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← Back to GamesSep 11, 2021Week 2
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Kentucky by 5.1

Home Win Probability

Kentucky 62%

Market (consensus)

Kentucky -5.5

Edge: Missouri +5.5 (0.4 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 11, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
MissouriMissouri
777728
KentuckyKentucky
1477735

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-014-014-721-728-2128-2835-28
KentuckyMissouri

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20KENMISKENMISKENMISKENMISKENMISKENMISKENMISKENMISKENMISKENMISKENMISKENTD575ydPUNT513ydTD1280ydTD1075ydTO213ydPUNT410ydTD892ydPUNT625ydUncategorized1180ydTD980ydEND10ydTO21ydTD338ydTD1075ydPUNT30ydPUNT512ydPUNT633ydTD1480ydTD575ydPUNT521ydFG1165ydDOWNS610ydEND3-5yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Missouri and Kentucky
StatisticMissouriKentucky
Passing34-5210-18
Pass Yards294179
Rush Yards104341
Total Yards398520
Turnovers12
3rd Down9-158-12
Penalties7-653-35
Possession27:1232:48

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Missouri
passing
Connor Bazelak
34/51, 294 YDS, 4 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Tyler Badie
14 CAR, 61 YDS
receiving
Tyler Badie
10 REC, 88 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Kentucky
passing
Will Levis
10/18, 179 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Chris Rodriguez Jr.
27 CAR, 207 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Wan'Dale Robinson
5 REC, 101 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 3 yds to the Kent 28

2nd & 7Rush+64 ydsPPA +4.05

Wan'Dale Robinson run for 64 yds to the Misso 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 2 yds to the Misso 6

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Will Levis run for 1 yd to the Misso 5

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.76

Will Levis pass complete to Chris Rodriguez Jr. for 5 yds for a TD (Matt Ruffolo KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Tauskie Dove for 7 yds to the Misso 32

2nd & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.33

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Dominic Lovett for 4 yds to the Misso 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Tyler Badie for 1 yd to the Misso 37

2nd & 9Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Niko Hea for 1 yd to the Misso 38

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Keke Chism

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Grant McKinniss punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Wan'Dale Robinson at the Kent 20

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Kavosiey Smoke run for 5 yds to the Kent 25

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Will Levis pass incomplete to Wan'Dale Robinson

3rd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.48

Will Levis run for 8 yds to the Kent 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Kavosiey Smoke run for 1 yd to the Kent 32

2nd & 11Penalty+15 yds

MISSOURI Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Misso 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.90

Will Levis pass complete to Josh Ali for 19 yds to the Misso 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.50

Will Levis sacked by Isaiah McGuire for a loss of 6 yards to the Misso 35

2nd & 16Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.74

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 9 yds to the Misso 26

3rd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.96

Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 8 yds to the Misso 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Kavosiey Smoke run for 2 yds to the Misso 16

2nd & 8Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.38

Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for no gain to the Misso 16

3rd & 8Penalty+14 yds

Levis,Will pass incomplete to Robinson,Wan'Dale PENALTY MIZ Pass Interference (Abrams-Draine,Kris) 14 yards from MIZ16 to MIZ02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 2 yds for a TD (Matt Ruffolo KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Mookie Cooper run for 1 yd to the Misso 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.82

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Tyler Badie for 24 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Bazelak,Connor pass intercepted by Dort Jr.,Cedrick at UKY25, End Of Play PENALTY UKY Pass Interference (Ajian,Tyrell) 15 yards from UKY50 to UKY35, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.56

Tyler Badie run for 8 yds to the Kent 27

2nd & 2Rush+14 ydsPPA -0.13

Tyler Badie run for 14 yds to the Kent 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Elijah Young run for 5 yds to the Kent 8

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Tyler Badie run for 4 yds to the Kent 4

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.27

Connor Bazelak run for 2 yds to the Kent 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Tyler Badie run for 1 yd to the Kent 1

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Tyler Badie

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY MIZ False Start (Hea,Niko) 5 yards from UKY01 to UKY06. NO PLAY.

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.82

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Daniel Parker Jr. for 6 yds for a TD (Harrison Mevis KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

Rodriguez Jr.,Christopher rush for 3 yards gain to the UKY28 (Nicholson,Devin; Evans,Akayleb) PENALTY MIZ Offside (Robinson,Darius) 5 yards from UKY25 to UKY30. NO PLAY.

1st & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA -0.29

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 8 yds to the Kent 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -2.05

Will Levis pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.00

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Tauskie Dove for 15 yds to the Kent 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Tyler Badie run for 1 yd to the Kent 37

2nd & 9Penalty-10 yds

Bazelak,Connor pass incomplete to Chism,Keke QB hurried by Paschal,Joshua PENALTY MIZ Holding (Cook,Case) 10 yards from UKY37 to UKY47. NO PLAY.

2nd & 19Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Chance Luper for 4 yds to the Kent 43

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Tyler Badie

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Grant McKinniss punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Wan'Dale Robinson at the Kent 8

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.41

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 11 yds to the Kent 19 for a 1ST down MISSOURI Penalty, Defensive Offside (Akial Byers) declined for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.75

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 11 yds to the Kent 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Kavosiey Smoke run for 1 yd to the Kent 29

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Will Levis pass incomplete to Wan'Dale Robinson

3rd & 11Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.71

Will Levis pass complete to Izayah Cummings for 15 yds to the Kent 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+49 ydsPPA +2.17

Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 49 yds to the Misso 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 4 yds to the Misso 3

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Will Levis run for 3 yds for a TD (Matt Ruffolo KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Tyler Badie for 4 yds to the Misso 29

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Chance Luper pass incomplete to Keke Chism

3rd & 6Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.57

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Mookie Cooper for 16 yds to the Misso 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Tyler Badie

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Keke Chism

3rd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Tyler Badie for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Grant McKinniss punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Wan'Dale Robinson at the Kent 12

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 4 yds to the Kent 16

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 3 yds to the Kent 19

3rd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.86

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 6 yds to the Kent 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.22

Kavosiey Smoke run for 14 yds to the Kent 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Kavosiey Smoke run for 5 yds to the Kent 44

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.90

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.65

Will Levis run for 10 yds to the Misso 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Kavosiey Smoke run for 4 yds to the Misso 36

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.90

Will Levis run for no gain to the Misso 36

3rd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.39

Will Levis run for 7 yds to the Misso 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +0.47

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 21 yds to the Misso 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Keke Chism

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.39

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Tyler Badie for 8 yds to the Misso 28

3rd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.41

Tyler Badie run for 8 yds to the Misso 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Daniel Parker Jr. for 9 yds to the Misso 45

2nd & 1Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.67

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Chance Luper for 17 yds to the Kent 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Tyler Badie for 5 yds to the Kent 33

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Daniel Parker Jr.

3rd & 5Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.23

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Tauskie Dove for 16 yds to the Kent 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +2.58

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Keke Chism for 17 yds for a TD

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

run for no gain to the Kent 25

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Tyler Badie run for 1 yd to the Misso 26

2nd & 9Interception0 ydsPPA -0.33

Connor Bazelak pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Wan'Dale Robinson run for 4 yds to the Misso 34

2nd & 6Rush+31 ydsPPA +1.71

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 31 yds to the Misso 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 3 yds for a TD (Matt Ruffolo KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.32

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Tyler Badie for 11 yds to the Kent 36 for a 1ST down KENTUCKY Penalty, Personal Foul (Jacquez Jones) to the Kent 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Niko Hea for 4 yds to the Kent 45

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Niko Hea for 5 yds to the Kent 40

3rd & 1Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.89

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Dominic Lovett for 7 yds to the Kent 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Niko Hea

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.66

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Tauskie Dove for 9 yds to the Kent 24

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.26

Tyler Badie run for 4 yds to the Kent 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.19

Connor Bazelak run for 11 yds to the Kent 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Tyler Badie run for 3 yds to the Kent 6

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.53

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Daniel Parker Jr. for 6 yds for a TD (Harrison Mevis KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for no gain to the Kent 25

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Will Levis pass incomplete to Kavosiey Smoke

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Will Levis pass incomplete to Wan'Dale Robinson

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Wilson Berry punt for 38 yds, fair catch by D'ionte Smith at the Misso 37

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Chance Luper

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.11

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Niko Hea for 11 yds to the Misso 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Elijah Young run for no gain to the Misso 48

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Chance Luper

3rd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Connor Bazelak run for 6 yds to the Kent 46

4th & 4Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY MIZ Delay Of Game 5 yards from UKY46 to MIZ49. NO PLAY.

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Grant McKinniss punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Wan'Dale Robinson at the Kent 8

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.36

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 7 yds to the Kent 15

2nd & 3Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.48

Will Levis pass complete to Josh Ali for 11 yds to the Kent 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.96

Kavosiey Smoke run for 11 yds to the Kent 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Will Levis pass incomplete to Wan'Dale Robinson

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 4 yds to the Kent 41

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Will Levis pass incomplete to Wan'Dale Robinson

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Wilson Berry punt for 39 yds, fair catch by D'ionte Smith at the Misso 20

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.80

Tyler Badie run for 8 yds to the Misso 28

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.16

Connor Bazelak run for 5 yds to the Misso 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Tauskie Dove for 5 yds to the Misso 38

2nd & 5Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.78

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Niko Hea for 16 yds to the Kent 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Keke Chism

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.56

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Dominic Lovett for 10 yds to the Kent 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Tyler Badie run for 3 yds to the Kent 33

2nd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.56

Mookie Cooper run for 9 yds to the Kent 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.43

Tyler Badie run for no gain to the Kent 24

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Daniel Parker Jr.

3rd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.16

Connor Bazelak run for 12 yds to the Kent 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Chance Luper for 6 yds to the Kent 6

2nd & 4Penalty0 yds

Bazelak,Connor pass incomplete to Chism,Keke PENALTY MIZ Holding (Badie,Tyler) 11 yard from UKY06 to UKY17. NO PLAY.

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Tyler Badie

3rd & 15Passing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +3.66

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Tyler Badie for 17 yds for a TD (Harrison Mevis KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 11 yds to the Kent 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+28 ydsPPA +2.14

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 28 yds to the Misso 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Will Levis pass incomplete to Wan'Dale Robinson

2nd & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +1.41

Will Levis pass complete to Justin Rigg for 28 yds to the Misso 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.32

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 8 yds for a TD (Matt Ruffolo KICK)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Tyler Badie run for 9 yds to the Misso 34

2nd & 1Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.07

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Tyler Badie for 6 yds to the Misso 40 for a 1ST down

2nd & 13Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.39

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Tyler Badie for 7 yds to the Misso 44

3rd & 6Penalty+5 yds

PENALTY UKY Offside (Jones,Jacquez) 5 yards from MIZ44 to MIZ49. NO PLAY.

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.13

Tyler Badie run for 3 yds to the Misso 46

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Grant McKinniss punt for 38 yds

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.72

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 12 yds to the Kent 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 3 yds to the Kent 31

2nd & 7Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.98

Will Levis sacked by Devin Nicholson for a loss of 5 yards to the Kent 26

3rd & 12Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +3.93

Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 33 yds to the Misso 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 6 yds to the Misso 35

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.67

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 1 yd to the Misso 34

3rd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.87

Will Levis run for 6 yds to the Misso 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 1 yd to the Misso 27

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Wan'Dale Robinson run for 5 yds to the Misso 22

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Will Levis run for 3 yds to the Misso 19

4th & 1Field Goal Missed+37 yds

Matt Ruffolo 37 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Mookie Cooper

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.14

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Tauskie Dove for 13 yds to the Kent 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Tauskie Dove

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Barrett Banister for 5 yds to the Kent 37

3rd & 5Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.48

Connor Bazelak sacked by J.J. Weaver for a loss of 8 yards to the Kent 45

4th & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Dominic Lovett

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.59

run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kent 43

2nd & 12Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.87

run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 42

3rd & 13Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Will Levis run for 2 yds to the Kent 40

Situational Analysis

Missouri

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
43%
30 plays
2nd
67%
6 plays
50%
6 plays
62%
13 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
100%
5 plays
75%
4 plays
75%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Kentucky

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play
47%
34 plays
2nd
100%
2 plays
29%
7 plays
43%
7 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
60%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
4th