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← Back to GamesSep 18, 2021Week 3

House Prediction

Model Margin

Arkansas by 9.5

Home Win Probability

Arkansas 69%

Market (consensus)

Arkansas -23

Edge: Georgia Southern +23 (13.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 18, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Georgia SouthernGeorgia Southern
0100010
ArkansasArkansas
141014745

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014284214-021-024-731-1038-1045-10
ArkansasGeorgia Southern

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20GSARKGSARKGSARKGSARKGSARKGSARKGSARKGSARKGSARKGSARKGSARKGSARKGSARKPUNT31ydTD473ydPUNT418ydTD1594ydPUNT614ydPUNT3-4ydPUNT32ydPUNT30ydPUNT35ydTD799ydTD375ydPUNT33ydPUNT31ydFG773ydEND1260ydTD480ydPUNT422ydTD191ydPUNT32ydPUNT3-4ydPUNT3-2ydPUNT38ydDOWNS1141ydTD1266ydPUNT617ydEND949yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Georgia Southern and Arkansas
StatisticGeorgia SouthernArkansas
Passing13-2814-25
Pass Yards81364
Rush Yards152269
Total Yards233633
Turnovers00
3rd Down5-187-15
Penalties8-509-93
Possession26:5433:06

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Georgia Southern
passing
Justin Tomlin
11/23, 65 YDS
rushing
Justin Tomlin
10 CAR, 65 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Khaleb Hood
6 REC, 42 YDS
defense
Arkansas
passing
KJ Jefferson
13/23, 366 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Dominique Johnson
5 CAR, 72 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Treylon Burks
3 REC, 127 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Gerald Green run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 26

2nd & 9Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.46

Gerald Green run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSo 25

3rd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.13

Gerald Green run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 26

4th & 9Punt+6 yds

Anthony Beck II punt for 53 yds , Nathan Parodi returns for 6 yds to the Ark 27

1st & 10Pass Reception+47 ydsPPA +3.21

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Tyson Morris for 47 yds to the GeoSo 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Trelon Smith run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 21

2nd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.11

Trelon Smith run for 8 yds to the GeoSo 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.54

Trelon Smith run for 13 yds for a TD, (Cam Little KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.61

Justin Tomlin pass complete to Amare Jones for 3 yds to the GeoSo 28 for a 1ST down ARKANSAS Penalty, Personal Foul (Tre Williams) to the GeoSo 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-4 ydsPPA -1.90

Justin Tomlin run for a loss of 4 yards to the GeoSo 39 Justin Tomlin fumbled, recovered by GeoSo Justin Tomlin

2nd & 14Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Logan Wright run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 41

3rd & 12Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Justin Tomlin run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 43

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Anthony Beck II punt for 51 yds, downed at the Ark 6

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Trelon Smith run for 3 yds to the Ark 9

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

KJ Jefferson run for 2 yds to the Ark 11

3rd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.12

Raheim Sanders run for 1 yd to the Ark 12

4th & 4Penalty+5 yds

GA SOUTHERN Penalty, Defensive Offside (NaJee Thompson) to the Ark 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.20

KJ Jefferson run for 17 yds to the Ark 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.81

KJ Jefferson run for 1 yd to the Ark 35

2nd & 9Penalty+15 yds

GA SOUTHERN Penalty, Roughing Passer (Benz Josue) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.59

Raheim Sanders run for 7 yds to the GeoSo 43

2nd & 3Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.28

KJ Jefferson pass complete to De'Vion Warren for 8 yds to the GeoSo 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Raheim Sanders run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 30

2nd & 5Penalty-5 yds

ARKANSAS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the GeoSo 35

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

KJ Jefferson pass incomplete to Treylon Burks

3rd & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.00

KJ Jefferson pass complete to AJ Green for 18 yds to the GeoSo 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.34

AJ Green run for no gain to the GeoSo 17

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

AJ Green run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 13

3rd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.50

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Jaquayln Crawford for 10 yds to the GeoSo 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 0Penalty-10 yds

ARKANSAS Penalty, Offensive Holding (Myron Cunningham) to the GeoSo 13

1st & 13Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.14

Treylon Burks run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 11

2nd & 11Rushing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.86

Dominique Johnson run for 11 yds for a TD, (Cam Little KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Khaleb Hood run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 31

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Justin Tomlin pass incomplete to Beau Johnson

3rd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.56

Justin Tomlin pass complete to Logan Wright for 6 yds to the GeoSo 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.85

Justin Tomlin run for a loss of 6 yards to the GeoSo 31

2nd & 16Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.35

Justin Tomlin run for 8 yds to the GeoSo 39

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Justin Tomlin pass incomplete to Khaleb Hood

4th & 8Punt+8 yds

Anthony Beck II punt for 44 yds , Nathan Parodi returns for 8 yds to the Ark 25

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

KJ Jefferson run for 1 yd to the Ark 26

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

KJ Jefferson pass incomplete to De'Vion Warren

3rd & 9Penalty-5 yds

ARKANSAS Penalty, False Start (Ty Clary) to the Ark 21

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.08

KJ Jefferson pass incomplete to Treylon Burks

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Reid Bauer punt for 60 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the GeoSo 19

1st & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.90

Justin Tomlin sacked by Tre Williams for a loss of 10 yards to the GeoSo 9

2nd & 20Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.02

Logan Wright run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 15

3rd & 14Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.03

Justin Tomlin pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 6 yds to the GeoSo 21

4th & 8Punt+41 yds

Anthony Beck II punt for 41 yds , Nathan Parodi returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Ark 37

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.40

Raheim Sanders run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ark 35

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

KJ Jefferson pass incomplete to Treylon Burks

3rd & 12Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.17

KJ Jefferson pass complete to AJ Green for 2 yds to the Ark 37

4th & 10Punt+23 yds

Reid Bauer punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Khaleb Hood at the ARKANSAS 25 for a 1ST down ARKANSAS Penalty, Personal Foul (Deon Edwards) to the GeoSo 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.12

Justin Tomlin pass complete to Beau Johnson for no gain to the GeoSo 40

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

GA SOUTHERN Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the GeoSo 35

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Justin Tomlin pass incomplete to Logan Wright

3rd & 15Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.46

Justin Tomlin pass complete to Dexter Carter Jr. for 10 yds to the GeoSo 45

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Anthony Beck II punt for 54 yds, downed at the Ark 1

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.29

Dominique Johnson run for 7 yds to the Ark 8

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.41

Dominique Johnson run for no gain to the Ark 8

3rd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.45

Dominique Johnson run for 6 yds to the Ark 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.71

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Treylon Burks for 24 yds to the Ark 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

KJ Jefferson pass incomplete to De'Vion Warren

2nd & 10Rush+48 ydsPPA +3.49

Dominique Johnson run for 48 yds to the GeoSo 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.55

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Tyson Morris for 14 yds for a TD, (Cam Little KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Gerald Green run for no gain to the GeoSo 25

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.39

Gerald Green run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSo 24

3rd & 11Rushing Touchdown+76 ydsPPA +7.17

Justin Tomlin run for 76 yds for a TD, (Alex Raynor KICK)

3rd & 11Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Britton Williams kickoff for 59 yds , LaDarrius Bishop return for 16 yds to the Ark 22

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

AJ Green run for 3 yds to the Ark 25

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

KJ Jefferson pass incomplete to Treylon Burks

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

KJ Jefferson pass incomplete to Warren Thompson

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Reid Bauer punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Khaleb Hood at the GeoSo 40

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Justin Tomlin pass incomplete to Beau Johnson

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Justin Tomlin pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 4 yds to the GeoSo 44

3rd & 6Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.97

Justin Tomlin sacked by Tre Williams for a loss of 3 yards to the GeoSo 41

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Anthony Beck II punt for 59 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+44 ydsPPA +3.38

KJ Jefferson pass complete to De'Vion Warren for 44 yds to the GeoSo 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.33

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Treylon Burks for 12 yds to the GeoSo 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.22

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Blake Kern for 21 yds to the GeoSo 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.87

Trelon Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSo 4

2nd & 0Penalty-5 yds

ARKANSAS Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Beaux Limmer) to the GeoSo 9

2nd & 9Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.49

KJ Jefferson run for a loss of 3 yards to the GeoSo 12

3rd & 0Penalty+5 yds

GA SOUTHERN Penalty, Defensive Offside (Dillon Springer) to the GeoSo 7

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

KJ Jefferson pass incomplete to AJ Green

4th & 7Field Goal Good+25 yds

Cam Little 25 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Khaleb Hood run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 29

2nd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.14

Logan Wright run for 8 yds to the GeoSo 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Logan Wright run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 41

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Justin Tomlin pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 5 yds to the GeoSo 46

3rd & 1Rush+19 ydsPPA +2.13

Gerald Green run for 19 yds to the Ark 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.39

Logan Wright run for 7 yds to the Ark 28

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.69

Logan Wright run for no gain to the Ark 28

3rd & 3Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.72

Justin Tomlin pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 14 yds to the Ark 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Justin Tomlin pass incomplete to Khaleb Hood

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Justin Tomlin pass complete to Beau Johnson for 1 yd to the Ark 13

3rd & 9Fumble Recovery (Own)-2 ydsPPA -0.78

Justin Tomlin run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ark 15 Justin Tomlin fumbled, recovered by GeoSo Justin Tomlin

4th & 11Field Goal Good+32 yds

Alex Raynor 32 yd FG GOOD

0th & 11End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Britton Williams kickoff for 65 yds , LaDarrius Bishop return for 20 yds to the Ark 20

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Trelon Smith run for 4 yds to the Ark 24

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Trelon Smith run for 1 yd to the Ark 25

3rd & 5Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.15

KJ Jefferson pass complete to De'Vion Warren for 15 yds to the Ark 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+60 ydsPPA +4.76

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Warren Thompson for 60 yds for a TD, (Cam Little KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Gerald Green run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 26

2nd & 9Penalty+15 yds

ARKANSAS Penalty, Roughing Passer (Tre Williams) to the GeoSo 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Gerald Green run for no gain to the GeoSo 41

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Cam Ransom pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 6 yds to the GeoSo 47

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Cam Ransom pass incomplete to Khaleb Hood

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Anthony Beck II punt for 44 yds, downed at the Ark 9

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+91 ydsPPA +6.82

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Treylon Burks for 91 yds for a TD, (Cam Little KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Khaleb Hood run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 26

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.34

Logan Wright run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 27

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Justin Tomlin pass incomplete to Dexter Carter Jr.

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Anthony Beck II punt for 47 yds, downed at the Ark 26

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Trelon Smith run for 6 yds to the Ark 32

2nd & 4Penalty-10 yds

ARKANSAS Penalty, Offensive Holding (Myron Cunningham) to the Ark 22

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

KJ Jefferson pass incomplete to Ketron Jackson Jr.

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.08

KJ Jefferson pass incomplete to Ketron Jackson Jr.

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Reid Bauer punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Khaleb Hood at the GeoSo 35

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Justin Tomlin pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 7 yds to the GeoSo 42

2nd & 3Penalty-5 yds

GA SOUTHERN Penalty, False Start (Aaron Dowdell) to the GeoSo 37

2nd & 8Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.14

Justin Tomlin run for a loss of 4 yards to the GeoSo 33

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Justin Tomlin pass incomplete to Khaleb Hood

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Anthony Beck II punt for 41 yds, downed at the Ark 26

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.61

Raheim Sanders run for 1 yd to the Ark 27

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Raheim Sanders run for 3 yds to the Ark 30

3rd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Raheim Sanders run for 4 yds to the Ark 34

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Reid Bauer punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Khaleb Hood at the GeoSo 25

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Justin Tomlin pass complete to Logan Wright for 9 yds to the GeoSo 34

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.07

Logan Wright run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Justin Tomlin pass incomplete to Emil Smith

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Justin Tomlin pass incomplete to Khaleb Hood

3rd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.49

Justin Tomlin run for 8 yds to the GeoSo 48

4th & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +2.38

Logan Wright run for 3 yds to the Ark 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

GA SOUTHERN Penalty, False Start (Caleb Kelly) to the GeoSo 46

1st & 15Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.03

Khaleb Hood run for 9 yds to the Ark 45

2nd & 6Penalty+13 yds

ARKANSAS Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Jalen Catalon) to the Ark 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Justin Tomlin pass incomplete to Logan Wright

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Jalen White run for 3 yds to the Ark 29

3rd & 7Penalty-5 yds

GA SOUTHERN Penalty, False Start (Aaron Dowdell) to the Ark 34

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Justin Tomlin pass incomplete to Chase Hancock

4th & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.27

Justin Tomlin pass incomplete to Khaleb Hood

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

AJ Green run for 6 yds to the Ark 40

2nd & 4Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.10

Malik Hornsby run for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Malik Hornsby run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 47

2nd & 7Rush-10 ydsPPA -2.67

Malik Hornsby run for a loss of 10 yards to the Ark 43

3rd & 17Rush+17 ydsPPA +3.71

AJ Green run for 17 yds to the GeoSo 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

GA SOUTHERN Penalty, 12 Men on the Field (5 Yards) to the GeoSo 35

1st & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

AJ Green run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 32

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.21

Raheim Sanders run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.67

Raheim Sanders run for 9 yds to the GeoSo 19

2nd & 1Rush+11 ydsPPA -0.23

Raheim Sanders run for 11 yds to the GeoSo 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.48

Malik Hornsby pass complete to Jaquayln Crawford for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSo 10

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

AJ Green run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 6

3rd & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.82

Malik Hornsby run for 6 yds for a TD, (Cam Little KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Jalen White run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 29

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.54

Jalen White run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.98

Cam Ransom pass complete to Jalen White for 10 yds to the GeoSo 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Jalen White run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 42

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Cam Ransom pass incomplete to Gerald Green

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Cam Ransom pass incomplete to Khaleb Hood

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Anthony Beck II punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Nathan Parodi at the Ark 12

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.65

Malik Hornsby run for 13 yds to the Ark 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Javion Hunt run for 11 yds to the Ark 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

John Stephen Jones pass incomplete to Bryce Stephens

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.99

Josh Oglesby run for 9 yds to the Ark 45

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.19

Javion Hunt run for 3 yds to the Ark 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Javion Hunt run for no gain to the Ark 48

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Josh Oglesby run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 49

3rd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Josh Oglesby run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 44

4th & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +2.34

Javion Hunt run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 39 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Georgia Southern

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
23%
22 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
10%
10 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
17%
6 plays
50%
6 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play

Arkansas

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
59%
32 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
25%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
17%
12 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
60%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play