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← Back to GamesSep 11, 2021Week 2

House Prediction

Model Margin

East Carolina by 7

Home Win Probability

East Carolina 60%

Market (consensus)

East Carolina +2.5

Edge: East Carolina +2.5 (9.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 11, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
South CarolinaSouth Carolina
077620
East CarolinaEast Carolina
770317

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-014-014-717-1417-1717-20
East CarolinaSouth Carolina

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ECSCECSCECSCECSCECSCECSCECSCECSCECECSCSCECSCECSCECSCECSCECSCTD175ydTO737ydPUNT33ydPUNT55ydPUNT44ydPUNT3-6ydMISS521ydTO273ydPUNT513ydTO311ydTD213ydPUNT3-5ydPUNT417ydPUNT38ydTO30ydPUNT3-5ydTD641ydPUNT31ydEND1-2ydPUNT514ydPUNT30ydPUNT415ydPUNT33ydPUNT631ydPUNT619ydTD572ydFG1467ydFG512ydPUNT36ydEND1054yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing South Carolina and East Carolina
StatisticSouth CarolinaEast Carolina
Passing13-2412-25
Pass Yards225152
Rush Yards100116
Total Yards325268
Turnovers32
3rd Down2-122-16
Penalties7-553-20
Possession18:5741:03

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

South Carolina
passing
Zeb Noland
13/24, 225 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Juju McDowell
11 CAR, 71 YDS
receiving
Josh Vann
5 REC, 127 YDS
defense
East Carolina
passing
Holton Ahlers
11/24, 77 YDS, 2 INT
rushing
Rahjai Harris
14 CAR, 70 YDS
receiving
Jsi Hatfield
2 REC, 90 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+75 ydsPPA +6.08

Tyler Snead pass complete to Jsi Hatfield for 75 yds for a TD (Owen Daffer KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.84

Zeb Noland pass complete to Dakereon Joyner for 8 yds to the SCaro 30

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

ZaQuandre White run for 1 yd to the SCaro 31

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.77

ZaQuandre White run for 1 yd to the SCaro 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

ZaQuandre White run for 1 yd to the SCaro 33

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Zeb Noland pass incomplete to Jalen Brooks

3rd & 9Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +3.64

Zeb Noland pass complete to Josh Vann for 26 yds to the ECaro 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.76

Zeb Noland pass intercepted Warren Saba return for no gain to the ECaro 30

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.99

Keaton Mitchell run for a loss of 1 yard to the ECaro 29

2nd & 11Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Holton Ahlers pass complete to Keaton Mitchell for 4 yds to the ECaro 33

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to C.J. Johnson

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Jonn Young punt for 55 yds, downed at the SCaro 12

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Kevin Harris run for 3 yds to the SCaro 15

2nd & 7Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.81

Josh Vann run for 10 yds to the SCaro 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Ahmarean Brown run for no gain to the SCaro 25

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Zeb Noland pass incomplete to Jaheim Bell

3rd & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.25

Zeb Noland sacked by Jeremy Lewis for a loss of 8 yards to the SCaro 17

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Kai Kroeger punt for 41 yds, downed at the ECaro 42

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.21

Rahjai Harris run for 15 yds to the SCaro 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.94

Rahjai Harris run for no gain to the SCaro 43

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to Jsi Hatfield

3rd & 10Sack-11 ydsPPA -1.85

Holton Ahlers sacked by Aaron Sterling for a loss of 11 yards to the ECaro 46

4th & 21Punt0 yds

Jonn Young punt for 54 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

MarShawn Lloyd run for 2 yds to the SCaro 22

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Zeb Noland pass incomplete to Jalen Brooks

3rd & 8Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.26

Zeb Noland sacked by Jeremy Lewis for a loss of 8 yards to the SCaro 14 SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Zeb Noland) to the SCaro 14

4th & 16Punt+8 yds

Kai Kroeger punt for 41 yds , Tyler Snead returns for 8 yds to the SCaro 47

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.74

Holton Ahlers pass complete to Jsi Hatfield for 15 yds to the SCaro 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Keaton Mitchell run for 4 yds to the SCaro 28

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Keaton Mitchell run for 3 yds to the SCaro 25

3rd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.93

Keaton Mitchell run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 26

4th & 4Field Goal Missed+44 yds

Owen Daffer 44 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+48 ydsPPA +3.29

Zeb Noland pass complete to Jaheim Bell for 48 yds to the ECaro 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +1.78

Zeb Noland pass complete to Josh Vann for 25 yds Josh Vann fumbled, forced by Nolan Johnson, recovered by ECaro

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.80

Rahjai Harris run for 8 yds to the ECaro 28

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.02

Rahjai Harris run for 3 yds to the ECaro 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Rahjai Harris run for 2 yds to the ECaro 33

2nd & 8Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Holton Ahlers pass complete to Keaton Mitchell for 3 yds to the ECaro 36

3rd & 5Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.69

Holton Ahlers run for 2 yds to the ECaro 38 EAST CAROLINA Penalty, Illegal Forward Pass (Holton Ahlers) to the ECaro 33

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Jonn Young punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Josh Vann at the SCaro 15

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Zeb Noland pass complete to Dakereon Joyner for 2 yds to the SCaro 17

2nd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.32

MarShawn Lloyd run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 16

3rd & 9Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+16 ydsPPA +0.23

Zeb Noland pass complete to Dakereon Joyner for 10 yds Dakereon Joyner fumbled, forced by Jeremy Lewis, recovered by ECaro D.J. Ford , return for 16 yds to the SCaro 13

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.07

Keaton Mitchell run for 10 yds to the SCaro 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Holton Ahlers run for 3 yds for a TD (Owen Daffer KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Zeb Noland pass incomplete to Jalen Brooks

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Zeb Noland pass complete to Ahmarean Brown for 6 yds to the SCaro 31

3rd & 4Rush-11 ydsPPA -0.75

Zeb Noland run for a loss of 11 yards to the SCaro 20

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Kai Kroeger punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Tyler Snead at the ECaro 37

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Rahjai Harris run for 2 yds to the ECaro 39

2nd & 8Penalty+20 yds

SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Cam Smith) to the SCaro 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.67

Rahjai Harris run for 1 yd to the SCaro 40

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Rahjai Harris run for 4 yds to the SCaro 36

3rd & 5Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.73

Holton Ahlers sacked by Kingsley Enagbare for a loss of 10 yards to the SCaro 46 EAST CAROLINA Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Holton Ahlers) to the SCaro 46

3rd & 15Punt0 yds

Jonn Young punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Josh Vann at the SCaro 12

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Dakereon Joyner run for 3 yds to the SCaro 15

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.33

Dakereon Joyner run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 14

3rd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.06

Zeb Noland pass complete to Nick Muse for 6 yds to the SCaro 20

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Kai Kroeger punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Tyler Snead at the ECaro 47

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.45

Holton Ahlers sacked by Jordan Strachan for a loss of 7 yards to the ECaro 40

2nd & 17Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.33

Holton Ahlers run for 7 yds to the ECaro 47

3rd & 10Pass Interception Return+14 ydsPPA -0.79

Holton Ahlers pass intercepted Darius Rush return for no gain to the SCaro 47 SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (14 Yards) to the SCaro 29

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.66

Kevin Harris run for 7 yds to the SCaro 36

2nd & 3Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.78

Kevin Harris run for a loss of 5 yards to the SCaro 31

3rd & 8Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.45

Zeb Noland sacked by Bruce Bivens for a loss of 7 yards to the SCaro 24

4th & 14Punt-2 yds

Kai Kroeger punt for 52 yds , Tyler Snead returns for a loss of 2 yards to the ECaro 22

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Rahjai Harris run for 2 yds to the ECaro 24

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Holton Ahlers pass complete to Rahjai Harris for 5 yds to the ECaro 29

3rd & 3Rush+34 ydsPPA +3.56

Holton Ahlers run for 34 yds to the SCaro 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to Jsi Hatfield

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to Keaton Mitchell

3rd & 10Interception Return Touchdown+63 ydsPPA -9.23

Holton Ahlers pass intercepted for a TD Damani Staley return for 63 yds for a TD (Parker White KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Keaton Mitchell run for 3 yds to the ECaro 28

2nd & 7Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.84

Holton Ahlers sacked by Kingsley Enagbare for a loss of 5 yards to the ECaro 23

3rd & 12Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.05

Keaton Mitchell run for 3 yds to the ECaro 26

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Jonn Young punt for 44 yds, downed at the SCaro 30

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.10

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the SCaro 28

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

ZaQuandre White run for 3 yds to the SCaro 32

2nd & 7Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.56

MarShawn Lloyd run for 10 yds to the SCaro 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

MarShawn Lloyd run for 1 yd to the SCaro 43

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Zeb Noland pass incomplete to Jaheim Bell

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Zeb Noland pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Kai Kroeger punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Tyler Snead at the ECaro 25

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to Ryan Jones

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to C.J. Johnson

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to Audie Omotosho

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Jonn Young punt for 43 yds, downed at the SCaro 32

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.51

Juju McDowell run for 16 yds to the SCaro 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Juju McDowell run for 6 yds to the ECaro 46

2nd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.43

Juju McDowell run for a loss of 1 yard to the ECaro 47

3rd & 5Penalty-6 yds

SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, False Start (Dylan Wonnum) to the SCaro 48

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Zeb Noland pass incomplete to Xavier Legette

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Kai Kroeger punt for 52 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Holton Ahlers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Rahjai Harris run for 3 yds to the ECaro 23

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to Jsi Hatfield

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Jonn Young punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Josh Vann at the SCaro 28

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Zeb Noland pass complete to Josh Vann for 14 yds to the SCaro 42 SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the SCaro 32

1st & 6Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.45

Kevin Harris run for 13 yds to the SCaro 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.80

Kevin Harris run for 10 yds to the ECaro 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Kevin Harris run for 4 yds to the ECaro 41

2nd & 6Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.51

MarShawn Lloyd run for a loss of 2 yards to the ECaro 43

3rd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

ZaQuandre White run for 2 yds to the ECaro 41

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Kai Kroeger punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Tyler Snead at the ECaro 9

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Keaton Mitchell run for 2 yds to the ECaro 11

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Keaton Mitchell run for 3 yds to the ECaro 14

3rd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.74

Holton Ahlers pass complete to Tyler Snead for 6 yds to the ECaro 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Keaton Mitchell run for 4 yds to the ECaro 24

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Keaton Mitchell run for 4 yds to the ECaro 28

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to Walter Stribling

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Jonn Young punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Josh Vann at the SCaro 28

1st & 10Pass Reception+45 ydsPPA +3.11

Zeb Noland pass complete to Josh Vann for 45 yds to the ECaro 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Juju McDowell run for 4 yds to the ECaro 23

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Zeb Noland pass incomplete to Josh Vann

3rd & 6Penalty+15 yds

EAST CAROLINA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Ja'Quan McMillian) to the ECaro 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Penalty-5 yds

SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, False Start (Kevin Harris) to the ECaro 13

1st & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Zeb Noland pass incomplete to Josh Vann

2nd & 13Passing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.97

Zeb Noland pass complete to Dakereon Joyner for 13 yds for a TD (Parker White KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Holton Ahlers pass complete to Tyler Snead for 8 yds to the ECaro 33

2nd & 2Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.24

Rahjai Harris run for 16 yds to the ECaro 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Rahjai Harris run for 5 yds to the SCaro 46

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.63

Rahjai Harris run for 6 yds to the SCaro 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Rahjai Harris run for 3 yds to the SCaro 37

2nd & 7Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.81

Holton Ahlers pass complete to Tyler Snead for 15 yds to the SCaro 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Keaton Mitchell run for 5 yds to the SCaro 17

2nd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.53

Keaton Mitchell run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 18

3rd & 6Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.09

Holton Ahlers sacked by Brad Johnson for a loss of 8 yards to the SCaro 26

4th & 14Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.67

Holton Ahlers pass complete to C.J. Johnson for 14 yds to the SCaro 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-3 ydsPPA -0.49

Holton Ahlers run for a loss of 3 yards to the SCaro 13 Holton Ahlers fumbled, recovered by ECaro Holton Ahlers

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Holton Ahlers pass incomplete

3rd & 11Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Holton Ahlers pass complete to Tyler Snead for 5 yds to the SCaro 8

4th & 6Field Goal Good+26 yds

Owen Daffer 26 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.26

MarShawn Lloyd run for 11 yds to the ECaro 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)0 ydsPPA -0.40

MarShawn Lloyd run for no gain to the ECaro 22 MarShawn Lloyd fumbled, forced by Jeremy Lewis, recovered by SCaro Nick Muse

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Zeb Noland pass incomplete to Jalen Brooks

3rd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Juju McDowell run for 1 yd to the ECaro 21

4th & 9Field Goal Good+39 yds

Parker White 39 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Keaton Mitchell run for 4 yds to the ECaro 25

2nd & 6Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Holton Ahlers pass complete to C.J. Johnson for 1 yd to the ECaro 26

3rd & 5Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Holton Ahlers pass complete to Tyler Snead for 1 yd to the ECaro 27

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Jonn Young punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Josh Vann at the SCaro 28

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Zeb Noland pass complete to Dakereon Joyner for 2 yds to the SCaro 30

2nd & 8Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.41

Juju McDowell run for 8 yds to the SCaro 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.34

Juju McDowell run for 15 yds to the ECaro 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Zeb Noland pass complete to Josh Vann for 6 yds to the ECaro 41

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.28

Juju McDowell run for 5 yds to the ECaro 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.55

Kevin Harris run for 1 yd to the ECaro 35

2nd & 9Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.96

Juju McDowell run for 16 yds to the ECaro 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.36

Juju McDowell run for no gain to the ECaro 19

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Juju McDowell run for 1 yd to the ECaro 18

3rd & 9Field Goal Good+36 yds

Parker White 36 yd FG GOOD

Situational Analysis

South Carolina

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
38%
29 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
38%
13 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
30%
10 plays
4th

East Carolina

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
32%
25 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
20%
5 plays
20%
10 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
20%
5 plays
0%
6 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play