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← Back to GamesSep 11, 2021Week 2

House Prediction

Model Margin

Florida by 17.6

Home Win Probability

South Florida 9%

Market (consensus)

South Florida +28.5

Edge: South Florida +28.5 (10.9 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 11, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
FloridaFlorida
14210742
South FloridaSouth Florida
3010720

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428423-73-213-356-3513-3513-4220-42
South FloridaFlorida

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20FLOSFFLOSFFLOSFFLOSFFLOSFFLOSFFLOSFFLOSFFLOSFFLOSFFLOSFFLOSFFLOSFFLOSFFLOPUNT31ydPUNT3-1ydTD463ydFG1775ydTD175ydDOWNS842ydTD867ydPUNT33ydTD680ydTO31ydTD351ydPUNT423ydPUNT538ydPUNT425ydEND38ydDOWNS642ydTO422ydFG4-5ydTO747ydTD543ydDOWNS738ydPUNT30ydDOWNS759ydPUNT446ydTD180ydPUNT416ydPUNT32ydTD527ydEND745yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Florida and South Florida
StatisticFloridaSouth Florida
Passing17-2517-30
Pass Yards303188
Rush Yards363109
Total Yards666297
Turnovers21
3rd Down4-125-17
Penalties4-452-30
Possession30:4229:18

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Florida
passing
Anthony Richardson
3/3, 152 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Anthony Richardson
4 CAR, 115 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jacob Copeland
5 REC, 175 YDS, 2 TD
defense
South Florida
passing
Cade Fortin
12/18, 91 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Darrian Felix
14 CAR, 48 YDS
receiving
Xavier Weaver
2 REC, 68 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Emory Jones pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.28

Malik Davis run for 1 yd to the Fla 25

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Emory Jones pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt+3 yds

Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 57 yds , Xavier Weaver returns for 3 yds to the SFla 21

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Darrian Felix run for 5 yds to the SFla 26

2nd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.72

Cade Fortin run for a loss of 1 yard to the SFla 25

3rd & 6Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.37

Cade Fortin sacked by Jeremiah Moon for a loss of 5 yards to the SFla 20

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Andrew Stokes punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Fla 37

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.70

Emory Jones pass complete to Rick Wells for 20 yds to the SFla 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.61

Dameon Pierce run for 16 yds to the SFla 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +0.54

Dameon Pierce run for 20 yds to the SFla 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Dameon Pierce run for 7 yds for a TD (Chris Howard KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Darrian Felix run for 2 yds to the SFla 19

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Cade Fortin pass complete to Latrell Williams for 7 yds to the SFla 26

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.60

Darrian Felix run for 1 yd to the SFla 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Xavier Weaver pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.53

Brian Battie run for 8 yds to the SFla 35

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.22

Brian Battie run for 3 yds to the SFla 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.09

Brian Battie run for no gain to the SFla 38

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Cade Fortin pass complete to Bryce Miller for 6 yds to the SFla 44

3rd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +2.08

Darrian Felix run for 8 yds to the Fla 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.63

Cade Fortin pass complete to Darrian Felix for 11 yds to the Fla 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.78

Cade Fortin pass complete to Latrell Williams for 9 yds to the Fla 28

2nd & 1Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Cade Fortin pass complete to Latrell Williams for 2 yds to the Fla 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.21

Cade Fortin pass complete to Omarion Dollison for 16 yds to the Fla 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

Darrian Felix run for no gain to the Fla 10

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Darrian Felix run for 2 yds to the Fla 8

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Cade Fortin pass incomplete

4th & 8Field Goal Good+25 yds

Spencer Shrader 25 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+75 ydsPPA +6.08

Anthony Richardson pass complete to Jacob Copeland for 75 yds for a TD (Chris Howard KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.15

Cade Fortin pass complete to Xavier Weaver for 24 yds to the SFla 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Cade Fortin pass complete to Latrell Williams for 4 yds to the Fla 47

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Jaren Mangham run for 1 yd to the Fla 46

3rd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.79

Cade Fortin pass complete to Omarion Dollison for 6 yds to the Fla 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Cade Fortin pass complete to Omarion Dollison for 5 yds to the Fla 35

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Darrian Felix run for 4 yds to the Fla 31

3rd & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.36

Darrian Felix run for a loss of 2 yards to the Fla 33

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.45

Cade Fortin pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.59

Emory Jones pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 17 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Emory Jones run for 3 yds to the SFla 47

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Nay'Quan Wright run for 4 yds to the SFla 43

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Emory Jones run for 2 yds to the SFla 41

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.95

Nay'Quan Wright run for 3 yds to the SFla 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Emory Jones pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 1 yd to the SFla 37

2nd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.43

Nay'Quan Wright run for 7 yds to the SFla 30

3rd & 2Penalty-5 yds

FLORIDA Penalty, False Start (Richard Gouraige) to the SFla 35

3rd & 7Passing Touchdown+35 ydsPPA +4.22

Emory Jones pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 35 yds for a TD (Chris Howard KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Darrian Felix run for 3 yds to the SFla 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Cade Fortin pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Cade Fortin pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Andrew Stokes punt for 52 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Fla 20

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.80

Malik Davis run for 8 yds to the Fla 28

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Malik Davis run for 6 yds to the Fla 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.65

Anthony Richardson run for 18 yds to the SFla 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.84

Malik Davis run for 1 yd to the SFla 47

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Malik Davis run for 6 yds to the SFla 41

3rd & 3Passing Touchdown+41 ydsPPA +4.20

Anthony Richardson pass complete to Jacob Copeland for 41 yds for a TD (Jace Christmann KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Cade Fortin pass complete to Jimmy Horn Jr. for 4 yds to the SFla 39

2nd & 6Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.36

Brian Battie run for a loss of 3 yards to the SFla 36

3rd & 9Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.24

Cade Fortin pass intercepted Kaiir Elam return for no gain to the Fla 49

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.83

Emory Jones pass complete to Dameon Pierce for 13 yds to the SFla 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Emory Jones run for 5 yds to the SFla 33

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+33 ydsPPA +3.01

Emory Jones run for 33 yds for a TD (Chris Howard KICK)

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.65

Darrian Felix run for 13 yds to the SFla 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

FLORIDA Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the SFla 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Darrian Felix run for 1 yd to the SFla 36

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Darrian Felix run for 2 yds to the SFla 38

3rd & 7Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.64

Cade Fortin pass complete to Darrian Felix for a loss of 3 yards to the SFla 35

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Andrew Stokes punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Fla 25

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Emory Jones pass complete to Justin Shorter for 10 yds to the Fla 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +2.19

Emory Jones pass complete to Jacob Copeland for 13 yds to the SFla 48 for a 1ST down SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Thad Mangum) to the SFla 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.57

Lorenzo Lingard run for 1 yd to the SFla 36

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Emory Jones pass incomplete to Justin Shorter

3rd & 9Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.23

Malik Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the SFla 37

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 23 yds, fair catch by Xavier Weaver at the SFla 14

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.23

Kelley Joiner run for 4 yds to the SFla 18 for a 1ST down FLORIDA Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Brenton Cox Jr.) to the SFla 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Kelley Joiner run for no gain to the SFla 33

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Cade Fortin pass incomplete to Latrell Williams

3rd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.12

Kelley Joiner run for 6 yds to the SFla 39

4th & 4Punt+26 yds

Andrew Stokes punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Xzavier Henderson at the SOUFLA 20 SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, Kick Catching Interference (-15 Yards) to the Fla 35

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.01

Emory Jones pass complete to Nay'Quan Wright for no gain to the Fla 35

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Emory Jones pass complete to Malik Davis for 5 yds to the Fla 40

3rd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Nay'Quan Wright run for 3 yds to the Fla 43

0th & 5End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Jaren Mangham run for 12 yds to the SFla 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

FLORIDA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Avery Helm) to the Fla 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.59

Timmy McClain run for 10 yds to the Fla 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Timmy McClain pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.21

Brian Battie run for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 39

3rd & 11Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Timmy McClain run for 6 yds to the Fla 33

4th & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.19

Timmy McClain pass incomplete to Brian Battie

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Malik Davis run for 1 yd to the Fla 34

2nd & 9Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.94

Emory Jones run for 11 yds to the Fla 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.80

Emory Jones pass complete to Jacob Copeland for 10 yds to the SFla 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return+50 ydsPPA -3.52

Emory Jones pass intercepted Mekhi LaPointe return for 50 yds to the Fla 10

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

Timmy McClain run for no gain to the Fla 10

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.35

Timmy McClain run for 9 yds to the Fla 1

3rd & 1Fumble Recovery (Own)-14 ydsPPA -1.82

Timmy McClain run for a loss of 14 yards to the Fla 15 Timmy McClain fumbled, recovered by SFla Latrell Williams

4th & 15Field Goal Good+32 yds

Spencer Shrader 32 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Nay'Quan Wright run for 6 yds to the Fla 22

2nd & 4Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.27

Emory Jones pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 15 yds to the Fla 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Nay'Quan Wright run for 4 yds to the Fla 41

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Emory Jones run for 4 yds to the Fla 45

3rd & 2Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.83

Emory Jones run for 9 yds to the SFla 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.98

Nay'Quan Wright run for 9 yds to the SFla 37

2nd & 1Pass Interception Return+38 ydsPPA -4.44

Emory Jones pass intercepted Brock Nichols return for 38 yds to the Fla 43

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Timmy McClain pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.67

Timmy McClain pass complete to Sean Atkins for 23 yds to the Fla 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Jaren Mangham run for 8 yds to the Fla 12

2nd & 2Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.22

Timmy McClain pass complete to Sean Atkins for 11 yds to the Fla 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Jaren Mangham run for 1 yd for a TD (Spencer Shrader KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Emory Jones pass complete to Justin Shorter for 13 yds to the Fla 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Emory Jones run for 7 yds to the Fla 45

2nd & 3Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.83

Dameon Pierce run for 11 yds to the SFla 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Emory Jones run for 4 yds to the SFla 40

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Dameon Pierce run for 1 yd to the SFla 39

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Emory Jones run for 2 yds to the SFla 37

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.06

Emory Jones pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Jaren Mangham run for no gain to the SFla 37

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Timmy McClain pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Timmy McClain pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Andrew Stokes punt for 23 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Fla 40

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Anthony Richardson run for 8 yds to the Fla 48

2nd & 2Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.39

Anthony Richardson run for 9 yds to the SFla 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +1.16

Anthony Richardson pass complete to Jacob Copeland for 36 yds to the SFla 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Emory Jones run for 2 yds to the SFla 5

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Emory Jones pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Emory Jones pass complete to Malik Davis for 4 yds to the SFla 1

4th & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -4.21

Emory Jones pass incomplete to Nick Elksnis

1st & 10Pass Reception+44 ydsPPA +2.72

Timmy McClain pass complete to Xavier Weaver for 44 yds to the SFla 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.78

Timmy McClain run for a loss of 3 yards to the SFla 42

2nd & 13Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Darrian Felix run for 3 yds to the SFla 45

3rd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Timmy McClain run for 2 yds to the SFla 47

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Andrew Stokes punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Fla 20

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+80 ydsPPA +6.39

Anthony Richardson run for 80 yds for a TD (Chris Howard KICK)

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Brian Battie run for 10 yds to the SFla 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Timmy McClain pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Timmy McClain run for 1 yd to the SFla 36

3rd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Timmy McClain pass complete to Darrian Felix for 5 yds to the SFla 41

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Andrew Stokes punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Fenley Graham at the Fla 13

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.40

Demarkcus Bowman run for no gain to the Fla 13

2nd & 10Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -0.26

Emory Jones pass complete to Daejon Reynolds for a loss of 5 yards to the Fla 8

3rd & 15Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.03

Lorenzo Lingard run for 7 yds to the Fla 15

4th & 8Punt+44 yds

Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 56 yds , Xavier Weaver returns for 44 yds to the Fla 27

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Darrian Felix run for 6 yds to the Fla 21

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Jaren Mangham run for 3 yds to the Fla 18

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.14

Jaren Mangham run for 2 yds to the Fla 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.36

Katravis Marsh pass complete to Mitchell Brinkman for 14 yds to the Fla 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Jaren Mangham run for 2 yds for a TD (Spencer Shrader KICK)

1st & 10Rush+26 ydsPPA +2.32

Demarkcus Bowman run for 26 yds to the SFla 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.58

Demarkcus Bowman run for 7 yds to the SFla 42

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -1.10

Lorenzo Lingard run for no gain to the SFla 42

3rd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.32

Emory Jones run for 7 yds to the SFla 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.31

Emory Jones sacked by Blake Green for a loss of 8 yards to the SFla 43

2nd & 18Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.75

Lorenzo Lingard run for 1 yd to the SFla 42

3rd & 17Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.51

Lorenzo Lingard run for 12 yds to the SFla 30

Situational Analysis

Florida

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
63%
35 plays
2nd
60%
5 plays
40%
5 plays
50%
8 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
75%
4 plays
0%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
33%
3 plays

South Florida

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
2 plays
50%
30 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
0%
5 plays
42%
12 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
60%
5 plays
67%
3 plays
25%
8 plays
100%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play