the PnSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.14

Sean Clifford pass complete to Parker Washington for 12 yds to the PnSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Sean Clifford pass complete to Parker Washington for 5 yds to the Aub 47

2nd & 5Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.41

Sean Clifford pass complete to Parker Washington for a loss of 1 yard to the Aub 48

3rd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Sean Clifford pass complete to Parker Washington for 5 yds to the Aub 43

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.76

PJ Mustipher run for no gain to the Aub 43

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Tank Bigsby run for no gain to the Aub 43

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Bo Nix pass incomplete to Shedrick Jackson, broken up by Joey Porter Jr.

3rd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.93

Bo Nix run for 11 yds to the PnSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Jarquez Hunter run for 3 yds to the PnSt 43

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Jarquez Hunter run for 8 yds to the PnSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Bo Nix pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.71

Bo Nix pass complete to Kobe Hudson for 9 yds to the PnSt 26

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.76

Tank Bigsby run for no gain to the PnSt 26

4th & 1Field Goal Good+43 yds

Anders Carlson 43 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Noah Cain run for 3 yds to the PnSt 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.23

Sean Clifford pass complete to Jahan Dotson for 8 yds to the PnSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Noah Cain run for 3 yds to the PnSt 39

2nd & 7Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.21

Sean Clifford pass complete to John Lovett for 18 yds to the Aub 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +1.89

Sean Clifford pass complete to Brenton Strange for 40 yds to the Aub 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Sean Clifford pass complete to Parker Washington for 2 yds to the Aub 1 for a 1ST down AUBURN Penalty, Targeting (Zakoby McClain) to the Aub 1 for a 1ST down, McClain ejected.

1st & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.13

Noah Cain run for a loss of 1 yard to the Aub 2

2nd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.56

Tyler Warren run for a loss of 1 yard to the Aub 3

3rd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.62

Noah Cain run for 3 yds for a TD (Jordan Stout KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.42

Bo Nix pass complete to John Samuel Shenker for 16 yds to the Aub 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

AUBURN Penalty, Substitution Infraction (-5 Yards) to the Aub 36

1st & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Tank Bigsby run for 3 yds to the Aub 39

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Bo Nix pass incomplete to Demetris Robertson, broken up by Ji'Ayir Brown

3rd & 12Penalty-5 yds

AUBURN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Aub 34

3rd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Bo Nix pass incomplete to Kobe Hudson

4th & 17Punt+16 yds

Oscar Chapman punt for 53 yds , Jahan Dotson returns for 16 yds to the PnSt 29

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

John Lovett run for 3 yds to the PnSt 32

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Sean Clifford pass complete to Brenton Strange for 6 yds to the PnSt 38

3rd & 1Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -1.27

Sean Clifford pass complete to Jahan Dotson for a loss of 5 yards to the PnSt 33

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Jordan Stout punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Demetris Robertson at the Aub 25

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Tank Bigsby run for 3 yds to the Aub 28

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.23

Tank Bigsby run for 8 yds to the Aub 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.73

Bo Nix run for 5 yds to the PnSt 41 for a 1ST down PENN ST Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the PnSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.71

Tank Bigsby run for 8 yds to the PnSt 36

2nd & 2Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Bo Nix pass complete to Shedrick Jackson for 2 yds to the PnSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Bo Nix pass incomplete to Demetris Robertson

2nd & 10Rush+24 ydsPPA +1.09

Jarquez Hunter run for 24 yds to the PnSt 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Bo Nix pass incomplete to Shedrick Jackson

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.21

Tank Bigsby run for 1 yd to the PnSt 9

3rd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.16

Bo Nix pass complete to John Samuel Shenker for 7 yds to the PnSt 2

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -4.15

Bo Nix pass incomplete to Kobe Hudson

1st & 10Penalty-1 yds

PENN ST Penalty, False Start (-1 Yards) to the PnSt 2

1st & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.24

Noah Cain run for a loss of 1 yard to the PnSt 1

2nd & 12Penalty+15 yds

Clifford, Sean pass incomplete to Dotson, Jahan, PENALTY AUBURN pass interference 15 yards to the PENNST16, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN PENNST.

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Noah Cain run for 1 yd to the PnSt 17

2nd & 9Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.28

Noah Cain run for a loss of 1 yard to the PnSt 16

3rd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.12

Sean Clifford run for a loss of 3 yards to the PnSt 13

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Jordan Stout punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Demetris Robertson at the Aub 38

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Bo Nix pass incomplete to Demetris Robertson

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.03

Bo Nix pass complete to Demetris Robertson for 9 yds to the Aub 47

3rd & 1Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.82

Bo Nix pass complete to Kobe Hudson for 13 yds to the PnSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

TEAM pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Bo Nix pass incomplete to Shedrick Jackson

3rd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.34

Bo Nix pass complete to Malcolm Johnson Jr. for 14 yds to the PnSt 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

TEAM pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Bo Nix pass incomplete to Demetris Robertson

Situational Analysis

Auburn

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
30%
33 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
33%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
60%
15 plays
0%
4 plays
3rd
86%
7 plays
50%
2 plays
75%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Penn State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
56%
27 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
4 plays
33%
6 plays
86%
7 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play
4th
0%
2 plays