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← Back to GamesSep 11, 2021Week 2

House Prediction

Model Margin

Auburn by 16.5

Home Win Probability

Auburn 87%

Market (consensus)

Auburn -49.5

Edge: Alabama State +49.5 (33.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 11, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Alabama State
00000
AuburnAuburn
61435762

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014284256703-06-013-020-027-041-048-062-0
AuburnAlabama State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ASAUBASAUBASAUBASASAUBASAUBASASAUBASAUBASASAUBASAUBASAUBASAUBPUNT38ydFG1063ydPUNT619ydFG719ydPUNT3-3ydTD1168ydTD1072ydPUNT31ydPUNT35ydPUNT38ydTO3-4ydEND43ydPUNT34ydTD490ydTO526ydTD151ydTD512ydPUNT516ydTD274ydPUNT32ydTD194ydPUNT35ydTD1363ydPUNT30ydUncategorized515yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Alabama State and Auburn
StatisticAlabama StateAuburn
Passing19-2911-19
Pass Yards130174
Rush Yards46364
Total Yards176538
Turnovers21
3rd Down4-156-11
Penalties8-5710-67
Possession32:5127:08

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Alabama State
passing
Ryan Nettles
19/27, 130 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Jared Daniels
5 CAR, 17 YDS
receiving
Jeremiah Hixon
4 REC, 46 YDS
defense
Auburn
passing
Bo Nix
9/17, 108 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Jarquez Hunter
8 CAR, 147 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Demetris Robertson
3 REC, 61 YDS, 2 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Ryan Nettles pass incomplete to Jeremiah Hixon

2nd & 10Penalty+5 yds

AUBURN Penalty, Defensive Offside (Marcus Harris) to the AlbSt 30

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Jacory Merritt run for 3 yds to the AlbSt 33

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Ryan Nettles pass incomplete to Jacory Merritt

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Aubrey Grace punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Aub 20

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.69

Tank Bigsby run for 10 yds to the Aub 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Bo Nix pass incomplete to Shedrick Jackson

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Bo Nix pass incomplete to Shedrick Jackson

3rd & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +3.66

Bo Nix pass complete to Demetris Robertson for 27 yds to the AlbSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Tank Bigsby run for 3 yds to the AlbSt 40

2nd & 7Penalty+15 yds

ALABAMA ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the AlbSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Tank Bigsby run for 12 yds to the AlbSt 13 AUBURN Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the AlbSt 23

1st & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Tank Bigsby run for 3 yds to the AlbSt 20

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Tank Bigsby run for 4 yds to the AlbSt 16

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.64

Tank Bigsby run for a loss of 1 yard to the AlbSt 17

4th & 2Field Goal Good+34 yds

Anders Carlson 34 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jacory Merritt run for no gain to the AlbSt 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Ryan Nettles pass complete to Kisean Johnson for 2 yds to the AlbSt 27

3rd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.86

Ryan Nettles pass complete to Wallace Corker for 9 yds to the AlbSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Jacory Merritt run for 2 yds to the AlbSt 38

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.59

Ryan Nettles pass complete to Jeremiah Hixon for 7 yds to the AlbSt 45

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.21

Myles Crawley run for a loss of 1 yard to the AlbSt 44

4th & 2Blocked Punt+12 yds

Aubrey Grace punt blocked by Barton Lester blocked by Barton Lester

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Bo Nix pass incomplete to Caylin Newton

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Jarquez Hunter run for 2 yds to the AlbSt 23

3rd & 8Penalty-10 yds

AUBURN Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the AlbSt 33

3rd & 18Rush+24 ydsPPA +2.90

Tank Bigsby run for 24 yds to the AlbSt 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.32

Bo Nix pass complete to Kobe Hudson for no gain to the AlbSt 9

2nd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.12

Bo Nix pass complete to Shedrick Jackson for 6 yds to the AlbSt 3

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Bo Nix run for 2 yds to the AlbSt 1

4th & 0Penalty-5 yds

AUBURN Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the AlbSt 6

4th & 6Field Goal Good+23 yds

Anders Carlson 23 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

ALABAMA ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the AlbSt 20

1st & 15Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.15

Ryan Nettles pass complete to Jeremiah Hixon for 6 yds to the AlbSt 26

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.41

Jacory Merritt run for no gain to the AlbSt 26

3rd & 9Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.26

Ryan Nettles sacked by Brenden Coffey for a loss of 4 yards to the AlbSt 22

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Aubrey Grace punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Aub 32

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.37

Jarquez Hunter run for 9 yds to the Aub 41

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.42

Bo Nix pass incomplete to Shedrick Jackson

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.92

Jarquez Hunter run for no gain to the Aub 41

4th & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +2.21

Jarquez Hunter run for 4 yds to the Aub 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Bo Nix pass incomplete to Demetris Robertson

2nd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.20

Bo Nix pass complete to Kobe Hudson for 14 yds to the AlbSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.65

Bo Nix pass complete to John Samuel Shenker for 8 yds to the AlbSt 33

2nd & 2Rush+11 ydsPPA -0.06

Jarquez Hunter run for 11 yds to the AlbSt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.33

Bo Nix pass complete to Jarquez Hunter for 14 yds to the AlbSt 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Jarquez Hunter run for 2 yds to the AlbSt 6

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.53

Bo Nix pass complete to Demetris Robertson for 6 yds for a TD, (Anders Carlson KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

AUBURN Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the AlbSt 30

1st & 15Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Ryan Nettles pass complete to Wallace Corker for 5 yds to the AlbSt 35

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.42

Ryan Nettles pass complete to Jacory Merritt for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Jacory Merritt run for 6 yds to the Aub 44

2nd & 4Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.63

Jacory Merritt run for a loss of 2 yards to the Aub 46

3rd & 6Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.15

Ryan Nettles pass complete to Jeremiah Hixon for 11 yds to the Aub 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +0.92

Ryan Nettles pass complete to Jeremiah Hixon for 22 yds to the Aub 13 for a 1ST down AUBURN Penalty, Face Mask (7 yards) (7 Yards) to the Aub 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Myles Crawley run for 1 yd to the Aub 5

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Myles Crawley pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Ryan Nettles pass complete to Terrance Ellis for 2 yds to the Aub 3

4th & 3Blocked Field Goal Touchdown+80 ydsPPA -11.08

Nehemiah Pritchett 80 Yd Return of Blocked Field Goal (Anders Carlson Kick)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

AUBURN Penalty, Offensive Offside (-5 Yards) to the Aub 30

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Jacory Merritt run for 3 yds to the AlbSt 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Ryan Nettles pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.33

Ryan Nettles pass complete to Keron Jones for a loss of 2 yards to the AlbSt 26

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Aubrey Grace punt for 41 yds, downed at the Aub 33

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Bo Nix pass incomplete to Tank Bigsby

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Bo Nix pass complete to Shedrick Jackson for 5 yds to the Aub 38

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Bo Nix pass incomplete to Kobe Hudson

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Oscar Chapman punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Robert McMinn at the AlbSt 15

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Jared Daniels run for 2 yds to the AlbSt 17

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.29

Ryan Nettles pass complete to Jared Daniels for 7 yds to the AlbSt 24

3rd & 1Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.51

Ryan Nettles pass complete to Abdou Diop for a loss of 1 yard to the AlbSt 23

4th & 2Punt+23 yds

Aubrey Grace punt for 32 yds , Demetris Robertson returns for 23 yds to the AlbSt 32

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Bo Nix pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.83

Tank Bigsby run for no gain to the AlbSt 32

3rd & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.79

Bo Nix sacked by Joshua Long for a loss of 4 yards to the AlbSt 36 Bo Nix fumbled, forced by Joshua Long, recovered by AlbSt Nicholas Terry , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Ryan Nettles pass incomplete to Jeremiah Hixon

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.72

Jacory Merritt run for a loss of 1 yard to the AlbSt 35

3rd & 11Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.72

Ryan Nettles run for 11 yds to the AlbSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.41

Ryan Nettles sacked by T.D. Moultry for a loss of 7 yards to the AlbSt 39

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Ryan Nettles pass incomplete to Tevin Sharpe

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Ryan Nettles pass complete to Wallace Corker for 4 yds to the Aub 39

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Ryan Nettles pass incomplete to Keron Jones

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Aubrey Grace punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Aub 10

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Tank Bigsby run for 2 yds to the Aub 12

2nd & 8Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.01

Tank Bigsby run for 14 yds to the Aub 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+51 ydsPPA +3.34

Tank Bigsby run for 51 yds to the AlbSt 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

AUBURN Penalty, Illegal Shift (-5 Yards) to the AlbSt 28

1st & 15Passing Touchdown+28 ydsPPA +3.12

Bo Nix pass complete to Demetris Robertson for 28 yds for a TD, (Anders Carlson KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jared Daniels run for no gain to the AlbSt 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.54

Ryan Nettles pass complete to Keron Jones for 10 yds to the AlbSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Ryan Nettles pass complete to Keron Jones for 8 yds to the AlbSt 43

2nd & 2Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.66

Jared Daniels run for 11 yds to the Aub 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-3 ydsPPA -3.46

Ryan Nettles run for a loss of 3 yards to the Aub 49 Ryan Nettles fumbled, forced by Marquis Burks, recovered by Aub Colby Wooden

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

ALABAMA ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the AlbSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+36 ydsPPA +3.01

Demetris Robertson run for 36 yds for a TD, (Anders Carlson KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+11 yds

Anders Carlson kickoff for 52 yds , Trevor Robinson return for 11 yds to the AlbSt 24

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Ryan Nettles pass complete to Kisean Johnson for 6 yds to the AlbSt 30

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Jacory Merritt run for 3 yds to the AlbSt 33

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.02

Jacory Merritt run for 3 yds to the AlbSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

ALABAMA ST Penalty, Substitution Infraction (-5 Yards) to the AlbSt 31

1st & 15Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Ryan Nettles pass complete to Tevin Sharpe for 5 yds to the AlbSt 36

2nd & 10Interception Return Touchdown+35 ydsPPA -7.81

Ryan Nettles pass intercepted for a TD Roger McCreary return for 35 yds for a TD, (Anders Carlson KICK)

1st & 0Penalty+1 yds

ALABAMA ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (1 Yards) to the AlbSt 2

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jared Daniels run for no gain to the AlbSt 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.73

Ryan Nettles pass complete to E'Shawn Mayes for 12 yds to the AlbSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Ryan Nettles run for 2 yds to the AlbSt 39

2nd & 8Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Ryan Nettles pass complete to Tevin Sharpe for 2 yds to the AlbSt 41

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Ryan Nettles pass incomplete to Terrance Ellis

4th & 6Punt+21 yds

Aubrey Grace punt for 44 yds , Devin Guice returns for 21 yds to the AUBURN 38 AUBURN Penalty, Clipping (10 Yards) to the Aub 26

1st & 10Rush+25 ydsPPA +2.24

Jarquez Hunter run for 25 yds to the AlbSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+49 ydsPPA +3.76

TJ Finley pass complete to Malcolm Johnson Jr. for 49 yds for a TD, (Anders Carlson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Jared Daniels run for 4 yds to the AlbSt 29

2nd & 6Penalty+5 yds

AUBURN Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the AlbSt 34

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.28

Myles Crawley pass incomplete to Grantis Poole

3rd & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.88

Myles Crawley run for a loss of 2 yards to the AlbSt 32

4th & 3Penalty-5 yds

ALABAMA ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the AlbSt 27

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Aubrey Grace punt for 67 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Aub 6

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+94 ydsPPA +6.90

Jarquez Hunter run for 94 yds for a TD, (Anders Carlson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Dante Norris run for 4 yds to the AlbSt 29

2nd & 6Fumble Recovery (Own)-7 ydsPPA -1.05

Joe Owens Jr. run for a loss of 7 yards to the AlbSt 22 Joe Owens Jr. fumbled, recovered by AlbSt Dante Norris

3rd & 13Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.14

Joe Owens Jr. run for 8 yds to the AlbSt 30

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Aubrey Grace punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Aub 37

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Sean Jackson run for 9 yds to the Aub 46

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Sean Jackson run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Sean Jackson run for 4 yds to the AlbSt 46

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Sean Jackson run for 3 yds to the AlbSt 43

3rd & 3Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.66

TJ Finley pass complete to Elijah Canion for 17 yds to the AlbSt 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.33

Sean Jackson run for 7 yds to the AlbSt 19

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Jordon Ingram run for 3 yds to the AlbSt 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jordon Ingram run for 5 yds to the AlbSt 11

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Sean Jackson run for 3 yds to the AlbSt 8

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.92

Sean Jackson run for 4 yds to the AlbSt 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.52

Sean Jackson run for 1 yd to the AlbSt 3

2nd & 3Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.55

Sean Jackson run for a loss of 2 yards to the AlbSt 5

3rd & 5Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.76

Sean Jackson 4 Yd Run (Ben Patton Kick)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

ALABAMA ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the AlbSt 20

1st & 15Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.37

Robert Rivers run for a loss of 1 yard to the AlbSt 19

2nd & 16Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.08

Robert Rivers run for 2 yds to the AlbSt 21

3rd & 14Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.16

Myles Crawley run for 9 yds to the AlbSt 30

4th & 5Penalty-5 yds

ALABAMA ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the AlbSt 25

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Aubrey Grace punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Aub 40

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-4 ydsPPA -1.79

Jay Sharp run for a loss of 4 yards to the Aub 36 Jay Sharp fumbled, recovered by Aub Jay Sharp

2nd & 14Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.96

Jay Sharp run for 10 yds to the Aub 46

3rd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +2.05

Jay Sharp run for 8 yds to the AlbSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Jay Sharp run for 4 yds to the AlbSt 42

2nd & 6Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.76

Jay Sharp run for a loss of 3 yards to the AlbSt 45

Situational Analysis

Alabama State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
22%
18 plays
75%
4 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
0%
5 plays
42%
12 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
20%
5 plays
25%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
100%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Auburn

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
46%
26 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
0%
5 plays
20%
5 plays
57%
7 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
40%
5 plays
67%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play